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1.
Tectonically-active gateways between ocean basins have modified ocean circulation over Earth history. Today, the Atlantic and Pacific are directly connected via the Drake Passage, which forms a barrier to the time-mean geostrophic transport between the subtropics and Antarctica. In contrast, during the warm early Cenozoic era, when Antarctica was ice-free, the Drake Passage was closed. Instead, at that time, the separation of North and South America provided a tropical seaway between the Atlantic and Pacific that remained open until the Isthmus of Panama formed in the relatively recent geological past. Ocean circulation models have previously been used to explore the individual impacts of the Drake Passage and the Panama Seaway, but rarely have the two gateways been considered together, and most explorations have used very simple atmospheric models. Here we use a coupled ocean–ice–atmosphere model (GFDL’s CM2Mc), to simulate the impacts of a closed Drake Passage both with and without a Panama Seaway. We find that the climate response to a closed Drake Passage is relatively small when the Panama Seaway is absent, similar to prior studies, although the coupling to a dynamical atmosphere does increase the temperature change. However, with a Panama Seaway, closing Drake Passage has a much larger effect, due to the cessation of deep water formation in the northern hemisphere. Both gateways alter the transport of salt by ocean circulation, with the Panama Seaway allowing fresh Pacific water to be imported to the North Atlantic, and the Drake Passage preventing the flow of saline subtropical water to the circum-Antarctic, a flow that is particularly strong when the Panama Seaway is open. Thus, with a Panama Seaway and a closed Drake Passage, the Southern Ocean tends to be relatively salty, while the North Atlantic tends to be relatively fresh, such that the deep ocean is ventilated from the circum-Antarctic. Ensuing changes in the ocean heat transport drive a bi-polar shift of surface ocean temperatures, and the Intertropical Convergence Zone migrates toward the warmer southern hemisphere. The response of clouds to changes in surface ocean temperatures amplifies the climate response, resulting in temperature changes of up to 9 °C over Antarctica, even in the absence of land-ice feedbacks. These results emphasize the importance of tectonic gateways to the climate history of the Cenozoic, and support a role for ocean circulation changes in the glaciation of Antarctica. 相似文献
2.
This work concerns an analysis of inter-basin and inter-layer exchanges in the component ocean part of the coupled ECHAM4/OPYC3
general circulation model, aimed at documenting the simulation of North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) and related thermohaline
circulations in the Indian and Pacific Oceans. The modeled NADW is formed mainly in the Greenland– Iceland–Norwegian Seas
through a composite effect of deep convection and downward cross-isopycnal transport. The modeled deep-layer outflow of NADW
can reach 16 Sv near 30 °S in the South Atlantic, with the corresponding upper-layer return flow mainly coming from the “cold
water path” through Drake Passage. Less than 4 Sv of the Agulhas “leakage” water contributes to the replacement of NADW along
the “warm water path”. In the South Atlantic Ocean, the model shows that some intermediate isopycnal layers with potential
densities ranging between 27.0 and 27.5 are the major water source that compensate the NADW return flow and enhance the Circumpolar
Deep Water (CDW) flowing from the Atlantic into Indian Ocean. The modeled thermohaline circulations in the Indian and Pacific
Oceans indicate that the Indian Ocean may play the major role in converting deep water into intermediate water. About 16 Sv
of the CDW-originating deep water enters the Indian Ocean northward of 31 °S, of which more than 13 Sv “upwell” mainly near
the continental boundaries of Africa, South Asia and Australia through inter-layer exchanges and return to the Antarctic Circumpolar
Current (ACC) as intermediate-layer water. As a contrast, only 4 Sv of Pacific intermediate water is connected to “upwelling”
flow southward across 31 °S while the magnitude of northward deep flow across 31 °S in the Pacific Ocean is significantly
greater than that in the Indian Ocean. The model suggests that a large portion of the deep waters entering the Pacific Ocean
(about 14 Sv) “upwells” continually into some upper layers through the thermocline, and becomes the source of the Indonesian
throughflow. Uncertainties in these results may be related to the incomplete adjustment of the model’s isopycnal layers and
the sensitivity of the Indonesian throughflow to the model’s geography and topography.
Received: 12 August 1997/Accepted: 12 March 1998 相似文献
3.
Latitudinal heat transport in the ocean and atmosphere represents a fundamental process of the Earth's climate system. The ocean component of heat transport is effected by the thermohaline circulation. Changes in this circulation, and hence latitudinal heat transport, would have a significant effect on global climate. Paleoclimate evidence from the Greenland ice cores and deep sea sediment cores suggests that during much of glacial time the climate system oscillated between two different states. Bimodal equilibrium states of the thermohaline circulation have been demonstrated in climate models. We address the question of the role of the atmospheric hydrological cycle on the global thermohaline circulation and the feedback to the climate system through changes in the ocean's latitudinal heat transport, with a simple coupled ocean-atmosphere energy-salt balance model. Two components of the atmospheric hydrological cycle, i.e., latitudinal water vapor transport and the net flux of water vapor from the Atlantic to the Pacific Ocean appear to play separate roles. If the inter-basin transport is sufficiently large, small changes in water vapor transport over the North Atlantic can effect bifurcation or a rapid transition between two different equilibria in the global thermohaline circulation; maximum difference between the modes occurs in the North Atlantic. If the inter-basin transport is from the Pacific to the Atlantic and sufficiently large, latitudinal vapor transport in the North Pacific controls the bifurcations, with maximum changes occurring in the North Pacific. For intermediate values of inter-basin transport, no rapid transitions occur in either basin. In the regime with vapor flux from the Atlantic to the Pacific, the on mode has strong production of deep water in the North Atlantic and a large flux of heat to the atmosphere from the high latitude North Atlantic. The off mode has strong deep water production in the Southern Ocean and weak production in the North Pacific. Heat transport into the high latitude North Atlantic by the ocean is reduced to about 20% of the on mode value. For estimated values of water vapor transport for the present climate the model asserts that while water vapor transport from the Atlantic to the Pacific Ocean is sufficiently large to make the North Atlantic the dominant region for deep water production, latitudinal water vapor transport is sufficiently low that the thermohaline circulation appears stable, i.e., far from a bifurcation point. This conclusion is supported to some extent by the fact that the high latitude temperature of the atmosphere as recorded in the Greenland ice cores has changed little over the last 9000 years. 相似文献
4.
To understand the influence of the Bering Strait on the World Ocean’s circulation, a model sensitivity analysis is conducted.
The numerical experiments are carried out with a global, coupled ice–ocean model. The water transport through the Bering Strait
is parametrized according to the geostrophic control theory. The model is driven by surface fluxes derived from bulk formulae
assuming a prescribed atmospheric seasonal cycle. In addition, a weak restoring to observed surface salinities is applied
to compensate for the global imbalance of the imposed surface freshwater fluxes. The freshwater flux from the North Pacific
to the North Atlantic associated with the Bering Strait throughflow seems to be an important element in the freshwater budget
of the Greenland and Norwegian seas and of the Atlantic. This flux induces a freshening of the North Atlantic surface waters,
which reduces the convective activity and leads to a noticeable (6%) weakening of the thermohaline conveyor belt. It is argued
that the contrasting results obtained by Reason and Power are due to the type of surface boundary conditions they used.
Received: 27 October 1995/Accepted: 20 November 1996 相似文献
5.
The impact of a downslope water-transport parametrization on the circulation and water mass characteristics of a global depth-level ocean general circulation model is investigated. The spreading of dense water from the formation regions into the deep ocean is known to be poorly represented in depth-level models with no bottom boundary layer resolved or attached. The new scheme is simple and intends to parametrize the effects of various oceanographic processes (rather than the processes themselves) that help dense water to descend topographic slopes by which the formation regions are separated from the world ocean. The new scheme significantly improves the large scale properties of the North Atlantic Deep Water. Changes in the North Atlantic circulation, however, are rather small. In the Southern Ocean, the exchange between the dense water formation regions on the continental shelves and the deep ocean is strengthened at the expense of deep water mass formation by open ocean convection. In all three ocean basins, the density of the deep and bottom water is higher with the new parametrization, which brings the simulations closer to observations in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans. In the Pacific Ocean, however, where the density has already been well reproduced without the downslope transport, it becomes slightly too high. The results are in agreement with those from other model studies. 相似文献
6.
Atmospheric moisture transport from the Atlantic to the Pacific basin plays an important role in regulating North Atlantic salinity and thus the strength of the thermohaline circulation. Potential changes in the strength of this moisture transport are investigated for two different climate-change scenarios: North Atlantic cooling representative of Heinrich events, and increased greenhouse gas (GHG) forcing. The effect of North Atlantic cooling is studied using a coupled regional model with comparatively high resolution that successfully simulates Central American gap winds and other important aspects of the region. Cooler North Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) in this model leads to a regional decrease of atmospheric moisture but also to an increase in wind speed across Central America via an anomalous pressure gradient. The latter effect dominates, resulting in a 0.13 Sv (1 Sv = 106 m3 s?1) increase in overall moisture transport to the Pacific basin. In fresh water forcing simulations with four different general circulation models, the wind speed effect is also present but not strong enough to completely offset the effect of moisture decrease except in one model. The influence of GHG forcing is studied using simulations from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change archive. In these simulations atmospheric moisture increases globally, resulting in an increase of moisture transport by 0.25 Sv from the Atlantic to Pacific. Thus, in both scenarios, moisture transport changes act to stabilize the thermohaline circulation. The notion that the Andes effectively block moisture transport from the Atlantic to the Pacific basin is not supported by the simulations and atmospheric reanalyses examined here. This indicates that such a blocking effect does not exist or else that higher resolution is needed to adequately represent the steep orography of the Andes. 相似文献
7.
Closure of the Panama Seaway during the Pliocene: implications for climate and Northern Hemisphere glaciation 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
The “Panama Hypothesis” states that the gradual closure of the Panama Seaway, between 13 million years ago (13 Ma) and 2.6 Ma,
led to decreased mixing of Atlantic and Pacific water Masses, the formation of North Atlantic Deep water and strengthening
of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation, increased temperatures and evaporation in the North Atlantic, increased precipitation
in Northern Hemisphere (NH) high latitudes, culminating in the intensification of Northern Hemisphere Glaciation (NHG) during
the Pliocene, 3.2–2.7 Ma. Here we test this hypothesis using a fully coupled, fully dynamic ocean-atmosphere general circulation
model (GCM) with boundary conditions specific to the Pliocene, and a high resolution dynamic ice sheet model. We carry out
two GCM simulations with “closed” and “open” Panama Seaways, and use the simulated climatologies to force the ice sheet model.
We find that the models support the “Panama Hypothesis” in as much as the closure of the seaway results in a more intense
Atlantic thermohaline circulation, enhanced precipitation over Greenland and North America, and ultimately larger ice sheets.
However, the volume difference between the ice sheets in the “closed” and “open” configurations is small, equivalent to about
5 cm of sea level. We conclude that although the closure of the Panama Seaway may have slightly enhanced or advanced the onset
of NHG, it was not a major forcing mechanism. Future work must fully couple the ice sheet model and GCM, and investigate the
role of orbital and CO2 effects in controlling NHG. 相似文献
8.
本文是用简单海一气耦合模型模拟温盐环流在全球增暖事件中作用的研究工作的第一部分。为了建立一个简单海一气耦合模型，我们首先根据Ｗｒｉｇｈｔ和Ｓｔｏｋｅｒ等人的设计复制出一个包括大西洋、太平洋和南大洋在内的二维温盐环流模式，从等温、等盐和无运动的初始状态出发，在给定的年平均海表强迫下将模式积分了４０００年，模拟出了和原作相似的温盐环流。对模拟结果的分析表明，相对于北太平洋而言，北大西洋北部的高盐、低温特点（后者是由两大洋在地理上的差别决定的）是形成当代温盐环流的主要原因；从与温盐环流相联系的海表热通量来看，北大西洋北部是向大气提供热量的主要源地；模式温盐环流对于海表盐度通量的敏感性试验的结果表明，对于纬圈平均的二维模式而言，要想模拟出合理的温盐环流就必须人为地提高北大西洋北部的海表盐度，文章分析了这种作法的物理根据；模式中的对流过程对于温盐环流的维持是至关重要的，对比有无季节循环的试验结果可以看出，虽然温度场的明显的季节变化只出现在模式的最上面两层，但由于引进季节循环后冬季高纬海洋的对流活动加强，后者直接影响到温盐环流，使更多的深海热量上传并向大气释放。这是使海洋温跃层得以保持合理．厚度的一个重要原因。 相似文献
9.
The stability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation against meltwater input is investigated in a coupled ocean-atmosphere
general circulation model. The meltwater input to the Labrador Sea is increased linearly for 250 years to a maximum input
of 0.625 Sv and then reduced again to 0 (both instantaneously and linearly decreasing over 250 years). The resulting freshening
forces a shutdown of the formation of North Atlantic deepwater and a subsequent reversal of the thermohaline circulation of
the Atlantic, filling the deep Atlantic with Antarctic bottom water. The change in the overturning pattern causes a drastic
reduction of the Atlantic northward heat transport, resulting in a strong cooling with maximum amplitude over the northern
North Atlantic and a southward shift of the sea-ice margin in the Atlantic. Due to the increased meridional temperature gradient,
the intertropical convergence zone over the Atlantic is displaced southward and the westerlies in the Northern Hemisphere
gain strength. We identify four main feedbacks affecting the stability of the thermohaline circulation: the change in the
overturning circulation of the Atlantic leads to longer residence times of the surface water in high-northern latitudes, which
allows them to accumulate more precipitation and runoff from the continents. As a consequence the stratification in the North
Atlantic becomes more stable. This effect is further amplified by an enhanced northward atmospheric water vapour transport,
which increases the freshwater input into the North Atlantic. The reduced northward oceanic heat transport leads to colder
sea-surface temperatures and an intensification of the atmospheric cyclonic circulation over the Norwegian Sea. The associated
Ekman transports cause increased upwelling and increased freshwater export with the East Greenland Current. Both the cooling
and the wind-driven circulation changes largely compensate for the effects of the first two feedbacks. The wind-stress feedback
destabilizes modes without deep water formation in the North Atlantic, but has been neglected in almost all studies so far.
After the meltwater input stops, the North Atlantic deepwater formation resumed in all experiments and the meridional overturning
returned within 200 years to a conveyor belt pattern. This happened although the formation of North Atlantic deep water was
suppressed in one experiment for more than 300 years and the Atlantic overturning had settled into a circulation pattern with
Antarctic bottom water as the only source of deep water. It is a clear indication that cooling and wind-stress feedback are
more effective, at least in our model, than advection feedback and increased atmospheric water vapour transport. We conclude
that the conveyor belt-type thermohaline circulation seems to be much more stable than hitherto assumed from experiments with
simpler models.
Received 31 January 1996/Accepted 22 August 1996 相似文献
10.
The results from an integration of a global ocean circulation model have been condensed into an analysis of the volume, heat, and salt transports among the major ocean basins. Transports are also broken down between the model's Ekman, thermocline, and deep layers. Overall, the model does well. Horizontal exchanges of mass, heat, and salt between ocean basins have reasonable values; and the volume of North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) transport is in general agreement with what limited observations exist. On a global basis the zonally integrated meridional heat transport is poleward at all latitudes except for the latitude band 30°S to 45°S. This anomalous transport is most likely a signature of the model's inability to form Antarctic Intermediate (AAIW) and Antarctic bottom water (AABW) properly. Eddy heat transport is strong at the equator where its convergence heats the equatorial Pacific about twice as much as it heats the equatorial Atlantic. The greater heating in the Pacific suggests that mesoscale eddies may be a vital mechanism for warming and maintaining an upwelling portion of the global conveyor-belt circulation. The model's fresh water transport compares well with observations. However, in the Atlantic there is an excessive southward transport of fresh water due to the absence of the Mediterranean outflow and weak northward flow of AAIW. Eddies in the mid-latitudes act to redistribute heat and salt down the mean gradients. Residual fluxes calculated from a sum of the computed advective (including eddies), forced, and stored fluxes of heat and salt represent transport mostly due to vertical sub-grid scale mixing processes. Perhaps the model's greatest weakness is the lack of strong AAIW and AABW circulation cells. Accurate thermohaline forcing in the North Atlantic (based on numerous hydrographic observations) helps the model adequately produce NADW. In contrast, the southern ocean is an area of sparse observation. Better thermohaline observations in this area may be needed if models such as this are to produce the deep convection that will achieve more accurate simulations of the global 3-dimensional circulation. 相似文献
11.
海洋环流模式模拟自然
和核辐射14C的分布 总被引：9，自引：1，他引：8
放射性14C在海洋环流研究和人为CO2问题的研究中都有重要地位。本文用海洋环流模式模拟了海洋中自然14C的分布及海洋对核辐射产生的放射性14C的吸收, 以期对海洋吸收人为CO2的能力做一初步的研究。模拟的海洋环流结果与观测相比符合得较好,成功地模拟出了北大西洋深水（NADW）、南极底水 (AABW）等基本特征。对自然14C的模拟揭示出了海洋通风的基本特征。模拟出的沿GEOSECS 路径的南、北垂直截面与观测结果符合得较好。对核辐射14C的模拟表明:模式模拟的沿GEOSECS 路径的南、北垂直截面与观测结果符合得较好;模拟出的海洋表面核辐射浓度与观测值一致,但核辐射14C在海洋中的柱存量和平均穿透深度都比观测结果要小。文中分析了造成这种差异的可能原因。 相似文献
12.
An ocean general circulation model of global domain, full continental geometry and bottom topography, is used to study the influence of the Bering Strait on the general circulation by comparing equilibrium solutions obtained with and without a land-bridge between Siberia and Alaska. The model is integrated with restoring boundary conditions (BC) on temperature and salinity, and later, with mixed BC in which a restoring BC on temperature is maintained but a specified flux condition on salinity is imposed. In both cases, the effect of the Bering Strait is to allow a flow of about 1.25–1.5 Sv from the North Pacific to the Arctic Ocean and, ultimately, back to the North Pacific along the western boundary current regions of the Atlantic and Indian Oceans. When a restoring BC on salinity is used, the overturning associated with North Atlantic Deep Water and Antarctic Intermediate Water formation are increased if the Bering Strait is present in the model geometry. The result of switching to a specified flux BC on salinity is to cause a transition in the THC in which the overturning associated with North Atlantic Deep Water formation increases from about 12 Sv to about 22 Sv. This transition occurs in an essentially smooth fashion with no significant variability and is about 12% smaller in magnitude if the Bering Strait is present in the model geometry. Because the Bering Strait appears to exert some influence on the general circulation and the formation of deep water masses, it is recommended that this Strait be included in the geometry of similar resolution models designed to study the deep ocean and potential changes in climate.
Correspondence to: CJC Reason 相似文献
13.
The South Atlantic response to a collapse of the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) is investigated in the ECHAM5/MPI-OM climate model. A reduced Agulhas leakage (about 3.1?Sv; 1?Sv?=?106?m3?s?1) is found to be associated with a weaker Southern Hemisphere (SH) supergyre and Indonesian throughflow. These changes are due to reduced wind stress curl over the SH supergyre, associated with a weaker Hadley circulation and a weaker SH subtropical jet. The northward cross-equatorial transport of thermocline and intermediate waters is much more strongly reduced than Agulhas leakage in relation with an AMOC collapse. A cross-equatorial gyre develops due to an anomalous wind stress curl over the tropics that results from the anomalous sea surface temperature gradient associated with reduced ocean heat transport. This cross-equatorial gyre completely blocks the transport of thermocline waters from the South to the North Atlantic. The waters originating from Agulhas leakage flow somewhat deeper and most of it recirculates in the South Atlantic subtropical gyre, leading to a gyre intensification. This intensification is consistent with the anomalous surface cooling over the South Atlantic. Most changes in South Atlantic circulation due to global warming, featuring a reduced AMOC, are qualitatively similar to the response to an AMOC collapse, but smaller in amplitude. However, the increased northward cross-equatorial transport of intermediate water relative to thermocline water is a strong fingerprint of an AMOC collapse. 相似文献
14.
The Arctic as a trigger for glacial terminations 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
We propose a hypothesis to explain the very abrupt terminations that end most of the glacial episodes. During the last glaciation,
the buildup and southerly expansion of large continental ice-sheets in the Northern Hemisphere and extensive cover of sea
ice in the N. Pacific and the N. Atlantic imposed a much more zonal climatic circulation system than exists today. We hypothesize
that this, in combination with the frigid (dry) polar air led to a significant decrease in freshwater runoff into the Arctic
Ocean. In addition the freshwater contribution of the fresher Pacific water was completely eliminated by the emergence of
the Bering Strait (sill depth 50 m). As the Arctic freshwater input was depleted, regions of the Arctic Ocean lost surface
stability and eventually overturned, bringing warmer deep water to the surface where it melted the overlying sea ice. This
upwelled water was quickly cooled and sank as newly formed deep water. For sustained overturn events, such as might have occurred
during the peak of very large glacial periods (i.e. the last glacial maximum), the voluminous deep water formed would eventually
overflow into the Nordic Seas and North Atlantic necessitating an equally voluminous rate of return flow of warmer surface
waters from the North Atlantic thus breaking down the Arctic's zonal isolation, melting the expansive NA sea ice cover and
initiating oceanic heating of the atmosphere over the ice-sheets bordering the NA. We suggest that the combined effect of
these overturn-induced events in concert with a Milankovitch warming cycle, was sufficient to drive the system to a termination.
We elaborate on this proposed sequence of events, using the model for the formation of the Weddell Sea polynya as proposed
by Martinson et al. (1981) and various, albeit sparse, data sets from the circum-Arctic region to apply and evaluate this
hypothesis to the problem of glacial terminations. 相似文献
15.
This paper is mainly concerned with the understanding and attribution of the recent observed freshening trend in the subpolar North Atlantic Ocean. From previous coupled model studies and an analysis of the long HadCM3 control simulation, it seems unlikely that this freshening trend is a direct consequence of anthropogenically forced climate change. It is shown in this paper that the subpolar North Atlantic can be freshened to the observed degree without invoking substantial large-scale surface freshwater flux changes. The source of freshening can come from a freshwater redistribution within the Arctic/subpolar North Atlantic. The redistribution (involving both liquid water and sea ice) is carried by a perturbed ocean circulation change in the subpolar seas and triggered by deep convection in the Labrador Sea. The freshening can be widespread but mainly in the north and northwest of the subpolar North Atlantic. A sustained 30–40 years freshening trend can be easily identified in specific locations such as the Labrador Sea or in the basin wide integral of freshwater storage. At the peak, the model subpolar North Atlantic can hold around 10,000 km3 of extra freshwater. An analysis of 1,400 years HadCM3 control simulation also reveals a good correlation between freshwater content anomalies and gyre transport in the subpolar North Atlantic on decadal timescales. A general mechanism involving circulation regime changes and freshwater redistribution between the subpolar North Atlantic and the Arctic/Nordic Seas is proposed, which can resolve a number of seemingly contradictory observed changes in the North Atlantic and contributes to the longer term goal of a full understanding of recent North Atlantic fresh water changes. 相似文献
16.
Prior studies have revealed that,as a part of the Pacific tropical gyre,the South China Sea throughflow(SCSTF) is strongly influenced by the Pacific low-latitude western boundary current(LLWBC).In this study,ocean general circulation model(OGCM) experiments with and without connection to the South China Sea(SCS) were performed to investigate the impact of the SCSTF on the Pacific LLWBC.These model experiments show that if the SCS is blocked,seasonal variability of the Kuroshio and Mindanao Current becomes stronger,and the meridional migration of the North Equatorial Current(NEC) bifurcation latitude is enhanced.Both in seasonal and interannual time scales,stronger Luzon Strait transport(LST) induces a stronger Kuroshio transport combined with a southward shift of the NEC bifurcation,which is unfavorable for a further increase of the LST;a weaker LST induces a weaker Kuroshio transport and a northward shifting NEC bifurcation,which is also unfavorable for the continuous decrease of the LST. 相似文献
17.
The subpolar gyre index (SPG), derived from the analysis of sea surface height (SSH), is proposed to be a potential indicator for the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) based on observation as well as the Ocean General Circulation Model (OGCM). We investigated the correspondence between the SPG and the AMOC in a coupled climate model. Our results confirm that the SPG can be used as an early indicator for the AMOC in the subtropical North Atlantic. Changes in the SPG are closely related to variations in the air-sea heat exchange in the Labrador Sea, and variations in deep water formation and southward dense water transport with the deep western boundary current (DWBC) in the North Atlantic.
Citation: Gao, Y. Q., and L. Yu, 2008: Subpolar gyre index and the North Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled climate model, Atmos. Oceanic Sci. Lett., 1, 29-32 相似文献
18.
Soon-Il An Jae-Heung Park Baek-Min Kim Axel Timmermann Fei-Fei Jin 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2012,107(1-2):155-164
Using a simple tropical climate model, we investigated possible impacts of changes in oceanic seaways (Panama and Tethys) and ocean basin sizes (great Pacific and narrow Atlantic) on tropical climate variability during Tertiary. Our model showed that the opening of seaways had little influence on climate variability in the tropical Pacific because the climate variability in the Pacific Ocean’s large basins were internally generated, regardless of the variation in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. Conversely, the climate variability in the tropical Atlantic Ocean was highly dependent on the tropical Pacific Ocean; thus, an opening seaway, particularly the Panama seaway, was crucial in generating the interannual variability in the tropical Atlantic Ocean. We also found that in the Pacific Ocean, basin size strongly modified the period and amplitude of the interannual variability of both the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans due to ocean wave dynamics. 相似文献
19.
利用CMIP6中的CESM2-WACCM模式逐日资料，预估未来2020—2099年SSP2-4.5、SSP3-7.0和SSP5-8.5三种不同排放情景下北半球对流层顶附近反气旋型Rossby波破碎（Anticyclonic Rossby Wave Breaking， AWB）的空间分布、发生频率、水平尺度、对称结构及其长期趋势。总体而言，未来四个季节AWB都在北太平洋和北大西洋有高频区。夏季北太平洋高频区发生频数显著多于北大西洋高频区，其他三季相反。两高频区在三种不同情景下，AWB物质经向输送通常以对称输送为主，但北太平洋区内冬、春、秋三季在SSP2-4.5情景下AWB物质向极净输送，北大西洋区内夏季在SSP2-4.5和SSP5-8.5情景下AWB物质向赤道净输送。未来的长期趋势显示，两高频区内各季节的AWB发生频数、水平尺度和物质向极输送主要呈减小（减少）趋势，且温室气体排放量越大，减小趋势越显著。在SSP5-8.5情景下，北太平洋夏季AWB总面积变化趋势为-365.5个1°×1°标准经纬度网格/10 a，该变化由区域内AWB平均尺度减小（-2.7个标准化网格/10 a）和发生频率减少（-1.9个/10 a）共同导致；该区域的向极输送率变化率为-0.016 5/10 a。北大西洋秋季AWB发生频数变化率为-2.3个/10 a，导致其总面积则以-440.4个标准化网格/10 a的速度减小。 相似文献
20.
Uwe Mikolajewicz Matthias Gröger Ernst Maier-Reimer Guy Schurgers Miren Vizcaíno Arne M. E. Winguth 《Climate Dynamics》2007,28(6):599-633
A new complex earth system model consisting of an atmospheric general circulation model, an ocean general circulation model,
a three-dimensional ice sheet model, a marine biogeochemistry model, and a dynamic vegetation model was used to study the
long-term response to anthropogenic carbon emissions. The prescribed emissions follow estimates of past emissions for the
period 1751–2000 and standard IPCC emission scenarios up to the year 2100. After 2100, an exponential decrease of the emissions
was assumed. For each of the scenarios, a small ensemble of simulations was carried out. The North Atlantic overturning collapsed
in the high emission scenario (A2) simulations. In the low emission scenario (B1), only a temporary weakening of the deep
water formation in the North Atlantic is predicted. The moderate emission scenario (A1B) brings the system close to its bifurcation
point, with three out of five runs leading to a collapsed North Atlantic overturning circulation. The atmospheric moisture
transport predominantly contributes to the collapse of the deep water formation. In the simulations with collapsed deep water
formation in the North Atlantic a substantial cooling over parts of the North Atlantic is simulated. Anthropogenic climate
change substantially reduces the ability of land and ocean to sequester anthropogenic carbon. The simulated effect of a collapse
of the deep water formation in the North Atlantic on the atmospheric CO2 concentration turned out to be relatively small. The volume of the Greenland ice sheet is reduced, but its contribution to
global mean sea level is almost counterbalanced by the growth of the Antarctic ice sheet due to enhanced snowfall. The modifications
of the high latitude freshwater input due to the simulated changes in mass balance of the ice sheet are one order of magnitude
smaller than the changes due to atmospheric moisture transport. After the year 3000, the global mean surface temperature is
predicted to be almost constant due to the compensating effects of decreasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations due to oceanic uptake and delayed response to increasing atmospheric CO2 concentrations before. 相似文献