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1.
本文研究了在基本气流无切变和有切变的情况下地形对低伟大气大尺度定常运动的影响。从赤道β平面的线性化正压原始方程出发,求得一个解析形式的地形影响函数。对它的分析表明:大气的受迫运动不仅取决于越过山脉的基本气流的方向,而且还与山脉所处的纬度以及山脉的尺度有关。当适度的西风越过山脉时,会在背风侧形成地形槽。在线性模式中,基本气流的东西风切变对地形强迫波的经向伸展范围起限制作用。利用本文的模式,对东南亚近赤道地区的气压场和流场进行模拟,其结果与观测事实定性一致。最后,本文还讨论了越赤道气流通道的形成机制。 相似文献
2.
We (1) estimated how the possible changes in wind climate due to climatic change may affect the probability of exceeding critical
wind speeds (CWS) expected to cause significant wind damage within a forest management unit located in southern Sweden, (2)
analysed how the probability of exceeding an approximate CWS as observed in the management unit would change in different
regions in Sweden if expecting a similar kind of forested area to occur in different geographical locations. The topography
of the management unit was relatively gentle and the forests were dominated by Norway spruce (Picea abies (L.) Karst.). Seven regions across Sweden were selected for comparison of possible future probability of damaging wind speed.
The model-system WINDA was modified and used for calculations of the probability of wind damage together with regionally downscaled
climate change scenario (CCS) data. In total, two climate scenarios downscaled using the RCAO model for the control period
1961–1990 and four for the period 2071–2100 were used. The CCSs represent fairly central projections on a 100-year time scale
in terms of global mean warming. Although there is ambiguity between different CCSs, the results indicated that the present
pattern of more windy conditions in southern than in northern Sweden will remain. For most sites the probability of exceeding
the CWS from westerly to south-westerly directions was indicated to remain comparatively high and the probability of damaging
wind from south-westerly to south-easterly directions was indicated to increase in many places. For southernmost Sweden increasing
probability of exceeding the CWS from the north-westerly to south-easterly wind directions were indicated for all but one
CCS. The results were discussed with respect to spatial planning in forestry under a changing wind climate. 相似文献
3.
Climatologically, August is the month with the most tropical cyclone(TC) formation over the western North Pacific(WNP) during the typhoon season. In this study, the reason for abnormal TC activity during August is discussed—especially August 2014, when no TCs formed. The large-scale background of August 2014 is presented, with low-level large-scale easterly anomalies and anticyclonic anomalies dominating over the main TC genesis region, a weak monsoon trough system,and a strong WNP subtropical high(WPSH), leading to significantly reduced low-level convergence, upper-level divergence,and mid-level upward motion. These unfavorable large-scale conditions suppressed convection and cyclogenesis. In August2014, equatorial waves were inactive within the negative phase of the Madden–Julian Oscillation(MJO), with fewer tropical disturbances. Although the low-level vorticity and convection of those disturbances were partly promoted by the convective envelopes of equatorial waves, the integral evolution of disturbances, as well as the equatorial waves, were suppressed when propagating into the negative MJO phase. Moreover, the upper-level potential vorticity(PV) streamers associated with anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking events imported extratropical cold and dry air into the tropics. The peripheral tropospheric dryness and enhanced vertical wind shear by PV streamer intrusion combined with the negative MJO phase were responsible for the absence of TC formation over the WNP in August 2014. 相似文献
4.
Hyun-Gyu Kang Hyeong-Bin Cheong Won-Ho Kim 《Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences》2018,54(1):43-52
The angular momentum for ideal axisymmetric tropical cyclones on the f-plane is investigated with a focus on the total-volume integrated quantity. Budget analysis of the momentum equation at cylindrical coordinates shows that a tropical cyclone loses angular momentum during its development and mature stages due to the dynamical difference between the viscous inward-flow near the surface and the angular momentum conserving outward-flow aloft. The total relative angular momentum of a tropical cyclone, as a result, can be negative (i.e., implying anticyclonic rotation as a whole) despite intense cyclonic wind in the tropospheric layers. This anticyclonic rotation was measured in terms of the super-rotation ratio, the ratio of total relative angular momentum to the planetary angular momentum. Simulations with the numerical model of Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) version 3.4.1 was found to be in favor of the theoretical angular-momentum budget analysis. It was revealed in the numerical simulations that the super-rotation ratio was negative, indicating a sub-rotation, as was predicted by analysis. The sub-rotation ratio was found to be less than one percent for typical tropical cyclones. To show the angular momentum decrease even in the decaying stage, numerical simulations where the thermal forcing by sea surface temperature switched off in the mature stage were carried out. In support of the angular momentum budget analysis, the results indicated that the angular momentum also decreases for a while soon after the forcing was eliminated. 相似文献
5.
Summary
The aim of this study was to investigate possible effects of two hypothetical scenarios of the urbanization of Zagreb’s surroundings
on the local winds, which are established under summertime anticyclonic conditions. For this purpose, the nonhydrostatic mesoscale
meteorological model MEMO was applied to the greater Zagreb area. Three simulations were performed. One employed the current
land-use distribution, while the other two corresponded to an increase of the densely urbanized area by 12.5% (test 1) and
37.5% (test 2), respectively. Apart from the hypothetically urbanized areas, where average surface wind speed reductions of
8% and 18% were obtained for test 1 and test 2, respectively, the rest of the domain was not significantly affected by hypothetical
urbanization. The differences between the wind vectors for the predicted current state and the hypothetical state were more
pronounced and found at higher altitudes during the night compared to daytime values. For all three simulations the same diurnal
variation of the depth of anabatic/katabatic wind flow generated on south-facing slopes of 1 km high mountain Medvednica was
obtained. During the night the depth of well-developed katabatic flow was about 370 m, while during the day the depth of anabatic
flow grew from about 550 m in the late morning up to about 1140 m in the late afternoon.
Received October 27, 2000 Revised August 4, 2001 相似文献
6.
北大西洋海表面温度锋与大西洋风暴路径及大气大尺度异常的关系研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
运用NCEP、Had ISST再分析资料,北大西洋涛动(NAO)月指数序列,探讨了海表面温度(SST)锋的时空变化特征,揭示了北大西洋SST锋的主要气候变率及其与北大西洋风暴轴和大气大尺度环流异常的关系。研究表明,剔除季节循环后的SST锋显示其最主要变率为锋区的向南/北摆动,其对应的风暴轴发生相应的西南/东北移动,并同时在北大西洋上空对应一个跨海盆的位势高度负/正异常。这种环流异常可引起高纬度海平面气压(SLP)的反气旋/气旋式环流,这有利于增强海表面风对大洋副极地环流的负/正涡度异常输入,进一步减弱/加强了高纬度上层冷水向SST锋区的输送。北大西洋SST锋的另一主要模态为锋区在南北方向的分支和合并。当SST锋异常在40°N~45°N以单支形式加强时,对流层位势高度场和SLP南北梯度增大,对应NAO正位相,此时风暴轴也为单支型;同时SLP异常场促使冰岛附近具有气旋式风应力异常,亚速尔地区具有反气旋式风应力异常,导致副极地环流和副热带环流均加强,增加高纬度冷水和低纬度暖水在锋区的输入,从而进一步增强40°N~45°N附近的SST锋区。当SST锋异常在40°N~45°N纬带南北发生分支时,风暴轴也同时出现北强南弱的南北分支,此时对应了负位相NAO,来自北南的冷暖水输送减弱,SST锋也发生减弱分支。此外,位于大洋内区的SST锋东端也存在一个偶极子型的模态,尽管其解释方差相对较小,但仍与偏东北的NAO型具有显著相关。谱分析表明,北大西洋SST锋与风暴轴具有1~3年和年代际共振,与中高纬大尺度环流也存在周期1~3年的共变信号,其中准一年共变信号体现了SST锋和NAO之间的对应关系。进一步诊断分析表明,SST锋上空的近表层大气斜压性和经向温度梯度随着SST锋的增强而增强,经向热通量的向北输送导致涡动有效位能的增加;海洋的非绝热加热产生更强的垂直热量通量,这有利于涡动有效位能释放成为涡动动能,从而表现为该区域的风暴轴加强,并进一步影响风暴轴中的天气尺度扰动与下游大尺度环流异常的相互作用过程。 相似文献
7.
1950年平均经圈环流与角动量的平衡 总被引：4，自引：2，他引：4
本文利用了Buch和Starr与White所计算的1950年各纬度上空的平均经向风速([V]),绘制了子午面上的平均环流(全年:图1,冬季:图2,夏季:图3),图中显示出三个环型(cell),低纬度和高纬度的两个正环型与中纬度的逆环型。 1950年平均西风急流的位置正好处于中纬度的逆环流之中。全年平均的赤道辐合线位于北纬5°左右。自夏至冬三个环型均向北移,冬季半球Hadley环型伸向夏季半球去。三个环型的强度都是冬季大。 对于1950年北半球10°—70°的角动量平衡也作了分析(图4),并绘制了这个空间中角动量输送流线图(图5),其中应该提出,就是通过东西风的界面流线是铅直的,也就是总的来说,在东风带里产生的角动量不是在水平方向上输送到西风带里去,而是在铅直方向上输送到低纬度的高空西风里去,再由那里在水平方向上送到中高纬度去。 最后对于平均纬圈环流的维持也作了讨论,结论是:在中高纬度大型扰动起着主导作用,在低纬度则平均经圈环流是重要的。 相似文献
8.
To understand the diversity of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) under the background of Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) during recent decades, characteristics of westerly wind bursts (WWBs) during positive and negative phases of the PDO were analyzed. It is shown that, during the ENSO developing period, the El Niño evolution may be affected by stronger or more frequent WWBs in the positive PDO phase than in the negative PDO phase. The sustained effects of atmospheric dynamics on the equatorial ocean can be indicated by the accumulated WWB strength, which contains most WWB characteristics, including the accumulated days, occurrence frequency, strength, and spatial range of WWBs. The synoptic/climate systems that are directly related to WWBs show a wider spatial distribution in the positive PDO phase than in the negative PDO phase. 相似文献
9.
Summary Teleconnections between the seasonal rainfall anomalies of March through May (“long-rains”) over eastern Africa (Uganda,
Kenya and Tanzania) and the lower equatorial stratospheric (30-mb) zonal winds for the 32-year period 1964–1995 are examined
using statistical methods. The analysis is based on the application of the simple correlation method and QBO/rainfall composite
analysis. A statistical study of spatial correlation patterns is made in an effort to understand the climatic associations
between the equatorial stratospheric zonal wind and regional rainfall at the interannual scale. The aim of this analysis is
to establish whether this global signal can be employed as predictor variable in the long-range forecasts. The study is part
of an ongoing investigation, which aims at designing a comprehensive and objective, multi-variate-forecast system of seasonal
rainfall over eastern Africa. The correlation parameters include simultaneous (zero lag), and the non-zero lag correlations.
The statistical significance of the correlation coefficient [r] is tested based on the Monte Carlo t-statistical method, and
the standard correlation tables.
Our results indicate significant positive simultaneous and non-zero lag correlations between rainfall over parts of East Africa
and lower equatorial stratospheric zonal wind during the months of March–May and June–August. Significantly high correlations
are concentrated over the western regions of eastern Africa with peak values of (+ 0.8) observed over these areas. These associations
have been observed to be more prominent during lag than in the simultaneous correlations. Strong month to month lag coherence
is observed after June prior to the onset of the March to May seasonal rainfall and persists for more than 4 months. Correlation
indices for the eight homogeneous rainfall regions over eastern Africa which are derived from our Empirical Orthogonal Function/Cluster
analysis shows a clear annual cycle with significant relationships between QBO and seasonal rainfall occurring during boreal
summer (June–August). The season with the weakest relationship is December–February. It is however, noted that although the
coherence between QBO-Index and rainfall during the long-rains is significantly high, there are some wet/dry years for which
the relationship between the long rains and the lower equatorial zonal wind are not significant (for example in 1966, 1973
and 1983). These years have been associated with strong and prolonged ENSO events. Preliminary comparison of the QBO-Index
and the newly found Indian Ocean dipole mode index (DMI) indicates that the two climate variables may be significantly related.
Of the six high dipole mode events in the Indian Ocean that were observed in 1961, 1967, 1972, 1982, 1994 and 1997, all except
1967 coincided with the easterly phase of the QBO-Index and below normal rainfall over western highlands of eastern Africa.
Contingency analyses indicate 60 percent likelihood for the occurrence of above normal rainfall during the westerly phase
of the QBO and 63 percent likelihood of below normal rainfall during the east phase of the QBO. Our correlation analysis results
indicate that about 36 percent of the variability of the long-rains season over eastern Africa are associated with the QBO-Index.
Our results further show that the tendency of the lower equatorial stratosphe ric zonal wind prior to the season is a good
indicator of the performance of the long rains of eastern Africa. A positive OND minus JJA QBO trend is a good indicator for
the non-occurrence of drought over eastern Africa. Similarly, a negative trend is a good indicator for the non-occurrence
of high rainfall over the region. The identified characteristics and domain of influence of the QBO signal in different regions
of East Africa suggests that this global oscillator may offer useful input to objective multi-variate rainfall prediction
models for eastern Africa.
Received June 4, 1999 Revised November 25, 1999 相似文献
10.
L. Zubair 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2002,71(1-2):119-127
Summary Hourly measurements of surface winds at Sita Eliya (6° 58′ N, 80° 46′ E, 1860 m a.s.l.) located atop the North-South mountain ridge in Sri Lanka were analyzed to investigate the diurnal and seasonal variation
in the wind climate. Surface winds are dominated by the monsoon regimes, with Northeasterlies from November to January, Southwesterlies
from February to May and Westerlies and Northwesterlies from June to October. Through most of the year, the average wind speed
is around 6–8 m/s. However from June to August, it is around 10–14 m/s. Wind in June is gusty due the location of the low-level
Easterly jet over Sri Lanka. The wind undergoes a reversal in both zonal and meridional directions in March and November coincident
with the migration of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone. Notwithstanding the period from May to September being designated
as the Southwest monsoon, the wind is from West, South-West-West and North-North-West. During the Southwest monsoon, wind
speed during the night is nearly as high as that during the day. This anomalous diurnal variation in wind speeds may be related
to orographic influences. The high wind speeds at Sita Eliya, in conjunction with the moderate diurnal and seasonal variability
in wind speed, is suitable for wind-energy generation.
Received January 2, 2001 Revised May 26, 2001 相似文献
11.
A climate regime shift (CRS) in the Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) pattern was identified in 1996/1997. This decadal SST change is characterized by a warming over the equatorial western Pacific (EWP) and mid-latitude North and South Pacific and a cooling in the equatorial central Pacific (ECP). The large-scale atmospheric circulation change associated with this CRS exhibits a pair of low-level anticyclonic (cyclonic) gyres off the EWP (ECP) and a zonal-vertical overturning circulation anomaly along the equator. Both the empirical orthogonal function and singular vector decomposition analyses indicate that the CRS signal in 1996/1997 is robust. A mixed layer heat budget analysis suggests that the abrupt change of SST in the EWP and ECP is attributed to different physical processes. The abrupt warming over the EWP was initiated by a short wave radiation (SWR) anomaly in association with a preceding warming in the ECP. The cooling in the ECP happened about 6 months later than that of the EWP and was primarily attributed to anomalous oceanic zonal and vertical temperature advections. 相似文献
12.
The possibility of using a nonlinear empirical atmospheric model for hybrid coupled atmosphere-ocean modelling has been examined
by using a neural network (NN) model for predicting the contemporaneous wind stress field from the upper ocean state. Upper
ocean heat content (HC) from a 6-layer ocean model was a better predictor of the wind stress than the (observed or modelled)
sea surface temperature (SST). Our results showed that the NN model generally had slightly better skills in predicting the
contemporaneous wind stress than the linear regression (LR) model in the off-equatorial tropical Pacific and in the eastern
equatorial Pacific. When the wind stresses from the NN and LR models were used to drive the ocean model, slightly better SST
skills were found in the off-equatorial tropical Pacific and in the eastern equatorial Pacific when the NN winds were used
instead of the LR winds. Better skills for the model HC were found in the western and central equatorial Pacific when the
NN winds were used instead of the LR winds. Why NN failed to show more significant improvement over LR in the equatorial Pacific
for the wind stress and SST is probably because the relationship between the surface ocean and the atmosphere in the equatorial
Pacific over the seasonal time scale is almost linear.
Received: 2 March 1999 / Accepted: 13 July 2000 相似文献
13.
Akio Kitoh 《Climate Dynamics》2007,28(7-8):781-796
How climate changes will modify the behavior of El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is one of the important questions in future climate projections. An investigation under different climate forcing gives us a good insight on the mechanism of ENSO variability and its changes. In this paper, sensitivity on ENSO by progressive mountain uplift is investigated with an atmosphere–ocean coupled general circulation model. We used eight different mountain heights: 0% (no mountain), 20, 40, 60, 80, 100 (control run), 120, and 140%. Land–sea distribution is the same for all experiments and all mountains in the world are uniformly varied. Systematic changes in precipitation and circulation fields as well as SST are obtained with progressive mountain uplift. In the summertime, the precipitation area moved inland of the Asian continent with mountain uplift, while the Pacific subtropical anticyclone and associated trade winds became stronger. The western Pacific warm pool and ENSO also systematically changed. When the mountain height is low, a warm pool is located over the central Pacific due to weak trade winds in the Pacific. The model ENSO is strongest, its frequency longest, and is most periodic in the no mountain run. The model ENSO becomes weaker, shorter and less periodic when the mountain height increases. Strengthening the mean state trade winds and narrowing meridional extent of equatorial wind and ocean response by mountain uplift would be responsible for ENSO modulation. 相似文献
14.
ENSO dynamics and seasonal cycle in the tropical Pacific as simulated by the ECHAM4/OPYC3 coupled general circulation model 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
The new version of the atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM), ECHAM4, at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology,
Hamburg, has been coupled to the OPYC3 isopycnic global ocean general circulation and sea ice model in a multi-century present-day
climate simulation. Non-seasonal constant flux adjustment for heat and freshwater was employed to ensure a long-term annual
mean state close to present-day climatology. This study examines the simulated upper ocean seasonal cycle and interannual
variability in the tropical Pacific for the first 100 years. The coupled model’s seasonal cycle of tropical Pacific SSTs is
satisfactory with respect to both the warm pool variation and the Central and Eastern Pacific, with significant errors only
in the cold tongue around April. The cold phase cold tongue extent and strength is as observed, and for this the heat flux
adjustment does not play a decisive role. A well-established South Pacific convergence zone is characteristic for the new
AGCM version. Apart from extending the southeast trades seasonal maximum to midbasin, wind stress pattern and strength are
captured. Overall the subsurface structure is consistent with the observed, with a pronounced thermocline at about 150 m depth
in the west and rising to the surface from 160 °W to 100 °W. The current system is better resolved than in some previous global
models and, on the whole, has the expected shape. The equatorial undercurrent is correctly positioned but the core is only
half as strong as observed. The north equatorial current and counter-current also have reduced maximum speeds but the April
minimum is captured. As with the companion publication from Roeckner et al. this study finds pronounced tropical Eastern and
Central Pacific interannual variability. Simulated and observed NINO3 sea surface temperature (SST) variability is represented
by a single, rather broadband, maximum of power spectral density, centered on about 28 months for the simulation and four
years for the observations. For simulation and observations, SST, windstress, and upper ocean heat content each exhibit a
single dominant large-scale amplitude and phase pattern, suggesting that the model captures the essential dynamics. The amplitude
of the essentially standing oscillation in SST in the NINO3 region attains the observed strength, but is weaker at the eastern
boundary. Anomalies of upper ocean heat content show off-equatorial westward and equatorial eastward propagation, the latter’s
arrival in the east of the basin coinciding with the SST anomalies. Equatorial wind stress anomalies near the date line provide
the appropriate forcing and clearly form a response to the anomalous SST.
Received: 14 June 1996 / Accepted: 11 November 1997 相似文献
15.
1991～1994年El Niño的异常特征的诊断研究 总被引：3，自引：1，他引：2
1991～1994年热带中东太平洋海温持续4a多出现正距平。Niño3指数一直为正值。在此正距平背景下,产生了两次振荡和3次ElNiño暖期。在此期间赤道东太平洋海温在±5°纬度范围内发生了两次负距平的变化,形成了一个狭窄的温度梯度很大的“冷核”,而赤道外的中纬度海洋则持续维持两个正海温距平。这一时期海表温度资料EOF分析的结果进一步表明,第一特征向量的空间分布实际上反映了上述冷核特征。1991～1994年的ENSO事件主要是低频分量发生了较大异常,赤道低层纬向风和高层西风在前期减弱(1991-01-1992-05),后期加强(1992-06-1994-011).无论是海温还是风场的低频分量都表现出一次ENSO循环的特征。因此作者认为,虽然Niño3指数等在这4a多期间均为正值,但是大气和海洋耦合系统的低频变化部分只发生了一次完整的ENSO循环过程。1991年至1992年上半年对应于ElNiño暖位相,1992年下半年至1994年底对应于LaNina冷位相。但是这个冷位相没有能够得到充分发展,只出现两次极狭窄的冷核。冷位相的明显“夭折”,而代之以出现两次较弱的增暖,可能与季节内尺度的大气强迫与低频变化部分的相互作用有关。 相似文献
16.
北京地区暖季对流天气的气候特征 总被引：10，自引：2，他引：10
对北京地区最近12年暖季(5—9月)雷暴、冰雹、暴雨和大风等各种对流天气进行了气候统计和分析。统计结果表明:北京地区暖季发生对流的概率很高,按日数统计的气候概率达47.77%,大风、暴雨和冰雹气候概率分别为27.29%、10.84%和6.29%。暴雨多发季节为7月中旬到8月上旬。冰雹集中于6月中、下旬。在对流天气的地理分布上,北京西北部、东北部山区及西南部山区多对流天气,中心区和东南部平原地区对流天气较少。暴雨呈西南—东北方向带状分布,东北部山区、中部和东南部平原地区多发生暴雨,而西北部和西南部山区很少发生暴雨。山区冰雹明显多于平原。西北部和东北部山区大风偏多。暴雨有明显的夜发性。冰雹集中发生在午后到傍晚,占冰雹总站次的76.72%。 相似文献
17.
A model of the planetary boundary layer is used to determine the field of vertical motion over large-scale orography. This model represents Ekman boundary-layer dynamics modified by the inclusion of accelerations of the geostrophic wind under the geostrophic momentum approximation. The orography is represented by a circular mountain. The inviscid solution is provided by the sum of a constant translation and a steady, uniform potential vorticity, anticyclonic vortex. The boundary-layer solution vanishes on the mountain, but is matched to the inviscid solution as the top of the boundary layer is approached. The vertical velocity field at the top of the boundary layer is determined by integration of the continuity equation. The field of motion is largely determined by descent from above into the anticyclonic circulation, as in the classical Ekman model. Contributions that arise from the inclusion of accelerations are associated with boundary-layer advection and ageostrophic divergence that produce vorticity tendencies. Finally, the boundary-layer vertical motion is shown to be comparable in magnitude to the vertical motion forced by inviscid flow over the orography, although the distributions of each are significantly different. Effects of mountain asymmetry and a changing pressure field, that can be treated more fully by numerical model simulations, are not considered in the present study.On leave at the University of Colorado, 1990. 相似文献
18.
The role of spring Wyrtki jets in modulating the equatorial Indian Ocean and the regional climate is an unexplored problem. The source of interannual variability in the spring Wyrtki jets is explored in this study. The relationship between intraseasonal and interannual variability from 1958 to 2008 and its relation with Indian Summer Monsoon is further addressed. Analysis reveals that the interannual variability in spring Wyrtki jets is controlled significantly by their intraseasonal variations. These are mostly defined by a single intraseasonal event of duration 20 days or more which either strengthens or weakens the seasonal mean jet depending on its phase. The strong spring jets are driven by such intraseasonal westerly wind bursts lasting for 20-days or more, whereas the weak jets are driven by weaker intraseasonal westerlies. During the years of strong jets, the conventional westward phase propagation of Wyrtki jets is absent and instead there is an eastward phase propagation indicating the possible role of Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) in strengthening the spring Wyrtki jets. These strong intraseasonal westerly wind bursts with eastward phase propagation during strong years are observed mainly in late spring and have implications on June precipitation over the Indian and adjoining land mass. Anomalously strong eastward jets accumulate warm water in the eastern equatorial Indian Ocean (EIO), leading to anomalous positive upper ocean heat content and supporting more local convection in the east. This induces subsidence over the Indian landmass and alters monsoon rainfall by modulating monsoon Hadley circulation. In case of weak current years such warm anomalies are absent over the eastern EIO. Variations in the jet strength are found to have strong impact on sea level anomalies, heat content, salinity and sea surface temperature over the equatorial and north Indian Ocean making it a potentially important player in the north Indian Ocean climate variability. 相似文献
19.
G. A. Meehl P. R. Gent J. M. Arblaster B. L. Otto-Bliesner E. C. Brady A. Craig 《Climate Dynamics》2001,17(7):515-526
Historically, El Nino-like events simulated in global coupled climate models have had reduced amplitude compared to observations.
Here, El Nino-like phenomena are compared in ten sensitivity experiments using two recent global coupled models. These models
have various combinations of horizontal and vertical ocean resolution, ocean physics, and atmospheric model resolution. It
is demonstrated that the lower the value of the ocean background vertical diffusivity, the greater the amplitude of El Nino
variability which is related primarily to a sharper equatorial thermocline. Among models with low background vertical diffusivity,
stronger equatorial zonal wind stress is associated with relatively higher amplitude El Nino variability along with more realistic
east–west sea surface temperature (SST) gradient along the equator. The SST seasonal cycle in the eastern tropical Pacific
has too much of a semiannual component with a double intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ) in all experiments, and thus does
not affect, nor is it affected by, the amplitude of El Nino variability. Systematic errors affecting the spatial variability
of El Nino in the experiments are characterized by the eastern equatorial Pacific cold tongue regime extending too far westward
into the warm pool. The time scales of interannual variability (as represented by time series of Nino3 SSTs) show significant
power in the 3–4 year ENSO band and 2–2.5 year tropospheric biennial oscillation (TBO) band in the model experiments. The
TBO periods in the models agree well with the observations, while the ENSO periods are near the short end of the range of
3–6 years observed during the period 1950–94. The close association between interannual variability of equatorial eastern
Pacific SSTs and large-scale SST patterns is represented by significant correlations between Nino3 time series and the PC
time series of the first EOFs of near-global SSTs in the models and observations.
Received: 17 April 2000 / Accepted: 17 August 2000 相似文献
20.
Utilizing Eliassen’s concepts, the forcing of the isentropic azimuthally-averaged mass-weighted radial-vertical circulation by diabatic heating and torques within an extratropical cyclone and a typhoon was studied through nu-merical simulations based on the linear diagnostic equation derived previously. The structure of the forcing associated with diabatic heating and torques was determined from quasi-Lagrangian diagnostic analyses of actual case studies. The two cyclones studied were the Ohio extratropical cyclone of 25-27 January 1978 and typhoon Nancy of 18-23 September 1979. The Ohio cyclone, which formed over the Gulf Coast and moved through Ohio and eastern Michigan, was one of the most intense storms with blizzard conditions to ever occur in this region. Typhoon Nancy which occurred over the South China Sea during the FGGE year was selected since relatively high quality assimilated data were available. Within the Ohio cyclone, the dominant internal processes forcing the mean circulation with em-bedded relatively strong hydrodynamic stability were the pressure torque associated with baroclinic (asymmetric) structure and the horizontal eddy angular momentum transport associated with the typical S-shaped thermal and wind structures of self-development. Within typhoon Nancy, the dominant internal process forcing the mean circula-tion with embedded weak hydrodynamic stability was the latent heat release. This analysis shows that the simulated azimuthally-averaged mass-weighted radial motions within these two cy?clones agree quite well with the “observed” azimuthally-averaged mass-weighted radial motions. This isentropic nu?merical study also provides insight into the relatively important internal forcing processes and the trade off between forcing and stability within both extratropical and tropical cyclones. 相似文献