| 应用动态时变参数多层递阶法进行地震预报研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨立明,郭大庆,石特临.应用动态时变参数多层递阶法进行地震预报研究[J].西北地震学报,1993(3). |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨立明 郭大庆 石特临 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家地震局兰州地震研究所
(杨立明，郭大庆)，国家地震局兰州地震研究所(石特临) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文研究了动态时变参数多层递阶法的原理及其在地震预报中应用的具体实施步骤。该方法充分考虑了系统的时变特性,使内符精度较高,在较小的震级误差范围内一步预报结果与实际情况相吻合。因此该方法有一定的应用价值,值得进一步推广。
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| 关 键 词： | 时变参数多层递阶法 震级预报 单项手段预报 |
EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RESEARCH USING THE DYNAMIC- VARIABLE PARAMETER-MULTI HIERARCHIC METHOD |
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| Yang Liming,Guo Daqing,Shi Telin.EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RESEARCH USING THE DYNAMIC- VARIABLE PARAMETER-MULTI HIERARCHIC METHOD[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,1993(3). |
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| Authors: | Yang Liming Guo Daqing Shi Telin |
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| Abstract: | This paper deals with a new principle of the dynamic- variable parameter-multi hierarchic method and its specific implement step in earthquake prediction. The variable parameter with time is considered in the method. The difference of the imitative value calculated by the method from reality is very small. One step- prediction by the method is identical with the reality in a few range of error. So this method is of certain applicable value. |
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| Keywords: | Method of Dynamic-Variable Parameter-Multi Hierarchic Magnitude Prediction Single Disciplinary Prediction |
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