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1.
High-speed solar wind streams (HSWS) were identified for solar cycles 22 and 23 (up to 2004). Preliminarily, HSWS were classified
in three groups according to their continuous period of occurrence. In the declining phase of solar cycle 23, 2003 is found
to be anomalous, showing a very large number of HSWS events of long duration (> ten days). We have studied the effect of HSWS
on the cosmic-ray intensity as well as their relationship with geomagnetic disturbance index Ap on yearly, daily, and hourly bases. The yearly average of solar-wind speed was also found to be maximum in 2003. Being within
the declining phase of solar activity, the occurrence of solar flares in 2003 is quite low. In particular during HSWS, no
solar flares have been observed. Associations with cosmic-ray changes do not support the notion that the HSWS are usually
effective in producing significant cosmic-ray decreases. Out of 12 HSWS events observed during the period 2002 (December)
to 2003, four events of significant cosmic-ray decreases at all the stations have been selected for further analysis. The
cosmic-ray intensity has been found to decrease during the first phase of the event (first five days of HSWS) at all three
neutron-monitor stations situated at different latitudes with different cutoff rigidities. The rigidity spectra of observed
decreases in cosmic-ray intensity for these four cases have been found to be significantly different than that of Fds (Forbush
decrease). In two cases the spectra are softer, whereas in the other two they are harder than that of Fds. However, if the
average of all four events is considered together then the spectra of the decrease in cosmic rays during HSWS exactly match
that of Fds. Such a result implies that initially individual events should be considered, instead of combining them together,
as was done earlier. The Ap index is also found to generally increase in the first phase of the event. However, the four events selected on the basis
of cosmic-ray decrease are not always associated with enhanced values of the Ap index. As such, the significance of our study is that further detailed investigations for much longer periods and on an event-by-event
basis is required to understand the effect of coronal-hole-associated HSWS. 相似文献
2.
Long-term variations of galactic cosmic rays were compared with the behavior of various solar activity indices and heliospheric
parameters during the current solar cycle. This study continues previous works where the cosmic-ray intensity for the solar
cycles 20, 21, and 22 was well simulated from the linear combination of the sunspot number, the number of grouped solar flares,
and the geomagnetic index A
p. The application of this model to the current solar cycle characterized by many peculiarities and extreme solar events led
us to study more empirical relations between solar-heliospheric variables, such as the interplanetary magnetic field, coronal
mass ejections, and the tilt of the heliospheric current sheet, and cosmic-ray modulation. By analyzing monthly cosmic-ray
data from the Neutron Monitor Stations of Oulu (cutoff rigidity 0.81 GV) and Moscow (2.42 GV) the contribution of these parameters
in the ascending, maximum, and descending phases of the cycle was investigated and it is shown that a combination of these
parameters reproduces the majority of the modulation potential variations during this cycle. The approach applied makes it
possible to better describe the behavior of cosmic rays in the epochs of the solar maxima, which could not be done before.
An extended study of the time profiles, the correlations, and the time lags of the cosmic-ray intensity against these parameters
using the method of minimizing RMS over all the considered period 1996 – 2006 determines characteristic properties of this
cycle as being an odd cycle. Moreover, the obtained hysteresis curves and a correlative analysis during the positive polarity
(qA>0, where q is the particle charge) and during the negative polarity (qA<0) intervals of the cycle result in significantly different behavior between solar and heliospheric parameters. The time
lag and the correlation coefficient of the cosmic-ray intensity are higher for the solar indices in comparison to the heliospheric
ones. A similar behavior also appears in the case of the intervals with positive and negative polarity of the solar magnetic
field. 相似文献
3.
The two components of the solar diurnal variation observed with two detectors characterized by linearly independent coupling functions have been used to estimate the free space anisotropy vector during the period 1968–1995 using the least-squares method (LSM). The values of Rcshow 20-year magnetic cycle with the lowest values at solar activity minima for positive polarity (qA>0). A good correlation is obtained between Rcand the IMF magnitude. The amplitude of the radial anisotropy (AR) shows 20-year magnetic cycle with the highest values around solar activity minima for qA>0 (1975–1976 and 1995), whereas that of the east-west (A) is minimum. This results in shifting the anisotropy vector to the earliest hours. The amplitude of the anisotropy is high around solar maxima and low around solar minima. It is also enhanced during the declining phase of solar activity (1971, 1984–1985, and 1991). Our results of the anisotropy have been used to calculate the cosmic-ray radial and transverse gradients. The value of the radial gradient exhibits a magnetic polarity dependence as well, with larger value during qA<0 than during qA>0. 相似文献
4.
We have used neutron monitor data covering a wide range of energy over a period of 22 years (1966–1987), as well as sea-level multidirectional meson telescope data from Nagoya to examine the latitude effect of solar diurnal vectors and its dependence on the polarity of interplanetary magnetic field (IMF). By sorting the daily cosmic-ray data according to whether the IMF is toward (T) or away (A) from the Sun, the annual mean solar diurnal variations (amplitude and phase) for the T and A days were determined separately. Results showed a northward-pointing latitudinal gradient from neutron monitors of the most northerly latitudes, and a predominant southward gradient at high southerly latitudes. The resultant latitudinal cosmic-ray gradients are the sum of two gradients: a north-south symmetry gradient (occurring in minimum and maximum solar activity years), and a north-south asymmetry gradient (occurring during different phases of solar activity cycles). The difference vector (T - A) between the solar diurnal vector for two groups was calculated, which represents a good indicator for the resultant perpendicular gradient relative to the Earth. This difference vector shows a considerable change in phase for detectors located in the northern hemisphere of the Earth. On the other hand, there exists much less change in phase for detectors located in the southern hemisphere. 相似文献
5.
We studied the dependence of the A
p
-index describing the geomagnetic disturbance on the Moon’s phase. We processed available data for cycles 20–23 of the solar
activity by the epoch super-position method. We discovered that, in the declining branch of the solar cycle, the highest values
of the A
p
-index relative to an average value are observed near new moon. The difference of the A
p
-index values for new moon and full moon is approximately 18%. In the branch of increase and maximum of the solar cycle, we
observed minimum values of the A
p
-index during several days before full moon, and maximum values of the A
p
-index take place during several days after full moon. The conclusion follows from this that the mechanism of the Moon’s effect
on the earth’s magnetosphere is different essentially for intervals near new moon and full moon. 相似文献
6.
Power spectral analysis of cosmic-ray intensity recorded by eight stations was carried out over a wide range of frequencies from 2.3 × 10–8 Hz to 5.8 × 10–6 Hz (2–500 days) during the period 1964–1995. Spectrum results of large-scale fluctuations have revealed the existence of a broad peak near 250–285 days and a narrower peak at 45–50 days during the studied epochs as a stable feature in all neutron monitors covering a wide rigidity range. The cosmic-ray power spectrum displayed significant peaks of varying amplitude with the solar rotation period (changed inversely with the particle rigidities) and its harmonics. The amplitudes of 27-day and 13.5-day fluctuations are greater during the positive-polarity epochs of the interplanetary magnetic field (qA>0) than during the qA<0 epochs. The comparison of cosmic-ray power spectra during the four successive solar activity minima have indicated that at the low-rigidity particles the spectrum differences between the qA>0 and qA<0 epochs are significantly large. Furthermore, the spectrum for even solar maximum years are higher and much harder than the odd years. There are significant differences in the individual spectra of solar maxima for different cycles. 相似文献
7.
China 2 rocket, 1971-18B, was launched on 3rd March 1971 into an orbit inclined at 69.9° to the Equator, with an initial perigee height of 265 km. Analysis of its orbit has yielded values of air density at average intervals of 6 days between July 1971 and January 1972. When corrected to a fixed height, the density exhibits a correlation with the geomagnetic index Ap and the solar 10.7-cm radiation. With values of density extending over seven months it is possible to examine a complete cycle of the semi-annual variation at a height near 300 km. The values of density, corrected for the day-to-night variation and for solar and geomagnetic activity, reveal minima in mid-August and late January; at the intervening maximum, in early November, the density is almost 40% higher than at the minima. 相似文献
8.
The recent 2009 solar-minimum period was characterized by a record-setting high Galactic cosmic-ray flux observed at Earth. This, along with the unexpected low heliospheric magnetic-field magnitude, caused this period to be characterized as unusual compared with previous minimum epochs. In this work, selected solar-activity proxies and corresponding cosmic-ray observations for the past five solar cycles are compared with each other, and we identify those that showed unusual behaviour during the 2009 solar-minimum modulation period. Using a state-of-the-art numerical-modulation model, the proton-intensity spectra for the past solar minima are reproduced to establish which of the transport processes might be considered the main cause of this unusually high cosmic-ray flux. It is found that diffusion was more prominent during 2009 so that drift effects on the modulation of cosmic rays in the heliosphere were less evident than during previous solar-polarity epochs. However, particle drifts still occurred and because of these drift effects, the proton spectrum is predicted to be even higher during the coming A>0 solar-minimum period. 相似文献
9.
V. Letfus 《Solar physics》1993,145(2):377-388
Maximum relative sunspot numbers for the 16th and 17th century were computed by means of the dependence of the maximum relative sunspot numbers on the solar cycle rise time and on the cycle asymmetry. In these dependencies four separate modes of relations, two for odd and two for even cycles, were identified. These modes are coupled two and two in even-odd cycle pairs. The rise times and the asymmetries of solar cycles in the 16th and 17th centuries were taken from cycle extreme estimates by Schove (1979), from auroral and telescopic sunspot observations during this period, but with some necessary corrections. Annual relative sunspot numbers and decade averages were estimated from the cycle maxima and the epochs of extremes. In addition, the efficiency of auroral records in latitudes lower than 55 deg was computed for the time interval 1500–1868. For this purpose the dependence of occurrence numbers of aurorae on the cycle and decade means of the relative sunspot numbers was derived. 相似文献
10.
Barbara A. Emery Ian G. Richardson David S. Evans Frederick J. Rich Gordon R. Wilson 《Solar physics》2011,274(1-2):399-425
The behavior of a number of solar wind, radiation belt, auroral and geomagnetic parameters is examined during the recent extended solar minimum and previous solar cycles, covering the period from January 1972 to July 2010. This period includes most of the solar minimum between Cycles 23 and 24, which was more extended than recent solar minima, with historically low values of most of these parameters in 2009. Solar rotational periodicities from 5 to 27 days were found from daily averages over 81 days for the parameters. There were very strong 9-day periodicities in many variables in 2005?–?2008, triggered by recurring corotating high-speed streams (HSS). All rotational amplitudes were relatively large in the descending and early minimum phases of the solar cycle, when HSS are the predominant solar wind structures. There were minima in the amplitudes of all solar rotational periodicities near the end of each solar minimum, as well as at the start of the reversal of the solar magnetic field polarity at solar maximum (～?1980, ～?1990, and ～?2001) when the occurrence frequency of HSS is relatively low. Semiannual equinoctial periodicities, which were relatively strong in the 1995?–?1997 solar minimum, were found to be primarily the result of the changing amplitudes of the 13.5- and 27-day periodicities, where 13.5-day amplitudes were better correlated with heliospheric daily observations and 27-day amplitudes correlated better with Earth-based daily observations. The equinoctial rotational amplitudes of the Earth-based parameters were probably enhanced by a combination of the Russell-McPherron effect and a reduction in the solar wind-magnetosphere coupling efficiency during solstices. The rotational amplitudes were cross-correlated with each other, where the 27-day amplitudes showed some of the weakest cross-correlations. The rotational amplitudes of the >?2 MeV radiation belt electron number fluxes were progressively weaker from 27- to 5-day periods, showing that processes in the magnetosphere act as a low-pass filter between the solar wind and the radiation belt. The A p/K p magnetic currents observed at subauroral latitudes are sensitive to proton auroral precipitation, especially for 9-day and shorter periods, while the A p/K p currents are governed by electron auroral precipitation for 13.5- and 27-day periodicities. 相似文献
11.
Prominences, in contrast to other solar activity features, may appear at all heliographic latitudes. The position of zones where prominences are mainly concentrated depends on the cycle phase of solar activity. It is shown, for prominence observations made at Lomnický tít over the period 1967–1996, how the position of prominence zones changes over a solar cycle, and how these zones could be connected with other solar activity features. Our results obtained could be an additional source to do a better prediction of solar activity. Time-latitudinal distribution is also shown for the green corona (Fexiv, 530.3 nm). Distribution of the green coronal maxima shows that there are equator-migrating zones in the solar corona that migrate from latitudes of 45° (starting approximately 2–3 years after the cycle start) to higher latitudes 70°, and then turn (around the cycle maximum) towards the equator, reaching the equator in the next minimum (this duration lasts 18–19 years). Polar branches separate from these zones at the cycle minimum (2–3 years before above-mentioned zones) at latitudes of 50°, reaching the poles at the maximum of the present cycle. The picture becomes dim when more polar prominence zones are observed. Prominences show both the poleward and equatorward migration. Comparison between both solar activity features is also discussed. 相似文献
12.
R. P. Kane 《Solar physics》2007,245(2):415-421
The occurrence of double peaks near the maximum of sunspot activity was first emphasized by Gnevyshev (Solar Phys.
1, 107, 1967) for the peak years of solar cycle 19 (1954 – 1964). In the present analysis, it is shown that double peaks in sunspot numbers
were clearly visible in solar latitudes 10 – 30° N but almost absent in the southern latitudes, where some single peaks were
observed out of phase by several months from any of the peaks in the northern latitudes. The spacing between the double peaks
increased from higher to lower northern latitudes, hinting at latitudinal migration. In the next cycle 20 (1965 – 1976), which
was of about half the strength of cycle 19, no clear-cut double peaks were seen, and the prominent peak in the early part
of 1967 in the northern latitudes was seen a few months later in the southern latitudes. A direct relationship of Gnevyshev
peaks with changes in the solar polar magnetic fields seems to be dubious. The commencements do not match. 相似文献
13.
R. P. Kane 《Solar physics》2007,246(2):471-485
Many methods of predictions of sunspot maximum number use data before or at the preceding sunspot minimum to correlate with
the following sunspot maximum of the same cycle, which occurs a few years later. Kane and Trivedi (Solar Phys. 68, 135, 1980) found that correlations of R
z(max) (the maximum in the 12-month running means of sunspot number R
z) with R
z(min) (the minimum in the 12-month running means of sunspot number R
z) in the solar latitude belt 20° – 40°, particularly in the southern hemisphere, exceeded 0.6 and was still higher (0.86)
for the narrower belt > 30° S. Recently, Javaraiah (Mon. Not. Roy. Astron. Soc.
377, L34, 2007) studied the relationship of sunspot areas at different solar latitudes and reported correlations 0.95 – 0.97 between minima and maxima of sunspot areas at low latitudes
and sunspot maxima of the next cycle, and predictions could be made with an antecedence of more than 11 years. For the present
study, we selected another parameter, namely, SGN, the sunspot group number (irrespective of their areas) and found that SGN(min) during a sunspot minimum year at latitudes > 30° S had a correlation
+0.78±0.11 with the sunspot number R
z(max) of the same cycle. Also, the SGN during a sunspot minimum year in the latitude belt (10° – 30° N) had a correlation +0.87±0.07 with the
sunspot number R
z(max) of the next cycle. We obtain an appropriate regression equation, from which our prediction for the coming cycle 24 is R
z(max )=129.7±16.3. 相似文献
14.
Vojtech Ru&#x;in Milan Minarovjech Milan Rybansk&#xFD; 《Journal of Astrophysics and Astronomy》2000,21(3-4):201-204
Long-term cyclic variations in the distribution of prominences and intensities of green (530.3 nm) and red (637.4 nm) coronal
emission lines over solar cycles 18&#x2013;23 are presented. Polar prominence branches will reach the poles at different
epochs in cycle 23: the north branch at the beginning in 2002 and the south branch a year later (2003), respectively. The
local maxima of intensities in the green line show both poleward- and equatorward-migrating branches. The poleward branches
will reach the poles around cycle maxima like prominences, while the equatorward branches show a duration of 18 years and
will end in cycle minima (2007). The red corona shows mostly equatorward branches. The possibility that these branches begin
to develop at high latitudes in the preceding cycles cannot be excluded. 相似文献
15.
The monthly probability of occurrence of southward (B
z
–
) component of IMF estimated independent of the sector polarity observed near earth is found to change with the magnitude of solar wind velocity. The above analysis is done for each month during two years around sunspot minima and maxima in cycle 21. The results will be interpreted in terms of association of southwardB
z
events with solar wind flows of distinct solar origin such as low and high speed solar wind. 相似文献
16.
The seasonal variation of the geomagnetic activity shows two sharp maxima (in March and September) and two broader minima (in June and December). It can only poorly be described by a double sine wave. The double phase wave of geomagnetic activity can be transformed - by vertical mirroring of the half year part between the maxima - into a single phase wave, which is represented well by a single sine function. This function is determined here for C i (the daily international character figure of geomagnetic activity) and for A p (the equivalent daily amplitude, based on K p, the geomagnetic planetary three-hour-range indices), for both in their ratios to the mean value over the year and then averaged over many years. To remove part of the irregularities the daily values of C i and A p were corrected for solar activity and reduced to quiet Sun circumstances. Mirroring back to the double phase function the geomagnetic variation is then represented by $$Ci({\text{or }}Ap) = Cm({\text{or }}Ap,m) - |A{\text{ sin}}(\lambda - \varphi )|$$ , in which m means the mirror value, A is the amplitude of the single sine curve, λ runs parallel to the Sun's longitude, ? is the phase constant and the bars indicate the absolute value. The data of the first maximum of the seasonal variation was found to vary between March 18 and 28 for different groups of years. The sharpness of the maxima may point out a resonance in the interaction between the solar wind and the magnetosphere. In the appendix the relation \(Ci = aR^{{1 \mathord{\left/ {\vphantom {1 2}} \right. \kern-0em} 2}} + b\) (R being the relative sunspot number) is brought forward. The values of the parameter b through the eleven-year period reveal an increasing influence of sunspot-free regions towards the minimum. 相似文献
17.
M. N. Gnevyshev 《Solar physics》1977,51(1):175-183
Investigation of sunspots, coronal lines intensity, flares and other solar and geophysical data have confirmed the fact that the 11-year cycle consists of two events (maxima) having different features.During the first maximum (it coincides in time with the maximum of the Wolf numbers) the solar activity increases in all heliographic latitudes but it is maximal in latitude 25° in each hemisphere. The far UV radiation and number of small spots, flares and geomagnetic disturbances with sudden commencements and without 27-day recurrences are maximum at this time.During the second maximum, which appears 2–3 years after the first one, the activity is maximal in latitudes ± 10°. At this time the biggest spots, big flares, aurora and geomagnetic disturbances with the gradual commencements and long series of 27-day recurrences appear.The variations of averaged 5303 and 6374 Å coronal line intensities may be interpreted as an increase of coronal density and temperature during the first maximum and a sharp decrease of density and temperature rise during the second one. The temperature during the second maximum is higher than that during the first one.The distribution of activity on time-latitude diagrams (so-called butterflies) is a result of superposition of two random distributions corresponding to the two maxima mentioned above. 相似文献
18.
P. N. Pathak 《Solar physics》1972,25(2):489-492
It is shown that during the present solar cycle (No-20), the 5303 coronal intensity at heliographic latitudes between 15°–40° in both hemispheres had two maxima. The first maximum occurred in 1967–68 and the second in 1969–70. At lower latitudes ( ± 10°) there was only one clear maximum in 1970. These results are in good agreement with those of Gnevyshev (1967) for the previous solar cycle. The North-South asymmetry of 5303 intensity for the period 1957–1970 is studied and its implications to solar-terrestrial relationships are discussed. It is shown that during the period studied, the N-S asymmetry of 5303 intensity is negatively correlated with sunspot activity. 相似文献
19.
Wavelet Analysis of solar,solar wind and geomagnetic parameters 总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3
The sunspot number, solar wind plasma, interplanetary magnetic field, and geomagnetic activity index A
p have been analyzed using a wavelet technique to look for the presence of periods and the temporal evolution of these periods. The global wavelet spectra of these parameters, which provide information about the temporal average strength of quasi periods, exhibit the presence of a variety of prominent quasi periods around 16 years, 10.6 years, 9.6 years, 5.5 years, 1.3 years, 180 days, 154 days, 27 days, and 14 days. The wavelet spectra of sunspot number during 1873–2000, geomagnetic activity index A
p during 1932–2000, and solar wind velocity and interplanetary magnetic field during 1964–2000 indicate that their spectral power evolves with time. In general, the power of the oscillations with a period of less than one year evolves rapidly with the phase of the solar cycle with their peak values changing from one cycle to the next. The temporal evolution of wavelet power in R
z, v
sw, n, B
y, B
z, |B|, and A
p for each of the prominent quasi periods is studied in detail. 相似文献
20.
Paleo-cosmic-ray (PCR) records based on cosmogenic 10Be and 14C data are used to study the variations in cosmic-ray intensity and solar activity over the past 9400 years. There are four strong correlations with the motion of the Jovian planets; the probability of occurring by chance being <?10?5. They are i) the PCR periodicities at 87, 350, 510, and 710 years, which closely approximate integer multiples of half the Uranus–Neptune synodic period; ii) eight periodicities in the torques calculated to be exerted by the planets on an asymmetric tachocline that approximate the periods observed in the PCR; iii) the maxima of the long-term PCR variations are coincident with syzygy (alignment) of the four Jovian planets in 5272 and 644 BP; and iv) in the time domain, the PCR intensity decreases during the first 60 years of the ≈?172 year Jose cycle (Jose, Astron. J. 70, 193, 1965) and increases in the remaining ≈?112 years in association with barycentric anomalies in the distance between the Sun and the center of mass of the solar system. Furthermore, sunspot and neutron-monitor data show that three anomalous sunspot cycles (4th, 7th, and 20th) and the long sunspot minimum of 2006 – 2009 CE coincided with the first and second barycentric anomalies of the 58th and 59th Jose cycles. Phase lags between the planetary and heliospheric effects are ≤?five years. The 20 largest Grand Minima during the past 9400 years coincided with the latter half of the Jose cycle in which they occurred. These correlations are not of terrestrial origin, nor are they due to the planets’ contributing directly to the cosmic-ray modulation process in the heliosphere. Low cosmic-ray intensity (higher solar activity) occurred when Uranus and Neptune were in superior conjunction (mutual cancellation), while high intensities occurred when Uranus–Neptune were in inferior conjunction (additive effects). Many of the prominent peaks in the PCR Fourier spectrum can be explained in terms of the Jose cycle, and the occurrence of barycentric anomalies. 相似文献