| 用Jenkinson法推算山东年最大日雨量重现期值的初探 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈建昌,郭化文.用Jenkinson法推算山东年最大日雨量重现期值的初探[J].应用气象学报,1995,6(4):486-491. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈建昌 郭化文 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.泰安市气象局，泰山联合大学，中国气象科学研究院，泰安市气象局 |
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| 摘 要： | 该文简要介绍用Jenkinson法计算山东地区的年最大日雨量不同的重现期值，得到初步结果:13个台拟合较佳，3个台拟合较差。笔者认为要得到较为符合实际的结果，除了要继续探讨应用其它统计理论分布来求算年最大日雨量重现期值外，还应考虑与物理因子放大法结合起来互为修正。
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| 关 键 词： | Jenkinson法 重现期值 年最大日雨量 |
Preliminary Study of Annual Maximum Diurnal Precipitation for Reappearance Periods in Shandong Province with Jenkinson Method |
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| Chen Jianchang,Yao Shengxian,Guo Huawen.Preliminary Study of Annual Maximum Diurnal Precipitation for Reappearance Periods in Shandong Province with Jenkinson Method[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,1995,6(4):486-491. |
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| Authors: | Chen Jianchang Yao Shengxian Guo Huawen |
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| Affiliation: | 1.1) (Taian Meteorological Bureau, Taian 271000); 2) (Taishan United College, Taian 271000); 3) (Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081) |
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| Abstract: | The paper briefly introduces the Jenkinson method for estimating annual naximumdiurnal precipitation in various reappearance periods. The results show that the fittingrates in 13 of 16 weather stations are better and other three stations worse. It issuggested that in order to get more accurate values, the physical factor amplifiedmethod besides various statistical methods should taken into consideration tomodifying for each other. |
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| Keywords: | Jenkinson method Reappearance period values Annual maximun diurnal precipitation |
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