| 载水数值模式的实时预报试验 |
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| 引用本文： | 徐幼平,夏大庆,钱越英.载水数值模式的实时预报试验[J].应用气象学报,1996,7(3):257-266. |
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| 作者姓名： | 徐幼平 夏大庆 钱越英 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.北京应用气象研究所 |
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| 摘 要： | 该文对载水数值模式进行了持续56天的实时预报试验，并对模式的常规预报和云场预报结果进行检验和分析。试验表明，模式运行稳定可靠；载水数值模式有能力合理而比较正确地预报大气中各种水物质的分布及随时间变化，预报云系、云团的宏、微观结构和云物理特征；与此同时，其形势预报及以降水为代表的要素预报能力，亦不低于一般的常规预报模式。
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| 关 键 词： | 载水 数值模式 预报试验 |
The Real-time Forecasting Experiments with the Water-bearing Numerical Model |
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| Xu Youping,Xia Daqing,Qian Yueying.The Real-time Forecasting Experiments with the Water-bearing Numerical Model[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,1996,7(3):257-266. |
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| Authors: | Xu Youping Xia Daqing Qian Yueying |
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| Affiliation: | 1.(Beijing Institute of Applied Meteorology, Beijing 100029) |
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| Abstract: | By using the water-bearing numerical model, the real-time forecasting experiments were made from June to July of 1994. The results of conventional and cloud field forecasts were examined and analysed. The results show that: (1 ) the running of the water-bearingnumerical model is stable and reliable, (2) the model has the capability to forecast the distributions of all kinds of water substances and their variations with time, and to forecast the macro and micro-structures of cloud systems and cloud clusters and their cloud physical characteristics, and (3) the forecasting capabilities for weather patterns and meteorological elements, especially for precipitation, are comparable to the conventional forecasting models. |
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| Keywords: | Water-bearing Numerical model Forecasting experiment |
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