共查询到17条相似文献，搜索用时 164 毫秒
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基于博弈论综合权重模糊优选模型在地下水环境风险评价中的应用 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
地下水环境风险评价是地下水可持续利用的前提.目前,评价方法比较单一,主要为突变理论和单因素模糊理论,它们的控制变量数有限,不适用于多目标决策,同时也没有综合考虑主客观权重,评价结果不科学.本文针对以往评价方法的不足,应用基于主客观综合权重的多层多目标模糊可变优选模型评价.模型采用熵权法计算客观权重,二元对比法确定主观权重,并利用博弈论集结模型推导计算了综合权重,并以海河流域地下水环境为例进行了风险评价.计算实例表明,该模型能较好地考虑评价指标的主客观权重,适用于多层多目标评价系统. 相似文献
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观测孔井位的选取在抽水试验中具有极其重要的作用。在目前实际工作中,只是定性的选择观测孔井位,决策缺少可靠性和客观合理性。该文通过建立优选抽水试验观测孔井位的多目标多层次系统模糊决策模型,综合考虑影响观测孔井位确定的观测孔与抽水孔的连线方向与地下水流方向所成的锐角度数、水文地质影响因素和观测孔与抽水孔之间的距离三项主要因素以及含水层埋深、含水层厚度和岩性三项水文地质影响子因素,优选了观测孔井位;并利用西龙河峄山断层带水源地抽水试验资料对该模型进行了验证。结果表明:采用该措施使通常的选择分析由定性描述转向定量决策,避免了主观判断偏差,有助于决策判定,所得结果是可靠的。 相似文献
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河道治理具有显著的多层次、多目标特征,在分析灰决策理论的基础上构建方案优选评估模型,并对模型优选的效果测度利用目标极性指标计算。以英那河河道治理工程为例,利用模型从多个维度进行方案的优选。结果显示:在英那河河道治理工程中利用灰决策法得出方案Ⅲ最优;该评价结果与专家论证意见具有良好的一致性,所运用的比选方法科学、合理,评判结果客观、全面。在河道治理方案优选方面具有较高的使用价值和应用前景。 相似文献
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在水电工程投资方案优选的决策过程中,所依赖的信息是＂部分完全的＂或称＂贫信息性＂,这正是多个方案优选决策的＂灰色性＂。投资方案的优选决策是一项复杂的、多项因素的工作,要考虑的目标很多,其评价因素和优选结论都具有＂不确定性＂,这实际上是一个多目标的决策问题。针对多个投资方案的优选问题,引入灰色系统理论中的灰色关联分析法,通过建立灰靶决策模型对投资方案进行优选,提高了优选的精确性和客观性,并通过实例说明应用灰色关联分析法来解决多目标方案决策问题是可行的。 相似文献
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泥浆试验属于多因素多指标评价试验。应用模糊数学理论中的多目标模糊决策法,根据不同地层的钻进需要,借助计算机编程计算优选泥浆配方是一个行之有效的方法。 相似文献
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田家华 《华东地质学院学报》1992,(1)
矿床经济评价方案的优选是一个多目标、多方案的决策问题。本文简要而系统地介绍了矿床经济评价方案优选的几种新方法;多目标方案决策优序法、灰色局势决策法和灰色层次决策法,并运用这些方法对某金矿床经济评价方案优选进行了研究,取得了满意的效果。 相似文献
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地下水资源系统多目标管理模型与模糊带权二次规划方法 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
谢新民 《水文地质工程地质》1993,20(4):17-21,43
本文以济南地下水资源系统保泉供水管理课题为例,分析研究地下水资源系统多目标管理问题。首先建立起地下水资源系统多目标管理模型;然后利用模糊数学理论和权重概念,提出一种求解多目标决策问题的模糊带权二次规划方法,此方法可以同时解决互为竞争、互为矛盾的各目标之间的不可公度性和主次性问题。实际计算表明,所建立的模型和提出的方法具有较强的实用性和通用性。 相似文献
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NPGA-GW在地下水系统多目标优化管理中的应用 总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7
在地下水系统管理问题中,涉及到多个相互冲突的目标函数常常被简化为不同形式的单一目标函数来求解,这种通过单一目标函数的优化方法只能给出一个解,由此确定的方案有时会违背决策者的意愿。而通过多目标优化方法可以得到一系列供决策者权衡选择的解集。将地下水流模拟程序MODFLOW 和溶质运移模拟程序MT3DMS 相耦合,采用基于小生境技术的Pareto 遗传算法进行求解,开发了一个用于地下水系统多目标管理的应用程序NPGA-GW。并将该程序应用于一个二维地下水污染修复问题的多目标优化求解,结果表明,该程序能够在较短的时间内得到一系列Pareto 最优解,解的跨度足够决策者进行适当的选择,具有很好的应用前景。 相似文献
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将改进后的遗传算法GA（添加了小生境、Pareto解集过滤器等模块）与变密度地下水流及溶质运移模拟程序SEAWAT-2000相耦合,新开发了变密度地下水多目标模拟优化程序MOSWTGA。将MOSWTGA应用于求解大连周水子地区以控制抽水井所在含水层不发生海水入侵为约束的地下水开采多目标优化管理模型,得到地下水最大开采量与海水入侵面积之间一系列Pareto近似最优解。研究成果不仅为实行合理的地下水资源配置提供了科学的实用模型,同时也为解决多个优化目标下的变密度地下水优化管理问题提供高效可靠的模拟优化工具,具有重要的潜在环境经济效益。 相似文献
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Mingyu WANG 《地学前缘》2005,12(Z1):22-28
试图阐述如何对一个国家或地区在可持续发展国策下优化资金及人力配置,采取必要的防护和修复地下水污染的可行措施,从而最大限度减少由地下水污染对人类及生态可能产生的危害。提出了一个管理地下水污染防护与修复的综合决策系统框架。该系统框架的构筑是基于资金及人力的有限性、系统优化原理、地下水污染对人类及生态可能产生的危害,地下水防护与修复的难度或费用高低、地下水保护的效益与价值,以及同时考虑满足可持续发展要求。其中,由不同地下水污染防护与修复措施产生的地下水污染危害减少量构成了优化分析的目标函数。有限资金的最佳配置是通过使目标函数的最大化,并满足所有的管理、资源等限制条件加以确定的。还就执行该决策系统框架中所需完成的主要任务及步骤给予简述,并就几个相关的前沿性问题加以探讨。 相似文献
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Through system design and analysis from the aspects of entity categories, hierarchical design, attribute design, and the final function design and realization of the system, this paper develops a software application based on Arc-view platform with a view to solving the deficiencies of conventional groundwater dynamic management in managing the spatial graphics data. Using this application into the supporting automatic monitoring system of groundwater level helps to achieve the automatic analysis of attribute data, and offer a new, visual and efficient automated management tool. Moreover, the computer geospatial modeling can realize the quick query and spatial analysis of geographic information, and thus facilitating dynamic simulation and prediction of the research object. However, a multi-functional, multi-level groundwater level information management system is a complex system engineering, which requires continuous improvement of the structure, development of functions, and supplement of user models. 相似文献
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Venkatesh Uddameri E. Annette Hernandez Felipe Estrada 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2014,71(6):2559-2572
As groundwater is a slowly replenishing resource that can be depleted relatively easily, there is a growing interest in actively managing aquifer resources. Participatory, multi-stakeholder driven approaches are increasingly being adopted to plan groundwater use such that the resource is available for present as well as future needs. The state of Texas requires neighboring GCDs (local regulatory bodies) within a groundwater management area (GMA) to engage in joint planning activities and define desired future conditions (DFCs) for the aquifers they regulate. The DFCs are then used to estimate modeled available groundwater which defines how much water is available within an aquifer in a given region. The groundwater joint planning process was modeled using a combined simulation–optimization modeling scheme in this study. The response surface methodology was used to establish regional-scale aquifer stress-response relationships. In addition to average county-wide drawdown, other aquifer responses including stream-aquifer exchanges, coastal-aquifer exchanges and GMA-wide drawdown were considered to define the DFCs. A constrained linear regression was used in conjunction with a regional groundwater flow model to obtain the necessary response functions which formed the basis for a crisp optimization model whose objective was maximizing groundwater production while ensuring that the prescribed DFCs are not violated (constraints). This model was transformed into a fuzzy linear programming model to account for the fact that groundwater planners find it difficult to specify DFCs with a high degree of precision. Using linear membership functions, the decision makers’ preferences were captured using two values––a minimum preferred cut-off and the maximum allowable value for the metric. For estimating groundwater availability, the fuzzy optimization model reconciles production and maximizes the goal and the constraints representing the DFCs. The developed framework was illustrated by applying it to joint planning in Groundwater Management Area 15 in South Texas. The optimization models were highly sensitive to acceptable average drawdowns, while the coastal-aquifer interactions had secondary impacts. The fuzzy optimization model yielded lower estimates of groundwater availability in comparison to the crisp optimization scheme. The fuzzy optimization model is therefore consistent with the precautionary principle and recommended for use in the early stages of groundwater planning where incomplete understanding of the aquifer dynamics precludes specification of precise limits for the DFCs. 相似文献
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Use of fuzzy synthetic evaluation for assessment of groundwater quality for drinking usage: a case study of Southern Haryana,India 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Bhupinder Singh Sudhir Dahiya Sandeep Jain V. K. Garg H. S. Kushwaha 《Environmental Geology》2008,54(2):249-255
A method based on concept of fuzzy set theory has been used for decision-making for the assessment of physico-chemical quality
of groundwater for drinking purposes. Conventional methods for water quality assessment do not consider the uncertainties
involved either in measurement of water quality parameters or in the limits provided by the regulatory bodies. Fuzzy synthetic
evaluation model gives the certainty levels for the quality class of the water based on the prescribed limit of various regulatory
bodies and opinion of the experts from the field of drinking water quality. In this paper, application of fuzzy rule based
optimization model is illustrated with twenty groundwater samples from Sohna town of Gurgaon district of Southern Haryana,
India. These samples were analysed for 15 different physico-chemical parameters, out of them nine important parameters were
used for the quality assessment using fuzzy synthetic evaluation approach. From this study, it has been concluded that all
the water samples are in acceptable category whose certainty level ranges from 44 to 100%. Water from these sources can be
used for the drinking purposes if alternate water source is not available without any health concern on the basis of physico-chemical
characteristics. 相似文献