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气象:2013,39(12):1529-1541
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“12.7.21”西南涡极端强降雨的成因分析
(1.重庆市气象台,重庆 401147;2.国家气象中心,北京 100081)
Causes Analysis of the Southwest Vortex Extremely Heavy Rainfall on 21 July 2012
(1.Chongqing Meteorological Observatory, Chongqing 401147;2.National Meteorological Centre, Beijing 100081)
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投稿时间:2012-12-07    修订日期:2013-03-08
中文摘要: 利用常规观测资料、ECMWF分析场、区域自动站、多普勒雷达及SWAN系统产品等资料对2012年7月21日西南涡暴雨过程及盘龙极端强降雨进行分析。分析发现:此次过程是“北槽南涡”形势下,地面冷空气触发西南涡其东侧辐合上升运动强烈发展,高层强辐散,因而产生了对流性暴雨天气过程;冷空气从西侧侵入西南涡是925 hPa “S”形冷锋形成的直接原因,也是地面辐合线形成的重要因素;极端短时强降雨就发生在西南涡东侧中尺度雨带的中部偏北区域,有地面辐合线相配合,降雨最强时MCC冷云中心TBB达最低值。雷达回波表明:西南涡两侧冷暖空气的交绥促进了β中尺度气旋式环流的形成;偏南风低空急流为强降雨提供了充足的水汽,增强了中低层的垂直风切变,有利于强降水超级单体风暴的发展和维持;盘龙的极端短时强降雨是β中尺度气旋式环流中,伴随有深厚中气旋的强降水超级单体风暴在环流中心附近持续发展的结果。
Abstract:Based on conventional observation data, ECMWF analysis field data, regional automatic station data, Doppler radar data, and the products of SWAN etc. the southwest vortex rainstorm process on 21 July 2012 and extreme short time severe rainfall observed at Panlong Station in the process are analyzed. The results indicate that: the rainstorm is triggered by surface cold air which contributes to the development of convergence ascent movement in the east of the southwest vortex and upper level divergence with the backgroud of northern trough and southern vortex. The intrusion of cold air from the west of the southwest vortex, which is also the important factor for the formation of surface convergence line, is the direct cause of the formation of 925 hPa cold front with “S” pattern. Extreme short time severe rainfall occurs in the north to the middle part of mesoscale rainbelt that is in the east of southwest vortex combining with surface convergence line, and meanwhile, TBB reaches the lowest in the center of MCC when the rainfall is the most intensive. The radar echoes show that the intersection of air in the two sides of southwest vortex advances the formation of β meso scale cyclonic circulation. The low level jet stream provides plenty of water vapor and energy conditions for the severe precipitation and reinforces vertical wind shear between middle and lower levels, contributing to the development and sustainment of heavy precipitation supercell storm. The extreme short time precipitation of Panlong Station results from the sustainable development of meso β scale cyclonic circulation associated with deep meso cyclone near the center of meso β scale cyclonic circulation in southwest vortex.
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基金项目:国家自然科学基金面上项目(41175048),公益性行业(气象)科研专项(GYHY201206004),中国气象局预报员专项(CMAYBY2013 055)共同资助
引用文本:
陈贵川,谌芸,张勇,陈鹏,王欢,黎中菊,刘念,翟丹华,龙美希,2013.“12.7.21”西南涡极端强降雨的成因分析[J].气象,39(12):1529-1541.
CHEN Guichuan,CHEN Yun,ZHANG Yong,CHEN Peng,WANG Huan,LI Zhongju,LIU Nian,ZHAI Danhua,LONG Meixi,2013.Causes Analysis of the Southwest Vortex Extremely Heavy Rainfall on 21 July 2012[J].Meteor Mon,39(12):1529-1541.