共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 375 毫秒
1.
李林涛 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2016,74(1):103-113
概述了全球气候模式中云的垂直重叠的处理方法及其辐射物理过程的最新研究进展。从云垂直重叠模型的构造、模型在气候模式中的实现方式,得到与观测一致的云重叠结构所采用的数据和方法、重叠云的辐射传输等方面,给出了针对这一国际研究难点问题的最新研究进展。关于气候模式中云的垂直重叠问题的研究至今已取得了许多成果,表现在:重叠模型上有了更为科学的描述形式(如指数衰减重叠);重叠云的辐射传输也有了更快速的处理方法(如蒙特卡洛独立柱近似)并被广泛应用;连续的三维云遥感观测(如CloudSat/CALIPSO)和云分辨尺度的三维云模式的发展为在气候模式中精确描述云的垂直结构提供了丰富的观测资料和模式数据。但是,气候模式中现有的云重叠结构处理及其辐射传输方法还远不够完善,仍然存在很多没有解决的问题需要在未来进行探索。 相似文献
2.
The general circulation model (GCM) used in this study includes a prognostic cloud scheme and a rather detailed radiation scheme. In a preceding paper, we showed that this model was more sensitive to a global perturbation of the sea surface temperatures than most other models with similar physical parametrization. The experiments presented here show how this feature might depend on some of the cloud modelling assumptions. We have changed the temperature at which the water clouds are allowed to become ice clouds and analyzed separately the feedbacks associated with the variations of cloud cover and cloud radiative properties. We show that the feedback effect associated with cloud radiative properties is positive in one case and negative in the other. This can be explained by the elementary cloud radiative forcing and has implications concerning the use of the GCMs for climate sensitivity studies. 相似文献
3.
B. C. Weare 《Climate Dynamics》2001,17(2-3):143-150
4.
Simulations of subtropical marine low clouds and their radiative properties by nine coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models
participating in the fourth assesment report (AR4) of the intergovernmental panel on climate change (IPCC) are analyzed. Satellite
observations of cloudiness and radiative fluxes at the top of the atmosphere (TOA) are utilized for comparison. The analysis
is confined to the marine subtropics in an attempt to isolate low cloudiness from tropical convective systems. All analyzed
models have a negative bias in the low cloud fraction (model mean bias of −15%). On the other hand, the models show an excess
of cloud radiative cooling in the region (model mean excess of 13 W m−2). The latter bias is shown to mainly originate from too much shortwave reflection by the models clouds rather than biases
in the clear-sky fluxes. These results confirm earlier studies, thus no major progress in simulating the marine subtropical
clouds is noted. As a consequence of the combination of these two biases, this study suggests that all investigated models
are likely to overestimate the radiative response to changes in low level subtropical cloudiness. 相似文献
5.
气候模式中云的垂直重叠假定对模拟的地-气辐射的影响研究 总被引：6，自引：4，他引：2
本文将一种新的可以模拟云的多种垂直重叠假定的随机次网格云产生器 (SCG) 放入NCAR/CAM3气候模式中, 利用该产生器得到云的四种垂直重叠结构, 即最大重叠 (MO)、 随机重叠 (RO)、 最大-随机重叠 (MRO) 以及近年来发展的一般重叠 (GenO), 并以GenO为参照研究了这四种云的重叠结构对模拟的地-气辐射的影响, 为气候模式中云的次网格结构选择提供一定的依据。结果表明, MRO、 MO和RO总云量分别与GenO总云量 (全球平均0.64左右) 偏差约-0.012、 -0.034和0.026, 其中MRO最接近GenO。不同重叠假定对地面接收到的短波辐射通量 (DSR) 的改变显著, 在热带对流区达到16 W/m2以上, 相当于GenO下该地区相应量的8%～12%, 通过了95%信度检验; 在中高纬度低云量大的地区也达到4～8 W/m2。不同重叠假定对大气顶出射长波辐射 (OLR) 的改变比其对短波辐射通量的改变小得多, 在热带对流区有极大值3～4 W/m2。不同的云重叠结构的大气加热率垂直廓线不同, 从而影响大气热力结构, 其中长波加热率差值 (最大约0.1～0.26 K/d) 比短波加热率差值 (最大约0.01～0.025 K/d) 几乎大一个量级, 因此, 长波加热率的变化是影响大气热力层结的主要因素。云重叠假定影响地面和大气顶云辐射强迫, 并通过柱辐射强迫使得整层气柱的能量收支发生变化, 不同纬度变化趋势也不同, 从而系统性地改变地-气系统能量在各纬度地区的分配, 影响所模拟的气候系统的演变。 相似文献
6.
Combining ERBE and ISCCP data to assess clouds in the Hadley Centre, ECMWF and LMD atmospheric climate models 总被引：3，自引：2，他引：3
This study compares radiative fluxes and cloudiness fields from three general circulation models (the HadAM4 version of the
Hadley Centre Unified model, cycle 16r2 of the ECMWF model and version LMDZ 2.0 of the LMD GCM), using a combination of satellite
observations from the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) and the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP).
To facilitate a meaningful comparison with the ISCCP C1 data, values of column cloud optical thickness and cloud top pressure
are diagnosed from the models in a manner consistent with the satellite view from space. Decomposing the cloud radiative effect
into contributions from low-medium- and high-level clouds reveals a tendency for the models' low-level clouds to compensate
for underestimates in the shortwave cloud radiative effect caused by a lack of high-level or mid-level clouds. The low clouds
fail to compensate for the associated errors in the longwave. Consequently, disproportionate errors in the longwave and shortwave
cloud radiative effect in models may be taken as an indication that compensating errors are likely to be present. Mid-level
cloud errors in the mid-latitudes appear to depend as much on the choice of the convection scheme as on the cloud scheme.
Convective and boundary layer mixing schemes require as much consideration as cloud and precipitation schemes when it comes
to assessing the simulation of clouds by models. Two distinct types of cloud feedback are discussed. While there is reason
to doubt that current models are able to simulate potential `cloud regime' type feedbacks with skill, there is hope that a
model capable of simulating potential `cloud amount' type feedbacks will be achievable once the reasons for the remaining
differences between the models are understood.
Received: 23 January 2000 / Accepted: 24 January 2001 相似文献
7.
This study diagnoses the climate sensitivity, radiative forcing and climate feedback estimates from eleven general circulation models participating in the Fifth Phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), and analyzes inter-model differences. This is done by taking into account the fact that the climate response to increased carbon dioxide (CO2) is not necessarily only mediated by surface temperature changes, but can also result from fast land warming and tropospheric adjustments to the CO2 radiative forcing. By considering tropospheric adjustments to CO2 as part of the forcing rather than as feedbacks, and by using the radiative kernels approach, we decompose climate sensitivity estimates in terms of feedbacks and adjustments associated with water vapor, temperature lapse rate, surface albedo and clouds. Cloud adjustment to CO2 is, with one exception, generally positive, and is associated with a reduced strength of the cloud feedback; the multi-model mean cloud feedback is about 33 % weaker. Non-cloud adjustments associated with temperature, water vapor and albedo seem, however, to be better understood as responses to land surface warming. Separating out the tropospheric adjustments does not significantly affect the spread in climate sensitivity estimates, which primarily results from differing climate feedbacks. About 70 % of the spread stems from the cloud feedback, which remains the major source of inter-model spread in climate sensitivity, with a large contribution from the tropics. Differences in tropical cloud feedbacks between low-sensitivity and high-sensitivity models occur over a large range of dynamical regimes, but primarily arise from the regimes associated with a predominance of shallow cumulus and stratocumulus clouds. The combined water vapor plus lapse rate feedback also contributes to the spread of climate sensitivity estimates, with inter-model differences arising primarily from the relative humidity responses throughout the troposphere. Finally, this study points to a substantial role of nonlinearities in the calculation of adjustments and feedbacks for the interpretation of inter-model spread in climate sensitivity estimates. We show that in climate model simulations with large forcing (e.g., 4 × CO2), nonlinearities cannot be assumed minor nor neglected. Having said that, most results presented here are consistent with a number of previous feedback studies, despite the very different nature of the methodologies and all the uncertainties associated with them. 相似文献
8.
Differences in the radiative feedback from clouds account for much of the variation in climate sensitivity amongst General
Circulation Models (GCMs). Therefore metrics of model performance which are demonstrated to be relevant to the cloud response
to climate change form an important contribution to the overall evaluation of GCMs. In this paper we demonstrate an alternative
method for assigning model data to observed cloud regimes obtained from clustering histograms of cloud amount in joint cloud
optical depth—cloud top pressure classes. The method removes some of the subjectivity that exists in previous GCM cloud clustering
studies. We apply the method to ten GCMs submitted to the Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project (CFMIP), evaluate the
simulated cloud regimes and analyse the climate change response in the context of these regimes. We also propose two cloud
regime metrics, one of which is specifically targeted at assessing GCMs for the purpose of obtaining the global cloud radiative
response to climate change. Most of the global variance in the cloud radiative response between GCMs is due to low clouds,
with 47% arising from the stratocumulus regime and 18% due to the regime characterised by clouds undergoing transition from
stratocumulus to cumulus. This result is found to be dominated by two structurally similar GCMs. The shallow cumulus regime,
though widespread, has a smaller contribution and reduces the variance. For the stratocumulus and transition regimes, part
of the variance results from a large model spread in the radiative properties of the regime in the control simulation. Comparison
with observations reveals a systematic bias for both the stratocumulus and transition regimes to be overly reflective. If
this bias was corrected with all other aspects of the response unchanged, the variance in the low cloud response would reduce.
The response of some regimes with high cloud tops differ between the GCMs. These regimes are simulated too infrequently in
a few of the models. If the frequency in the control simulation were more realistic and changes within the regimes were unaltered,
the variance in the cloud radiative response from high-top clouds would increase. As a result, use of observations of the
mean present-day cloud regimes suggests that whilst improvements in the simulation of the cloud regimes would impact the climate
sensitivity, the inter-model variance may not reduce. When the cloud regime metric is calculated for the GCMs analysed here,
only one model is on average consistent with observations within their uncertainty (and even this model is not consistent
with the observations for all regimes), indicating scope for improvement in the simulation of cloud regimes.
Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (doi:) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. 相似文献
9.
冰云和水云对短波辐射性质(消光系数、单次散射反照率及不对称因子)的影响很不相同,应分别计算。Fu-Liou短波辐射方案(以下称Fu-Liou code)就是对冰云和水云分别采用了不同的参数化方案,云的短波辐射性质直接由云的物理性质来确定。因此,Fu-Liou code在云的处理方面物理意义更清晰且很合理。作者将Fu-Liou code引入IAP AGCM-II中,称为Version 2。对当代气候场的模拟结果表明,Version 2的各个物理过程是协调匹配的,且其对气候场的模拟性能是好的,从而为进一步改进IAP AGCM的短波辐射方案提供了很好的模式基础。 相似文献
10.
一维辐射对流模式对云-辐射强迫的数值模拟研究 总被引：1，自引：9，他引：1
利用一维辐射－对流气候模式, 详细研究了云量、云光学厚度以及云高等要素的变化对大气顶和地面太阳短波辐射和红外长波辐射通量以及云的辐射强迫的影响, 给出了计算这些物理量的经验拟合公式。结果表明, 云具有极为重要的辐射－气候效应。云量、云光学厚度以及云高即使只有百分之几的变化, 所带来的辐射强迫也可以与大气二氧化碳浓度加倍所产生的辐射强迫（3.75 W/m2）相比拟。例如, 当分别给它们+3%的扰动时, 即取云量变化0.015, 云光学厚度变化0.27, 以及云高变化0.15 km时（在实际的地球大气中, 这种尺度的变化是完全可能发生的）, 那么,可以得到地气系统的太阳短波辐射强迫-3.10 W/m2以及红外长波辐射强迫-1.77 W/m2, 二者之和为-4.78 W/m2, 已经完全可以抵消大气二氧化碳浓度加倍所产生的辐射强迫。但是, 当云量、云光学厚度以及云高向相反方向产生类似扰动时, 所产生的辐射强迫可能极大地放大二氧化碳浓度增加所产生的增强温室效应。因此, 研究结果揭示出, 不管是为了解释过去的气候变化, 还是预测未来的气候变化, 亟待加强在一个变化了的气候环境（例如地面温度升高）下, 云将发生何种变化的研究。 相似文献
11.
气候系统及模式中反馈机制研究 Ⅰ.研究和方法 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
气候系统中存在着各种各样的气候反馈机制,而气候模式对这些反馈机制描述的差异,正是造成不同模式对同一直接辐射强迫（如二氧化碳加倍）的响应不同的主要原因。因此,只有正确描述气候系统中的各种反馈作用,气候模式才可能用来对未来的气候变化进行预测。为此,本文首先介绍了气候系统及模式反馈机制分析研究时所常用的一些概念,如气候敏感性参数、云辐射强迫等,随后概述了气候模式反馈机制比较分析时常用的各种方法,并指出了这些方法各自的优缺点。而详细的有关气候系统及模式中反馈作用及其机制的分析则在文章的第II部分给出。 相似文献
12.
K. D. Williams M. A. Ringer C. A. Senior M. J. Webb B. J. McAvaney N. Andronova S. Bony J. -L. Dufresne S. Emori R. Gudgel T. Knutson B. Li K. Lo I. Musat J. Wegner A. Slingo J. F. B. Mitchell 《Climate Dynamics》2006,26(2-3):145-165
Most of the uncertainty in the climate sensitivity of contemporary general circulation models (GCMs) is believed to be connected with differences in the simulated radiative feedback from clouds. Traditional methods of evaluating clouds in GCMs compare time–mean geographical cloud fields or aspects of present-day cloud variability, with observational data. In both cases a hypothetical assumption is made that the quantity evaluated is relevant for the mean climate change response. Nine GCMs (atmosphere models coupled to mixed-layer ocean models) from the CFMIP and CMIP model comparison projects are used in this study to demonstrate a common relationship between the mean cloud response to climate change and present-day variability. Although atmosphere–mixed-layer ocean models are used here, the results are found to be equally applicable to transient coupled model simulations. When changes in cloud radiative forcing (CRF) are composited by changes in vertical velocity and saturated lower tropospheric stability, a component of the local mean climate change response can be related to present-day variability in all of the GCMs. This suggests that the relationship is not model specific and might be relevant in the real world. In this case, evaluation within the proposed compositing framework is a direct evaluation of a component of the cloud response to climate change. None of the models studied are found to be clearly superior or deficient when evaluated, but a couple appear to perform well on several relevant metrics. Whilst some broad similarities can be identified between the 60°N–60°S mean change in CRF to increased CO2 and that predicted from present-day variability, the two cannot be quantitatively constrained based on changes in vertical velocity and stability alone. Hence other processes also contribute to the global mean cloud response to climate change. 相似文献
13.
云和辐射 （I）:云气候学和云的辐射作用 总被引：11，自引：0，他引：11
本文介绍与气候变化研究有密切关系的云的辐射作用的有关工作。这一部分从云微物理特性和云粒子光学性质入手，介绍了水云、冰云的太阳和红外辐射特性的理论和实测工作以及云的不均匀性对云辐射特性的影响。此外，还介绍了云气候学及云对辐射收支影响方面的工作。 相似文献
14.
15.
The effect of cirrus clouds on microwave limb radiances 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
This study presents and analyses the first simulations of microwave limb radiances with clouds. They are computed using the 1D unpolarized version of the Atmospheric Radiative Transfer System (ARTS). The study is meant to set a theoretical foundation for using microwave limb measurements for cloud monitoring. Information about clouds is required for the validation of climate models.Limb spectra are generated for the frequency bands of the Millimeter wave Acquisitions for Stratosphere/Troposphere Exchange Research (MASTER) instrument. For these simulations, the radiative transfer equation is solved using the Discrete Ordinate ITerative (DOIT) method, which is briefly described. Single scattering properties for the cloud particles are calculated using the T-matrix method.The impact of various cloud parameters is investigated. Simulated brightness temperatures most strongly depend on particle size, ice mass content and cloud altitude. The impact of particle shape is much smaller, but still significant. Increasing the ice mass content has a similar effect as increasing the particle size; this complicates the prediction of the impact of clouds on microwave radiances without exact knowledge of these cloud parameters. 相似文献
16.
Two microwave radiative transfer models of precipitating cloud are used to simulate the microwave upwelling radiances emerging from precipitating clouds. Comparison of the simulation results shows that significant difference of microwave upwelling radiances exists between these two radiative transfer models. Analysis of these differences in different cloud and precipitation conditions shows that it is complicated but has certain trend for different microwave frequencies. The results may be useful to quantitative rainfall rate retrieval of real precipitating clouds. 相似文献
17.
本文运用CloudSat卫星上搭载的雷达探测数据和AQUA卫星搭载的辐射光谱仪探测数据,选择2007年1月至2010年12月期间,地理位置位于（15°~45°N,145°~165°E）区域内（远海）发生的云场数据开展分析,研究云的物理结构特征与其光谱辐射特性的相互关系。不同光谱波段对云物理结构变化的响应情况各有不同,首先从MODIS光谱仪22个云相关光谱波段中分析并选择出与云物理结构特征密切相关的光谱组合（包含13个波段）,而后开展了这些光谱波段的云辐射特性与云物理结构特征的相互变化关系研究。统计分析表明,在外部大气、地表条件以及太阳入射辐射变化不大情况下,云的结构变化与其光谱辐射变化之间总体存在单调相关关系,物理结构变化不大的云廓线之间其光谱辐射的变化也小,反之也成立,即光谱辐射变化小的云廓线之间物理结构变化也小。从而,对于某些内部物理结构特征未知的云,利用与其光谱辐射特性相近的云结构数据可实现自身垂直结构信息的重建。基于光谱辐射相近则云物理结构很可能相近的特点,本文对未知云场的物理结构重建开展了模拟试验,试验结果表明光谱相近原则匹配物理结构的方法一定程度上能够实现云物理结构的构建,为利用被动遥感数据推测云物理结构特征研究提供参考。 相似文献
18.
Summary Cloud parameters and surface radiative fluxes predicted by regional atmospheric models are directly compared with observations
for a 10-day period in late summer 1995 characterized by predominantly large-scale synoptic conditions. Observations of total
cloud cover and vertical cloud structure are inferred from measurements with a ground-based network of Lidar ceilometers and
IR-radiometers and from satellite observations on a 100 kilometer scale. Ground-based observations show that at altitudes
below 3 km, implying liquid water clouds, there is a considerable portion of optically non-opaque clouds. Vertical distributions
of cloud temperatures simultaneously inferred from the ground-based infrared radiometer network and from satellite can only
be reconciled if the occurrence of optically thin cloud structures at mid- and high tropospheric levels is assumed to be frequent.
Results of three regional atmospheric models, i.e. the GKSS-REMO, SMHI-HIRLAM, and KNMI-RACMO, are quantitatively compared
with the observations. The main finding is that all models predict too much cloud amount at low altitude below 900 hPa, which
is then compensated by an underestimation of cloud amount around 800 hPa. This is likely to be related with the finding that
all models tend to underestimate the planetary boundary layer height. All models overpredict the high-level cloud amount albeit
it is difficult to quantify to what extent due to the frequent presence of optically thin clouds. Whereas reasonably alike
in cloud parameters, the models differ considerably in radiative fluxes. One model links a well matching incoming solar radiation
to a radiatively transparent atmosphere over a too cool surface, another model underpredicts incoming solar radiation at the
surface due to a too strong cloud feedback to radiation, the last model represents all surface radiative fluxes quite well
on average, but underestimates the sensitivity of atmospheric transmissivity to cloud amount.
Received August 31, 2000 Revised March 15, 2001 相似文献
19.
基于CloudSat/CALIPSO卫星资料的青藏高原云辐射及降水的研究进展 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
青藏高原上空的云及其相关联的降水和辐射影响了高原上空非绝热加热的空间结构。2006年卫星发射升空的CloudSat/CALIPSO卫星提供了定量的、完整的云垂直结构信息。本文回顾了国内外基于该资料进行的青藏高原上云宏观和微观结构特征,云与降水相关性,云辐射效应以及模式中的云-辐射问题方面的研究。指出抬升的青藏高原上水汽较少,限制了高原上云的垂直高度,对云层厚度和层数有显著压缩作用。在云量及其季节变化上,单层云的相对贡献大于亚洲季风区的其他区域;夏季对流云比较浅薄,积云发生频率最高,云内滴谱较宽;降水云以积云和卷云为主,云对总降水的贡献随着云层数增多而减小,降水增强时高层冰粒子的密集度趋于紧密;夏季青藏高原地区云的净辐射效应在8 km高度存在一个厚度仅1 km左右但较强的辐射冷却层,而在其下（4~7 km高度之间）为强的辐射加热层。最后展望了未来需要进一步开展的研究。 相似文献
20.
Presented is a review of the radiative properties of ice clouds from three perspectives: light scattering simulations, remote sensing applications, and broadband radiation parameterizations appropriate for numerical models. On the subject of light scattering simulations, several classical computational approaches are reviewed, including the conventional geometric-optics method and its improved forms, the finite-difference time domain technique, the pseudo-spectral time domain technique, the discrete dipole approximation method, and the T-matrix method, with specific applications to the computation of the singlescattering properties of individual ice crystals. The strengths and weaknesses associated with each approach are discussed.With reference to remote sensing, operational retrieval algorithms are reviewed for retrieving cloud optical depth and effective particle size based on solar or thermal infrared(IR) bands. To illustrate the performance of the current solar- and IR-based retrievals, two case studies are presented based on spaceborne observations. The need for a more realistic ice cloud optical model to obtain spectrally consistent retrievals is demonstrated. Furthermore, to complement ice cloud property studies based on passive radiometric measurements, the advantage of incorporating lidar and/or polarimetric measurements is discussed.The performance of ice cloud models based on the use of different ice habits to represent ice particles is illustrated by comparing model results with satellite observations. A summary is provided of a number of parameterization schemes for ice cloud radiative properties that were developed for application to broadband radiative transfer submodels within general circulation models(GCMs). The availability of the single-scattering properties of complex ice habits has led to more accurate radiation parameterizations. In conclusion, the importance of using nonspherical ice particle models in GCM simulations for climate studies is proven. 相似文献