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通过利用IGT方程分析1997-2010年武威市经济发展对水资源消费总量的影响,在此基础上利用STIRPAT模型定量分析水资源消费总量与人口、富裕度、城市化水平以及技术进步之间的关系,并经岭回归拟合发现人口数量、人均GDP、城市化水平和技术进步每发生1%的变化,将引起水资源消费总量相应发生0.790 1%、-(0.014 1+0.001 8 lnA)%、-0.088 0%和0.031 2%的变化。在上述模型分析的基础上,以武威市为例,通过设置10种不同的发展情景,分析了在何种情景下最有利于降低水资源消费总量。结果表明:当经济保持高速增长、城市化进程加快、节水技术取得较大进步且人口实行高控制时,最有利于武威市降低水资源消费总量,此时武威市2015年和2020年的水资源消费总量分别为188 927.27×104 m3和184 409.79×104 m3。  相似文献   

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为了快速有效检测南疆地区典型土壤(沙壤土)的盐分含量变化,利用光谱仪和电导仪测得南疆阿拉尔市红枣种植区盐渍土近红外高光谱和电导率数据,基于7种不同光谱预处理方法和2种特征波长选择算法,分别建立多元线性回归(MLR)和偏最小二乘回归(PLSR)的土壤盐分监测模型。结果表明:7种预处理方法中,归一化,多元散射,变量标准化和一阶导数能够有效提高土壤盐分的预测模型精度。基于多元逐步回归(SMR)波长选择方法的多元线性回归(SMLR)模型的Rval2>0.948 9,RPD>6.294 9,RMSEP<0.435 6;基于连续投影算法(SPA)的多元线性回归(SPA-MLR)模型的Rval2>0.956 8,RPD>6.922 1,RMSEP<0.361 6,预测结果要优于偏最小二乘回归(PLSR)模型,其中基于归一化处理后的SMLR和SPA-MLR的预测精度最为理想,分别为Rval2=0.979 2,RPD=9.907 8,RMSEP=0.287 6和Rval2=0.980 5,RPD=10.50,RMSEP=0.278 3,而且筛选的特征波长较少。说明归一化是更有效的光谱预处理方法,多元线性回归(MLR)更适合建立南疆典型沙壤土盐分含量的预测模型。  相似文献   

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Summary. The thickening plate theory proposed by Yoshii and Parker & Oldenburg for the oceanic lithosphere is extended to include the continental lithosphere. The theory is based on the assumption that the lithosphere—asthenosphere boundary is a solidus and that as a result solidification of the top of the asthenosphere is occurring. Observational data imply that the relationship between the plate thickness and basement age for the North American continent is y = 1.7 √ t + (50 ± 10), where y (km) is the plate thickness and t (Myr) is the basement age.
The theory is tested against changes with basement age of the observed surface heat-flow and seismic estimate of plate thickness. The following conclusions are inferred:
(1) The changes both of the observed heat flow and plate thickness with basement age are explained by this theory.
(2) The surface erosion and vertical distribution of radiogenic heat sources are important factors in controlling the thickening process of the continental lithosphere.
(3) The equality of the average surface heat-flow over the oceans and over the continents is a consequence of a faster release of latent heat at the lithosphere—asthenosphere boundary under the oceans, instead of a higher heat production in the continental crust.  相似文献   

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小花间流域旱情监测模型分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
利用2002年5月份的小花间流域的MOD IS数据提取归一化差值植被指数(NDVI)和陆地表面温度(LST),选取合适的NDVI提取窗口尺度,构建LST-NDVI特征空间,采取适宜的干边和湿边的斜率确定方法,计算温度植被干旱指数(TVDI),对小花间流域进行旱情监测,平均相对湿度进行定性验证。结果表明:采用多尺度的像元提取窗口,依据像元直方图确定干边和湿边,建立温度植被干旱指数(TVDI)进行小花间流域旱情监测能够较好反映当地旱情。基于旱情监测模型的生产需要,探讨旱情与地表温度以及归一化植被指数之间的关系,认为地表温度能够反映当地2002年5月份旱情,而归一化植被指数的作用较小。  相似文献   

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Abstract

The City of Scarborough, like many corporations, recently re-evaluated its information technology requirements. The decision was made to model the City's needs in terms of activities and data requirements, concentrating on the Municipal Data Model. First, a two year study was undertaken to understand the business activities of all the disparate components that make up the corporation. This study resulted in individual Information Resource Plans (IRP) for each department. A third year was spent in reconciling the many separate documents and creating a high-level Conceptual Data Model for a Corporate Information System. Of the thirteen broad data groupings, four were assigned to the GIS Group for the design of Detailed Data Models and to populate the resultant databases. The GIS Group, in fact, were to initiate the new Information System for the entire City. The modelling sessions involved hundreds of users from the entire user community in small and large groups, in intensive entity-definition activities, in technical review sessions and in the general examination of context. The detailed models were validated by involving still more users and by testing the model in prototypes, special projects and joint ventures. The GIS Project has demonstrated that data modelling is an effective and realistic method of reflecting the municipality as an enterprise.  相似文献   

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The biology, ecology, biogeography, phylogeny, and evolution of sand-dwelling scorpions are reviewed. We present general features of sand that form the ecological theatre on which psammophiles have evolved. Sand scorpions, compared to those that live off sand, are not very diverse in any one local habitat, although they are often relatively abundant. Worldwide, they are represented by 29 genera, 11 of which exist exclusively in sand. Endemic genera belong to non-related families, suggesting that psammophilic adaptations evolvedin situin different sand deserts of the world.  相似文献   

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Summary. A method is described for finding a resistivity model that fits given magnetotelluric data in the one-dimensional case. The procedure is automatic and objective in that no a priori model structure is imposed. Starting with a uniform half space derived directly from the data, the procedure gradually transforms the half space to one with a continuous and smooth resistivity distribution whose response fits the measured data. The method is illustrated by application to two magnetotelluric data sets.  相似文献   

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孙威  毛凌潇  唐志鹏 《地理研究》2016,35(10):1819-1830
利用北京市2012年竞争型投入产出表,构建了敏感度模型,定量分析了最终使用变动1%对某一产业增加值和就业的影响程度。研究表明:① 根据经济敏感度系数,北京应该优先疏解金属制品、机械和设备修理服务等8个产业部门。假设上述产业部门全部疏解,对北京市产业增加值的影响为1.06%,对应的产业增加值减少186.4亿元。② 根据就业敏感度系数,北京应该优先疏解木材加工品和家具、纺织品等8个产业部门。假设上述产业部门全部疏解,对北京市就业人口的影响为1.31%,对应的就业人数减少12.0万人。③ 根据综合敏感度系数和首都核心功能定位,北京应该疏解的产业部门依次是批发和零售、化学产品、食品和烟草、金属冶炼和压延加工品、煤炭采选产品等19个产业部门。  相似文献   

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The dual-nuclei spatial structure is composed of a regional central city, a port city and their spatial relations in certain regions. In general, this spatial structure could be found in most of the coastal regions or regions along big rivers. In terms of the mechanism, the dual-nuclei structure is the result of the spatial interaction and the complementary characteristics of the center city and the port city. The "marginal function" of the port city and its relationship with the central city has long been discussed in the literature. On the one hand, drainage area is the main natural geographical background of the formation of the dual-nuclei spatial structure; therefore, we can build a theoretical geographic structure that is based on the drainage area. On the other hand, vicissitude of the coastline also has important influence on the formation of the dual-nuclei spatial structure. It is especially meaningful if we can notice this when we examine deeply the research on the spatial structure of delta.  相似文献   

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东台吉乃尔盐湖卤水比蒸发系数测定及回归方程   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
东台吉乃尔盐湖卤水属于Na+,K+,Mg(2+)/Cl,SO—H2O对五元水盐体系,体系比较复杂,卤水在蒸发过程中结晶的盐类繁杂,影响卤水蒸发率的离子较多,同时东台吉乃尔盐湖地处气候条件特殊的柴达木盆地腹地。本文配合开发东台吉乃尔盐湖卤水资源所采用的工艺要求,对不同阶段影响卤水蒸发速率的多种气象参数和卤水性质进行了比较详细的测定,并进一步建立了相应的回归标准方程。  相似文献   

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The dual-nuclei spatial structurs is composed of a regional central city,a port city and their spatial relations in certain regions.In general,this spatial structure could be found in most of the coastal regions or regions along big rivers.In terms of the mechanism,the dual-nuclei structure is the result of the spatial interaction and the complementary characteristics of the center city and the port city.The “marginal function” of the port city and its relationship with the central city has long been discussed in the literature.On the one hand,drainage area is the main natural grographical background of the formation of the dual-nuclei spatial structure;therefore,we can build a theoretical geographic structure that is based on the drainage area.On the other hand,vicissitude of the coastline also has important influence on the formation of the dual-nuclei spatial structure.It is especially meaningful if we can notice this when we examine deeply the research on the spatial structure of delta.  相似文献   

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On the nutations of a more realistic earth model   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
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