| 摘要: |
| 参照现行的“技巧水平”评分办法,评定了常用集成预报方法的技巧水平。通过分析评定结果,引进最优化技术,导出了高技巧水平的集成预报新方案。集成结果优于线性回归等集成方法。 |
| 关键词: 技巧水平 集成预报 最优化技术 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目:“九五”攻关项目96-908-05-04-07课题资助 |
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| A SYNTHESIZING PLAN WITH OPTIMAL FORECAST TECHNIQUE AND ITS APPLICATION |
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Zhang liping1, Lu Shuming2, Wang Wanli3, Zhou Xiaolan3, Hong guoping2
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1.Wuhan Central Meteorological Observatory, Wuhan, 430074;2.Jiangxi Provincial Meteorological Observatory;3.Wuhan Central Meteorological Observatory
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| Abstract: |
| In this paper the current synthesizing methods' forecast techniques are assessed in accordance with existing marking method called “technique level”.The plan with a high forecast technique level is deduced by analysing the marked result and introducing optimization technique.The results have the advantage over the linear regression etc. |
| Key words: Technique level Synthesizing forecast Optimization technique |
