共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 31 毫秒
1.
A three-dimensional Lagrangian stochastic (LS) model to evaluate pollutant dispersion in the atmospheric boundary layer has been developed. The model satisfies the well-mixed criterion of Thomson and allows for inhomogeneous, skew turbulence. Making use of the spherical reference frame, one of the possible solutions has been obtained. A skewed joint probability density function (PDF), which reproduces the given velocity moments (means, variances, skewness and covariances), has been built-up by a linear combination of eight Gaussian PDFs. In order to verify consistency with the well-mixed criterion, the long term results have been compared with the theoretical behaviour. A comparison between our model and Thomson's published algorithms was also carried out. By comparing wind-tunnel data and numerical predictions, a further validation of our LS model has been obtained. From an analysis of the numerical results, we can state that our model is able to evaluate dispersion in the case of complex flows where the application of previous models is unsuccessful. 相似文献
2.
We report a two-dimensional (alongwind u, vertical w) trajectory-simulation model, consistent with Thomson's (1987) well-mixed criteria, that allows for the non-Gaussian turbulence typical of flow within a plant canopy. The effect of non-Gaussian turbulence was examined by formulating a non-Gaussian u, w joint probability density function (PDF) as the sum of two Gaussian joint-PDFs. The resultant PDF reproduced the desired means, variances, skewnesses, and kurtoses, and the correct covariance. In prediction of the location of maximum concentration downwind of a line source in homogeneous, slightly non-Gaussian turbulence, it proved advantageous to incorporate skewness and kurtosis. However, in the case of inhomogeneous, highly non-Gaussian turbulence, the addition of skewness and kurtosis in the model resulted in substantially worse agreement with measurements than the results of the model using Gaussian PDFs. This may be due to inaccuracy in our PDF formulation. Dispersion predictions from the model with Gaussian PDFs were generally not statistically different from measurements. These results indicate that a two-dimensional Gaussian trajectory-simulation approach is adequate to predict mean concentrations and fluxes resulting from sources within plant canopies. 相似文献
3.
In this paper, taking its turbulent exchange coefficient as a function of the Lagrangian timescale and standard variance of the turbulence in atmosphere, the atmospheric dispersion PDFmodels are obtained on the basis of atmospheric diffusion K-theory. In the model the statistics ofwind speed are directly used as its parameters instead of classic dispersion parameters. The bi-Gaussian PDF is derived in convective boundary layer (CBL), from the statistics of verticalvelocity in both of the downdraft and updraft regions that are investigated theoretically in the otherpart of this paper. Giving the driven parameters of the CBL (including the convective velocity scalew* and the mixing depth h_i) and the time-averaged wind speed at release level, the PDF model isable to simulate the distribution of concentration released at any levels in the CBL. The PDF'ssimulations are fairly consistent with the measurements in CONDORS experiment or the resultsbrought out by some numerical simulations. 相似文献
4.
A model for sensible heat flux probability density function for near-neutral and slightly-stable atmospheric flows 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
Gabriel G. Katul 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1994,71(1-2):1-20
The probability density function for sensible heat flux was measured above a uniform dry lakebed (Owens lake) in Owens Valley, California. It was found that for moderately stable to near neutral atmospheric stability conditions, the probability density function exhibits well defined exponential tails. These exponential tails are consistent with many laboratory boundarylayer measurements and numerical simulations. A model for the sensible heat flux probability density function was developed and tested. A key assumption in the model derivation was the near Gaussian statistics of the vertical velocity and temperature fluctuations. This assumption was verified from time series measurements of temperature and vertical velocity. The parameters for the sensible heat flux probability density function model were also derived from mean meteorological and surface conditions using surface-layer similarity theory. It was found that the best agreement between modeled and measured sensible heat flux probability density function was at the tails. Finally, a relation between the intermittency parameter, the probability density function, and the mean meteorological conditions was derived. This relation rigorously links the intermittency parameter to mean meteorological conditions. 相似文献
5.
A Large-Eddy Simulation and Lagrangian Stochastic Study of Heavy Particle Dispersion in the Convective Boundary Layer 总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4
Large-eddy simulation and Lagrangian stochastic dispersion models were used to study heavy particle dispersion in the convective boundary layer (CBL). The effects of various geostrophic winds, particle diameters, and subgrid-scale (SGS) turbulence were investigated. Results showed an obvious depression in the vertical dispersion of heavy particles in the CBL and major vertical stratification in the distribution of particle concentrations, relative to the passive dispersion. Stronger geostrophic winds tended to increase the dispersion of heavy particles in the lower CBL. The SGS turbulence, particularly near the surface, markedly influenced the dispersion of heavy particles in the CBL. For reference, simulations using passive particles were also conducted; these simulation results agreed well with results from previous convective tank experiments and numerical simulations. 相似文献
6.
We investigate the role of clouds and radiation in the general circulation of the atmosphere using a model designed for 30-day predictions.Comprehensive verifications of 30-day predictions for the 500 hPa geopotential height field have been carried out,using the data from ECMWF objective analyses that cover the period from May 5 to June 3,1982.We perform three model simulations,including experiments with interactive cloud formation,without clouds,and without radiative heating.The latter two experiments allow us to study the effects of cloud/radiation interactions and feedbacks on the predicted vertical velocity,and the meridional and zonal wind profiles,averaged over a 30-day period.We demonstrate that the Hadley circulation is maintained by the presence of clouds.The radiative cooling in the atmosphere intensifies the vertical motion in low latitudes and,to some extent,also strengthens the overall meridional circulation.The meridional winds are correctly reproduced in the model if clouds are incorporated.The zonal winds are significantly affected by clouds and radiative cooling.Without an appropriate incorporation of these physical elements,the model results would deviate significantly from observations.The presence of clouds strengthens the westerlies in middle and high levels.In May,the northerly movemen of the jet stream over eastern Asia is,in part,associated with the presence of clouds. 相似文献
7.
8.
Ralph M. Gailis Alexander Hill Eugene Yee Trevor Hilderman 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2007,122(3):577-607
Fluctuating plume models provide a useful conceptual paradigm in the understanding of plume dispersion in a turbulent flow.
In particular, these models have enabled analytical predictions of higher-order concentration moments, and the form of the
one-point concentration probability density function (PDF). In this paper, we extend the traditional formalism of these models,
grounded in the theory of homogeneous and isotropic turbulent flow, to two cases: namely, a simple sheared boundary layer
and a large array of regular obstacles. Some very high-resolution measurements of plume dispersion in a water channel, obtained
using laser-induced fluorescence (LIF) line-scan techniques are utilised. These data enable us to extract time series of plume
centroid position (plume meander) and dispersion in the relative frame of reference in unprecedented detail. Consequently,
experimentally extracted PDFs are able to be directly compared with various theoretical forms proposed in the literature.
This includes the PDF of plume centroid motion, the PDF of concentration in the relative frame, and a variety of concentration
moments in the absolute and relative frames of reference. The analysis confirms the accuracy of some previously proposed functional
forms of model components used in fluctuating plume models, as well as suggesting some new forms necessary to deal with the
complex boundary conditions in the spatial domain. 相似文献
9.
Improved confidence in climate change projections of precipitation evaluated using daily statistics from the PRUDENCE ensemble 总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1
Fredrik Boberg Peter Berg Peter Thejll William J. Gutowski Jens H. Christensen 《Climate Dynamics》2009,32(7-8):1097-1106
An ensemble of regional climate modelling simulations from the European framework project PRUDENCE are compared across European sub-regions with observed daily precipitation from the European Climate Assessment dataset by characterising precipitation in terms of probability density functions (PDFs). Models that robustly describe the observations for the control period (1961–1990) in given regions as well as across regions are identified, based on the overlap of normalised PDFs, and then validated, using a method based on bootstrapping with replacement. We also compare the difference between the scenario period (2071–2100) and the control period precipitation using all available models. By using a metric quantifying the deviation over the entire PDF, we find a clearly marked increase in the contribution to the total precipitation from the more intensive events and a clearly marked decrease for days with light precipitation in the scenario period. This change is tested to be robust and found in all models and in all sub-regions. We find a detectable increase that scales with increased warming, making the increase in the PDF difference a relative indicator of climate change level. Furthermore, the crossover point separating decreasing from increasing contributions to the normalised precipitation spectrum when climate changes does not show any significant change which is in accordance with expectations assuming a simple analytical fit to the precipitation spectrum. 相似文献
10.
A regional numerical model of the atmosphere was applied to an inland sea, the Seto Inland Sea in Japan, to study the influence
of sea-surface temperature (SST) variations, accompanied by a tidal front, on the coastal winds in summer when tidal fronts
fully develop. After confirmation of the model performance, two sensitivity simulations, which used spatially uniform SST
with the highest and lowest values over the study area, were performed. The control and sensitivity simulations show that
the mean wind speeds were apparently reduced by the low SST and the SST gradient accompanying the tidal front. The comparison
of the terms in the momentum equations in control and sensitivity simulations indicates that the change of the perturbation
pressure gradient force with the SST gradient is the most important factor in the modification of near-surface winds with
SST variations. When the air flows across a tidal front, the air cools over the low SST area and warms over the high SST area.
Consequently, the surface perturbation pressure increases over the low SST area and decreases over the high SST area. This
adjustment in surface perturbation pressure produces an additional pressure gradient force with direction from the low SST
area to the high SST area that decelerates the surface wind in the area upwind of the tidal front and accelerates the surface
wind downwind of the tidal front. 相似文献
11.
Effects of mixing on water mass subduction are analyzed in the South Pacific Ocean. Model simulations using a passive tracer and its adjoint are employed in conjunction with a particle tracking method to distinguish effects of mixing from those of advection. The results show that mixing processes can contribute to as much as 20% of the overall subduction rate in the South Pacific. Of this mixing contribution, about 30% can be attributed to meso-scale eddies, including their associated bolus transport, while the major part (70%) is due to other diabatic processes. The impact of mixing reaches its maximum near the Sub-Antarctic Front, accounting for nearly 30% of the total subduction rate. Consequently, estimates based on tracing particles or on advection alone may significantly underestimate the subduction rate in the South Pacific Ocean. 相似文献
12.
我国3—5月冷空气活动频繁,温度变化剧烈,且沙尘天气频发。为检验数值模式的预报效果,积累预报经验,对T213模式96小时预报产品进行检验分析,并与ECMWF及日本模式的预报结果进行对比分析。结果表明:T213、ECMWF及日本模式的中期预报性能均较好。相对地,ECMWF在对中高纬度大型环流的调整及副热带高压主体的预报方面,日本模式在对850hPa温度的预报方面能力稍强。另外,选取2007年5月8—10日发生在我国的一次沙尘天气个例,分析发现T213与ECMWF模式对于引发此次沙尘天气的地面强风的中期预报指示意义较好,日本模式稍差。 相似文献
13.
Summary A one-dimensional chemistry-boundary layer model was used to study the effects of differing representations of atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) processes on simulated concentrations of passive and chemically reactive tracers. Two local- and two nonlocal-closure ABL schemes were used to perform numerical simulations during convective conditions in the ABL. Observational data from the First International Statellite Land Surface Climatology Project (ISLSCP) Field Experiment (FIFE) were used to provide initial meteorological conditions while representative chemical concentrations and surface and elevated emission rates were used to provide initial chemical conditions and chemical sources to the one-dimensional model. Two sets of numerical simulations were performed using the four ABL schemes. The first set simulated bottom-to-top mixing characteristics, and the second set simulated top-to-bottom mixing characteristics. Model simulations were performed for 12h starting from 0700LT 11 July 1987.Our analysis indicate that the simulated concentrations of both passive and reactive chemical species were sensitive to the type of ABL scheme used to represent turbulent mixing processes. Characteristic features associated with each scheme (e.g., growth and intensity of mixing in the ABL) contributed to the differences among the simulated species concentrations. For some of the chemical species these differences were large, particularly in the surface layer and in the interfacial layers of the ABL. In turn, differences caused by the differing mixing representations resulted in different chemical production/destruction rates. As a consequence, the simulated species concentrations differed among the simulations. We also found that chemical species concentrations were more sensitive to the type of ABL scheme in the bottom-to-top mixing simulations than in the top-to-bottom simulations.With 10 Figures 相似文献
14.
The rate at which, and the processes by which, a passive tracer is stirred and mixed in a turbulent mesoscale eddy field are examined for environmental parameters characteristic of a homogeneous mid-ocean region. The simulated, time-dependent eddy field is obtained by direct integration of the forced/damped barotropic vorticity equation; the dispersal of a spatially localized, instantaneous release of tracer (a “tracer spot”) within the evolving velocity field is subsequently computed from the advective-diffusive equation. An ensemble of 10 independent releases is used to determin the average spreading properties of the tracer spot.On an f-plane, the ensemble-averaged dispersal is approximately isotropic, and is associated with an effective diffusion rate substantially greater than that supported in the absence of turbulent advection. Quantitatively, the effective ensemble-averaged diffusivity is shown to be 0(UL), where U and L are characteristic velocity and length scales of the turbulent flow. This estimate is consistent with the traditional mixing length hypothesis. With the addition of β, the simulated flow field has substantial zonal anisotropy. Ensemble-averaged dispersal of tracer spots is similarly anisotropic, and the overall rate of tracer dispersal is substantially reduced over its f-plane value.Both with and without β, the initial rate at which maximum tracer concentration and total tracer variance decay are given by the approximate law exp[? αγt] where γ is the RMS rate of strain, and α is approximately constant at a value of 0.5. The heightened rate of variance loss over that associated with pure (subgridscale) diffusion is shown to be accommodated by the rapid transfer of tracer variance from the largest to the shortest scale tracer features, that is, by the rapid sharpening of tracer gradients by turbulent advection. A detailed examination of the dispersal of individual tracer realizations, and the associated question of tracer streakiness, is given in part II of this work (Keffer and Haidvogel, in preparation). 相似文献
15.
Shifts of means are not a proxy for changes in extreme winter temperatures in climate projections 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Changes in the severity of extreme weather events under the influence of the enhanced greenhouse effect could have disproportionally
large effects compared to changes in the mean climate. Here, we explored the meteorological circumstances of extremes and
changes therein using two 49-member climate model ensembles for reference (1961–1990) and scenario (2051–2080) greenhouse-gas
concentrations. We have focused on daily-mean surface-air temperatures over the Northern Hemisphere in January. Over large
parts of the continents, changes in the one-in-10-year temperature events are influenced at least as much by changes in the
shape of the probability distribution functions (PDFs) as by shifts in the mean. In coastal areas, this is largely attributable
to changes in the large-scale circulation, for those types of extremes linked to infrequent wind directions. In other areas,
the inhomogeneous mean warming, increasing inland and polewards, affects the tails of the local temperature PDFs. Temperature
extremes in widely different regions were found to be linked by a large-scale circulation anomaly pattern, which resembles
the Arctic Oscillation. In the scenario ensemble, this anomaly pattern favors its positive phase, leading to enhanced probabilities
of westerly winds in a belt around the Northern Hemisphere. 相似文献
16.
梅雨锋强降水与低空急流日变化的观测分析和数值模拟 总被引：6，自引：4，他引：6
利用地面加密自动站逐小时观测资料和ERA-Interim再分析资料,分析了2011年6月江淮流域的5次强降水过程和西南低空急流的日变化特征。发现强降水的日变化与西南低空急流的日变化一致:02—08时增强,14时减弱。这主要是由于夜间边界层内的惯性振荡,导致西南低空急流增强从而使得梅雨锋水汽通量辐合增强,降水增强;而白天由于边界层混合摩擦力增大,致使西南低空急流减弱或消失,降水减弱。WRF数值模拟试验不仅重现了观测的日变化特征,而且证实了江淮暴雨和西南低空急流的日变化主要是由非地转风的日变化造成:白天边界层混合强,风为次地转;而夜间边界层混合消失,气压梯度力和科氏力平衡的惯性振荡使得风为超地转 相似文献
17.
Turbulence in a non-strongly stably stratified large-eddy simulation (LES) case is studied through probability density functions (PDFs) to obtain additional information than that provided by classical LES averages. The PDFs are computed for one hour within the steady-state regime at three different levels: near the surface, in the middle and at the top of the boundary layer, for the wind components and the temperature. The physical significance of these PDFs from LES is discussed and they are compared to those obtained from observations. The analysis of the eddy structures within the stably stratified boundary layer is made through the combined study of the fields, the spectra and the statistical moments obtained from the PDFs and joint PDFs. The homogeneity of the fields is inspected through a comparison of the ensemble to the temporal and the spatial PDFs, showing that the ergodic theorem is not fulfilled. To this end, the sensitivity of the PDF moments to the LES resolution is explored. 相似文献
18.
凹坑地形风流结构对污染物散布的模拟研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
利用建立的三维非静力高分辨率高阶湍流闭合模式与随机游动扩散模式研究了一个深凹露天矿区污染物散布的规律,同时在风洞中进行了示踪实验。结果表明,由于凹坑内复环流结构的存在,使得坑内污染物浓度较大,且浓度最大值出现在源的上风侧。数值试验与风洞试验结果吻合较好。 相似文献
19.
Sensitivity of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulation of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) in 1993 to solar radiation parameterizations and ozone absorption was investigated. Three numerical experiments were conducted using the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/Department of Energy (NCEP/DOE) and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis data as time-varying surface and lateral boundary forcings, respectively: (a) a control run (“CTL”) with the Dudhia radiation scheme and the model top placed at 50 hPa, (b) the “SWG” experiment which is the same as the CTL except the Goddard radiation scheme, and (3) the “SWT” run which is the same as the SWG but the model top was raised to 5 hPa and the vertical levels increased from 31 to 35. The use of the Goddard scheme results in considerable improvement in reproducing the model’s thermal structures, such as zonal mean air temperature, its latitudinal gradient and vertically integrated temperature. This leads to better agreements in the simulation of the upper tropospheric zonal winds through the thermal wind relationship which, in turn, rectifies the lowlevel circulations through dynamical coupling between the upper and lower troposphere. The Taylor diagram analysis quantitatively indicates that the SWT and the SWG are discernable from each other with slightly improved simulations in the SWT. This suggests a nontrivial role of ozone absorption and accompanied stratospheric heating in EASM simulation. 相似文献
20.
Boreal winter North Atlantic climate change since 1950 is well described by a trend in the leading spatial structure of variability, known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Through diagnoses of ensembles of atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) experiments, we demonstrate that this climate change is a response to the temporal history of sea surface temperatures (SSTs). Specifically, 58 of 67 multi-model ensemble members (87%), forced with observed global SSTs since 1950, simulate a positive trend in a winter index of the NAO, and the spatial pattern of the multi-model ensemble mean trend agrees with that observed. An ensemble of AGCM simulations with only tropical SST forcing further suggests that variations in these SSTs are of primary importance. The probability distribution function (PDF) of 50-year NAO index trends from the forced simulations are, moreover, appreciably different from the PDF of a control simulation with no interannual SST variability, although chaotic atmospheric variations are shown to yield substantial 50-year trends. Our results thus advance the view that the observed linear trend in the winter NAO index is a combination of a strong tropically forced signal and an appreciable noise component of the same phase. The changes in tropical rainfall of greatest relevance include increased rainfall over the equatorial Indian Ocean, a change that has likely occurred in nature and is physically consistent with the observed, significant warming trend of the underlying sea surface. 相似文献