Changes in air pollutants during the COVID-19 lockdown in Beijing:Insights from a machine-learning technique and implications for future control policy |
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| Authors: | Jiabao Hu Yuepeng Pan Yuexin He Xiyuan Chi Qianqian Zhang Tao Song Weishou Shen |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Collaborative Innovation Centre of Atmospheric Environment and Equipment Technology, Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment Monitoring and Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science andEngineering, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, China;2. State Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Boundary Layer Physics and Atmospheric Chemistry (LAPC), Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China;3. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China;4. National Meteorological Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China;5. National Satellite Meteorological Center, China Meteorological Administration, Beijing, China |
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| Abstract: | The COVID-19 lockdowns led to abrupt reductions in human-related emissions worldwide and had an unintended impact on air quality improvement.However,quantifying this impact is difficult as meteorological conditions may mask the real effect of changes in emissions on the observed concentrations of pollutants.Based on the air quality and meteorological data at 35 sites in Beijing from 2015 to 2020,a machine learning technique was applied to decouple the impacts of meteorology and emissions on the concentrations of air pollutants.The results showed that the real("deweathered")concentrations of air pollutants(expect for O3)dropped significantly due to lockdown measures.Compared with the scenario without lockdowns(predicted concentrations),the observed values of PM2.5,PM10,SO2,NO2,and CO during lockdowns decreased by 39.4％,50.1％,51.8％,43.1％,and 35.1％,respectively.In addition,a significant decline for NO2 and CO was found at the background sites(51％and 37.8％)rather than the traffic sites(37.1％and 35.5％),which is different from the common belief.While the primary emissions reduced during the lockdown period,episodic haze events still occurred due to unfavorable meteorological conditions.Thus,developing an optimized strategy to tackle air pollution in Beijing is essential in the future. |
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| Keywords: | Random forest model Air pollutants Meteorological normalization COVID-19 Emission control strategy |
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