| 洪水频率分析HSPPC模型应用研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐宗学,曾光明.洪水频率分析HSPPC模型应用研究[J].水科学进展,1992,3(3):174-180. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐宗学 曾光明 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.清华大学水利系 北京 100084; |
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| 摘 要： | 以复合随机点过程为依据,针对洪水风险率HSPPB模型之不足,结合洪水的超定量多次选样序列,探讨了一类新的洪水频率分析模型——HSPPC模型.结合长江中上游百余年的实测洪水和近千年的调查历史洪水资料,用HSPPC模型对某水利枢纽工程的洪水频率进行了计算分析.结果表明,HSPPC模型是一种切实可行的洪水频率分析模型,与传统的模型相比,在应用上具有更大的灵活性和适用性.
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| 关 键 词： | 洪水频率分析HSPPC模型 随机点过程 不确定性 风险率 |
| 收稿时间： | 1990-05-11 |
A Flood Frequency HSPPC Model and its Application |
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| Xu Zongxue,Zeng Guangming.A Flood Frequency HSPPC Model and its Application[J].Advances in Water Science,1992,3(3):174-180. |
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| Authors: | Xu Zongxue Zeng Guangming |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Tsinghua University;2.Hunan University |
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| Abstract: | Based on the flood exceeded series, a kind of flood frequency model-HSPPC model is developed by using the compound stochastic point process theory to be aimed at the shortcomings of flood risk HSPPB model. Combined with the measured flood data in hundred years and investigated flood data in thousand years in the middle and upper areas of the Yangtze River, the flood frequency of a large-scale water conservancy project is calculated and analyzed by using the HSPPC model. The result shows that HSPPC model is a kind of suitable one for flood frequency analysis, which is more flexible and more adaptable as compared with the traditional flood risk model. |
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| Keywords: | flood frequency HSPPC model stochastic point process uncertainty risk |
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