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1.
Usually,because of the Starkbroadening for the spectrum lines,the half widths of hydrogen higher Balmer emission lines of the solar flare increase with the principal quantum number N. Their variation curve,as observed before,has a minimum value near N=8 or 9. However,a curve for the solar flare which occurred at the limb of solar disk on June 12,1982shows an all-time decline with increasing N. How to explain this phenomena remains to be discussed.  相似文献   

2.
Two parameters,the smoothed sunspot numbers in the eleventh month during rising phase of the current cycle and the length month of the minimum period (R<14),are selected to predict the maximum-value of sunspot number of cycle 23 in this paper. The predicted maximum-values of smoothed sunspot number are 115<Ri<149 and 114<Ri<146 also predicted by statistical method. The peak-time will be from September,1999 to March,2000,and the end-time will be from August,2006 to April,2008.  相似文献   

3.
A Solar and interplanetary observational system composed of two artificial planets and the earth is suggested for the solar-terrestrial study and prediction.The two planets should move along the earth's orbit around the sun. The angle distance between the two planets and between them with the earth is 120°. This system can be used to improve greatly the short-term,midiu-mterm solar activity predictions and monitor an earth-toward coronal mass ejection,giving an accurate warning of a solar-terrestrial disturbance. Observational data obtained by this system would be very useful in a model work of solar wind and an evolution study of structures in solar atmosphere such as solar active regions and magnetic fields with various scales.  相似文献   

4.
In the paper,the effects of short-term prediction techniques of solar activity of the World Warning Agency (W) and Beijing Astronomical Observatory in 1970s(B7) and 1990s(B9) were analyzed statistically by the standard of the effects of the persistance prediction technique(CH) in the same periods of time. A Q-index evaluating effects of prediction has been put forward;the index indicates the synthesis of positive effects of correct forecasts and negative effects of false forecasts. Against the persistence prediction (CH),the effects of WWA prediction (W),BAO prediction using 1970s' technique (B7) and 1990s' technique (B9) during the same periods of time as (CH) have been evaluated by the Q-index. Based on the above,we have advanced a concrete scientific way to improve the short-term prediction technique. Especially,we have raised that in order to improve prediction technique,the results of persistence prediction should become the basic component of short-term prediction of solar activity;namely,present prediction of forecasting the levels of solar activity should be transformed to forecast the coming change of solar activity levels with the aim of using the effects of persistence prediction fully.  相似文献   

5.
The article analysizes the current situation and opportunity of the development of radioheliograph in China. It provides an idea to construct the radioheliograph by three stepsfrom small sized,to middle sized,then tobig sized. Each step is to construct a complete radioheliograph. The article also analysizes some important technical performance,such as diameter of element antenna,overall pointing error and observing frequency.  相似文献   

6.
In this paper we introduce the results of our investigations for some new methods of the automatic observation forecastdata processing and research,IncludingAutomatic forecast and capture of solar flare events;A method in drawing light curves of solar flares with high accuracy;A method for the automatic observation of solar active regions etc.  相似文献   

7.
A correlation between the coronal mass ejection(CME) and the meter wavelength radio bursts is analyzed in this paper. It is found that type and type bursts have very good correlation with CME. Noise storms occur several tens minutes before the onset of the moving type bursts. A sudden stop of noise storms can be used as a sign to foresee the possibility of a following CME. The three kinds of the moving type also introduced in this present papersolated source type,the expanding-arc moving type and the advancing front type.  相似文献   

8.
In this paper,5 proton events and corresponding active regions in the descending phase of Solar Cycle 22(19931995) are analysed. The result shows that (1)The proton flares in 19931995 occurred mainly in the longitudy zone of 140270 degree. (2)4 of 5 events (80%) studied have their small magnetic fluxes to disappear in their magnetic flux regions with a major polarity,one day before the event. (3)It is 60% of the event studied to show characteristic of the merging of 2 or greater than 2 magnetic fluxes with similar polarity in their active regions,one day before of the proton event. The results are possibly useful for the short-term prediction of proton events.  相似文献   

9.
Using the characteristic values of sunspot number variations during the descent and ascent of solar cycles,a neural network is designed to make long-term predications of the ascending period and the maximum smoothed monthly mean sunspot number for the Solar Cycle 23. Moreover,the factor of geomagnetic disturbance is also added as an input. The trained and tested results from Solar Cycle 12 to 22 have been obtained. Finally,the predictions of the ascending period and the maximum smoothed monthly mean sunspot number are given for Solar Cycle 23.  相似文献   

10.
空间天气学   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
Birth and new characteristics of Space Weatherand its basethree kind of the global structure are briefly presented in this paper,respectively.  相似文献   

11.
一、一般情况 1989年7月31日到9月9目,在新乡、临潼和乌鲁木齐三点对VLF Omega信号相位变化进行了同时接收。与此同时,乌鲁木齐天文站的太阳色球观测和乌鲁木齐电离层垂测站的电离层探测也同时进行。在这期间,三个VLF信号观测点上同时有记录的太阳活动事件有36次。其中最大的发生在8月15日、16日和17日。特别是8月16日的太阳耀斑造成电离层垂测站的频高图近四个小时内没有回波。  相似文献   

12.
由动力Alfven波沿磁场方向传播的扰动非线性方程,用量纲分析法导出太阳风中Alfven湍流谱. 太阳风中观测到的湍流谱恰是由方程得到谱的特例. 我们提出太阳风中Alfven湍流是一支反向串级的湍流,正向串级的一支湍流已经用于日冕而耗散掉. 理论上提出这支反向的Alfven湍流产生机制是由于动力Alfven波的非线性色散造成的调制不稳定性驱动的.  相似文献   

13.
电离层突发E层与太阳活动的相关性   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4       下载免费PDF全文
通过对195-1990年3个太阳黑子周期期间不同纬度台站的ES层的临界频率f0ES的观测数据进行统计分析,研究了太阳活动对ES层的强度与出现率的影响,主要结果为:f0ES的年平均值在白天与太阳活动呈强正相关,在夜间呈负相关. 同样,ES的出现率的年变化与太阳活动的关系也是白天呈正相关,夜间呈负相关. 进一步分析表明,上述白天ES层临界频率与太阳活动的正相关性的主要贡献来自于常规E层与太阳活动的强烈相关性. 消除了背景E层电子密度的作用后,ES层的强度在白天与太阳活动呈微弱的正相关,在夜间呈负相关,其相关系数有比较规则的周日变化或半日变化.  相似文献   

14.
以IPS速度、光球磁场、K─日冕偏振亮度和卫星实地观测数据为基础,综合生成处于太阳活动上升期的1976年10个太阳周(1643─1652卡林顿周)的源表面高度(R=2.5R,R为太阳半径)和日球空间中(IAU)太阳同质量流量速度谱。结果表明,速度谱存在与太阳活动上升期一致的"三段"结构,且各段分别与不同的磁结构区相对应。  相似文献   

15.
赵新民  李勇 《高原地震》2000,12(4):60-63
野外地震台应用固定式太阳电池组件系统,其太阳能电池组件和蓄电池组件的配置与太阳辐射量,平均发电量,年充电量密切相关,本研究了太阳辐射量,损失量,年充电量,组件串,并联功率计算公式,讨论了太阳能电池及阀控式铅酸蓄电池特点和实际应用情况。  相似文献   

16.
太阳质子事件期间内辐射带质子通量的变化   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文介绍风云一号(B)卫星上的宇宙线成份监测器,在1991年1月30日及31目的耀斑期间及其前后几天,对能量在4-23MeV内的内辐射带质子通量的观测结果,并对这些结果做了详细的分析.结果表明,在这两次耀斑及其所产生的太阳质子事件期间,内辐射带质子通量有显著的变化:在磁漂移壳参量L≥1.64的空间,质子通量显著增强,增幅在40%-200%之间;在L=1.30-1.60的空间,质子通量的增强也较为明显,增幅在20%以上;总的变化趋势是,L越大的地方,质子通量的增强就越显著.质子事件之后,内辐射带质子通量又逐渐回复到质子事件之前平衡结构时的水平.  相似文献   

17.
日食一厄尔尼诺系数及其应用   总被引:24,自引:2,他引:22       下载免费PDF全文
通过比较本世纪以来的厄尔尼诺年和日食资料,发现了高纬(包括极区)日食与厄尔尼诺年之间存在着一定的因果关系。通过定义年日食一厄尔厄诺系数R1和累积日食一厄尔尼诺系数R2后,可以发现当某年的R1≥9或R2≥10.5级时,则当年必为厄尔尼诺年,反之亦然.本文还提出了日食诱发厄尔尼诺现象的热一动力机制,并预测2000年将是一个强厄尔尼诺年.  相似文献   

18.
本文用行星际和地面磁场以及电离层资料,讨论了三次磁暴期间高、中纬电离层电场对太阳风和磁层内变化的响应。 分析表明,当IMF的Bx分量由北向转为南向时,太阳风驱动的磁层对流变化能直接反映出高纬电离层电位的变化。但持续南向的Bx再次增强时,太阳风输入的主要能量耗损于内磁层过程;电离层的响应表现为一个弛豫过程。当Bx由南转北时,环电流的消失对电离层的作用同样有弛豫的特点。此时,驱动电位已撤消,环电流是维持电离层电位的唯一外源。 本文用电路类比及简单模式法结论对上述几种实测情况进行了讨论。  相似文献   

19.
作为太阳风引起的地磁扰动的系统辨识一文的姊妹篇,本文利用参数系统辨识方法,对太阳风-磁层耦合系统做了进一步的探讨.根据地磁扰动机制的理论研究,地磁扰动被认为是太阳风能量耦合进入磁层以及由此引起的一系列磁层内能量的输运和耗散的结果.在此基础上,对太阳风-磁层系统的非线性情况进行了讨论,建立了Dst指数与太阳风参量的非线性函数关系,给出了由此得到的地磁扰动计算结果.同时还利用1967年2月3-12日和1980年12月16-23日的两次事件,对已得到的函数关系进行了验证和讨论.验证结果不仅对模型的合理性、普适性做了很好的说明,也表明这种非线性函数关系作为定量的地磁预报模型,具有一定的可信度和实用性.  相似文献   

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