›› 2010, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (5): 1633-1637.

• Numerical Analysis • Previous Articles     Next Articles

Research on nonlinear time series evolution statistic model of high slope displacements

TAN Xiao-long 1, 2, XU Wei-ya 1, 2, LIANG Gui-lan1, MENG Yong-dong3, ZHANG Jin-long1   

  1. 1. Geotechnical Research Institute, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China; 2. Key Laboratory of Ministry of Education for Geomechanics and Embankment Engineering, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China; 3. School of Civil and Hydroelectric Power Engineering, China Three Gorges University, Yichang Hubei, 443002, China
  • Received:2008-12-30 Online:2010-05-10 Published:2010-05-24

PDF (Chinese)

2903

Abstract:

Based on long term displacement monitoring data of high rock slope, the factors of slope displacement are presented firstly. Then the monitoring model for high rock slope, called nonlinear time series evolution statistic monitoring model is established. It is also applied to the high slope project of Jinping Hydropower Station. Time-effect and rainfall are assumed as two main factors of high slope displacement; and their formulas are also presented through the analysis of long term monitoring data. The parameters of the monitoring model are obtained by the nonlinear regression technique on the platform of Matlab. Meanwhile the monitoring model is improved by using ARMA method to fit and predict the residual of regression of slope displacement. The result shows that the monitoring model can characterize the behavior of high slope displacement and has a reliable fitting and predicting precision.

Key words: high slope displacement, nonlinearity, time series evolution statistic model, ARMA model

CLC Number: 

  • TU 471
[1] LI Jing-jing, KONG Ling-wei, . Creep properties of expansive soil under unloading stress and its nonlinear constitutive model [J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2019, 40(9): 3465-3475.
[2] MA Qiu-feng, QIN Yue-ping, ZHOU Tian-bai, YANG Xiao-bin. Mechanical properties and constitutive model of porous rock under loading and unloading [J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2019, 40(7): 2673-2685.
[3] LI Lin, LI Jing-pei, SUN De-an, GONG Wei-bing , . Nonlinear load-settlement analysis of pile groups considering pile installation effects [J]. Rock and Soil Mechanics, 2019, 40(2): 668-677.
[4] LI Hai-li, ZHANG Chen-rong, LU Kai,. Nonlinear analysis of response of buried pipelines induced by tunneling [J]. , 2018, 39(S1): 289-296.
[5] ZHU Jiao, XU Han-gang, CHEN Guo-xing, . Comparison of 1D equivalent-linear and nonlinear seismic site responses for quaternary deep sediment layers in Suzhou region [J]. , 2018, 39(4): 1479-1490.
[6] ZOU De-gao, LIU Suo, CHEN Kai, KONG Xian-jing, YU Xiang,. Static and dynamic analysis of seismic response nonlinearity for geotechnical engineering using quadtree mesh and polygon scaled boundary finite element method [J]. , 2017, 38(S2): 33-40.
[7] LI Bin , LIU Yan-zhang , LIN Kun-feng,. Application scope of nonlinear Mohr-Coulomb criterion and its modification [J]. , 2016, 37(3): 637-646.
[8] CAO Wen-gui, ZHANG Chao, HE Min, LIU Tao. Deformation simulation of brittle rock based on micromechanical properties [J]. , 2016, 37(10): 2753-2760.
[9] LI Wen-tao, MA Tian-tian, WEI Chang-fu. An efficient finite element procedure for unsaturated flow based on adaptive relaxed Picard method [J]. , 2016, 37(1): 256-262.
[10] WU Fei , LIU Jian-feng , WU Zhi-de , BIAN Yu , ZHOU Zhi-wei，. Fractional nonlinear creep constitutive model of salt rock [J]. , 2014, 35(S2): 162-167.
[11] CAO Jing, DING Wen-yun, ZHAO Dang-shu, SONG Zhi-gang, LIU Hai-ming. Time series forecast of foundation pit deformation based on LSSVM-ARMA model [J]. , 2014, 35(S2): 579-586.
[12] KE Han , GUO Cheng , CHEN Yun-min , LING Dao-sheng , PAN Yi，. A nonlinear constitutive model for municipal solid waste considering effects of degradation [J]. , 2014, 35(5): 1217-1223.
[13] WANG Xin-gang ，HU Bin ，LIAN Bao-qin ，ZHU Kai ，YU Hong-ming，. Granite shear rheological constitutive research of Bangpu mining area in Tibet and its excavation slope stability analysis for a long time [J]. , 2014, 35(12): 3496-3502.
[14] LIN Peng ，LI Shu-cai，ZHANG Qian-qing ，LI Li-ping ，ZHANG Qian，. Development of software for nonlinear analysis of single pile response based on load transfer method and its application [J]. , 2013, 34(S2): 375-382.
[15] CHEN Peng-yu ，QIAO Jing-shun ，PENG Zu-wu ，XIE Kai ，YU Hong-ming . Screening of debris flow risk factors and risk evaluation based on rank correlation [J]. , 2013, 34(5): 1409-1415.
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited
  Shared   
  Discussed   
[1] TAO Gan-qiang, YANG Shi-jiao, REN Feng-yu. Experimental research on granular flow characters of caved ore and rock[J]. , 2009, 30(10): 2950 -2954 .
[2] ZHANG Wen-jie，CHEN Yum-min. Pumping tests and leachate drawdown design in a municipal solid waste landfill[J]. , 2010, 31(1): 211 -215 .
[3] GONG Wei-li, AN Li-qian, ZHAO Hai-yan, MAO Ling-tao. Multiple scale characterization of CT image for coal rock fractures based on image description[J]. , 2010, 31(2): 371 -376 .
[4] WAN Zhi, DONG Hui, LIU Bao-chen. On choice of hyper-parameters of support vector machines for time series regression and prediction with orthogonal design[J]. , 2010, 31(2): 503 -508 .
[5] WANG Ming-nian, GUO Jun, LUO Lu-sen, Yu Yu, Yang Jian-min, Tan Zhon. Study of critical buried depth of large cross-section loess tunnel for high speed railway[J]. , 2010, 31(4): 1157 -1162 .
[6] HU Yong-gang, LUO Qiang, ZHANG Liang, HUANG Jing, CHEN Ya-mei. Deformation characteristics analysis of slope soft soil foundation treatment with mixed-in-place pile by centrifugal model tests[J]. , 2010, 31(7): 2207 -2213 .
[7] TAN Feng-yi, Jiang Zhi-quan, Li Zhong-qiu, YAN Hui-he. Application of additive mass method to testing compacted density of filling material in Kunming new airport[J]. , 2010, 31(7): 2214 -2218 .
[8] CHAI Bo, YIN Kun-long, XIAO Yong-jun. Characteristics of weak-soft zones of Three Gorges Reservoir shoreline slope in new Badong county[J]. , 2010, 31(8): 2501 -2506 .
[9] YANG Zhao-liang, SUN Guan-hua, ZHENG Hong. Global method for stability analysis of slopes based on Pan’s maximum principle[J]. , 2011, 32(2): 559 -563 .
[10] WANG Guang-jin，YANG Chun-he ，ZHANG Chao，MA Hong-ling，KONG Xiang-yun ，HO. Research on particle size grading and slope stability analysis of super-high dumping site[J]. , 2011, 32(3): 905 -913 .
Copyright © Rock and Soil Mechanics, All Rights Reserved.
Tel: 027-87198484, 87199252, 87199253, 87198752　E-mail: ytlx@whrsm.ac.cn
Powered by Beijing Magtech Co. Ltd