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1.
P. R. Wilson 《Solar physics》1975,42(2):333-340
Parker's explanation of the sunspot phenomenon in terms of the enhanced emission of Alfvén waves (solar vulcanology) is shown to be compatible with observation only if 90% of the waves propagate downwards. Further difficulties arise if the region of cooling by Alfvén wave generation is restricted to a depth of 2 Mm. However, it is shown that, if Alfvén wave generation is included in a recent model proposed by Meyer, Schmidt, Weiss and Wilson, these difficulties may be resolved. The problem of the sharp umbra and penumbra boundaries is discussed and it is shown that features of this combined model are relevant to the flare phenomenon.  相似文献   

2.
Sunspots are the most striking and easily observed magnetic structures of the Sun, and statistical analysis of solar historical data could reveal a wealth of information on the long-term variation of solar activity cycle. The hand-drawn sunspot records of Yunnan Observatories, Chinese Academy of Sciences have been accumulating for more than 60 years, and nearly 16 000 images have been preserved. In the future, the observation mode of recording sunspots by hand-drawing will be replaced inevitably by digital images observed either at ground or in space. To connect the hand-drawn sunspot data and the purely digital sunspot data in future, it is necessary to analyze the systematic errors of the data which are observed by the two observation modes in the period of transition. In this paper, we choose 268 round sunspots(Htype in modified Zurich sunspot classification) from the drawing of Yunnan Observatories to compare their positions and areas with the CCD observations made by Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager(HMI) on board Solar Dynamic Observatory(SDO) and Global Oscillation Network Group(GONG). We find that the latitude and longitude accuracy of hand-drawn sunspot are within-0.127 and 2.29 degree respectively,and the area accuracy is about 16.36 sunspot unit(μHem). Systematic errors apparently decrease with large sunspot.  相似文献   

3.
Recently, Wheatland and Litvinenko (2001) have suggested that over the solar cycle both the flaring rate and the magnetic free energy in the corona lag behind the energy supply to the system. To test this model result, we analyzed the evolution of solar flare occurrence with regard to sunspot numbers (as well as sunspot areas), using H flare data available for the period 1955–2002, and soft X-ray flare data (GOES 1–8 Å) for the period 1976–2002. For solar cycles 19, 21, and 23, we find a characteristic time lag between flare activity and sunspot activity in the range 1015 months, consistent with the model predictions by Wheatland and Litvinenko (2001). The phenomenon turns out to be more prominent for highly energetic flares. The investigation of solar activity separately for the northern and southern hemisphere allows us to exclude any bias due to overlapping effects from the activity of both hemispheres and confirms the dynamic relevance of the delay phenomenon. Yet, no characteristic time lag >0 is found for solar cycles 20 and 22. The finding that in odd-numbered cycles flare activity is statistically delayed with respect to sunspot activity, while in even-numbered cycles it is not, suggests a connection to the 22-year magnetic cycle of the Sun. Further insight into the connection to the 22-year magnetic cycle could possibly be gained when a 22-year variation in the energy supply rate is taken into account in the Wheatland and Litvinenko (2001) model. The existence of a 22-year modulation in the energy supply rate is suggested by the empirical Gnevyshev – Ohl rule, and might be caused by a relic solar field.  相似文献   

4.
Parfinenko  L.D. 《Solar physics》2003,213(2):291-299
The CCD spectroheliograph-magnetograph is a focal-plane ancillary instrument for the Pulkovo horizontal solar telescope ACU-5. The instrument is placed at an exit port of an isothermal high-resolution diffraction-grating spectrograph. A modified Leighton optical scheme for registration of sunspot magnetic fields is used. The instrument provides FITS-format digital video maps of radial velocities, magnetic fields, and spectroheliograms in any line of the spectral region 3900–11000 Å. The time to obtain one video map of size 91×154 is equal to 10.24 s. The angular resolution of the instrument is 0.8; spectral resolution is 0.01–0.03 Å. Since 1996 the Pulkovo CCD spectroheliograph-magnetograph has been used to obtain high spatial and temporal resolution observations of oscillations of radial velocities and magnetic fields in the photospheric layers of sunspots.  相似文献   

5.
Letfus  V. 《Solar physics》1999,184(1):201-211
A great part of missing daily relative sunspot numbers in the time interval 1749–1848 was reconstructed by nonlinear two-step method of interpolation. In the first step gaps of missing observations not longer than five days were directly interpolated. In the second step data were sorted to so-called Bartels scheme, i.e., to rows of the length of 27 days subsequently ranged in a matrix. In this step the missing value at any position was interpolated from the data at the same position of preceding and following rows. The interpolation was limited to sequences of no more than four missing data. The procedure enables to interpolate long gaps and simultaneously to respect the 27-day variation of solar activity. Monthly and annual means of relative sunspot numbers are presented. The differences between monthly and annual means of the primary observations and of the data completed by interpolation fluctuate around zero. The amplitude of fluctuations depends inversely on the frequency of observations. Most conspicuous are the deviations in the time interval 1776–1795 where the frequency of observations is very low or almost zero. The average dispersion of monthly differences is ±11.5 R and that of annual differences is ±7.8 R. The two-step method of interpolation was tested on the series of daily data in the time interval 1918–1948. The sequence of missing daily data in the years 1818–1848 represents a masking function. This function was applied to the continuous data series in the time interval 1918–1948 and then the modified series was reconstructed. The differences between the monthly and annual means of primary and reconstructed data are small with fluctuations around zero and with dispersion for monthly differences ±2.7 R a for annual differences ±0.6 R. Corresponding dispersions of the data differences for monthly means in the time interval 1818–1848 are ±4.3 R and ±1.1 R for annual means. The small dispersion values and small differences among them give evidence about the applicability and the effectiveness of the nonlinear two-step method of interpolation and also about high credibility of relative sunspot numbers after reconstruction.  相似文献   

6.
The space–time distribution of asymmetry in the area and total number of sunspot groups was considered over the time interval 1874–2009. The time behavior of the asymmetry in these indices of sunspot activity was shown to be similar on both small and large time scales. Spectral variation analysis (SVAN) was applied to study the spectral characteristics. Quasi–biennial oscillations (QBO) were revealed in the asymmetry of both indices under discussion. The SVAN diagrams for the asymmetry of the areas and numbers of sunspots in the range of QBO periods display pronounced similarity. In the activity indices per se, these effects are much weaker: the mutual correlation of the indices is lower, the QBO are less pronounced, and the similarity of the SVAN diagrams in the QBO range is absent. The effect of negative correlation between the QBO power and absolute value of the asymmetry over a long time interval was revealed: the increase in asymmetry is accompanied by a decrease in QBO amplitude regardless of which hemisphere is more active at the moment. This underlines the global nature of QBO and the relation of asymmetry to the quadrupole component of the solar large-scale magnetic field. The asymmetry is an independent fundamental characteristic of solar activity, which does not reduce to the classical characteristics of the 11-year cycle.  相似文献   

7.
In this work we selected one particular fibril from a high resolution observation of the solar chromosphere with the Dutch Open Telescope, and tried to obtain a broad picture of the intricate mechanism that might be operating in the multiple layers of the solar atmosphere visible in high cadence multi-wavelength observations. We analyzed the changing fibril pattern using multi-wavelength tomography, which consists of both the Hα line center and the blue wing, Doppler signal, Ca II H, and the G-band. We have found that the intermittent ejected material through the fibril from Doppler images has clearly shown an oscillation mode, as seen in the Hα blue wing.The oscillations in the umbrae and penumbrae magnetic field lines that are above the sunspot cause a broadening and the area forms a ring shape from 3 to 15 minute oscillations as a function of height. These made a distinct boundary between the umbrae and penumbrae which suggests a comb structure, and indicates that the oscillations could propagate along the inclined magnetic flux tubes from below. The 3 minute oscillations strongly appeared in the broadly inclined penumbrae magnetic field lines and showed a clear light bridge. The well known 5 minute oscillations were dominant in the umbrae-penumbrae region boundary. The long 7 minute oscillations were transparent in the Hα blue wing, as well as the 10 and 15 minute oscillations. They were concentrated in the inner-penumbrae, as seen in the Hα line center. From these findings we propose that the fibril acts as a fabric for interaction between the layers,as well as related activities around the active region under investigation.  相似文献   

8.
A new method for estimating the 11-year solar cycle periodicity was developed. The method is based on the approximation of cyclic changes of the mean latitude of sunspot groups. In general, the intervals of cycle repetitions estimated here do not contradict analogous data obtained earlier by the traditional method. It is confirmed also that the frequency at which 22-year cycles follow each other depends on the phase of secular changes in solar activity.  相似文献   

9.
It has been found that sunspot cycles 10–21, represented by quarterly mean values of Zürich sunspot number, can be suitably described by the F-distribution density function provided it is modified by introducing five characteristic parameters, in order to achieve an optimal fitting of each cycle. The average cycle calculated from cycles 10–21 has been used as a basis to forecast time and magnitude of the maximum of each cycle, as a function of various numbers of the first quarterly mean values in the beginning N = 8 to 16 quarters. The standard deviations at a 99% significance level calculated from the observed values depend on N, and vary from 1.6 to 1.1 quarters and 65 to 16 units of sunspot number. A rather sufficient forecast is obtained from N = 12 quarters (with inaccuracy of ± 1.5 quarters and ± 24 units); the forecast for cycle 22 yielded, for N = 12, the values t m = (15.4 ± 1.5) quarters ( 1990.I) and f(t m ) = (175 ±24 units).  相似文献   

10.
The North–South asymmetry in solar activity is an important solar property. During recent years the presence of short and intermediate-term periodicities of the North–South asymmetry has been reported, implying it could be an observational constraint that should be explained by the solar dynamo action. We attempt to confirm reported periodicities by employing an independent method so that observational constraints are established. We adopt the cepstrum technique to deconvolve the signal and the noise so that spurious peaks due to random noise are eliminated in the Fourier power spectrum. We also demonstrate how effectively it removes random noise using artificial data generated by assuming that the asymmetry of the sunspot area is characterized by random noise superposed on a slowly varying sinusoidal background function. We find that (i) the main periodicity of the North–South difference corresponding to ~9 years is present, (ii) other periodicities recently claimed, such as, of ~1.4, ~3.8, ~43 years, can not survive the deconvolution process, suggesting they seem due to stochastic random noise. We conclude by pointing out a possible implication of our finding on the nature of the North–South asymmetry of solar activity.  相似文献   

11.
The influence of sunspot activity on the condition of the solar-terrestrial environment during cycle 21 was examined using the data of sunspots and the modulation of the galactic cosmic-ray intensity. The hot spots discussed by Ichimoto et al. (1985) and Bai (1987a, 1988) were also found by analyzing the longitudinal distribution of sunspot groups.A detailed comparison between the time change of the sunspot activity in hot spots and that of the galactic cosmic rays observed by the neutron monitor reveals that several transient diminutions of the GCR intensity (with much longer duration than a Forbush decrease) occur at nearly the same time as the sporadic enhancement of sunspot area in the hot spots.Contributions from Kwasan and Hida Observatories, Kyoto University No. 303.  相似文献   

12.
Defining the first spotless day of a sunspot cycle as the first day without spots relative to sunspot maximum during the decline of the solar cycle, one finds that the timing of that occurrence can be used as a predictor for the occurrence of solar minimum of the following cycle. For cycle 22, the first spotless day occurred in April 1994, based on the International sunspot number index, although other indices (Boulder and American) indicated the first spotless day to have occurred earlier (September 1993). For cycles 9–14, sunspot minimum followed the first spotless day by about 72 months, having a range of 62–82 months; for cycles 15–21, sunspot minimum followed the first spotless day by about 35 months, having a range of 27–40 months. Similarly, the timing of first spotless day relative to sunspot minimum and maximum for the same cycle reveals that it followed minimum (maximum) by about 69 (18) months during cycles 9–14 and by about 90 (44) months during cycles 15–21. Accepting April 1994 as the month of first spotless day occurrence for cycle 22, one finds that it occurred 91 months into the cycle and 57 months following sunspot maximum. Such values indicate that its behavior more closely matches that found for cycles 15–21 rather than for cycles 9–14. Therefore, one infers that sunspot minimum for cycle 23 will occur in about 2–3 years, or about April 1996 to April 1997. Accepting the earlier date of first spotless day occurrence indicates that sunspot minimum for cycle 23 could come several months earlier, perhaps late 1995.The U.S. Government right to retain a non-exclusive, royalty free licence in and to any copyright is acknowledged.  相似文献   

13.
Sunspot associated H-flares and microwave bursts occurring during the period 1972 to 1974 have been examined in relation to the magnetic strength and configurations of the sunspots and sunspot groups (abbreviated as spots). Important results obtained are: (i) percentage occurrences of flares exceeds those of microwave bursts up to a magnetic field strength of 2000 G while the reverse is true for higher field strength of spots, (ii) flare productivity (average number of flares per spot) and also burst productivity are comparatively higher in the case of and types of spots than in the case of other types of spots, (iii) the above productivities are predominantly high when magnetic configuration of spots changes during their life time, and (iv) impulsive type of microwave bursts are more associated with spots having changing type of magnetic configuration.  相似文献   

14.
In a statistical analysis of Debrecen Photoheliographic Results sunspot area data we find that the logarithmic deviation (logD) of the area decay rate D from the parabolic mean decay law (derived in the first paper in this series) follows a Gaussian probability distribution. As a consequence, the actual decay rate D and the time-averaged decay rate are also characterized by approximately lognormal distributions, as found in an earlier work. The correlation time of (logD) is about 3 days. We find a significant physical anticorrelation between (logD) and the amount of plage magnetic flux of the same polarity in an annulus around the spot on Kitt Peak magnetograms. The anticorrelation is interpreted in terms of a generalization of the turbulent erosion model of sunspot decay to the case when the flux tube is embedded in a preexisting homogeneous plage field. The decay rate is found to depend inversely on the value of this plage field, the relation being very close to logarithmic, i.e., the plage field acts as multiplicative noise in the decay process. A Gaussian probability distribution of the field strength in the surrounding plage will then naturally lead to a lognormal distribution of the decay rates, as observed. It is thus suggested that, beside other multiplicative noise sources, the environmental effect of surrounding plage fields is a major factor in the origin of lognormally distributed large random deviations from the mean law in the sunspot decay rates.  相似文献   

15.
It was verified that the total number of sunspot groups at certain region on the solar surface for a certain activity cycle can be estimated quite accurately by using the Markov chain approximation method on the total number of spot groups observed on the same region at an earlier activity cycle. Application has been carried out on the observed sunspots on three northern longitude intervals (40–50, 80–90, and 130–140) during the activity cycle 1950–1960 and 1960–1970. The total number of spot groups in these regions for the activity cycle 1960–1970 has been estimated from the observational data of the cycle 1950–1960. A good correlation between the observed and estimated number of spot groups for the activity cycle 1960–1970 has been noted.  相似文献   

16.
R. P. Kane 《Solar physics》1992,140(1):171-180
Solar cycle No. 22 which started in 1986 seems to have already passed through a maximum. The maximum annual mean sunspot number was 157 for 1989. The maximum twelve-month running average was 159, centered on July 1989. For cycle 21, the similar value was 165 centered at December 1979. Thus, cycle 22 is slightly weaker than cycle 21. Schatten and Sofia (1987) had predicted a stronger cycle 22 (170 ± 25) as compared to cycle 21 (140 ± 20). Predictions based on single variable analysis, viz., R z (max) versus aa(min) were 165 and came true. Predictions based on a bivariate analysis, viz., R z (max) versus aa(min) and R z (min) were 130 and proved to be underestimates. Other techniques gave over- or underestimates.  相似文献   

17.
We briefly describe the concept and method of “similar cycles” to be used in sunspot prediction. We have checked on the reliability of this method and made the comparison of the predictions and observations for the 23rd solar activity cycle.  相似文献   

18.
Correlation analysis of the mean longitude distribution of sunspot groups (taken from the Greenwich Photoheliographic Results) and high-speed solar wind streams (inferred from the C9 index for geomagnetic disturbances) with the Bartels rotation period P = 27.0 days shows anti-correlation for individual cycles.In particular, the longitudes of post-maximum stable streams of cycle 18 and 19 are well anticorrelated with the preferred longitudes of sunspot groups during the maximum activity periods of these cycles. This is further analyzed using the daily Zürich sunspot number, R, between 1932 and 1980, which reveals a conspicuous similarity of cycle 18 and 19 as well as cycle 20 and 21.We conclude that there is a solar memory for preferred longitudes of activity extending at least over one, probably two cycles (i.e. one magnetic cycle of 22 years). We conjecture that this memory extends over longer intervals of time as a long-term feature of solar activity.  相似文献   

19.
A relationship between the north–south asymmetry of sunspot formation and the amplitude of 11-year cycles has been established from the RGO/USAF/NOAA data on sunspots. It is shown that the higher the solar cycle amplitude, the smaller the absolute value of the north–south asymmetry. The revealed pattern has been investigated in a numerical dynamo model with irregular variations of the alpha-effect.  相似文献   

20.
R. P. Kane 《Solar physics》1989,122(1):175-185
The 12-month running mean of the geomagnetic index aa seems to have attained a minimum value of 17.5 centered at December 1986. The fresh estimate of R z (max) is now 165 ± 35. Also, if R z (min) is taken into consideration, the R z (max) estimate will drop to 130. Details of the methodology and the data used are presented.  相似文献   

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