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1.
水文响应单元空间离散化及SWAT模型改进   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1       下载免费PDF全文
水文响应单元(Hydrological Response Units,HRU)是SWAT模型模拟的基本单元,传统方法划分的水文响应单元在空间分布上不连续且难以确定其明确的空间位置,不能反映HRU间的相互作用和进行精确空间分析。利用GIS工具对土地利用和土壤类型数据进行概化处理,提出了HRU空间离散化的方法,实现了水文响应单元在空间上的准确定位。在此基础上,针对SWAT模型中同一子流域所有HRU采取相同延迟的弱点进行改进,并选择太湖地区西苕溪流域对改进的SWAT模型进行水文模拟验证。改进后,校正期港口站Nash效率系数ENS(Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency)从0.64提高到0.67,验证期ENS系数从0.70提高到0.76。研究表明:修正后的SWAT模型更能反映流域的水文特征,可以达到非常好的效果,考虑到HRU距离因素的径流延迟更为准确地刻画径流过程。实现HRU空间离散化将为模型改进和更小尺度的空间分析提供数据基础。  相似文献   

2.
This study presents a basin-scale integrative hydrological, ecological, and economic (HEE) modeling system, aimed at evaluating the impact of resources management, especially agricultural water resources management, on the sustainability of regional water resources. The hydrological model in the modeling system was adapted from SWAT, the Soil and Water Assessment Tool, to simulate the water balance in terms of soil moisture, evapotranspiration, and streamflow. An ecological model was integrated into the hydrological model to compute the ecosystem production of biomass production and yield for different land use types. The economic model estimated the monetary values of crop production and water productivity over irrigated areas. The modeling system was primarily integrated and run on a Windows platform and was able to produce simulation results at daily time steps with a spatial resolution of hydrological response unit (HRU). The modeling system was then calibrated over the period from 1983 to 1991 for the upper and middle parts of the Yellow River basin, China. Calibration results showed that the efficiencies of the modeling system in simulating monthly streamflow over 5 hydrological stations were from 0.54 to 0.68 with an average of 0.64, indicating an acceptable calibration. Preliminary simulation results from 1986 to 1995 revealed that water use in the study region has largely reduced the streamflow in many parts of the area except for that in the riverhead. Spatial distribution of biomass production, and crop yield showed a strong impact of irrigation on agricultural production. Water productivity over irrigated cropland ranged from 1 to 1640 USD/(ha·mm−1), indicating a wide variation of the production conditions within the study region and a great potential in promoting water use efficiency in low water productivity areas. Generally, simulation results from this study indicated that the modeling system was capable of tracking the temporal and spatial variability of pertinent water balance variables, ecosystem dynamics, and regional economy, and provided a useful simulation tool in evaluating long-term water resources management strategies in a basin scale.  相似文献   

3.
Hydrological process modeling depends on the soil data spatial resolution of the watershed. Especially, in a large-scale watershed, could a higher resolution of soil data contribute to a more accurate result? In this study, two soil datasets with different classification systems FAO (World Reference Base) and GSCC (the Genetic Soil Classification of China) were used as inputs for the SWAT model to study the effects of soil datasets on hydrological process modeling in Weihe River basin, China. Results show that the discharge simulated using FAO soil data was better than one simulated using GSCC soil data before model calibration, which indicates that FAO soil data needed less effort to calibrate. After model calibration, discharges were simulated better by both of FAO and GSCC soil data but statistical parameters demonstrate that we can make a relatively more accurate estimation of discharge using the GSCC rather than FAO soil data. Soil water content (SW) simulated using GSCC soil data was statistically significantly higher than those simulated using FAO soil data. However, variations in other hydrological components (surface runoff (SURQ), actual evapotranspiration (ET), and water yield (WYLD) were not statistically significant. This might be because SW is more sensitive to soil properties. For studies aiming to simulate or compare SW, merely calibrating and validating models using river discharge observations is not enough. The hydrological modelers need to identify the key hydrological components intrinsic to their study and weigh the advantages and disadvantages before selecting suitable soil data.  相似文献   

4.
Landslide-prone slopes in earthquake-affected areas commonly feature heterogeneity and high permeability due to the presence of cracks and fissures that were caused by ground shaking. Landslide reactivation in heterogeneous slope may be affected by preferential flow that was commonly occurred under heavy rainfall. Current hydro-mechanical models that are based on a single-permeability model consider soil as a homogeneous continuum, which, however, cannot explicitly represent the hydraulic properties of heterogeneous soil. The present study adopted a dual-permeability model, using two Darcy-Richards equations to simulate the infiltration processes in both matrix and preferential flow domains. The hydrological results were integrated with an infinite slope stability approach, attempting to investigate the hydro-mechanical behavior. A coarse-textured unstable slope in an earthquake-affected area was chosen for conducting artificial rainfall experiment, and in the experiment slope, failure was triggered several times under heavy rainfall. The simulated hydro-mechanical results of both single- and dual-permeability model were compared with the measurements, including soil moisture content, pore water pressure, and slope stability conditions. Under high-intensity rainfall, the measured soil moisture and pore water pressure at 1-m depth showed faster hydrological response than its simulations, which can be regarded as a typical evidence of preferential flow. We found the dual-permeability model substantially improved the quantification of hydro-mechanical processes. Such improvement could assist in obtaining more reliable landslide-triggering predication. In the light of the implementation of a dual-permeability model for slope stability analysis, a more flexible and robust early warning system for shallow landslides hazard in coarse-textured slopes could be provided.  相似文献   

5.
气候波动和土地覆盖变化下的黄河源区水资源预测   总被引:8,自引:0,他引:8  
车骞  王根绪  孔福广  陈玲  姜秀娜 《水文》2007,27(2):11-15
以黄河源区为研究对象,以分布式水文模型SWAT为研究工具,建立不同气候波动和土地覆盖变化情景,模拟和预测未来水资源的变化。针对黄河源区特殊的下垫面条件,着重冰雪和冻土的水文过程调试,对模拟结果的评价显示,SWAT模型能够较好地模拟黄河源区的水资源变化。不同情景下演算得出的水资源量数据可信,具有一定的实用意义,随着认识的深入和模型结构以及参数的优化,模型在寒区水资源研究和管理中会发挥更大作用。  相似文献   

6.
Landslides are a main cause of human and economic losses worldwide. For this reason, landslide hazard assessment and the capacity to predict this phenomenon have been topics of great interest within the scientific community for the implementation of early warning systems. Although several models have been proposed to forecast shallow landslides triggered by rainfall, few models have incorporated geotechnical factors into a complete hydrological model of a basin that can simulate the storage and movement of rainwater through the soil profile. These basin and full hydrological models have adopted a physically based approach. This paper develops a conceptual and physically based model called open and distributed hydrological simulation and landslides—SHIA_Landslide (Simulación HIdrológica Abierta, or SHIA, in Spanish)—that is supported by geotechnical and hydrological features occurring on a basin-wide scale in tropical and mountainous terrains. SHIA_Landslide is an original and significant contribution that offers a new perspective with which to analyse shallow landslide processes by incorporating a comprehensive distributed hydrological tank model that includes water storage in the soil coupled with a classical analysis of infinite slope stability under saturated conditions. SHIA_Landslide can be distinguished by the following: (i) its capacity to capture surface topography and effects concerning the subsurface flow; (ii) its use of digital terrain model (DTM) to establish the relationships among cells, geomorphological parameters, slope angle, direction, etc.; (iii) its continuous simulation of rainfall data over long periods and event simulations of specific storms; (iv) its consideration of the effects of horizontal and vertical flow; and (vi) its inclusion of a hydrologically complete water process that allows for hydrological calibration. SHIA_Landslide can be combined with real-time rainfall data and implemented in early warning systems.  相似文献   

7.
A shortage of water has limited the socio-economic development of the Heihe River Basin in northwestern China and has led to many ecological and economic problems. Only the development and application of integration tools can effectively represent the functionality of the watershed and aid in strategic decision making. In the framework of SME, modular and hierarchical model building can simplify the research work. According to the main ideas and key processes commonly used in distributed hydrological models, and combined with the spatial characteristics of the mountainous region of the Heihe River Basin, a unit hydrological model was developed using stella, which was an icon-based software package specifically designed for dynamic systems modeling, and an algorithm for spatial distribution in SME was introduced. This paper describes only the model structure and basic equations, whereas in the next paper, model calibration results using the data measured at meteorological stations, together with land use data and soil data, will be further introduced.  相似文献   

8.
以海拉尔河上游流域作为研究区域,基于Arc GIS构建SWAT分布式水文模型对流域水文过程进行模拟,通过对流域的基础数据整合,模型采用1999~2003年实测径流数据进行参数率定,将2004~2010年实测径流数据作为模型的验证期,对模型在海拉尔河上游的适用性进行研究。通过对月和年径流模拟值和实测值的比较,率定期和验证期的Nash系数Ens和相关系数R2分别在0.861~0.873和0.877~0.899之间。基于这两个评价标准可知:SWAT模型在海拉尔河上游流域有良好的适用性,可以为该流域的水资源管理提供依据。  相似文献   

9.
李谦  张静  宫辉力 《水文》2015,35(3):43-48
敏感性分析和不确定性分析是分布式水文模型参数校准和模型应用的基础。本文以妫水河流域为例,基于SWAT模型和SUFI-2算法进行模型参数敏感性分析,结合手动调参和自动率定,通过SUFI-2的P因子和R因子进行模型不确定性分析,构建妫水河流域分布式水文模型。本次妫水河流域月尺度模拟中:率定期,确定系数R2=0.59,效率系数NSE=0.56;验证期,确定系数R2=0.82,效率系数NSE=0.80;P因子均大于0.5,R因子均小于0.5。结果表明,妫水河流域SWAT模型水文模拟效果较好。  相似文献   

10.
面向流域水资源管理,提出了一个基于GIS/RS的流域分布式水文模型,模型主要包括单元水文模型与河网汇流模型两大部分。单元水文模型涉及到冠层截留、融雪、蒸散发、坡面流、非饱和土壤水运动和地下水出流等水文物理过程。产流计算考虑到地形坡度的影响采用基于地形指数的计算方法。汇流演算基于河网结构采用分段马斯京根方法。模型的大部分参数与输入信息可以利用GIS和RS技术获取,能够对气候变化和人类活动对下垫面的改变,做出快速的模拟与响应。  相似文献   

11.
以东北半干旱地区典型流域-洮儿河流域为研究对象,应用SWAT模型对流域水文过程进行了模拟研究;选择流域上游子流域和中下游子流域分别进行参数敏感性分析,识别出影响模拟结果的敏感参数,研究发现部分参数敏感性存在空间变异性,分析主要原因在于气候和下垫面的空间异质性导致了流域上下游产流模式存在差异。采用1988-1997年水文气象数据进行模型率定和验证,结果表明:干流水文站月流量过程率定期Nash-Sutcliffe 效率系数平均值为0.78,验证期为0.72,相关系数都达到0.86以上,水量误差大多在20%以内,对日过程的模拟也有较高的精度;枯水年模拟结果较差,主要是因为流域降水站数量不够,难以反映降水的时空分布。对于水文、气象等资料相对缺乏的东北半干旱地区,SWAT模型的模拟结果总体令人满意,可以应用于与流域径流相关的各种模拟分析,研究成果对进一步加强洮儿河流域水资源综合管理提供了依据和手段。  相似文献   

12.
TRMM daily precipitation data were validated compared to thirteen precipitation observation station data in Irrawaddy basin, and a calibration method of TRMM 3B42 data based on water balance concept was developed. SWAT model was used to calculate water balance, and then the TRMM data calibration ratio was inferred based on it. Average slope of sub-basin was the independent variable, and calibration ration was the dependent variable for the regression analysis. The calibration ratio of sub-basins without hydrological observation stations were calculated according to the average slope, and then the TRMM precipitation were calibrated according to the ratio in the whole basin. Results showed that TRMM annual and monthly precipitation had a highly correlation with observed data, but had a bad bias. Annual precipitation of TRMM precipitation after calibration were nearly the same as observed; monthly precipitation curve were similar with observed. Daily precipitation forecast rank was improved from medium to well, and there were 2 station forecast bad, 7 forecast well and 4 forecast medium before calibration, but 6 forecast well, 2 forecast medium and 5 forecast excellent after calibration. The results proved that TRMM data precision were highly improved over different temporal scales in Irrawaddy basin through this method, data for hydrological and water resources analysis were also provided.  相似文献   

13.
Mountainous areas surrounding the Campanian Plain and the Somma-Vesuvius volcano (southern Italy) are among the most risky areas of Italy due to the repeated occurrence of rainfall-induced debris flows along ash-fall pyroclastic soil-mantled slopes. In this geomorphological framework, rainfall patterns, hydrological processes taking place within multi-layered ash-fall pyroclastic deposits and soil antecedent moisture status are the principal factors to be taken into account to assess triggering rainfall conditions and the related hazard. This paper presents the outcomes of an experimental study based on integrated analyses consisting of the reconstruction of physical models of landslides, in situ hydrological monitoring, and hydrological and slope stability modeling, carried out on four representative source areas of debris flows that occurred in May 1998 in the Sarno Mountain Range. The hydrological monitoring was carried out during 2011 using nests of tensiometers and Watermark pressure head sensors and also through a rainfall and air temperature recording station. Time series of measured pressure head were used to calibrate a hydrological numerical model of the pyroclastic soil mantle for 2011, which was re-run for a 12-year period beginning in 2000, given the availability of rainfall and air temperature monitoring data. Such an approach allowed us to reconstruct the regime of pressure head at a daily time scale for a long period, which is representative of about 11 hydrologic years with different meteorological conditions. Based on this simulated time series, average winter and summer hydrological conditions were chosen to carry out hydrological and stability modeling of sample slopes and to identify Intensity-Duration rainfall thresholds by a deterministic approach. Among principal results, the opposing winter and summer antecedent pressure head (soil moisture) conditions were found to exert a significant control on intensity and duration of rainfall triggering events. Going from winter to summer conditions requires a strong increase of intensity and/or duration to induce landslides. The results identify an approach to account for different hazard conditions related to seasonality of hydrological processes inside the ash-fall pyroclastic soil mantle. Moreover, they highlight another important factor of uncertainty that potentially affects rainfall thresholds triggering shallow landslides reconstructed by empirical approaches.  相似文献   

14.
土壤数据对分布式流域水文模型模拟效果的影响   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
基于空间半分布式的SWAT模型和全分布式的WetSpa Extension模型,分析了高分辨率的SoLIM数字土壤数据和美国SSURGO传统土壤数据对流域径流空间分布式模拟和总量模拟的影响.结果显示:利用不同土壤数据得到的产水模拟结果在空间上差别明显,但模拟径流总量的差别随着模拟面积的增大而逐渐减小.根据实验结果,对于...  相似文献   

15.
为从整体上认识多年冻土活动层土壤水文过程季节变异特性,以黄河源区巴颜喀拉山北坡冻土剖面为例,结合大气降水、冻土土壤水分、冻土层上水的野外观测,采用HYDRUS-1D软件冻融模块进行模拟分析,分析冻融作用对活动层土壤水文过程的影响,研究结果表明:(1)冻土层上水位与土壤水热之间存在着相互影响、相互作用的关系,依据活动层土壤温度变化,基于冻融过程,多年冻土活动层土壤水分与冻土层上水位可划分为冻结稳定、快速融化、融化稳定和快速冻结4个阶段。(2)降雨入渗是坡面尺度下活动层土壤水文过程的主要驱动力,活动层冻融锋面是主要限制性因素,受冻融过程影响,冻结期降雨减少,土壤冻结,土壤储水能力下降,土壤水分下渗停止,坡面侧向流动减弱,土壤水分和冻土层上水位处于下降趋势;融化期降雨增多,土壤融化,土壤储水能力上升,土壤水分下渗强烈,坡面侧向流动增强,土壤水分和冻土层上水位处于上升趋势。(3)受坡面地形影响,上坡活动层厚度大于下坡,上坡冻融锋面变化较下坡平缓,上坡土壤水分和冻土层上水位的变化幅度相对下坡较为平缓,而上坡土壤水分相对下坡含量较低,下坡冻土层上水位相对稳定。  相似文献   

16.
分布式水文模型PRMS可为气候与土地利用变化对流域水资源影响的研究提供技术和理论支撑.对Trent流域产流过程采用PRMS模型进行模拟检验,结果表明,Nash模型确定性系数达到0.8以上.水文响应单元(HRU)划分尺度减小,可以有效地提高PRMS模拟精度达7%左右,划分尺度缩小到71个HRU时,模拟精度不再提高.流域蒸...  相似文献   

17.
在全球变暖的背景下,我国多数大江大河源区存在冰川退缩、雪线上升以及多年冻土和季节冻土明显退化等现象,并由此造成河源区产流量减少以及生态环境恶化等诸多问题,这在内陆河山区流域体现的较为明显,但目前分布式水文模型中很少涉及冻土水热耦合问题。文章以黑河干流山区流域为例,构建了一个内陆河高寒山区流域分布式水热耦合模型(DWHC)。模型基于土壤水热连续性方程将流域产流、入渗和蒸散发过程融合起来,在植被截留、入渗、产流和蒸散发计算方面也有所改进和创新,部分模块具有多个可选择方案。模型设计了与中尺度大气模式MM5的嵌套接口,也可以用地面气象资料驱动。模型在1 km×1 km网格基础上,以日为时间步长,将流域土壤分为18类,土壤剖面分为3~5层不等,流域植被概化为9类。模型只需要土壤初始含水量、初始地温和常规气象资料,以及土壤和植被物理参数,就能够连续演算各层土壤的温度、液态含水量、固态含水量、感热传导、潜热变化、水势梯度、导水率以及水分入渗和毛细上升量等水文循环要素。主要介绍了模型的基本原理和构建思路,有关模型的地面资料驱动结果和与MM5嵌套结果部分,参见后续文章(Ⅱ)、(Ⅲ)。  相似文献   

18.
Population growth, urbanization, and intensified agriculture have resulted in mobilization of nitrogen and phosphorus, which is the main cause of river water quality deterioration. Environmental regulation has expedited the necessity for agricultural producers to design and implement more environmentally suitable practices. Therefore, there is a need to identify critical nutrients and their loss/transport potential. Watershed model can be used to better understand the relationship between land use activities/management and hydrologic processes/water quality changes that occur within a watershed. The objective of the study is to test the performance of the SWAT model and the feasibility of using this model as a simulator of water flow and nitrogen and phosphorus yields over the Dongjiang River basin in South China. Spatial data layers of land slope, soil type, and land use were combined with geographic information system (GIS) to aid in creating model inputs. The observed streamflow and sediment at Boluo station in the Dongjiang River basin were used to calibrate and validate the model. Time series plots and statistical measures were used to verify model predictions. Predicted values generally matched well with the observed values during calibration and validation (R 2≥0.6 and Nash-Suttcliffe Efficiency ≥0.5) except for underestimation of sediment peaks and overestimation of sediment valleys at Boluo. This study shows that SWAT is able to predict streamflow, sediment generation, and nutrients transport with satisfactory results.  相似文献   

19.
史晓亮  杨志勇  绪正瑞  李颖 《水文》2014,34(6):26-32
降雨输入对分布式流域水文模拟具有重要影响。针对流域降雨资料不完整的情况,以武烈河流域为例,基于反距离加权平均法对雨量站降雨资料进行插补延长,并结合SWAT模型研究了降雨输入不确定性对分布式流域水文模拟的影响。结果表明:不同降雨输入对流域平均降雨量的影响较小,但基于气象站资料的降雨数据在降雨空间差异显著的年份会明显低估面雨量,且在夏季汛期表现更为显著;不同降雨输入对分布式流域水文模拟的影响较大;在雨量站降雨资料不完整的情况下,通过对雨量站降雨数据进行插补延长,相对于直接利用气象站降雨资料,在一定程度上可以提高径流模拟精度,满足降雨资料欠缺流域分布式水文模拟的实际需求。  相似文献   

20.
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