| 区域水安全战略的研究进展 |
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| 引用本文： | 邱德华.区域水安全战略的研究进展[J].水科学进展,2005,16(2):305-312. |
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| 作者姓名： | 邱德华 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.河海大学, 江苏, 南京, 210098; |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了区域水安全所面临的问题及其挑战,总结了国内外区域水安全战略研究和实践的现状,阐述了研究的发展趋势以及需进一步解决的问题。研究指出:在21世纪,区域社会经济发展与水安全之间的互动影响将更加紧密,运用现代战略思维理论和系统动力学仿真方法,在对区域进行系统动态仿真分析和检验评价的基础上选择科学合理的水安全战略,是一个具有重要现实意义和重大理论价值的研究课题。
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| 关 键 词： | 水安全战略 动态仿真 系统动力学 区域发展 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-6791(2005)02-0305-08 |
| 收稿时间： | 2004-07-15 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年7月15日 |
Research advances in regional water security strategy |
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| QIU De-hua.Research advances in regional water security strategy[J].Advances in Water Science,2005,16(2):305-312. |
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| Authors: | QIU De-hua |
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| Affiliation: | 1.Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;2.Guangdong Provincial Department of Water Resources, Guangzhou 510150, China |
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| Abstract: | In the paper,the problems of regional water security and the concerned challenges are analyzed,the research and practice of regional water security strategies at home and abroad are summarized,and the tendency of the future study as well as the questions in need of further research are expounded.The paper suggests that the interaction between the social and economic development and the water security in a region will be still closer in the 21 century,and that,with the help of the modern strategic theory of thinking and the simulation methodology of systematic dynamics,both applied to the systematic and dynamic simulation and appraisal in a region,the scientific option of the reasonable water security strategy will be a valuable project with practical significance and theoretical value research. |
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| Keywords: | water security strategy dynamic simulation system dynamics regional development |
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