| 摘要: |
| 中国与冈比亚建交历史悠久，中国与冈比亚开展过洋性渔业合作属于资源导向型境外投资，即中国获得官方许可在冈比亚专属经济区开发利用海洋渔业资源，带动相关产业联动发展。冈比亚是“一带一路”沿线的重要非洲国家之一，对我国拓展海洋发展空间、构建蓝色伙伴关系具有重要意义。文章对中国与冈比亚过洋性渔业合作进行风险评价，研析合作过程中可能涉及的风险因素；结合模糊综合评判法，构建中国与冈比亚过洋性渔业合作风险预警模型，厘清风险因素的主次关系。研究结果表明：中国与冈比亚过洋性渔业合作风险系数属于中等偏上，即存在较大风险；合作风险因素的影响程度由大到小依次为主体风险因素、生产风险因素、市场风险因素、技术风险因素、政策风险因素。根据相关研究结果，提出促进中国与冈比亚过洋性渔业合作有序健康发展的对策建议，有针对性地规避和防范风险。 |
| 关键词: 过洋性渔业 模糊综合评判法 合作风险 国际渔业合作 远洋渔业 |
| DOI：10.20016/j.cnki.hykfygl.2023.06.001 |
| 投稿时间：2022-11-10修订日期：2023-06-11 |
| 基金项目:国家重点研发计划项目（2020YFD0901205、2019YFD0901505）；浙江省重点研发计划项目（2018C02026）. |
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| Risk Assessment of Trans-oceanic Fishery Cooperation Between China and Gambia：Based on fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method |
| GE Hui,TANG Jianhua,LI Dewei,GUO Ai,SHI Jinjin,ZHU Wenbin |
| Jiangsu Institute of Oceanography and Fisheries;Zhejiang Institute of Oceanography and Fisheries |
| Abstract: |
| China and Gambia have a long history of diplomatic relations. The maritime fishery cooperation between China and Gambia is an overseas investment of resource guide, which is an industrial cooperation that develops and utilizes marine fishery resources in the exclusive economic zone of Gambia with official permission and promotes the interconnected development of relevant industries. Gambia is one of the important African countries along the Belt and Road Initiative, which is of great significance for China to expand its maritime development space and build a “blue partnership”. The paper conducted a risk assessment of trans-oceanic fishery cooperation between China and Gambia, and analyzed the possible risk factors involved in the cooperation process. Combined with the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, built China and Gambia trans-oceanic fishery cooperation risk early warning model, to clarify the risk factors of primary and secondary relations. The results showed that the risk coefficient of trans-oceanic fishery cooperation between the two countries was above medium, and there was a great risk. The degree of impact of the risk factor, in descending order, was main risk factor, production risk factor, market risk factor, technology risk factor, policy risk factor. According to the results, the countermeasures and suggestions conducive to the orderly and healthy development of transoceanic fishery cooperation between the two countries were put forward to avoid the risks. |
| Key words: Trans-oceanic fishery,Fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method,Cooperative risk,International fisheries cooperation,Pelagic fishery |
