共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 46 毫秒
1.
The localized rain rate maxima (RM) of the inner core region of intense tropical cyclones (TCs) are investigated using Version 6 of the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis data-set from 1998 to 2010. Specifically, this study examines the probabilities of RM exceeding 25 mm h?1 (P25) in intense TCs. The 25 mm h?1 RM is the 90th percentile of all RM observations during the study period. The descending order of P25 observed from intense TCs for the six major ocean basins is: the North Indian Ocean, the Atlantic Ocean, the Northwest Pacific Ocean, the South Pacific Ocean, the South Indian Ocean, and the East-central Pacific Ocean. The six major basins have been subdivided into 29 sub-basins to discern regional variability of RM. P25 increases with increasing TC category in all major basins, except for the South Pacific. Sub-basins with intense TCs that produce extreme rainfall rate maxima include the Bay of Bengal, the South Philippine Sea, the East China Sea, the north coast of Australia, southeast Melanesia, and the Northwest Atlantic. Sub-basins with a higher proportion of category 5 (CAT5) observations than category 3 (CAT3) observations tend to have a greater P25 beyond 60 km from the storm center. 相似文献
2.
Understanding changes in the size of tropical cyclone (TC) wind and rain fields before landfall can improve identification of areas that may experience damage. We examine 25 Atlantic basin TCs for 36 h before gale-force winds (R17) cross land. Rain field extents are measured from satellite estimates of rain rates using a Geographic Information System. In each quadrant, R17 is obtained from the Extended Best Track data-set and correlated with the extent of the rain field. In general, both fields expand prior to landfall. The non-linearity of this trend poses problems for persistence forecast models. The largest wind fields are located over the Atlantic Ocean. Correlations between wind and rain field extent are strongly positive for Atlantic cases regardless of whether extratropical transition (ET) occurs and are associated with the direction of vertical wind shear. Poor correlations exist for Gulf observations. Rain fields extend farther towards the east during ET when vertical wind shear is stronger, but wind fields are not significantly different when separating cases based on whether or not ET occurs. As rain fields extend farther than wind fields in 33% of Gulf cases, moderately heavy rainfall may commence before damaging winds arrive, decreasing the time available for preparedness activities. 相似文献
3.
This study explores two different tropical cyclone rainfall (TCR) problems: first, the identification of areas where TCR is highly concentrated and, second, the contribution of tropical cyclones (TCs) to the climatology of Puerto Rico for the period 1970–2010. A total of 86 storms within a 500-km radius of Puerto Rico were analyzed. Daily and monthly rainfall data from 32 weather stations were used to generate interpolated surfaces. Two geostatistical interpolation techniques were implemented: ordinary kriging and ordinary cokriging. Results show that rainfall from most TCs tends to be clustered in the eastern, southeastern, and central regions of the island, with a decrease in values toward the west. TCs closer to Puerto Rico (≤230 km) and embedded in high moisture environments (≥44.5 mm) exhibited the highest rainfall values, with most concentrated in the high elevation areas of the southeastern region of the island. Months with the largest TC contributions to rainfall (20–30%) were August and September, while the lowest contributions were found in June and November. For August, stations in the southern and eastern portions of the island had TCR contributions of >20%, with some stations in the southern coastal plains exhibiting 30%. 相似文献
4.
《自然地理学》2013,34(5):385-406
Researchers have utilized radar reflectivity returns and lightning flashes separately and together to locate convection with tropical cyclones (TCs). Most studies utilizing both datasets have examined TCs over the ocean, while landfall observations have been limited to a few TCs. This study employs a GIS to delineate regions of high radar reflectivity values within 45 landfalling TCs. The percentage of convective regions contained within each quadrant placed relative to storm motion and deep-layer vertical wind shear is calculated. These percentages are then compared to those from previous studies of quadrant-based lightning flash locations. Results indicate that the GIS-based radar analysis may be identifying TC regions that are electrically active. Both the radar- and lightning-based analyses show that convection shifts from the right to the front of the storm as forward velocity increases. Convection is located left of the shear vector when storm motion is 45-135° counterclockwise from the shear vector, and downshear when shear-minus-motion angles are 315-45°. Additionally, storms that became extratropical within 72 hours of landfall had more convection forward of the circulation center and left of the shear vector, and may produce less lightning than the remaining TCs. 相似文献
5.
降雨的空间不均性对模拟产流量和产沙量不确定的影响 总被引：15，自引：0，他引：15
在传统的水文/水质模型中,降雨被认为是在空间上均匀分布并且对模型输出的不确定性不产生影响。本文的目的是评价由于降雨的空间分布不均匀性对模型输出-产流量和产沙量-不确定性的影响。本文选取卢氏流域为研究区域,使用SWAT模型和流域内24个雨量站的降雨作为模型的输入。基于降雨空间分布均匀的假定下,每次用一个雨量站的点雨量来作为流域的面平均降雨量,模拟的产流量和产沙量的不确定性来自于降水的不均匀性。模拟的产流量和产沙量的不确定性大于降雨的不确定性,结果表明,在运用水文/水质模型时,为了准确的模拟、预测产流量和产沙量必须掌握降雨的空间分布特性并将其应用于水文、水质模拟之中。 相似文献
6.
热带气旋降水模拟研究进展 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
中国是遭受热带气旋灾害最为严重的国家之一,准确的降水模拟对于开展热带气旋灾害风险评估有重要意义。本文从热带气旋灾害风险评估的视角,将降水模拟分为基于极值理论的降水极值模拟、基于站点的降水时空模拟和基于热带气旋路径的降水事件模拟3大类;根据风险评估对降水模拟的需求,从模型构建、发展及其特点等方面对3类模型进行分析评述;进而提出面向风险评估的热带气旋降水模拟,应兼顾降水模拟的一般性和热带气旋暴雨模拟的特殊性,平衡处理降水模拟结果的准确性、统计量的可靠性和计算量问题。以极值理论对降水极值模拟为基础,充分发挥降水时空模拟在处理长时间降水序列中的优势,并加强热带气旋降水的理论研究,进一步完善热带气旋降水事件的模拟模型。 相似文献
7.
1960—2017年太湖流域不同等级降水时空特征 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
基于太湖流域1960—2017年逐日降水数据,运用Mann-Kendall非参数检验法、R/S分析等方法,分析太湖流域不同等级降水的时空变化特征,并探讨了不同等级降水对年降水的影响。结果表明：1）近60年来,流域小雨发生率最高,为73.55%;年总降水量中,中雨量所占比例最大,为32.05%。小雨发生率呈显著减少趋势,暴雨贡献率呈显著增加趋势。2）太湖流域大雨、暴雨的降水量和降水日数都呈显著增加,小雨日数显著减少,小雨强度、年总降水强度显著增强。3）不同等级降水变化趋势的空间分布存在明显差异。小雨日数与年总降水日数,以及小雨强度与年总降水强度的变化趋势空间格局相一致。中雨日数、大雨日数、暴雨日数变化趋势的空间分布与其对应的降水量变化趋势的空间格局相似。4）R/S分析结果显示,小雨、暴雨、年总降水相关指标（小雨量除外）都表现出较强的持续性,未来变化趋势与过去相一致。5）近60年来,太湖流域年总降水量、降水日数、年总降水强度的变化,分别受中雨量、小雨日数、暴雨量的影响较大。在旱年流域年降水量偏少受大雨量减少的影响较大,而涝年年降水量偏多受暴雨增加的影响较大。 相似文献
8.
9.
大尺度景观结构指数的因子分析 总被引：13，自引：1，他引：12
基于遥感和GIS技术,尝试对大尺度下陆地景观结构指数进行因子分析。根据生态区划计算描述中国陆地景观结构的13种景观结构指数,包括斑块密度、最大斑块指数、边界密度、面积加权斑块形状指数、面积加权斑块分维度、平均最近斑块距离、最近斑块距离的标准差、最近斑块距离的相异系数、蔓延度、分布邻接指数、结合度、香农多样性指数、辛普森多样性指数。在相关分析的基础上,对其中12种指数进行因子分析,并采用前3个公因子分析中国陆地景观结构,3个公因子的方差累积贡献率达88.8%,分别定义为斑块多样性因子、斑块形状复杂性因子和斑块分布均匀性因子。计算表明,在人类活动影响强烈的生态区,这3个公因子取值都比较小,反映斑块类型多样性减少、形状复杂性降低、分布趋于均匀。 相似文献
10.
近年来伴随着城市化的快速发展,世界各大城市汛期极端降雨事件频发,洪涝造成的社会经济损失日益严重,在此背景下,分析中国首都北京各城市化阶段汛期降雨变化显得非常有必要。论文基于30个雨量站1963—2012年汛期降雨资料,运用线性回归、滑动平均以及ArcGIS空间分析等方法对北京汛期降雨时空特征进行分析,通过对比城区和近郊区汛期降雨之间的差异来研究城市化对汛期降雨特征的影响,同时利用北京不同城市化阶段土地利用数据分析了城市下垫面变化对降雨的影响,得出以下主要结论：① 北京各区域汛期降雨时间上整体呈现下降趋势,空间上整体表现为由东向西呈逐渐减小的趋势。② 北京山区最容易发生小雨和中雨;城区则更容易发生中雨以上等级降雨事件,特别是暴雨和大暴雨;近郊区发生小雨和中雨概率与城区接近,但大雨以上等级降雨事件发生可能性小于城区;远郊发生各等级降雨事件的可能性均较大。③ 相对于北部近郊而言,在不同城市化发展阶段,城区降雨比南部近郊更大,但城市化增雨效应在城区与北部近郊之间也有所体现。④ 随着城市化的发展,北京城区和郊区城镇建设用地面积持续增长,原有下垫面条件被改变;由于城区城市化进程比近郊区更快,下垫面条件的改变使得城区汛期降雨量大于近郊区,且更易发生大雨以上等级降雨事件。 相似文献
11.
乌鲁木齐1991-2010年降雨特征分析 总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4
利用1991—2010年5—9月乌鲁木齐市气象站降水量资料,分析了乌鲁木齐近20 a降雨特征。结果表明,逐小时降水量和降水频次呈现较为一致的日变化特征,均以20时以后至翌日11时左右为高值区,在下午16时达最低值;1 h降水频次最多的是量级≤1.0 mm的降水,其次是1.1 mm≤R1≤3.0 mm,但1.1 mm≤R1≤3.0 mm量级的降水贡献率最高,其次是R1≤1.0 mm。不同量级降水过程均有较为明显的年际差异,小雨过程发生的频次最多,其次为中雨、大雨和暴雨过程。前半夜为小雨、中雨和大雨过程最易发生时段,下午为暴雨过程最易发生时段。小雨、中雨、大雨和暴雨过程发生最多的时段分别为7月中旬、5月中旬、5月中下旬、5月上中旬与7月中旬及8月下旬。短时性降水(1~3 h)主要集中在前半夜,持续4~6 h和7~9 h降水多集中在前半夜到后半夜,持续10~12 h及以上的降水多发生在下午至后半夜。20 a来雨日年际变化不明显,后10 a和前10 a相比,暴雨日数有所增加,而其他量级及总雨日均减少。 相似文献
12.
粤北石漠化地区坡地土壤侵蚀模拟试验研究 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
在粤北山区裸地、草坡地和耕地等3种石漠化土地的坡面上,采用0.3 mm·min-1、0.48 mm·min-1、0.72 mm·min-1、1.08 mm·min-1 4种降雨强度进行了36场人工降雨模拟试验。结果表明,坡面上3种类型石漠化土地的土壤侵蚀特征、强度各不相同。在同一地类上,土壤侵蚀量随降雨过程的进行呈现出波动下降的趋势,且随雨强的增大,土壤侵蚀量亦增大;土壤侵蚀量与雨强之间均呈现极显著的线性相关关系。在任一雨强条件下,都是裸地的土壤侵蚀量最大,耕地次之,草坡地最小。地表覆被对降雨侵蚀产沙过程有重要的抑制作用,大雨强条件下抑制作用尤为突出;而水平沟耕作方式能减少小雨强条件下的土壤侵蚀量,但随着雨强的增大,其影响也随之降低。 相似文献
13.
This study evaluated the pH of rain water at 28 sample stations throughout the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area and determined the efficacy of utilizing a volunteer sampling network under a limited budget. Twelve rain events from September 1984 to August 1985 were analyzed. Despite the small number of events sampled, a strong relationship emerged between storm path, pH pattern, and average rainfall pH. A long, overland storm track yielded low rainfall pH and a simple spatial pattern of rain pH, while coastal storms produced relatively higher pH and a pattern with many areas of local variability. 相似文献
14.
本文概述了巴里坤“９６．７”暴雨洪水的危害及成因，利用降水随高程变化的规律及相关方程，推算西黑沟流域平均面降雨量，由“９６．７”暴雨巴里坤气象站的雨形分配，计算西黑沟最大洪峰流量，与调查成果的相互验证。 相似文献
15.
Understanding the dynamic patch mosaic of topsoil moisture on arid hillsides has implications for understanding eco-geomorphic processes. The present study used high-resolution maps to investigate the spatial distribution of moisture in the topsoil on the shrub microenvironment scale, and its dynamics during the first days after rain events. These maps were acquired by a thermal infrared (TIR) method, based on close-range TIR imaging and on a model in which spatially consecutive TIR data are converted into soil moisture values. The main results show that, in addition to the general diminishing trend of topsoil moisture content, and in spite of the specific differences between the two research sites, there was, in both arid and semi-arid zones, a general spatio-temporal pattern of topsoil moisture in a shrub microenvironment during the first days after rainfall. This pattern is manifested in the presence of a changing moist patch under the shrub, and diminishing moisture content gradients, from the shrub center towards the bare soil that vary over space and time. An improved understanding of surface water resources is gained from investigations of the spatio-temporal patterns of soil moisture during and following rainfall events. 相似文献
16.
近35 年青藏高原雨量和雨日的变化特征 总被引：13，自引：3，他引：10
利用青藏高原1971-2005 年49 个气象台站逐日雨量和雨日资料, 分析了青藏高原年、 季雨量和雨日变化趋势。结果表明, 近35 年西藏大部分地区年雨量、雨日呈现显著增加趋 势, 而青海省大部分地区雨量、雨日却呈减少趋势。夏半年, 高原上雨日减少, 雨量增加, 说明降水越来越集中, 降水强度在增加。冬半年, 高原上雨日、雨量均在增加。高原夏半年小雨(0.1~4.9 mm) 雨日减少, 雨量增加; 小雨(5.0~9.9 mm) 和中雨的雨日和雨量均呈增加趋 势, 大雨以上的雨日和雨量均减少。冬半年, 青藏高原小雪、中雪、大雪不同量级日数和雪 日的平均雪量均呈增加趋势; 暴雪日和雪量变化均不明显。 相似文献
17.
The objective of this study is to quantitatively evaluate Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) data with rain gauge data and further to use this TRMM data to drive a Distributed Time-Variant Gain Model (DTVGM) to perform hydrological simulations in the semi-humid Weihe River catchment in China. Before the simulations, a comparison with a 10-year (2001-2010) daily rain gauge data set reveals that, at daily time step, TRMM rainfall data are better at capturing rain occurrence and mean values than rainfall extremes. On a monthly time scale, good linear relationships between TRMM and rain gauge rainfall data are found, with determination coefficients R2 varying between 0.78 and 0.89 for the individual stations. Subsequent simulation results of seven years (2001-2007) of data on daily hydrological processes confirm that the DTVGM when calibrated by rain gauge data performs better than when calibrated by TRMM data, but the performance of the simulation driven by TRMM data is better than that driven by gauge data on a monthly time scale. The results thus suggest that TRMM rainfall data are more suitable for monthly streamflow simulation in the study area, and that, when the effects of recalibration and the results for water balance components are also taken into account, the TRMM 3B42-V7 product has the potential to perform well in similar basins. 相似文献
18.
This paper reviews the nature of moisture at Gobabeb, Namibia with emphasis on rainfall, and fog. It introduces the observational record produced by the Gobabeb Training and Research Centre and examines nature and cause of the rainfall record from October 1st 1962 to May 30th 2011. Over this period of 17749 days only 381 rainy days produced a total of 1213 mm of rain with an annual average of 25 mm. 2011 has been the wettest year on record also featuring the two most wettest days (March 12th and May the 6th). 1992 has been the driest year with no rain at all. Over the last 3 decades (1979–2009) the number of decadal rain days has decreased from 77 to 56 to 54 days, while total decadal rain amount has increased from 130 mm to 149 mm up to 300 mm. 193 Individual rain events between 1979 and 2009 were linked to synoptic conditions present in the region including the Zaire Air Boundary (ZAB), Tropical Temperate Troughs (TTT), the Angola Low, temperate cold fronts and cut-off lows (850 hgt geopotential height). Cluster analyses in the form of Self Organising Maps (SOMs), suggests that all synoptic states have the potential to produce rain but that the Angolan low dominates with an increase in TTT activity being evident. Fog collection techniques have evolved through time and suggest a range of possible event types, including advected fog, coastal stratus cloud, high stratus cloud, radiation fog and fog drizzle. While each of these has their own meso- and micro-scale synoptic control and may even vary in their bulk and isotopic chemistry, they collectively make a significant moisture contribution to the flora and fauna of the Namib. Additional sources of moisture are gaining appreciation and include the widespread occurrence of hypersaline springs on the Namib gravel plains as well as micro-scale moisture including vapour in desert soils and regolith. 相似文献
19.
银武高速公路同心至固原段边坡面蚀试验分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
为研究高速公路边坡面蚀,选择银武高速公路同心至固原段固原立交2.5 km范围作为研究区段,根据不同公路边坡类型和防治措施设置6个观测小区,采用插钎法测定坡面的面蚀量,同时由虹吸式自记雨量计记录降雨量。分别测定和计算了降雨量、降雨历时、平均降雨强度、前期降雨量4个因子。分析结果表明,降雨对坡面面蚀的制约关系十分明显。影响面蚀量的主要降雨因子是降雨量和平均降雨强度,面蚀量与降雨量和平均降雨强度呈现极显著和显著的正相关关系,面蚀量与降雨因子中的前期降雨量呈现一定的负相关关系。采用强迫引入法,建立了面蚀量与降雨因子主成分的回归方程。 相似文献
20.
青海高原近40 a降水变化特征及其对生态环境的影响 总被引：13，自引：3，他引：13
利用青海省1961-2002年26个代表站逐日雨量资料和高原东部地区10个站的降水自记资料,分析了近40 a来降水量、雨日、雨强的气候变化特征。结果表明:青海高原近40 a来年降水量无明显的变化,但夏半年降水量呈减少趋势,冬半年降水量呈明显的增多趋势；夏半年降水量和雨日虽在减少,但降水强度在增大；夏半年降水量的减少主要是降水日数的减少造成的,而冬半年降水量的增加是由于雨日增多和每个降水日平均雨量的增大所造成；随着气候变暖,夏、秋季降水明显偏少,出现暖干化的气候趋势。 相似文献