| 摘要: |
| 将shepard插值方法运用到短期气候预测中,建立一类非模式预报方法,按照相似原因将产生相似结果的原理来作预报,对云南降水进行了预报试验。结果表明,这种方法与多元回归相比具有良好的预报能力,值得进一步探讨和应用。 |
| 关键词: 气候预报 插值方法 模式 参数 |
| DOI： |
| 分类号: |
| 基金项目:国家“九五”重中之重科技攻关项目云南专题“云南短期气候预测系统的研究(96-908-05-08)”的资助 |
|
| THE STUDY OF SHORT-TERM CLIMATE PREDICTION EXPERI MENT USING AN INTERPOLATION METHOD |
|
Zhang Wancheng1, Cao Jie2, Xie Ming'en3
|
|
1.Meteorological Bureau of honghe Prefecture of Yunnan Province, Mengzi Yunnan, 661100;2.Department of Earth Sciences Yunnan University;3.Meterorlogical Observatory of Yunnan Province
|
| Abstract: |
| In this paper, the Shepard interpolation method is used in short-term climate prediction. Its principle is that similar cause makes similar result.The method is applied to the precipitation of Yunnan province. The experiment result shows that the method has more prediction capacity than the multiple regressive model. |
| Key words: Climate prediction Interpolation method Model Parameter |
