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1.
An investigation of the Iranian climatic changes by considering the precipitation, temperature, and relative humidity parameters 总被引：5，自引：2，他引：3
Mohammad Reza Kousari Mohammad Reza Ekhtesasi Mehdi Tazeh Mohammad Ali Saremi Naeini Mohammad Amin Asadi Zarch 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2011,103(3-4):321-335
The present study tends to describe the survey of climatic changes in the case of the eastern and central areas of Iran and, to some extent, the northern parts. The monthly and yearly change trends in the minimum, maximum and mean temperatures, relative humidity, and the precipitation were surveyed for 26 synoptic stations in Iran during a 55-year period. The study was carried out by using the ??-Kendall test. The results showed the same temperature changes for the centrally located stations as the eastern and northern ones. Most of the stations in Zagros showed no significant temperature changes. A significant decrease in the precipitation was seen in summer in different stations. Most of the eastern and centrally located stations showed a decrease in relative humidity trend, while this condition was not recorded in Zagros and northern part of Iran. The present results also showed that the upward trend of minimum air temperature had an effect in increasing the mean air temperature in the stations with temperature ascending trend. This effect of minimum temperature was significantly more than that of the maximum temperature, which could be the result of increasing the amount of greenhouse gases and the reflection of received thermal energies, from land through the night. This increase in the temperature and a decrease in relative humidity would cause an increase in the evaporation of the received precipitation. 相似文献
2.
It has been pointed out that climatological-mean precipitation-evaporation difference (P–E) should increase under global warming mainly through the increasing saturation level of moisture. This study focuses on evaporation changes under global warming and their dependency on the direct warming effect, on the basis of future projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). Over most of the tropical, subtropical and midlatitude regions, the direct contribution from surface temperature increase is found to dominate the projected increase in evaporation. This contribution is nevertheless offset partially, especially over the oceans, by contributions from weakening surface winds and increasing near-surface relative humidity. Greater warming of surface air than of the sea surface also acts to reduce surface evaporation, by reducing both the exchange coefficient and humidity contrast at the surface. Though generally of secondary importance, this contribution is the dominant factor over the subpolar oceans. Over the polar oceans, the effect of sea-ice retreat dominantly contributes to the evaporation increase in winter, whereas the reduced exchange coefficient and surface humidity contrast coupled with the sea-ice retreat account for most of the response during summertime. Over the continents, changes in the surface exchange coefficient, reflecting changes in soil moisture and vegetation among other factors, are important to modulate the direct effects of the warming and the generally reduced surface air relative humidity. 相似文献
3.
本文利用2001～2017年ERA5再分析资料以及CERES卫星资料,探究夏季白天中国中东部不同类型云的云量及其光学厚度的时空变化特征,并利用一维辐射对流模式定量分析不同类型云对近地表气温的影响。观测结果表明:夏季白天中国中东部总云量及其光学厚度整体呈由南向北逐渐减小的分布特征,且中高云量占主导地位。总云量整体呈?0.3% a?1显著减少趋势,其中低云的贡献（?0.27% a?1）最大;总云光学厚度为0～0.1 a?1增加趋势,其中低云光学厚度（0.06 a?1）和中低云光学厚度（0.03 a?1）呈增加趋势,而中高云光学厚度（?0.08 a?1）和高云光学厚度（?0.03 a?1）呈减少趋势。模式结果表明:四种不同类型云的温度效应（Cloud Effect Temperature, CET）均为负值,表现为降温效应。低云、中低云、中高云和高云的年均CET值分别为?2.9°C、?2.7°C、?2.2°C和?1.7°C。其中,低云在华北平原降温可达?5°C;中低云和中高云在四川盆地和云贵高原降温可达?7.8°C。不同类型云温度效应与近地表气温的年际变化具有较好的一致性,具体表现为:2004年前（后）近地表气温呈现下降（上升）趋势,不同类型云的CET在此期间呈下降（上升）趋势,表现为云的降温效应增强（减弱）与近地表气温下降（上升）相对应,体现了夏季白天中国中东部4种不同类型云温度效应与近地表气温都呈正相关关系。特别地,夏季白天中国中东部中高云量占主导地位,其CET与近地表气温的相关系数高达0.63。综上,夏季白天中国中东部不同类型云温度效应对近地表气温的影响不同,但均呈正相关关系。定量分析不同类型云对近地表气温的影响可以为定量研究云反馈对区域增暖的作用以及合理预估未来区域增暖情景提供必要的科学参考。 相似文献
4.
冬季中国东部与北极之间近地面温度变化的年际联系 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料和国家气象信息中心整编的425站气温资料,借助经验正交函数分解（EOF）、相关分析和回归分析等方法探讨1956~2015年冬季北极及中高纬度近地面温度、西伯利亚高压的变化特征以及两者与中国东部气温直接和间接的年际联系。为此定义了3个西伯利亚高压指数,即西伯利亚高压中心强度指数（SHCI）、西伯利亚高压面积指数（SHA）和西伯利亚高压东边界指数（SHEB）。结果表明:从1998年开始冬季巴伦支海、喀拉海迅速增温,并在年际尺度上与中国东部气温存在显著的负相关关系,即北极近地面温度与中国东部气温的直接联系。同时,西伯利亚高压的3个指数也与北极地区近地面温度和中国东部气温有较好的年际关系,体现了西伯利亚高压是联系北极和东亚气候的桥梁,当北极近地面温度升高（降低）时,西伯利亚高压中心强度增强（减弱）,面积扩大（缩小）,东边界东伸（西退）,中国东部气温降低（升高）,即北极近地面温度（西伯利亚高压）与中国东部气温的间接（直接）联系。最后,讨论了北极近地面温度变化影响中国东部气温的可能物理机制。 相似文献
5.
6.
Consideration of the dependence of various components of the sea-surface heat and momentum fluxes on sea surface temperature
(SST) leads to an explanation for the observed reduction in the horizontal temperature gradients in the uppermost layer of
the ocean (a few to 10 m in depth). Horizontal temperature gradients within the mixed layer can be masked by a near-surface
layer of warm water. This camouflage of horizontal temperature gradients has importance for the remote sensing of SST used
by the fishing industry, for the estimation of acoustic transmission, and for the forecasting of hurricane development, among
many uses of SST data. Diurnal warming conditions in the Straits of Florida are examined by a simulation calculation and by
analysis of observations obtained on moorings deployed on the south-east Florida shelf. When there is net heating (i.e., the
solar input is stronger than the combined latent, sensible and longwave radiative heat losses) the originally warmer water
experiences less heating than the colder water, leading to a weakening of the horizontal SST gradients as seen by surface
buoys or satellites. The warmer water also experiences more mixing and therefore less increase in temperature. The strongest
effect of the diurnal heating on wind stress occurs when the SST starts out cooler than the air temperature and the atmosphere
is stably stratified. Diurnal warming can then rapidly increase the SST above the air temperature because of reduced wind
stress and reduced upper-ocean mixing. After that the wind stress increases as convectively driven turbulence contributes
to the atmospheric exchange. 相似文献
7.
Edgar L Andreas James B. Edson Edward C. Monahan Mathieu P. Rouault Stuart D. Smith 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1995,72(1-2):3-52
The part that sea spray plays in the air-sea transfer of heat and moisture has been a controversial question for the last two decades. With general circulation models (GCMs) suggesting that perturbations in the Earth's surface heat budget of only a few W m–2 can initiate major climatic variations, it is crucial that we identify and quantify all the terms in that heat budget. Thus, here we review recent work on how sea spray contributes to the sea surface heat and moisture budgets. In the presence of spray, the near-surface atmosphere is characterized by a droplet evaporation layer (DEL) with a height that scales with the significant-wave amplitude. The majority of spray transfer processes occur within this layer. As a result, the DEL is cooler and more moist than the atmospheric surface layer would be under identical conditions but without the spray. Also, because the spray in the DEL provides elevated sources and sinks for heat and moisture, the vertical heat fluxes are no longer constant with height. We use Eulerian and Lagrangian models and a simple analytical model to study the processes important in spray droplet dispersion and evaporation within this DEL. These models all point to the conclusion that, in high winds (above about 15 m/s), sea spray begins to contribute significantly to the air-sea fluxes of heat and moisture. For example, we estimate that, in a 20-m/s wind, with an air temperature of 20°C, a sea surface temperature of 22°C, and a relative humidity of 80%, the latent and sensible heat fluxes resulting from the spray alone will have magnitudes of order 150 and 15 W/m2, respectively, in the DEL. Finally, we speculate on what fraction of these fluxes rise out of the DEL and, thus, become available to the entire marine boundary layer. 相似文献
8.
Xiaojuan LIU Guangjin TIAN Jinming FENG Bingran MA Jun WANG Lingqiang KONG 《大气科学进展》2018,35(6):723-736
The impacts of three periods of urban land expansion during 1990–2010 on near-surface air temperature in summer in Beijing were simulated in this study, and then the interrelation between heat waves and urban warming was assessed. We ran the sensitivity tests using the mesoscale Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with a single urban canopy model,as well as high-resolution land cover data. The warming area expanded approximately at the same scale as the urban land expansion. The average regional warming induced by urban expansion increased but the warming speed declined slightly during 2000–2010. The smallest warming occurred at noon and then increased gradually in the afternoon before peaking at around 2000 LST—the time of sunset. In the daytime, urban warming was primarily caused by the decrease in latent heat flux at the urban surface. Urbanization led to more ground heat flux during the day and then more release at night, which resulted in nocturnal warming. Urban warming at night was higher than that in the day, although the nighttime increment in sensible heat flux was smaller. This was because the shallower planetary boundary layer at night reduced the release efficiency of near-surface heat. The simulated results also suggested that heat waves or high temperature weather enhanced urban warming intensity at night. Heat waves caused more heat to be stored in the surface during the day, greater heat released at night, and thus higher nighttime warming. Our results demonstrate a positive feedback effect between urban warming and heat waves in urban areas. 相似文献
9.
Mxolisi Excellent Shongwe R. G. Graversen G. J. van Oldenborgh B. J. J. M. van den Hurk F. J. Doblas-Reyes 《Climate Dynamics》2011,36(5-6):1055-1066
Autumn 2006 was extraordinarily mild in many parts of Europe. Near-surface temperatures were more than three standard deviations above the 1961?C1990 climatology. Even accounting for global warming, this event was far outside the probability density function of previous observations or climate model simulations. To investigate the mechanisms behind this event, the energy-budget for Autumn 2006 in Europe is estimated. Atmospheric energy-transport convergence over Europe is calculated and compared with the net energy flux at the top of the atmosphere as well as at the earth??s surface. The central North-Atlantic Ocean constituted the major source of energy. Here, the release of both sensible and latent heat was anomalously high. Atmospheric circulation played a crucial role by transporting the excess energy into Europe. Of this energy excess, dry-static energy was larger than the latent part, partly due to an additional contribution derived from a conversion of latent energy to sensible heat, which occurred upstream of the study area in the eastern Atlantic. In Europe, surface turbulent-energy fluxes into the atmosphere respond to atmospheric energy-transport convergence and are accordingly suppressed due to the anomalously high temperature and humidity content of the overlying air. The net outflow of radiational energy to space is anomalously high but not sufficient to offset the large positive anomaly of energy found over Europe. Even though the relative humidity was near its normal values in Europe, the specific humidity was considerably higher than usual. The high water-vapour content induced a local radiative positive feedback, increasing the opacity of the atmosphere to long-wave radiation. This appears to have significantly contributed to the extreme event. Atmospheric circulation played a crucial role in sustaining this feedback loop. 相似文献
10.
A Case Study of the Impacts of Dust Aerosols on Surface Atmospheric Variables and Energy Budgets in a Semi-Arid Region of China 
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下载免费PDF全文 The authors present a case study investigating the impacts of dust aerosols on surface atmospheric variables and energy budgets in a semi-arid region of China. Enhanced observational meteorological data, radiative fluxes, near-surface heat fluxes, and concentrations of dust aerosols were collected from Tongyu station, one of the reference sites of the International Coordinated Energy and Water Cycle Observations Project (CEOP), during a typical dust storm event in June 2006. A comprehensive analysis of these data show that in this semi-arid area, higher wind velocities and a continuously reduced air pressure were identified during the dust storm period. Dust storm events are usually associated with low relative humidity weather conditions, which result in low latent heat flux values. Dust aerosols suspended in the air decrease the net radiation, mainly by reducing the direct solar radiation reaching the land surface. This reduction in net radiation results in a decrease in soil temperatures at a depth of 2 cm. The combination of increased air temperature and decreased soil temperature strengthens the energy exchange of the atmosphere-earth system, increasing the surface sensible heat flux. After the dust storm event, the atmosphere was dominated by higher pressures and was relatively wet and cold. Net radiation and latent heat flux show an evident increase, while the surface sensible heat flux shows a clear decrease. 相似文献
11.
Bernard Fontaine Javier Garcia-Serrano Pascal Roucou Belen Rodriguez-Fonseca Teresa Losada Fabrice Chauvin Sébastien Gervois Sivarajan Sijikumar Paolo Ruti Serge Janicot 《Climate Dynamics》2010,35(1):95-114
Using both empirical and numerical ensemble approaches this study focuses on the Mediterranean/West African relationship in
northern summer. Statistical analyses utilize skin temperature, sea surface temperature, in situ and satellite rainfall, outgoing
longwave radiation (OLR) observations and reanalyzed data winds and specific humidity on isobaric surfaces. Numerical investigations
are based on a large set of sensitivity experiments performed on four atmospheric general circulation models (AGCM): ARPEGE-Climat3,
ECHAM4, LMDZ4 and UCLA7.3. Model outputs are compared to observations, discussed model by model and with an ensemble (multi-model)
approach. As in previous studies the anomalous Mediterranean warm events are associated with specific impacts over the African
monsoon region, i.e., a more intense monsoon, enhanced flux convergence and ascendances around the ITCZ, a strengthening of
low level moisture advection and a more northward location of ascending motion in West Africa. The results show also new features
(1) thermal variability observed in the two Mediterranean basins has unalike impacts, i.e. the western Mediterranean covaries
with convection in Gulf of Guinea, while the eastern Mediterranean can be interpreted as Sahelian thermal-forcing; (2) although
observations show symmetry between warming and cooling, modelling evidences only support the eastern warming influence; (3)
anomalous East warm situations are associated with a more northward migration of the monsoon system accompanied by enhanced
southwertely flow and weakened northeasterly climatological wind; (4) the multi-model response shows that anomalous East warm
surface temperatures generate an enhancement of the overturning circulation in low and high levels, an increase in TEJ (Tropical
Eeasterly Jet) and a decrease in AEJ (African Eeasterly Jet). 相似文献
12.
The dissimilarity of temperature and humidity transfer in the marine surface layer (MSL) is investigated through the relative transport efficiency and correlation coefficient of these two scalars. We examine their variability and relationship with mean values, as well as spectral characteristics. It is shown that the dissimilarity between these two scalars in the MSL is a function of stability, the boundary-layer depth, and flow steadiness. In general the temperature and humidity are less correlated in shallow marine boundary layers compared to deep marine boundary layers, due to the stronger impact of the boundary-layer scale in breaking the “same source, same sink” assumption for scalar similarity. This is supported by the combination of our spectral analysis of scalar fluxes and corresponding measured and modelled boundary-layer depth. This assumption is also broken in near-neutral conditions, when there is an efficient latent heat transfer but negligible sensible heat transfer. Our data suggest that parametrization of humidity fluxes via similarity theory could still be reliable when the correlation coefficient $>$ 0.5, and in near-neutral conditions the humidity flux can be estimated without use of the sensible heat flux. 相似文献
13.
青藏高原潜热感热、地形高度与我国冬、夏季温度的可能影响 总被引：4，自引：3，他引：4
利用改进后的大气环流谱模式（简称SF-AGCM）进行长时间积分，分别在青藏高原冬季感热、潜热减少，夏季感热、潜热增加和地形减半等三种情况下，求出其相应的我国温度情况，结果表明：夏季感热、潜热增加，相应次年我国冬季普遍温度程升高，冬季感热潜热减少，相应次年夏季青藏高原地区温度升高，我国中东部区温度降低，只有东部沿海的温度有少量增加，降低最多地区在黄河中游，青藏高原地形高度减半，冬季青藏高原地区温度增加，0℃线沿青藏高原穿过黄河和长江的中上游，我国的东部地区温度均降低，降低最大处是在渤海和黄海附近的地区；夏季我国普遍温度都降低，青藏高原的西部温度降低最为显著，此外，在淮河附近也有较大降温。 相似文献
14.
基于2020年上半〖JP3〗年我国东部近海站点观测资料和葵花 8卫星反演海雾产品对我国自主研发的GRAPES TYM〖JP〗模式进行了海雾预报性能评估。点、面检验结果表明：模式48 h和72 h TS分别为0.40和0.36,黄海海雾预报性能最优,34°～37°N海域内大部分站点TS高于0.50。黄海海雾落区预报检验显示均压场形势下预报最准确,平均临界成功指数为0.35;气旋后部海雾多空报。2 m相对湿度预报偏差具有局地性特征,相对湿度低估的站海雾预报击中率、TS相对低,反之亦然。另外,模式对成雾相关气象要素预报误差相对小且对成雾有利时海雾预报基本正确;模式预报风向较实际风向偏东南,易出现冷偏差和湿偏差,虚假的有利温湿条件导致海雾空报。 相似文献
15.
The Beijing meteorological tower is located in an area of Beijing, China, which has developed from a suburban to an inner city setting over the past 30 years. The impacts of this urbanization process on both the vertical profile and diurnal cycles of air temperature are investigated using hourly data collected from a series of monitoring levels (up to 325 m high) on the Beijing meteorological tower since 1984. We find that the inter-decadal temperature has increased gradually, and that a more significant increase occurred during the 1980s and 1990s due to the effects of urbanization. A well-defined change in temperature stratification was also observed over this period. The height of the temperature inversion layer decreased from the 1980s to the 2000s. A well-defined nighttime temperature inversion developed below 50 m during the summer in the 1980s, but this near-surface inversion is not seen in data from the 1990s and 2000s. This change can be related to an increase in turbulent mixing caused by urban roughness and surface heat storage that disturbs the near-surface temperature inversion layer. In addition, the diurnal change in temperature in the city in summer shows a maximum increase from sunrise to the early afternoon, which is mainly caused by the nature variability and global warming in both the summer and winter. The urbanization mainly contributes to the temperature increase in the afternoon and nighttime. Moreover the urbanization dominates the increase in daily mean near-surface temperature. 相似文献
16.
Zhangjiakou is an important wind power base in Hebei Province, China. The impact of its wind farms on the local climate is controversial. Based on long-term meteorological data from 1981 to 2018, we investigated the effects of the Shangyi Wind Farm (SWF) in Zhangjiakou on air temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, and precipitation using the anomaly or ratio method between the impacted weather station and the non-impacted background weather station. The influence of the SWF on land surface temperature (LST) and evapotranspiration (ET) using MODIS satellite data from 2003 to 2018 was also explored. The results showed that the SWF had an atmospheric warming effect at night especially in summer and autumn (up to 0.95°C). The daytime air temperature changes were marginal, and their signs were varying depending on the season. The annual mean wind speed decreased by 6％, mainly noted in spring and winter (up to 14％). The precipitation and relative humidity were not affected by the SWF. There was no increase in LST in the SWF perhaps due to the increased vegetation coverage unrelated to the wind farms, which canceled out the wind farm-induced land surface warming and also resulted in an increase in ET. The results showed that the impact of wind farms on the local climate was significant, while their impact on the regional climate was slight. 相似文献
17.
The development of the bora in case of strong southeastern wind in the area of Novaya Zemlya in the winter-spring of 2016 is simulated using the WRF-ARW numerical atmosphere circulation model with high spatial resolution. The features of wind speed and air temperature fields are considered which define the formation of the intensive near-surface flow, the bora, over the lee western slope of the mountain range. It is demonstrated that the bora development leads to the air temperature rise over the eastern part of the Barents Sea, to the increased surface heat fluxes, and to the formation of the cloudless zone over the sea westward of Novaya Zemlya. It was found that the main reason for the bora development is the high stability of the atmospheric boundary layer over the Kara Sea. It is shown that in case of western wind the Novaya Zemlya archipelago does not exert considerable influence on the air exchange in the Kara Sea area. 相似文献
18.
城市化对高温热浪的频次和强度具有重要影响,但目前对于城市化影响高温热浪过程的机理了解还不充分。本文利用WRF模式,对2010年7月2～6日（北京时）北京一次高温过程进行了模拟,分析了城市化对此次高温过程的影响机理。采用优化后的WRF模式,能够模拟出北京连续5日高温的特征和城市热岛强度的变化。城市下垫面的不透水性决定了城区2 m高度处相对湿度低于乡村,削弱了城区通过潜热调节城市气温的能力。日落后,城市感热通量下降缓慢,城区降温速率小于乡村,夜间边界层稳定、高度低,风速小,抑制了城乡之间能量的传输,形成了夜间强的城市热岛强度,造成夜间城市气温明显高于乡村。日出后城乡地面感热通量、潜热通量迅速上升,边界层稳定性下降。午后,城市下垫面分别为地表感热通量和潜热通量的高、低值中心,通过潜热调节气温的能力被削弱;边界层稳定性降低,有利于能量的垂直扩散;此时,城市热岛强度小于夜间。因此,北京城市下垫面形成了明显的城市热岛效应,加重了城区极端高温事件的强度。此外,在这次高温热浪期间,中国东部大部分地区受到大陆暖高压控制,晴空少云,西北气流越山后形成焚风效应,是北京地区高温热浪形成的天气背景。 相似文献
19.
In this study, the influence of land use change and irrigation in the California Central Valley is quantified using the Pennsylvania State University/National Center for Atmospheric Research fifth generation Mesoscale Model (MM5) coupled with the Community Land Model version 3 (CLM3). The simulations were forced with modern-day and presettlement land use types at 30-km spatial resolution for the period 1 October 1995 to 30 September 1996. This study shows that land use change has significantly altered the structure of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) that affects near-surface temperature. In contrast, many land-use change studies indicate that albedo and evapotranspiration variations are the key processes influencing climate at local-to-regional scales. Our modeling results show that modern-day daily maximum near-surface air temperature (Tmax) has decreased due to agricultural expansion since presettlement. This decrease is caused by weaker sensible heat flux resulting from the lower surface roughness lengths associated with modern-day crops. The lower roughness lengths in the Central Valley also result in stronger winds that lead to a higher PBL. The higher PBL produces stronger sensible heat flux, causing nighttime warming. In addition to land use change, cropland irrigation has also affected hydroclimate processes within the California Central Valley. We generated a 10-member MM5-CLM3 ensemble simulation, where each ensemble member was forced by a fixed volumetric soil water content (SWC) between 3% and 30%, at 3% intervals, over the irrigated areas during a spring?Csummer growing season, 1 March to 31 August 1996. The results show that irrigation lowers the modern-day cropland surface temperature. Daytime cooling is produced by irrigation-related evaporation enhancement. This increased evaporation also dominates the nighttime surface cooling process. Surface cooling and the resulting weaker sensible heat flux further lower the near-surface air temperature. Thus, irrigation strengthens the daytime near-surface air temperature reduction that is caused by land use change, and a similar temperature change is seen for observations over irrigated cropland. Based on our modeling results, the nighttime near-surface warming induced by land use change is alleviated by low-intensity irrigation (17%?<?SWC?<?19%), but such warming completely reverses to a cooling effect under high-intensity irrigation (SWC?>?19%). The land use changes discussed in this study are commonly observed in many regions of the world, and the physical processes identified here can be used to better understand temperature variations over other areas with similar land cover changes. 相似文献
20.
利用系统聚类分析和相关分析方法,根据1953—2005年内蒙古东部产粮区48个气象站的气象资料,进行了气候相似区划分;并得出各区在热量、水分的时间变化上具有较高的区域一致性。据此,以区域内各站点的温度、降水和日照时数的平均值作为区域热水光时间序列,分析了各气候要素变化特征及其对农业可能产生的影响。结果表明:各区域温度呈上升趋势,增温速率(平均增温为0.3—0.4℃/10 a)高于中国平均增温速率(0.22℃/10 a),增温幅度呈从西向东递增的趋势,平均最低气温增幅最大,平均最高气温增温幅度与海拔呈正相关,尤以1988年以后变暖趋势最为明显;降水量基本呈减少趋势,年代际波动较大;20世纪90年代至今,内蒙古东部产粮区生长季降水明显减少,气温迅速升高,暖干化趋势表现明显,温差减小和日照时数减少,水热匹配格局发生改变,粮食产量出现减少趋势的可能性较大。 相似文献