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气象:2008,34(1):35-40
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一次对流降水过程增雨催化时机的模拟分析和雷达识别
(1.中国气象局武汉暴雨研究所 430074;2.湖北省人工影响天气办公室;3.湖北省气象局业务处)
A Case Simulation Analysis and Radar Detection on Seeding Opportunity of Rainfall Enhancement for Convective Cloud
(1.Institute of Heavy Rain, CMA,Wuhan 430074;2.Weather Modification Office of Hubei Province;3.Operational Office,Hubei Provincial Meteorological Bureau)
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投稿时间:2007-04-26    修订日期:2007-10-08
中文摘要: 为加深对对流云增雨催化机制的理解,避免催化指标的随意性,通过三维积云数值模拟和雷 达加密探测资料分析相结合的方法,对发生在湖北省西北部多山地区的一次对流降水过程进 行了增雨催化时机的分析和识别。首先运用三维积云模式,通过催化模拟敏感试验,得出对 流云增雨催化存在时间窗,最佳的催化时机应该为对流云发展的早期,催化后关键是增加雨 和冰晶冻结后碰并霰增长这一冰相微物理过程的产量。根据模式分析结果,结合雷达观测资 料分析,发现对流回波在生成及发展上表现出一些规律性,可以作为通过雷达观测识别增雨 催化的时机和潜力区域的指标。
Abstract:Analysis and identification on seeding opportunity for enhancing rainf all in a convectional precipitation case occurred in northwestern Hubei, a mount ainous area, are introduced. Firstly, based on a fully elastic three dimensiona l and dual parameter cumulus cloud numerical model, a series of sensitive model ing tests on seeding AgI agent in a variety of time is conducted to analyze how various seeding time affects the result of precipitation enhancement and its pre cipitation physical mechanism. It is concluded that the appropriate seeding oppo rtunity is at the earlyperiod when a convective cloud is developing after its ori ginal formation. According to the results of simulation analysis in this case an d based on radar data, the method of detecting appropriate seeding opportunity i s discussed by analyzing forming and developing characteristics of convective ce ll echoes in the entire precipitation process.
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基金项目:科技部公益性研究专项“南方积云人工催化模型的研究”(2001DIB20105)
引用文本:
王斌,向玉春,张鸿雁,2008.一次对流降水过程增雨催化时机的模拟分析和雷达识别[J].气象,34(1):35-40.
Wang Bin,Xiang Yuchun,Zhang Hongyan,2008.A Case Simulation Analysis and Radar Detection on Seeding Opportunity of Rainfall Enhancement for Convective Cloud[J].Meteor Mon,34(1):35-40.