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Evaluation of numerical earthquake forecasting models
Authors:Zhongliang Wu
Affiliation:Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100036, China
Abstract:Evaluation of numerical earthquake forecasting models needs to consider two issues of equal importance: the application scenario of the simulation, and the complexity of the model. Criterion of the evaluation-based model selection faces some interesting problems in need of discussion.
Keywords:numerical earthquake forecasting  model selection  Akaike information criteria (AIC)
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