| 国家气象中心集合数值预报业务系统的发展及应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 李泽椿,陈德辉.国家气象中心集合数值预报业务系统的发展及应用[J].应用气象学报,2002,13(1):1-15. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李泽椿 陈德辉 |
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| 作者单位： | 国家气象中心 北京 100081 |
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| 基金项目： | “8 6 3”项目“基于神威巨型计算机的集合数值预报系统研究”ZD 1 1 0 3 0 2 0 2课题的资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 介绍集合数值预报的基本概念，简要回顾国家气象中心的集合数值预报系统的开发过程，并概述了国家气象中心现有的中期集合数值预报业务系统的组成、集合数值预报产品的解释与应用、集合数值预报的未来发展趋势。
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| 关 键 词： | 集合数值预报 系统 解释应用 气象中心 |
| 收稿时间： | 2001-05-25 |
The Development and Application of the Operational Ensemble Prediction System at National Meteorological Center |
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| Li,Zechun,Chen,Dehui.The Development and Application of the Operational Ensemble Prediction System at National Meteorological Center[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,2002,13(1):1-15. |
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| Authors: | Li Zechun Chen Dehui |
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| Affiliation: | National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081 |
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| Abstract: | The basic concepts of the Ensemble Prediction System (EPS) are addressed. A brief review is given on the development and implementation of the operational EPS at National Meteorological Center (NMC): the main components and their functions of the EPS/NMC, the interpretation of the EPS' products and the routine uses in the Weather Forecast Offices (WFO). The future development issues of the EPS, the national-wide uses of the EPS products in the provincial WFO over China are discussed. |
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| Keywords: | Numerical ensemble prediction Operational system Interpretation of the model output products National meteorological center |
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