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气象:2016,42(1):1-13
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“东方之星”客轮翻沉事件周边区域风灾现场调查与多尺度特征分析
(1.国家气象中心,北京 100081;2.北京大学,北京 100871;3.南京大学,南京 210093;4.OU CAPS, Norman, OK 73072, USA)
Survey and Multi Scale Characteristics of Wind Damage Caused by Convective Storms in the Surrounding Area of the Capsizing Accident of Cruise Ship “Dongfangzhixing”
(1.National Meteorological Centre, Beijing 100081;2.Peking University, Beijing 100871;3.Nanjing University, Nanjing 210093;4.OU CAPS, Norman, OK 73072, USA)
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投稿时间:2015-09-26    修订日期:2015-11-20
中文摘要: 2015年6月1日21:30左右长江湖北监利段发生“东方之星”客轮翻沉特大事故。本文根据事发周边陆地区域现场天气调查结果,结合卫星和雷达观测资料分析认为,6月1日21:00—21:40左右事发江段和周边区域发生了下击暴流导致的强烈大风灾害,最强风力超过12级,并具有空间分布不连续、多尺度和强灾害时空尺度小等特征。事发周边区域北部受中气旋影响陆地区域(顺星村、老台深水码头、四台村养猪场附近、新沟子养鸡场附近等)灾情较南部阵风锋及其后侧下击暴流影响的陆地区域更为显著。综合雷达观测资料和现场调查资料分析判断多数调查点灾害为显著微下击暴流所致,其中老台深水码头有龙卷发生的可能。导致此次风灾的强对流风暴气流具有显著的多尺度性;事发周边区域北部的四台村养猪场附近树林中同时发生了多条相邻的微下击暴流条迹,呈现出辐散和辐合交替分布的特征,展示了此次强对流风暴中大气运动的复杂分布特点。虽然下击暴流会伴随中小尺度的涡旋特征,但此次现场调查发现的与下击暴流相联系的辐合特征水平尺度仅几十米,远小于弓形回波两端的书挡涡旋或者中涡旋等几千米级的水平尺度。
Abstract:The extraordinarily serious capsizing accident of the cruise ship, named Dongfangzhixing (Eastern Star), occurred at around 21:30 BT 1 June 2015, in the Jianli (Hubei Province) section of the Yangtze River. Based on the results of the wind damage survey with satellite and radar data analyses, this paper presents that the high wind damage was caused by downbursts and one likely tornado over the area surrounding the event occurring site at around 21:00-21:40 BT 1 June, with the most intense Beaufort scale more than level 12, and the characteristics of discontinuous and multiscale spatial distribution and very small spatio temporal scale of the most severe wind damage. The wind damage over the northern land part of the surrounding area (Shunxingcun, Laotai Deep Water Wharf, Sitaicun, Xingouzi) affected by one mesocyclone is more significant than the southern land part behind the gust front and microbursts. It is determined that one likely tornado occurred at Laotai Deep Water Wharf, and the wind damage at other sites was caused by microbursts based on the radar data and damage survey. The flows in the convective storm causing wind damage have obvious multiscale characteristics, and a number of microburst swathes simultaneously occurred at the woods of Sitaicun located in the northern part of the surrounding area, with alternate spatial distribution of divergence and convergence, displaying a feature of the complicated atmospheric motion in the convective storm. Although mesovortices occur within a microburst, the horizontal scale of convergence within the microburst found in this wind damage survey was only tens of meters and far less than the several kilometer horizontal scale of bookend vortices or mesovortices within a bow echo.
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基金项目:国家重点基础研究发展计划(973计划)(2013CB430106)、国家自然科学基金项目(41375051)和公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201406002)共同资助
引用文本:
郑永光,田付友,孟智勇,薛明,姚聃,白兰强,周晓霞,毛旭,王明筠,2016.“东方之星”客轮翻沉事件周边区域风灾现场调查与多尺度特征分析[J].气象,42(1):1-13.
ZHENG Yongguang,TIAN Fuyou,MENG Zhiyong,XUE Ming,YAO Dan,BAI Lanqiang,ZHOU Xiaoxia,MAO Xu,WANG Mingjun,2016.Survey and Multi Scale Characteristics of Wind Damage Caused by Convective Storms in the Surrounding Area of the Capsizing Accident of Cruise Ship “Dongfangzhixing”[J].Meteor Mon,42(1):1-13.