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The extreme Arctic warm anomaly in November 2020
Authors:Qiyao Fan  Xinping Xu  Shengping He  Botao Zhou
Affiliation:1. Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China;2. Geophysical Institute, University of Bergen and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway;3. Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway;4. Nansen-Zhu International Research Center, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China
Abstract:In November 2020, the eastern Arctic experienced an extensive extreme warm anomaly (i.e., the second strongest case since 1979), which was followed by extreme cold conditions over East Asia in early winter. The observed Arctic warm anomaly in November 2020 was able to extend upwards to the upper troposphere, characterized as a deep Arctic warm anomaly. In autumn 2020, substantial Arctic sea-ice loss that exceeded the record held since 1979, accompanied by increased upward turbulent heat flux, was able to strongly warm the Arctic. Furthermore, there was abundant northward moisture transport into the Arctic from the North Atlantic, which was the strongest in the past four decades. This extreme moisture intrusion was able to enhance the downward longwave radiation and strongly contribute to the warm conditions in the Arctic. Further analysis indicated that the remote moisture intrusion into the Arctic was promoted by the large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns, such as the wave train propagating from the midlatitude North Atlantic to the Arctic. This process may have been linked to the warmer sea surface temperature in the midlatitude North Atlantic.摘要2020年11月北极东部显著偏暖, 表面气温暖异常为1979年以来第二强, 且北极表层偏暖可以延伸至对流层上层. 本文进一步研究了此次北极极端偏暖的可能原因. 2020年秋季北极海冰大幅减少, 11月从北大西洋向北极的水汽输送显著增加, 且二者的变化幅度均超过了1979年以来的最高纪录, 进而导致北极出现极端暖异常. 此外, 从中纬度向北极的Rossby波传播有利于向极水汽输送增加, 且此过程可能与北大西洋中纬度海温异常有关.
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