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气象:2011,37(9):1134-1139
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重庆春播期间降水特征及其与北太平洋海温的关系
(重庆市气候中心,重庆 401147)
Analysis of the Characteristics of Spring Precipitation in Chongqing and the Related SSTA in North Pacific
(Chongqing Climate Center, Chongqing 401147)
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投稿时间:2010-05-27    修订日期:2010-12-13
中文摘要: 运用NCEP/NCAR全球高度场再分析资料、美国NOAA全球海温资料以及重庆34个站春播期间降水资料,对重庆春播期间降水特征及其与前期秋季海温场的关系进行分析。结果表明:重庆春播期间降水与前期秋季北太平洋暖流附近(20°~40°N、165°E~140°W)的海温有显著负相关关系,而与北太平洋阿拉斯加暖流附近(40°~60°N、165°E~140°W)的海温则有显著正相关关系,即南、北海温呈现相反的相关性。当前期秋季北太平洋副热带地区海温异常偏高,中高纬度地区海温异常偏低时,后期重庆春播期间降水将异常偏多;反之,北太平洋副热带地区海温异常偏低,中高纬度地区海温异常偏高时,重庆春播期间降水将异常偏少。针对秋季北太平洋南、北海温异常的反相分布特征定义了用于诊断和预测重庆春播期间降水的判别指数,该指数代表了北太平洋海温异常南北反相的分布特征。该前期判别指数具有重要的天气气候学意义和一定的指示和预测能力。其代表的北太平洋海温异常与西太平洋区域500 hPa高度场有密切联系,其可使大气环流场产生持续性的异常,大气环流的异常特征能一直持续到春播期间,将影响重庆春播期间降水变化。
Abstract:Using the monthly mean reanalysis data of the NCEP/NCAR, and the data of monthly mean SST by NOAA during 1961 to 2008, and the precipitation in spring in Chongqing from 1961 to 2008, the relationship between the spring rainfall in Chongqing and the early autumn SST is analyzed. The result shows that a close negative/positive correlation exists between the spring rainfall in Chongqing and the early autumn SST in the neighborhood of the North Pacific drift (20°-40°N,165°E-140°W)/Alaska current (40°-60°N,165°E-140°W), respectively. When the early autumn SST of the subtropical North Pacific Ocean is anomalously high, and that of middle high latitudes is anomalously low, then the spring rainfall in Chongqing is more. On the other hand, when the early autumn SST of the subtropical North Pacific Ocean is anomalously low, 〖JP2〗and that of middle high latitudes is anomalously high, then the spring rainfall in Chongqing is less. A discriminate index for diagnosing and forecasting the spring rainfall is defined according to the correlation distribution characteristics. This index stands for the opposed anomalous SST conditions of the south and north areas in the North Pacific Ocean. It has important synoptic climatological significance, and can diagnose and forecast the spring rainfall in Chongqing. The index leads to the anomalies of eigenvalues of spring 500 hPa height all through, which makes the spring rainfall in Chongqing anomalous.
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基金项目:重庆市气象局科技计划项目“zl 200814”、“zl 200902”联合资助
引用文本:
周浩,程炳岩,罗孳孳,2011.重庆春播期间降水特征及其与北太平洋海温的关系[J].气象,37(9):1134-1139.
Zhou Hao,Cheng Bingyan,Luo Zizi,2011.Analysis of the Characteristics of Spring Precipitation in Chongqing and the Related SSTA in North Pacific[J].Meteor Mon,37(9):1134-1139.