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Three main types of recent volcanism may be distinguished in the Afar Depression: 1) oceanic volcanism of the axial ranges; 2) volcanism along the margins where an attenuated sialic crust probably occurs; 3) mainly fissural volcanism of Central-Southern Afar, with associated central volcanoes, similar as a whole to the volcanism of the Ethiopian Rift Valley. Peralkaline silicic volcanic rocks are found in all the three groups but showing some different characteristics which seem related to their geological location and which probably reflect different sources. Moreover emplacement of peralkaline granitic bodies, associated with volcanics of the same composition, marks the first stage of formation of the Afar Depression, in the Early Miocene. Axial Ranges: Erta’Ale and Boina volcanic ranges indicate that peralkaline rocks are the final liquids produced by fractionation of basalt in shallow magma chambers of central volcanoes. The parental magma is a transitional type of basalt with a mildly alkalic affinity, which fractionated under lowpH2O-pO2 conditions. Transition to peralkaline liquids is realized without passing a «true» trachytic (low silica) stage. The first peralkaline liquid is a low silica comendite and evidence exists that «plagioclase effect» was active in determining the first peralkalinity. Within the peralkaline field a fractionation mainly controlled by alkali feldspar progressively increases the peralkalinity and silica oversaturation of residual liquids (transition from comendites to pantellerites). The most peralkaline pantellerites of Boina are produced by fractionation of an alkali feldspar of constant composition (Ab65–68 Or35–32) suggesting that these liquids lie on a «low temperature zone» of the peralkaline oversaturated system. Marginal Units: On the borders of the depression peralkaline silicics are found in volcanic massifs mainly made of metaluminous silicic products. Petrology and geochemistry suggest a complex origin. Crystal fractionation, contamination with sialic crust and chemical changes related to a volatile rich phase, all these processes probably played a role in the genesis of these peralkaline silicic rocks. Central-Southern Afar Fissural Volcanism: Mildly alkaline basalts are associated with peralkaline and metaluminous silicics; intermediate rocks are very scanty. Fractionation from deep seated magmatic bodies with selective eruptivity and partial melting at depth of associated basalts or of a common source material are possible genetic mechanisms. 相似文献
3.
E. P. Saggerson 《Bulletin of Volcanology》1970,34(1):38-76
In the Nairobi area and the adjacent region of the Gregory Rift Valley of Kenya two series of Cainozoic alkaline volcanic rocks, of mildly and strongly alkaline type respectively, are considered to have been derived from a single parental magma of alkali olivine basalt composition. Vulcanicity is genetically associated with tectonic movements attendant upon doming and rifting and distances from the rift margin decrease with crystal fractionation, the most acid differentiates being located at the maximum elevation of the rift floor. An early period of nepheline-bearing lava extrusion associated with central vulcanism is followed by a later period of welded tuff — trachyte — rhyolite fissure eruption. Caldera formation associated with central vulcanism within the Rift accompanies the later volcanic phase. 相似文献
4.
Back-arc rifting in the Izu-Bonin Island Arc: Structural evolution of Hachijo and Aoga Shima Rifts 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Adam Klaus Brian Taylor Gregory F. Moore Fumitoshi Murakami Yukinobu Okamura 《Island Arc》1992,1(1):16-31
Abstract Multi- and single-channel seismic profiles are used to investigate the structural evolution of back-arc rifting in the intra-oceanic Izu-Bonin Arc. Hachijo and Aoga Shima Rifts, located west of the Izu-Bonin frontal arc, are bounded along-strike by structural and volcanic highs west of Kurose Hole, North Aoga Shima Caldera and Myojin Sho arc volcanoes. Zig-zag and curvilinear faults subdivide the rifts longitudinally into an arc margin (AM), inner rift, outer rift and proto-remnant arc margin (PRA). Hachijo Rift is 65 km long and 20–40 km wide. Aoga Shima Rift is 70 km long and up to 45 km wide. Large-offset border fault zones, with convex and concave dip slopes and uplifted rift flanks, occur along the east (AM) side of the Hachijo Rift and along the west (PRA) side of the Aoga Shima Rift. No cross-rift structures are observed at the transfer zone between these two regions; differential strain may be accommodated by interdigitating rift-parallel faults rather than by strike- or oblique-slip faults. In the Aoga Shima Rift, a 12 km long flank uplift, facing the flank uplift of the PRA, extends northeast from beneath the Myojin Knoll Caldera. Fore-arc sedimentary sequences onlap this uplift creating an unconformity that constrains rift onset to ～1-2Ma. Estimates of extension (～3km) and inferred age suggest that these rifts are in the early syn-rift stage of back-arc formation. A two-stage evolution of early back-arc structural evolution is proposed: initially, half-graben form with synthetically faulted, structural rollovers (ramping side of the half-graben) dipping towards zig-zagging large-offset border fault zones. The half-graben asymmetry alternates sides along-strike. The present ‘full-graben’ stage is dominated by rift-parallel hanging wall collapse and by antithetic faulting that concentrates subsidence in an inner rift. Structurally controlled back-arc magmatism occurs within the rift and PRA during both stages. Significant complications to this simple model occur in the Aoga Shima Rift where the east-dipping half-graben dips away from the flank uplift along the PRA. A linear zone of weakness caused by the greater temperatures and crustal thickness along the arc volcanic line controls the initial locus of rifting. Rifts are better developed between the arc edifices; intrusions may be accommodating extensional strain adjacent to the arc volcanoes. Pre-existing structures have little influence on rift evolution; the rifts cut across large structural and volcanic highs west of the North Aoga Shima Caldera and Aoga Shima. Large, rift-elongate volcanic ridges, usually extruded within the most extended inner rift between arc volcanoes, may be the precursors of sea floor spreading. As extension continues, the fissure ridges may become spreading cells and propagate toward the ends of the rifts (adjacent to the arc volcanoes), eventually coalescing with those in adjacent rift basins to form a continuous spreading centre. Analysis of the rift fault patterns suggests an extension direction of N80°E ± 10° that is orthogonal to the trend of the active volcanic arc (N10°W). The zig-zag pattern of border faults may indicate orthorhombic fault formation in response to this extension. Elongation of arc volcanic constructs may also be developed along one set of the possible orthorhombic orientations. Border fault formation may modify the regional stress field locally within the rift basin resulting in the formation of rift-parallel faults and emplacement of rift-parallel volcanic ridges. The border faults dip 45–55° near the surface and the majority of the basin subsidence is accommodated by only a few of these faults. Distinct border fault reflections decreases dips to only 30° at 2.5 km below the sea floor (possibly flattening to near horizontal at 2.8 km although the overlying rollover geometry shows a deeper detachment) suggesting that these rifting structures may be detached at extremely shallow crustal levels. 相似文献
5.
D. Ferr��s H. Delgado Granados W. Hern��ndez C. Pullinger H. Ch��vez C. R. Castillo Taracena C. Ca?as-Dinarte 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2011,73(7):833-850
The volcanic events of the last 3,000?years at San Salvador volcanic complex are reviewed using detailed stratigraphic records exposed in new excavations between 2005 and 2007, at El Cambio archeological site (Zapotitán Valley, El Salvador), and in other outcrops on the northern and northwestern sectors of the complex. The sequences that overlie Tierra Blanca Joven (cal. 429?±?107?ad), from the Ilopango caldera, comprise the Loma Caldera (cal. 590?±?90?ad) and El Playón (1658?C1671) deposits and the San Andrés Tuff (cal. 1031?±?29?ad), related to El Boquerón Volcano. The surge deposits within the El Playón, San Andrés Tuff and overlying Talpetate II sequences indicate the significance of phreatomagmatic phases in both central vent and flank eruptions during the last 1,600?years. Newly identified volcanic deposits underlying Tierra Blanca Joven at El Cambio extend the stratigraphic record of the area to 3,000?years?bp. Paleosols interstratified with those deposits contain cultural artifacts which could be associated with the Middle Preclassic period (900?C400?bc). If correct, human occupation of the site during the Preclassic period was more intense than previously known and volcanic eruptions must have affected prehistoric settlements. The archeological findings provide information on how prehistoric populations dealt with volcanic hazards, thousands of years ago in the eastern Zapotitán Valley, where several housing projects are currently being developed. The new stratigraphic and volcanological data can be used as a basis for local and regional hazard assessment related to future secondary vent activity in the San Salvador Volcanic Complex. 相似文献
6.
Numerous volcanoes in the Afar Triangle and adjacent Ethiopian Rift Valley have erupted during the Quaternary, depositing volcanic ash (tephra) horizons that have provided crucial chronology for archaeological sites in eastern Africa. However, late Pleistocene and Holocene tephras have hitherto been largely unstudied and the more recent volcanic history of Ethiopia remains poorly constrained. Here, we use sediments from lakes Ashenge and Hayk (Ethiopian Highlands) to construct the first <17 cal ka BP tephrostratigraphy for the Afar Triangle. The tephra record reveals 21 visible and crypto-tephra layers, and our new database of major and trace element glass compositions will aid the future identification of these tephra layers from proximal to distal locations. Tephra compositions include comendites, pantellerites and minor peraluminous and metaluminous rhyolites. Variable and distinct glass compositions of the tephra layers indicate they may have been erupted from as many as seven volcanoes, most likely located in the Afar Triangle. Between 15.3−1.6 cal. ka BP, explosive eruptions occurred at a return period of <1000 years. The majority of tephras are dated at 7.5−1.6 cal. ka BP, possibly reflecting a peak in regional volcanic activity. These findings demonstrate the potential and necessity for further study to construct a comprehensive tephra framework. Such tephrostratigraphic work will support the understanding of volcanic hazards in this rapidly developing region. 相似文献
7.
Numerous volcanoes in the Afar Triangle and adjacent Ethiopian Rift Valley have erupted during the Quaternary, depositing volcanic ash (tephra) horizons that have provided crucial chronology for archaeological sites in eastern Africa. However, late Pleistocene and Holocene tephras have hitherto been largely unstudied and the more recent volcanic history of Ethiopia remains poorly constrained. Here, we use sediments from lakes Ashenge and Hayk (Ethiopian Highlands) to construct the first <17 cal ka BP tephrostratigraphy for the Afar Triangle. The tephra record reveals 21 visible and crypto-tephra layers, and our new database of major and trace element glass compositions will aid the future identification of these tephra layers from proximal to distal locations. Tephra compositions include comendites, pantellerites and minor peraluminous and metaluminous rhyolites. Variable and distinct glass compositions of the tephra layers indicate they may have been erupted from as many as seven volcanoes, most likely located in the Afar Triangle. Between 15.3−1.6 cal. ka BP, explosive eruptions occurred at a return period of <1000 years. The majority of tephras are dated at 7.5−1.6 cal. ka BP, possibly reflecting a peak in regional volcanic activity. These findings demonstrate the potential and necessity for further study to construct a comprehensive tephra framework. Such tephrostratigraphic work will support the understanding of volcanic hazards in this rapidly developing region. 相似文献
8.
Pier Paolo Bruno 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2004,66(4):342-355
Digital marine seismic reflection data acquired in 1973 in the Bay of Pozzuoli, and recently reprocessed, were used to study the volcanological evolution of the marine sector of Campi Flegrei Caldera during the last 37 ka. In order to gain more information, interpretation also involved estimation of the "pseudo-velocity" and the "pseudo-density" from the resistivity logs of two onshore deep exploration wells. The main results are: (1) discovery of ancient pre-18 ka and post-37 ka submarine and mainly effusive volcanic activity, along coeval emission centers located at the edges of Campi Flegrei Caldera; (2) confirmation that the caldera collapse in the marine sector of Campi Flegrei seems strongly controlled by regional NE–SW and NW–SE structural discontinuities; (3) the finding of at least two episodes of collapse in the bay; and (4) identification of a post-18 ka volcanic deflation phase that has caused about 150–200 m of subsidence in the central sector of the Bay of Pozzuoli in the last 18 ka.Editorial responsibilty: T. Druitt 相似文献
9.
C. Robin 《Bulletin of Volcanology》1984,47(1):1-23
Volcan Popocatepetl, which lies 70 km southeast of Mexico City, is one of the most famous andesite composite volcanoes in the world. With 5,450 m of elevation, it is the second highest peak of Mexico. Located 320 km north of the Middle America Trench, at the centre of the Mexican Volcanic Belt, Volcano Popocatepetl forms the southern active part of a northsouth volcanic complex, the northern part consisting of the eroded Volcano Iztaccihuatl.Since its earliest reported eruption in 1519, Volcano Popocatepetl has had a continuous fumarolic activity in its crater, and in frequent small eruptions (1720, 1802–1804, 1920). In contrast with this light activity, C14 data indicate pre-historical cycles of intense volcanism with paroxysmal pyroclastic eruptions (ash and pumice-flows) alternating with effusive phases and plinian air-fall deposits.The results of a volcanological study and the petrological characteristics of the main volcanic units show that Volcano Popocatepetl is composed of a primitive composite-volcano on which a recent summit cone is superimposed. It has been built during 2 very dissimilar volcanic periods linked by a transitional phase.
Le Volcan Popocatepetl (Mexique): structure, evolution pétrologique et risques相似文献
10.
Rift zones at the divergent plate boundary in Iceland consist of central volcanoes with swarms of fractures and fissures extending
away from them. Fissure swarms can display different characteristics, in accordance with their locations within the ∼50-km-wide
rift zones. To better discern the characteristics of fissure swarms, we mapped tectonic fractures and volcanic fissures within
the Kverkfj?ll volcanic system, which is located in the easternmost part of the Northern Volcanic Rift Zone (NVZ). To do this,
we used aerial photographs and satellite images. We find that rifting structures such as tectonic fractures, Holocene volcanic
fissures, and hyaloclastite ridges are unevenly distributed in the easternmost part of the NVZ. The Kverkfj?ll fissure swarm
extends 60 km north of the Kverkfj?ll central volcano. Holocene volcanic fissures are only found within 20 km from the volcano.
The Fjallgarear area, extending north of the Kverkfj?ll fissure swarm, is characterized by narrow hyaloclastite ridges indicating
subglacial volcanism. We suggest that the lack of fractures and Holocene volcanic fissures there indicates decreasing activity
towards the north in the easternmost part of the NVZ, due to increasing distance from the long-term spreading axis. We argue
that arcuate hyaloclastite ridges at the eastern boundary of the Northern Volcanic Rift Zone are mainly formed during deglaciations,
when three conditions may occur; firstly, eruption rate increases due to decompression of the mantle. Secondly, the high tensile
stresses accumulated during glaciations due to lack of magma supply may be relieved as magma supply increases during deglaciations.
Thirdly, faulting may occur during unloading due to differential movements between the thinner and younger Northern Volcanic
Rift Zone crust and the thicker and older crust to the east of it. 相似文献
11.
H.D. Needham P. Choukroune J.L. Cheminee X. Le Pichon J. Francheteau P. Tapponnier 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1976,28(3):439-453
The Ardouko?ba Rift, subaerially exposed for ～12 km between the Ghoubbat-al-Kharab and Lake Asal in the French Territory of the Afars and Issas (northeast Africa), has intrinsic features and a regional setting consistent with arguments that it is the site of crustal accretion at approximately the same rate as that found along the rifted Mid-Oceanic Ridge (～2 cm/yr). The ～11 km wide Central Zone of the Ardouko?ba Rift has an internal relief of less than ～300 m and is set between step-like ridges standing up to 800 m above the deepest part of the rift. The lower inward-facing scarps of the Central Zone border a narrow Inner Floor. The Central Zone of the typically ～25–35 km wide oceanic Rift Valley can have a greater and rougher relief and has a width of ～8–16 km, but deep areas with an internal relief of <400 m have a maximum width that is about the same as that of the corresponding area in the Ardouko?ba Rift (～11 km). The width of the Inner Floor of the Ardouko?ba Rift varies from 2 to 5 km; in the oceanic Rift Valley the range is from less than 1 to ～9 km. Equivalence of tectonic and volcanic processes in the two settings has not been demonstrated; but a comparison of a segment of the Rift Valley in the FAMOUS area near 36°50′N in the Atlantic with the Ardouko?ba Rift encourages the tentative use of evidence from the latter to complement arguments about the pattern of vulcanism and scarp formation in the oceanic Rift Valley as a whole. The Inner Floor of the Rift Valley is the main site of horizontal extension without vertical displacements, of normal faulting that involves little or no accumulation of vertical offsets, and of constructional vulcanism, which may be further concentrated along narrow (～1 km wide) fissured zones. The normal faulting that disrupts and constrains more or less orderly growth of the Inner Floor may happen in such a way that the new graben that become new Inner Floors are laterally offset with respect to the middle line of the Rift Valley and to the axis of symmetry of a hypothetical block accounting for the central positive magnetic anomaly.Additional complexities may be introduced by syntectonic and post-tectonic vulcanism, and by normal fault displacement at any one time of young crust along only part of the distance between transform faults. Thus, although opening rate can always be equated in principle with total addition of new crust to the two plates, the assumption is suspect that the concept of spreading rate (rate of addition of crust to one plate or the other) can necessarily be applied precisely to the central part of the Rift Valley. In more general terms, the physical meaning of interpolated spreading rates on the time scale of magnetic anomalies is worth questioning. On evidence from the Rift Valley, the spreading rates need not reflect monotonic additions of new crust, and rocks of the same inferred age from opposite plates may not have the same composition. The problem is highlighted by the apparently symmetrical growth of the North Atlantic over long periods of time. 相似文献
12.
Study of Volcanic Sources at Long Valley Caldera,California, Using Gravity Data and a Genetic Algorithm Inversion Technique 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
We model the source inflation of the Long Valley Caldera, California, using a genetic algorithm technique and micro-gravity data. While there have been numerous attempts to model the magma injection at Long Valley Caldera from deformation data, this has proven difficult given the complicated spatial and temporal nature of the volcanic source. Recent work illustrates the effectiveness of considering micro-gravity measurements in volcanic areas. A genetic algorithm is a problem-solving technique which combines genetic and prescribed random information exchange. We perform two inversions, one for a single spherical point source and another for two-sources that might represent a more spatially distributed source. The forward model we use to interpret the results is the elastic-gravitational Earth model which takes into account the source mass and its interaction with the gravity field. The results demonstrate the need to incorporate more variations in the model, including another source geometry and the faulting mechanism. In order to provide better constraints on intrusion volumes, future work should include the joint inversion of gravity and deformation data during the same epoch. 相似文献
13.
A cluster of well-preserved recent volcanoes in the northern Bayuda Desert make up a more or less continuous field some 520 km2 in area surrounded by a number of isolated centres of eruption. The volcanoes are numerous but small; up to 400 m in height and 0.35 km2 in volume. Most of them are simple composite volcanoes with a pyroclastic cone skirted by a small lava field erupted from the same vent after explosive eruptions had ceased. In a few instances, however, the cone was eviscerated by more violent eruptions, leaving a deep explosion crater. The lavas are all nepheline-normative alkali basalts and contain a variety of xenocrysts and xenoliths from at least three different sources. The distribution of the recent volcanoes was partly controlled by large granitic ring-intrusions of the Basement Complex country rocks. These intrusions belong to the Younger Granite association of late Precambrian or Lower Palaeozoic age and represent a volcanic-intrusive episode widespread in northern Africa. The complexes are composed of cale-alkaline and peralkaline granites and syenites and a related plexus of dyke swarms. 相似文献
14.
The Erta Ale range is the main volcanic unit in the Danakil rift. It is located along the axis of the northern part of the Depression, in a zone clearly related to the Red Sea rift. The detailed study of the tectonics, volcanism and petrographic succession of the whole range allows one to draw the following conclusions.
- A compl3te, tectonically controlled evolution is observed in the subaerial volcanism from simple fissure activity, to small shield volcanoes built along open fissures, and to more complex central volcanoes. The emitted products form a complete differentiation series from basalts to rhyolites, with a remarkably regular volume decrease from basic to silicic terms.
- The close relationships existing between petrological and volcanological evolution suggest that the magma fractionation has been realized at relatively shallow depth, at the emplacement level of magmatic reservoirs. The importance of a time factor in the differentiation processes in volcanic conditions is clearly stressed.
- All collected data strongly support the subcrustal origin of the whole volcanic series and the hypothesis of crustal separation with formation of new oceanic crust along the axis of the Northern Danakil Depression.
15.
Christina Flechsig Tobias Fabig Carsten Rücker Claudia Schütze 《Studia Geophysica et Geodaetica》2010,54(3):443-463
The Cheb Basin, located in the western Eger (Ohře) Rift, is part of the European Cenozoic Rift system. Although presently
non-volcanic, it is the most active area within the European Rift with signs of recent geodynamic activity like emanations
of mantle derived CO2, and the repeated occurrence of swarm earthquakes, which are common features in active volcanic regions. It is assumed that
the fluids, uprising in permeable channels, play a key role for the genesis of these earthquake swarms. 相似文献
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17.
Social studies of volcanology: knowledge generation and expert advice on active volcanoes 总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1
This paper examines the philosophy and evolution of volcanological science in recent years, particularly in relation to the
growth of volcanic hazard and risk science. It uses the lens of Science and Technology Studies to examine the ways in which
knowledge generation is controlled and directed by social forces, particularly during eruptions, which constitute landmarks
in the development of new technologies and models. It also presents data from a survey of volcanologists carried out during
late 2008 and early 2009. These data concern the felt purpose of the science according to the volcanologists who participated
and their impressions of the most important eruptions in historical time. It demonstrates that volcanologists are motivated
both by the academic science environment and by a social concern for managing the impact of volcanic hazards on populations.
Also discussed are the eruptions that have most influenced the discipline and the role of scientists in policymaking on active
volcanoes. Expertise in volcanology can become the primary driver of public policy very suddenly when a volcano erupts, placing
immense pressure on volcanologists. In response, the epistemological foundations of volcanology are on the move, with an increasing
volume of research into risk assessment and management. This requires new, integrated methodologies for knowledge collection
that transcend scientific disciplinary boundaries. 相似文献
18.
The Aegean volcanic arc is one of the most important geological structure of the Mediterranean area. It is a belt of volcanic centers consisting of products ranging from basaltic, andesitic, dacitic to rhyolitic in composition, all of them displaying a typical calc-alkaline chemical character. The most abundant rock types are represented by andesites and dacites. Minor amounts of basalts and rhyolites occur mainly in the central-eastern sector of the arc. The REE, Rb, Sr, Ba, Th, Ta, Hf, Zr, Ni, Co, V and Cr abundances determined in 27 representative samples from different centers suggest that: 1) the intermediate and acidic terms are products of crystal/liquid fractionation processes starting from basic parent magmas: 2) large variations in incompatible elements occur in the most basic samples that are interpreted as evidence for heterogeneously LIL element-enriched mantle source; 3) plagioclase played a role in the evolution of the volcanic centers of the eastern and central arc different from that played in the volcanoes of the western sector. Along the arc, the differences in the distribution of lithological types, in the volumes of erupted material, in the volcanological characteristics of the different centers as well as in the patterns of trace element distribution in the volcanites are considered to be connected with the prevailing tectonic regime affecting the various sectors of the arc. 相似文献
19.
E. Ancochea J. L. Brndle C. R. Cubas F. Hernn M. J. Huertas 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》1996,70(3-4)
Fuerteventura has been since early stages of its growth the result of three different adjacent large volcanic complexes: Southern, Central and Northern. The definition of these volcanic complexes and their respective growing episodes is based on volcano-stratigraphic, morphological and structural criteria, particularly radial dyke swarms. Each complex has its own prolonged history that might be longer than 10 m.y. During that time, several periods of activity alternating with gaps accompanied by important erosion took place. The evolution of each volcanic complex has been partially independent but all the three are affected by at least three Miocene tectonic phases that controlled considerably their activity. The volcanic complexes are deeply eroded and partially submerged. In the core of the Northern and the Central volcanic complexes there is a set of submarine and plutonic rocks intensely traversed by a dyke swarm, known as the Basal Complex. The Basal Complex has been interpreted in different ways but all previous authors have considered it to be prior to the subaerial shield stage of the island. Here we advance the idea that the Basal Complex represent the submarine growing stage of the volcanic complexes and the hypabyssal roots (plutons and dykes) of their successive subaerial growing episodes.Two seamounts situated nearby, southwest of the island, might be interpreted as remains of two other major volcanoes. These two volcanoes, together with those forming the present emerged island of Fuerteventura, and finally those of Famara and Los Ajaches situated further north on Lanzarote constitute a chain of volcanoes located along a lineation which is subparallel to the northwestern African coastline and which may relate to early Atlantic spreading trends in the area. 相似文献
20.
Susanna Jenkins Christina Magill John McAneney Russell Blong 《Bulletin of Volcanology》2012,74(7):1699-1712
Volcanic ash is one of the farthest-reaching volcanic hazards and ash produced by large magnitude explosive eruptions has the potential to affect communities over thousands of kilometres. Quantifying the hazard from ash fall is problematic, in part because of data limitations that make eruption characteristics uncertain but also because, given an eruption, the distribution of ash is then controlled by time and altitude-varying wind conditions. Any one location may potentially be affected by ash falls from one, or a number of, volcanoes so that volcano-specific studies may not fully capture the ash fall hazard for communities in volcanically active areas. In an attempt to deal with these uncertainties, this paper outlines a probabilistic framework for assessing ash fall hazard on a regional scale. The methodology employs stochastic simulation techniques and is based upon generic principles that could be applied to any area, but is here applied to the Asia-Pacific region. Average recurrence intervals for eruptions greater than or equal to Volcanic Explosivity Index 4 were established for 190 volcanoes in the region, based upon the eruption history of each volcano and, where data were lacking, the averaged eruptive behaviour of global analogous volcanoes. Eruption histories are drawn from the Smithsonian Institution’s Global Volcanism Program catalogue of Holocene events and unpublished data, with global analogues taken from volcanoes of the same type category: Caldera, Large Cone, Shield, Lava dome or Small Cone. Simulated are 190,000 plausible eruption scenarios, with ash dispersal for each determined using an advection–diffusion model and local wind conditions. Key uncertainties are described by probability distributions. Modelled results include the annual probability of exceeding given ash thicknesses, summed over all eruption scenarios and volcanoes. A companion paper describes the results obtained for the Asia-Pacific region 相似文献