| WANG Liping,ZHANG Jianfang,LI Yongping,ZHANG Yufang. 2011. A statistical analysis of typhoon frequency and application in design wave height. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, (4):24－32 |
| A statistical analysis of typhoon frequency and application in design wave height |
| A statistical analysis of typhoon frequency and application in design wave height |
| Received:May 19, 2010 Revised:March 16, 2011 |
| DOI：10.1007/s13131-011-0130-7 |
| Key words:discrete maximum entropy compound extreme values typhoon wave heights |
| 中文关键词: discrete maximum entropy compound extreme values typhoon wave heights |
| 基金项目:Open Fund of the Key Laboratory of Research on Marine Hazards Forecasting under contract No. LOMF1101; the National Natural Science Foundation of China under contract No. 40776006; Shanghai Typhoon Research Fund under contract No. 2009ST05. |
| Author Name | Affiliation | E-mail | | WANG Liping | College of Mathematical Science, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266071, China | wlpjsh@163.com | | ZHANG Jianfang | College of Mathematical Science, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266071, China | | | LI Yongping | Shanghai Typhoon Institute, Shanghai 200030, China | | | ZHANG Yufang | College of Mathematical Science, Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266071, China | |
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| Abstract: |
| A typhoon leading is an important natural disaster to many disasters to China. A giant wave caused by it has brought large threat for an offshore project. Based on the maximum entropy principle, one new model which has 4 undetermined parameters is constructed, which is called the discrete maximum entropy probabilistic model. In practical applications, the design wave height is considered as soon as possible in a typhoon affected sea areas, the result fits the observed data well. Further more this model does not have the priority compared with other distributions as Poisson distribution. The model provides a theoretical basis for the engineering design more reasonable when considering typhoon factors comprehensively. |
| 中文摘要: |
| A typhoon leading is an important natural disaster to many disasters to China. A giant wave caused by it has brought large threat for an offshore project. Based on the maximum entropy principle, one new model which has 4 undetermined parameters is constructed, which is called the discrete maximum entropy probabilistic model. In practical applications, the design wave height is considered as soon as possible in a typhoon affected sea areas, the result fits the observed data well. Further more this model does not have the priority compared with other distributions as Poisson distribution. The model provides a theoretical basis for the engineering design more reasonable when considering typhoon factors comprehensively. |
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