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分析了广西北海地区地震活动的特征,认为北海地区历史地震和现代地震活动水平较高。通过对1970-2004年北海地区b值和缺震时间进行扫描分析,认为b值高值异常和缺震低值异常可能是该区中强地震的前兆异常。 相似文献
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通过地震活动性周期估计、地震活动性层次模型和对大震前地震活动异常分布的分析，研究了帕米尔东北侧地区未来地震危险性以及可能发生强震的地点。研究结果表明：该区未来几年存在着发生7级以上或8级左右地震的危险性，其发震地点可能在帕米尔东北侧的西半部。 相似文献
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利用“八五”研究课题的成果，分析了山西Ｍ≥７强震前后地震活动图像，指出一次Ｍ≥７强震前将经历了如下过程：４～５级中等地震活动迅速增多，出现辅助性地震条带和背景性地震空区，地震序列密集活动伴随应变释和加速，发生广义前震一平静－发震，认为这一演化过程是山西地区Ｍ≥７强震前的地震活动基本图像。 相似文献
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北京顺义4.0级地震和震后首都圈地震趋势分析 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
１９９６年１２月１６日顺义Ｍｓ４．０地震，是北京地区近６ａ来最大的一次地震活动此次地震前，首都圈地区地震活动出现了近ＳＮ向弱震活动，１１月份地震活动是全的月频次最低的月份，这些异常现象之后发生了顺义地震。此次顺义地震属非前生震群活动。这次地震活动是顺义及其附近地区１９７０年以来地震活动余震最多的一次。这次地震后应注意今后几个月京西北、张家口附近发生Ｍｓ５．０左右地震的可能。 相似文献
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本文研究了日本内陆及其外围海域发生大地震后的地震活动迁移现象。在所研究的6个震例中,一个共同的特点是,地震活动的迁移总是沿着地壳内的活动地质构造带发生。有时可以根据地震活动的迁移来进一步确定活动构造带的存在。把板块边缘地区的地震活动类比为沿着力学偶合平面迁移和扩散,我们可以认为,岛上的活动构造带对应着地壳块体的力学相互作用边界。地震迁移的形式可能不只一种。在我们所研究的震例中发现了以下特征:地震迁移速度约为几km/年;大地震震源区之间存在着地震空区;在每一条地震带上有一定的地震活动周期。地震迁移的一种可能机制是:由于地壳块体的相对运动,在其边界上的凹凸不平区造成了构造应力集中,这些凹凸不平区相继地发生破裂,形成了地震迁移。 相似文献
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1999年在四川省德阳市绵竹县发生了两次5.0级地震.其中1999年11月30日绵竹汉旺5.0级地震前,德阳市地震局对该次地震的时问、地区、震级三要素做出了准确的短临预报.该项预报在人口稠密经济发达的四川德阳地区成功实现,取得了良好的社会和经济效益,得到了中国地震局,德阳市人民政府的充分肯定,并予以表彰和奖励. 相似文献
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Extreme precipitation drives groundwater recharge: the Northern High Plains Aquifer,central United States, 1950–2010 
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下载免费PDF全文 Future extreme precipitation (EP, daily rainfall amount over certain thresholds) is projected to increase with global climate change; however, its effect on groundwater recharge has not been fully explored. This study specifically investigates the spatiotemporal dynamics of groundwater recharge and the effects of extreme precipitation (daily rainfall amount over the 95th percentile, which is tagged by ranking the percentiles in each season for a base period) on groundwater recharge from 1950 to 2010 over the Northern High Plains (NHP) Aquifer using the Soil Water Balance Model. The results show that groundwater recharge significantly (p < 0.05) increased in the eastern NHP from 1950 to 2010, where the highest annual average groundwater recharge occurs compared to the central and the western NHP. In the eastern NHP, 45.1% of the annual precipitation fell as EP, which contributed 56.8% of the annual total groundwater recharge. In the western NHP, 30.9% of the annual precipitation fell as extreme precipitation, which contributed 62.5% of the annual total groundwater recharge. In addition, recharge by extreme precipitation mainly occurred in late spring and early summer, before the maximum evapotranspiration rate, which usually occurs in mid‐summer until late fall. A dry site in the western NHP and a wet site in the eastern NHP were analysed to indicate how recharge responds to EP with different precipitation regimes. The maximum daily recharge at the dry site exceeded the wet site when there was EP. When precipitation fell as non‐extreme rainfall, most recharge was less than 5 mm at both the dry and wet sites, and the maximum recharge at the dry site became lower than the wet site. This study shows that extreme precipitation plays a significant role in determining groundwater recharge. © 2016 The Authors Hydrological Processes Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. 相似文献
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通过对汰内井水氡多年年变动态的分析 ,发现台湾地区强震前后汰内井水氡值表现出持续高值、年变规律畸变等异常 ,这些异常多为中期与中短期异常 ,有时也有短临异常和震后效应 ;利用中国地震局“八五”攻关软件《SHEP》对汰内井 1987～ 1999年氡测值进行层次跟踪中期预测分析 ,发现其预测结果与台湾 1987年以来发生的 4次强震在时间上有较好的对应关系 相似文献
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THE DISPLACEMENT AND STRESS FIELD GENERATED BY THE COLLAPSE IN PINGYI COUNTY,SHANGDONG PROVINCE,ON DECEMBER 25, 2015 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 WAN Yong-ge JIN Zhi-tong CUI Hua-wei HUANG Ji-chao SHENG Shu-zhong ZHANG Shan-shan LI Cui-qin 《地震地质》2017,39(1):81-91
A collapse happened in Pingyi County, Shandong Province, on December 25, 2015. The displacement field, stress field and Coulomb failure stress change on the Mengshan frontal fault generated by the collapse are calculated by using point collapse model in isotropic medium. The result shows that: (1) The maximum horizontal displacement is located at the center of the collapse with value of~18mm. The horizontal displacements are greater than 1mm within~5km of the collapse with its direction pointing to the collapse center. The maximum subsidence is located at the center of the collapse with the value of 4mm. The subsidence is greater than 1mm within ~3km of the collapse. The displacement field decays so rapidly that can be ignored at far away from the collapse for the shallow source, which caused local displacement field. (2) Influenced by the free surface, the contraction area stress within ~5km of the collapse with the order of 1000Pa and expansion area stress in farther away areas at depth of 2km are estimated. the expansion area stress of 1000Pa is estimated at the~5km from the collapse center. Then the expansion area stress decays to 100Pa at the distance of ~10km from the collapse. The maximum compressive and extensional principal stresses are estimated as 10000Pa at the depth of 2km. The compressive stress axes present radical direction pointing to the collapse within ~5km of the center. In farther away from the collapse, The extensional principal stress axes present radical direction pointing to the center of the collapse. With farther distance to the collapse, the compressive and extensional stress decay rapidly to the order of 100Pa. (3) The Coulomb failure stress on the northwestern part of the Mengshan frontal fault, which is known as active segment of the Mengshan frontal fault, is decreased by the collapse with maximum value of 2500Pa. Whereas, the Coulomb failure stress on the southeastern part of the Mengshan frontal fault, which is known as left-lateral normal slip fault segment in Quaternary period, is increased by the collapse with maximum of 2400Pa, to which attention would be paid in seismic hazard analysis. 相似文献
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A NEW FINDING OF SURFACE RUPTURE ZONES ASSOCIATED WITH THE 1936 LINGSHAN M6(3/4) EARTHQUAKE,GUANGXI, CHINA 下载免费PDF全文
下载免费PDF全文 LI Xi-guang LI Bing-su PAN Li-li NIE Guan-jun WU Jiao-bing LU Jun-hong YAN Xiao-min LI Zhi-yong 《地震地质》2017,39(4):689-698
On April 1, 1936, an M6(3/4) earthquake occurred on the Fangcheng-lingshan Fault. This event is the biggest historical earthquake on the coastal seismic zone, South China ever. But so far, no any findings about the surface rupture of this event have been reported. This paper is the first to find several intact surface rupture zones associated with the 1936 Lingshan seismic event, in the areas of Gaotang, Jiaogengping etc. on the northeast segment of the Fangcheng-Lingshan Fault. According to the field work, the surface rupture stretches to 10km and distributes along NE direction in front of Luoyang Mountain, represented by earthquake scarp, extensional fracture, dextrally faulted gully and river system etc. The characteristics of surface ruptures and faulted landforms indicate that the surface rupture is of normal-dextral strike slip faulting. The trenching on this fault exposed that at least three seismic events have been recorded, including two historical earthquake events and the latest one is the 1936 Lingshan M6(3/4) earthquake. These surface rupture zones are the key to the detection of seismogenic structure and the re-estimate of magnitude of this event. The new finding of these surface rupture zones would be particularly significant for the detection of the seismogenic structure of Lingshan M6(3/4) earthquake. 相似文献
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１９９９年下半年,全球发生了两次７．７级以上大地震,地震活动水平显著增强。半年内共发生６级以上地震５３次,比上半年多１３次,其中大洋岛弧和西北太平洋地区分别发生１９次和１７次,占前两名。最大的３次地震是：８月１７日土耳其西北部地震、９月２０日中国台湾地震和９月３０日墨西哥近海地震。本年度地震活动为高水平,扭转了连续３年的下降趋势。２０００年全球地震将进入一个关键时期,未来数年内的震情需要密切注视。 相似文献
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2002年8月3日沙城ML4．4地震是该年7个月以来，首都圈地区发生的显著地震，虽然该地震震级不大，但怀来台体应变的短临异常十分显著。作者主要介绍了该地震前体应变异常特征，同时介绍了地下流体测项阳原三马坊数字气氡异常和怀4井水汞异常及预报情况。 相似文献
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锦州地震台钻孔应变同震变化观测资料分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
体积式应变仪是测量地应力应变变化的一种地震前兆手段。对其大量的观测资料进行同震变化与阶跃的整理与收集,系统地进行研究、分析、总结同震变化;利用TJ-1C型体应变仪记录曲线的同震变化来探讨地震时应力应变运动与构造断层间的微弱错动。将提高我们运用观测资料的能力,有助于地震预报水平的提高。 相似文献
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Introduction The unexpected December 26, 2004, off the west coast of northern Sumatra, Indonesia, MW=9.0 earthquake, which caused devastating tsunami around the Indian Ocean, reminds seis-mologists of the difficulty of earthquake forecast and/or prediction. For seismologists this earth-quake is almost completely unexpected, because there was neither forecasting (which means the estimation of the future earthquake rate as a function of location, time, and magnitude) nor predic-tion (forecasti… 相似文献