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1.
The interpretation of geodetic data in volcanic areas is usually based on analytical deformation models. Although numerical finite element (FE) modelling allows realistic features such as topography and crustal heterogeneities to be included, the technique is not computationally convenient for solving inverse problems using classical methods. In this paper, we develop a general tool to perform inversions of geodetic data by means of 3-D FE models. The forward model is a library of numerical displacement solutions, where each entry of the library is the surface displacement due to a single stress component applied to an element of the grid. The final solution is a weighted combination of the six stress components applied to a single element-source. The pre-computed forward models are implemented in a global search algorithm, followed by an appraisal of the sampled solutions. After providing extended testing, we apply the method to model the 1993–1997 inflation phase at Mt Etna, documented by GPS and EDM measurements. We consider four different forward libraries, computed in models characterized by homogeneous/heterogeneous medium and flat/topographic free surface. Our results suggest that the elastic heterogeneities of the medium can significantly alter the position of the inferred source, while the topography has minor effect. 相似文献
2.
Monitoring lava dome instabilities is crucial to efficiently monitor active dome building volcanoes. The Doppler radar technique provides a unique opportunity to gather information about the number of instability events occurring at the growing dome and about the dynamic processes that take place during different types of instabilities. So far, three different kinds of processes have been identified: sliding material, gravitational break-offs and explosive outbursts. In addition, Doppler radars provide rain measurements, which can be used to investigate possible correlations between rainfall and dome activity. Two radar systems have been installed at Merapi volcano in October 2001 and January 2005 to continuously monitor dome instabilities. Due to the large number of instability events that occur during times of high activity, manual processing and analysis of instability events is not practical for monitoring purposes. Therefore, an automatic classification system has been developed, which is capable of identifying different kinds of instabilities as well as rainfall. Two different kinds of classifier models have been applied: (1) neural network and (2) K-nearest-neighbour classifier model. Both classify Doppler spectra according to the underlying dynamic process, that is, rain, sliding material, gravitational break-off or explosive outburst. The classifiers are able to identify disturbances, which have no physical source, but are merely artefacts from the radar device itself. Because radar events are sequences of Doppler spectra, a rule set has been defined, which finally determines the event class. All classifiers have been trained and tested on independent data sets to estimate the classification performance. The overall classification rate is about 90 per cent. Discrimination of instabilities and non-volcanic events reaches about 98 per cent accuracy. 相似文献
3.
Propagation of vertical and horizontal source data errors into a TIN with linear interpolation 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Lei Fan Joel Smethurst Peter Atkinson William Powrie 《International journal of geographical information science》2014,28(7):1378-1400
Digital elevation models (DEMs) have been widely used for a range of applications and form the basis of many GIS-related tasks. An essential aspect of a DEM is its accuracy, which depends on a variety of factors, such as source data quality, interpolation methods, data sampling density and the surface topographical characteristics. In recent years, point measurements acquired directly from land surveying such as differential global positioning system and light detection and ranging have become increasingly popular. These topographical data points can be used as the source data for the creation of DEMs at a local or regional scale. The errors in point measurements can be estimated in some cases. The focus of this article is on how the errors in the source data propagate into DEMs. The interpolation method considered is a triangulated irregular network (TIN) with linear interpolation. Both horizontal and vertical errors in source data points are considered in this study. An analytical method is derived for the error propagation into any particular point of interest within a TIN model. The solution is validated using Monte Carlo simulations and survey data obtained from a terrestrial laser scanner. 相似文献
4.
The vibration of a fluid-filled crack is considered to be one of the most plausible source mechanisms for the long-period events and volcanic tremors occurring around volcanoes. As a tool for the quantitative interpretation of source process of such volcanic seismic signals, we propose a method to numerically simulate the dynamic response of a fluid-filled crack. In this method, we formulate the motions of the fluid inside and the elastic solid outside of the crack, using boundary integrals in the frequency domain and solve the dynamic interactions between the fluid and the elastic solid using the point collocation method. The present method is more efficient compared with the time-domain finite difference method, which has been used in simulations of a fluid-filled crack and enables us to study the dynamics of a fluid-filled crack over a wide range of physical parameters. The method also allows us direct calculation of the attenuation quality factor of the crack resonance, which is an indispensable parameter for estimating the properties of the fluid inside the crack. The method is also designed to be flexible to many applications, which may be encountered in volcano seismology, and thus, extensions of the method to more complicated problems are promising. 相似文献
5.
The geomorphology of planetary calderas 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Satellite-derived observations of the geomorphology of calderas on Earth, Mars and Venus can be used to learn more about shield volcanoes. Examples of terrestrial basaltic volcanoes from the Galapagos Islands, Hawaii, and the Comoro Islands show how these volcanoes contrast with examples found on Mars and Venus. Caldera structure, degree of infilling, and the location of vents on the flanks are used to interpret each volcano's recent history. The geometry of the caldera floor can be used to infer some of the characteristics of the magma storage system, and the orientation of the deep magma conduits. The formation of benches within the caldera and the effects of the caldera on the distribution of flank eruptions are considered, and it is evident that most calderas on the planets are/were dynamic features. Presently, deep calderas, with evidence of overflowing lavas and ponded lavas high in the caldera wall, show that these calderas were once shallow. Similarly, shallow calderas filled with ponded lavas are evidence that they were once deeper. It is probably a mistake, therefore, to place great significance on caldera depth with regard to the position, shape, or size of subsurface plumbing. 相似文献
6.
极光是由带电粒子经磁层—电离层碰撞大气而产生的。面对形态各异、演变过程复杂的极光图像,对其合理分类为进一步探究日地电磁活动和能量耦合等空间物理问题奠定了基础。针对该问题,引入深度学习的方法,通过卷积神经网络模型自主表征极光特征并实现极光图像分类。该方法对2003年北极黄河站越冬观测的38 044幅和8 001幅典型极光图像分类正确率达93.17%和91.5%;自动识别2004—2009年观测数据的极光形态,4类极光时间分布规律与三波段激发谱能量分布基本一致。实验结果表明,基于卷积神经网络的极光表征方法,能有效实现极光图像的自动分类。 相似文献
7.
Mark S. Bebbington 《Geophysical Journal International》2007,171(2):921-942
We examine the application of Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) to volcanic occurrences. The parameters in HMMs can be estimated from data by means of the Expectation–Maximization (EM) algorithm. Various formulations permit modelling the activity level of a volcano through onset counts, the intensity of a Markov Modulated Poisson Process (MMPP), or through the intervals between onsets. More elaborate models allow investigation of the relationship between durations and reposes. After fitting the model, the Viterbi algorithm can be used to identify the underlying (hidden) activity level of the volcano most consistent with the observations. The HMM readily provides forecasts of the next event, and is easily simulated. Data of flank eruptions 1600–2006 from Mount Etna are used to illustrate the methodology. We find that the volcano has longish periods of Poissonian behaviour, interspersed with less random periods, and that changes in regime may be more frequent than have previously been identified statistically. The flank eruptions of Mount Etna appear to have a complex time-predictable character, which is compatible with transitions between an open and closed conduit system. The relationship between reposes and durations appears to characterize the cyclic nature of the volcanoes activity. 相似文献
8.
积雪是我国西北干旱半干旱区重要的水资源，也是影响全球气候变化的重要因子之一。 目前光学影像反射率和雷达亮温数据是积雪遥感领域的主要数据，本文首次结合两类遥感数据估 算积雪深度，并比较偏最小二乘法和机器学习算法（人工神经网络、支持向量机和随机森林算法） 在积雪深度估算方面的表现。以锡林郭勒盟 2012—2015 年积雪深度数据为例，基于反射率和亮度 温度相结合的积雪深度估算精度优于单个数据源，且随机森林算法表现最好，均方根误差为 2.93 cm，满足实际应用的需求。研究结果对我国西北地区水资源分布、生态环境评估等研究具有重要 意义。 相似文献
9.
We present a method for the retrieval of the phase velocities of surface-wave overtones. The 'single-station' method is successful for several Love and Rayleigh overtone branches (up to at least four) in mode-specific period ranges between 40 and 200 s. It uses mode-branch cross-correlation functions and relies on adjusting the phase and amplitude of the mode branches one at a time. A standard statistical optimization technique is used. We discuss in detail the a priori information that is added to stabilize the retrieval procedure. In addition, we present a technique to estimate the reliability of individual phase and amplitude measurements. The retrieval method and the technique to estimate reliabilities can be used together in a highly automated way, making the methods especially suited for studying the large volume of digital data now available.
We include several applications to synthetic and recorded waveforms. We will discuss in detail an experiment with 90 waveforms that have travelled along very similar paths from Vanuatu to California. For this path, we will present average overtone phase velocities and an average 1-D velocity structure. 相似文献
We include several applications to synthetic and recorded waveforms. We will discuss in detail an experiment with 90 waveforms that have travelled along very similar paths from Vanuatu to California. For this path, we will present average overtone phase velocities and an average 1-D velocity structure. 相似文献
10.
基于路网相关性的分布式增量交通流大数据预测方法 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1
针对城市道路拥堵问题的日益加剧的问题,智能化城市交通管理平台是缓解拥堵问题的有效方法,利用交通流大数据预测结果进行交通诱导,能够指导用户调整出行方案,有效缓解交通压力。研究了交通流大数据的分布式增量聚合方法,对海量交通流数据进行清洗统计,为交通流预测提供数据基础,基于交通流在路网中上下游路段的相关性分析,利用路口转弯率多阶分配将该相关性量化,构建基于路网相关性的空间权重矩阵,完成对于STARIMA模型的改进。通过应用试验证明,该方法能更准确的进行交通流预测,为交通诱导信息发布提供依据。 相似文献
11.
Sentinel-1A合成孔径雷达数据不受云、雾等天气条件的影响并具有丰富的纹理信息，为提取城市建设用地信息提供了一种新的数据源。本文发展了一种基于Sentinel-1A合成孔径雷达数据和全卷积网络的城市建设用地监测方法。该方法的优势主要在于可以有效复合不同极化方式下的Sentinel-1A合成孔径雷达数据和综合集成多尺度特征。在甘肃省张掖市甘州区的应用表明，该方法的提取结果总体精度为92.50%，Kappa系数为0.85。与现有方法“KTH-Pavia城市提取器”相比，Kappa系数提高了37.10%，总体精度提高了11.50%。因此，该方法具有良好的应用潜力。 相似文献
12.
中国粮食生产空间关联网络的结构特征及其形成机制 总被引：3，自引：3，他引：3
基于1996—2018年中国省际粮食生产面板数据,在修正的引力模型准确测算粮食生产空间关联关系及构建空间关联矩阵的基础上,首先运用社会网络分析方法从整体特征、个体特征及块模型3个方面具体考察了粮食生产空间关联网络的结构特征,进一步采用二次指派程序方法探讨其形成机制。研究发现：① 省际粮食生产空间关联的密切程度在波动中提高,但仍有提升空间,网络结构呈现较好的稳定性和可达性,溢出效应具有多重叠加特性;② 省际粮食生产空间关联网络呈现主产区、主销区、平衡区“核心—边缘”分布格局,粮食主产区在网络中处于核心地位,粮食主销区和平衡区则处于边缘地位;③ 粮食生产空间关联网络可划分为净溢出、主受益、经纪人和双向溢出4个板块,板块间的溢出效应具有明显的梯度传递特征;④ 自然禀赋条件与社会经济因素的共同作用推动了粮食生产空间关联网络的形成,地理空间邻近性、经济发展水平与农村劳动力规模、机械服务规模、耕地资源的差异、降水量和日照时数的相近性对粮食生产空间关联网络的形成具有显著影响。 相似文献
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基于神经网络的元胞自动机及模拟复杂土地利用系统 总被引：57，自引：9，他引：57
本文提出了基于神经网络的元胞自动机(CellularAutomata),并将其用来模拟复杂的土地利用系统及其演变。国际上已经有许多利用元胞自动机进行城市模拟的研究,但这些模型往往局限于模拟从非城市用地到城市用地的转变。模拟多种土地利用的动态系统比一般模拟城市演化要复杂得多,需要使用许多空间变量和参数,而确定模型的参数值和模型结构有很大困难。本文通过神经网络、元胞自动机和GIS相结合来进行土地利用的动态模拟,并利用多时相的遥感分类图像来训练神经网络,能十分方便地确定模型参数和模型结构,消除常规模拟方法所带来的弊端。 相似文献
15.
Safaa Zakaria Aldwaik Robert Gilmore Pontius Jr. 《International journal of geographical information science》2013,27(9):1717-1739
Intensity Analysis is a mathematical framework that compares a uniform intensity to observed intensities of temporal changes among categories. Our article summarizes Intensity Analysis and presents a new method to compute the minimum hypothetical error in the data that could account for each observed deviation from a uniform intensity. A larger hypothetical error gives stronger evidence against a hypothesis that a change is uniform. The method produces results for five groups of measurements, which are organized into three levels of analysis: interval, category, and transition. The method applies generally to analysis of changes among categories during time intervals, because the input is a standard contingency table for each time interval. We illustrate the method with a case study concerning change during three time intervals among four land categories in northeastern Massachusetts, USA. Modelers can perform the analysis using our computer program, which is free. 相似文献
16.
基于高铁流的中国城市网络结构特征演变研究 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：1
高铁的网络化发展促进了资源要素的快速流动与重新整合,对城市关系产生了显著的影响,基于高铁流逐渐成为探索城市和区域空间结构的重要视角。论文使用2014—2019年高铁客运班次数据和社会网络分析法,对中国城市网络结构特征演变进行探讨。研究结果表明：① 伴随高铁线网的不断延伸和加密,城市网络整体上由东向西拓展,网络规模扩大、密度提升;② 节点功能和地位的时序变动重塑了网络的空间格局,改变了由少数东部城市主导的网络格局,呈现出多中心、均衡化的发展趋势;③ 从关联形态看,全国尺度上的复杂网络结构取代了区域尺度上的轴带式联系形态,整体上与“八纵八横”网络相对应;④ 城市网络的关联强度逐年提升,形成了4个联系层级,城市间的关系复杂而多样。 相似文献
17.
利用卫星观测的气溶胶光学厚度资料和模式模拟数据,与地面颗粒物观测资料结合,探讨近地面颗粒物质量浓度的估算方法。具体包括：利用区域气侯模式RAMS（Regional Atmospheric Modeling System）模拟的边界层高度对气溶胶光学厚度进行垂直订正,获得近地面颗粒物消光系数;利用模式模拟的相对湿度和颗粒物吸湿增长经验模型对消光系数进行湿度订正,获得近地面颗粒物干消光系数;并基于干消光系数与颗粒物质量浓度地面站点资料建立的统计关系估算获得每个像元的颗粒物质量浓度。利用地面站点观测的颗粒物浓度资料验证表明,基于卫星资料可以获得近地面颗粒物质量浓度,而且细颗粒物质量浓度具有更好的估算精度。 相似文献
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Summary. Within the framework of Newtonian kinematics VLBI observations are analysed with respect to estimability of geodetic and astrometric quantities. An Earth model of either rigid or deformable type is designed; instrumental clock offsets and clock drifts are included. Observational patterns are studied in all detail reviewed in seven tables. Appendix A is an introduction to the set-up of the observational model for a deformable Earth both in terms of coordinate-free and coordinate-related geometry. Appendix B is a study of the invariance characteristics of VLBI observations. Interrelations of three fundamental quantities, length unit, time unit and velocity of light are discussed. An overall result of an Earth model of deformable type is the need of simultaneous observations to more than one source; VLBI time delay observations cannot distinguish between secular changes of network size (expansion or shrinking) and a common secular drift (deceleration or acceleration) of clocks used. 相似文献
20.
Airline networks and the international diffusion of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
In fewer than four months in 2003, severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) spread from China to 25 countries and Taiwan, becoming the first new, easily transmissible infectious disease of the twenty-first century. The role of air transport in the diffusion of the disease became obvious early in the crisis; to assess that role more carefully, this study relates the spatial-temporal pattern of the SARS outbreak to a measure of airline network accessibility. Specifically, the accessibility from those countries that were infected by SARS, beginning with China, to other countries was measured using airline schedules. The country-pair accessibility measure, along with other country-level factors relevant to the disease, were tested as determinants of the speed with which SARS arrived in infected countries as well as its failure to arrive in most countries. The analyses indicate that airline network accessibility was an especially influential variable but also that the importance of this variable diminished in the latter weeks of the outbreak. The latter finding is partly attributable to public health measures, particularly health screening in airports. The timing and geography of those measures are reviewed using data from media reports and interim World Health Organization (WHO) documents during the outbreak. The uneven effort to curtail the international diffusion of SARS suggests further planning is needed to develop a concerted response to contain future epidemics. 相似文献