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1.
For the period 1917–1987, Greek seismic activity exhibits a very significant positive correlation to the preceding global activity with a time-lag of 15 years. It seems that all Greece and the two characteristic areas in which we have separated it (Greece without Arc, and the area of the Greek seismic Arc), follow the global seismic activity but with a time-shift of 15 years. Moreover, it seems to exist an intrinsic interaction mechanism between the Greek seismic arc and the rest of Greece, which may be deduced by their different behavior exhibited when they are correlated with the global activity, as well as from the correlation between themselves, where a very significant positive correlation has been found with a time-lag of 3 years, for Greece without arc preceding. A quasi-periodic term of 30-yrs is also observed in these detailed four seismic time-series.The cross-correlation analysis of seismic time-series, as shown, is served as a powerful tool to clarify the complicated space-time pattern of the world wide mosaic of tectonic plate motions. The implications of spring-block model of tectonic plates interaction is invoked, considering the earth's rotation rate changes as their triggering agent.Particular emphasis is given to the potential of such studies in earthquake prediction efforts from local or regional scales to a global scale and vice-versa.  相似文献   

2.
The timing and effect of the Cenozoic uplift of Scandinavia has been investigated using a multi-disciplinary approach involving sedimentological, seismic and biostratigraphic data from the Danish and the adjacent Norwegian parts of the North Sea Basin. It is concluded that significant uplift took place periodically throughout the Palaeogene possibly marking an earlier onset of the so-called “Neogene uplift” of Scandinavia. This conclusion is based on a number of sedimentological observations, including smectite content, grain-size variations, kaolinite thermal stabilities and Tmax values supported by seismic reflection geometries and biostratigraphic data. These data indicate several phases of re-working of Palaeogene and older sediments situated further to the east and northeast during the middle to late Eocene and during the middle to late Oligocene. The tectonic patterns were similar during the late Paleocene and the Oligocene with some inversion taking place, whereas no inversion has been observed during the Eocene. Main provenance areas were to the north and northeast during the Paleocene and Oligocene, whereas the Eocene sediments originate mainly from the British Isles to the west. It is proposed that Palaeogene uplift of Scandinavia was associated with regional tectonic movements along crustal zones of weakness, which were reactivated as they accommodated strain induced by the Alpine Orogeny and the opening of the North Atlantic.  相似文献   

3.
High thinning rates (up to − 4.0 ± 0.97 m a− 1) have been measured at Campo de Hielo Patagónico Norte (CHN) or Northern Patagonia Icefield, Chile between 1975 and 2001. Results have been obtained by comparing a Digital Elevation Model (DEM) derived from regular cartography compiled by Instituto Geográfico Militar of Chile (IGM) based upon 1974/1975 aerial photographs and a DEM generated from Advanced Space-borne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) satellite images acquired in September 2001. A complete cloud-free Landsat ETM+ satellite image mosaic acquired in March 2001 was used to update the available glacier inventory of the CHN, including all glaciers larger than 0.5 km2 (48 new glaciers). A new delineation of ice divides was also performed over the accumulation areas of glaciers sharing the high plateau where the existing regular cartography exhibits poor coverage of topographic information. This updated glacier inventory produced a total ice area for 2001 of 3953 km2, which represents a decrease of 3.4 ± 1.5% (140 ± 61 km2 of ice) with respect to the total ice area of the CHN in 1979 calculated from a Landsat MSS satellite image. Almost 62% of the total area change between 1979 and 2001 took place in glaciers located at the western margin of the CHN, where the maximum area loss was experienced by Glaciar San Quintín with 33 km2. At the southern margin, Glaciar Steffen underwent the largest ice-area loss (12 km2 or 2.6% of the 1979 area), whilst at the eastern margin the greatest area loss took place in Glaciares Nef (7.9 km2, 5.7% of the 1979 area) and Colonia (9.1 km2, 2.7% of the 1979 area). At the northern margin of the CHN the lower debris-covered ablation area of Glaciar Grosse collapsed into a new freshwater lake formed during the late 1990s. The areal changes measured at the CHN are much larger than previously estimated due to the inclusion of changes experienced in the accumulation areas. The CHN as a whole is contributing melt water to global sea level rise at rates  25% higher than previous estimates.  相似文献   

4.
A complete data set of globally distributed shallow (h , 60 Km) earthquakes have been used for first time to test the possible existence of periodicities in the seismic energy release. Only main shocks of magnitude,M 7.0 were considered, which occurred in the whole Earth during 1898–1985. These magnitudes are converted in seismic energy, which is released during the occurrence of earthquakes, through Bath's formula. The detection of such kind of periodicities is important in seismology, because these patterns may lead to the prediction of large earthquakes. Statistical techniques, such as Maximum Entropy (ME), and two Fourier approaches, the Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) and Power Spectrum (PS) of truncated subrecords of the whole time series have been applied to examine the possible existence of such periodicities in seismic energy release. Furthermore, the even-spacing technique is used to validate our results and a type-curve has been constructed for the data set.The results exhibit a network of periodicities with predominant periods at 3(±0.5), 4.5, 6.5, 8–9, 14–20, and 31–34 years. Some periods were occasionally interrupted. The latter implies that our time-series is not stationary, in that, the spectral peaks drift when the data are viewed through different time windows. The fact that the signal is weak and embedded in less accurate older data could contribute to this effect. The question of stability/validity of the apparently cyclic behaviour of the annual global seismic energy release, is one which requires further investigation.  相似文献   

5.
Application of Astronomic Time-latitude Residuals in Earthquake Prediction   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  
After the earthquake (Ms = 6.1) occurred in Luquan county of Yunnan province on April 18, 1985, the relationship between major earthquakes and astronomical time-latitude residuals (ATLR) of a photoelectric astrolabe in Yunnan Observatory was analyzed. ATLR are the rest after deducting the effects of Earth’s whole motion from the observations of time and latitude. It was found that there appeared the anomalies of the ATLR before earthquakes which happened in and around Yunnan, a seismic active region. The reason of the anomalies is possibly from change of the plumb line due to the motion of the groundmass before earthquakes. Afterwards, using studies of the anomalous characters and laws of ATLR, we tried to provide the warning information prior to the occurrence of a few major earthquakes in the region. The significant synchronous anomalies of ATLR of the observatory appeared before the earthquake of magnitude 6.2 in Dayao county of Yunnan province, on July 21, 2003. It has been again verified that the anomalies possibly provide the prediction information for strong earthquakes around the observatory.  相似文献   

6.
本文在潮汐应力、构造应力、地震断层和岩石破裂滑动理论的基础上 ,建立了潮汐应力对地震断层作用的力学模式 ,该模式将潮汐应力与地震应力作用相结合 ,描述了沿地震主压应力和地震主张应力方向的附加潮汐应力对发震断层的力学作用方式 ,从而切入潮汐应力触发地震的物理机制 ,认为潮汐对地震的触发作用在实质上归结为潮汐应力对地震断层的促滑作用 ,这种促滑作用分增压型和减压型。在此模式基础上 ,对中国大陆及邻区的不同类型地震的潮汐触发性进行了研究 ,内容包括 :计算了中国及邻区一千多个地震震源处沿主压应力P轴和主张应力T轴方向的附加潮汐应力分量 ,分析了这些量对发震断层的作用方式 ,按纬度区域统计了受到潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层类型以及它们与潮汐应力作用方式的关系 ,得到了如下结论 :受到潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层的比例随区域纬度增加有减小趋势 ,其中 ,走滑型断层的比例在低纬区较大 ,而倾滑斜型断层的比例在中高纬度区较大 ;对整个统计区域而言 ,受增压型潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层数比例大于受减压型潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层 ;对不同的纬度区域 ,不同的潮汐应力作用方式与之促滑的发震断层类型也有不同的分布特征。最后 ,本文将中国及邻区受到潮汐触发作用的地震按构造应力  相似文献   

7.
天文潮汐与地震   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  
从三个方面综述了天文潮汐与地震关纱的研究，内容包括，日、月、地球的相对位置与地震，天文潮汐的周期，相位与地震，天文潮汐应力与地震，日、月、地球的相对位置与地震和天文潮汐周期与地城的研究均属于从体积力的角度考虑问题，主要是从宏观角度揭示地震发生时的日月位置分布有何规律性，揭示地震发生时间丛集在潮汐周期变化过程中的相位或时段以及地城牟潮汐周期，天文潮汐应力与震的研究从引潮力在地震内部地震源处产生的潮汐应力角度出发，着重研究不同类型性质的发震断层与潮汐应力触发的关系，从物理意义上讲，该研究较深 次地切入了问题的实质，分析了采用某些方法和样本研究结果不一致性的原因，并提出了进一步研究的方向。  相似文献   

8.
It is suggested that Phaethon — a hypothetical planet whose breakup gave rise to the asteroid belt — has a structure similar to that of Callisto, and thus consisted of a rocky core (40%; in mass) and an ice envelope (60%). Total breakup of the planet becomes possible in an explosition of the electrolysis products accumulated in the ice in the form of a solid solution if the planet mass M 0.5 M. Assuming M = 0.5 M we obtain 1750 km for the planet's radius with the envelope's thickness of 750km. Application of the hydrodynamic theory of detonation to the (2H2 + O2) solution in ice reveals that depending on the actual critical temperature which for conventional explosives lies in the range 700–900 K the minimum (2H2 + O2) concentration in ice required for its explosion is 13–18%;.  相似文献   

9.
Using high-resolution Galileo images, we counted the number of craters (larger than 1 km) on two of Jupiter's satellites—Callisto (outside and inside the Asgard impact basin) and Ganymede (in the dark cratered Galileo region)—and classified these craters morphologically. Based on the degree of preservation of crater rims, three morphological classes, A, B, and C (from the most preserved to the most degraded), have been identified. The A : B : C ratios, equal, respectively, to 1 : 3 : 5, 1 : 3 : 7, and 1 : 2.5 : 6.5 for fragments of the territory outside and inside the Asgard basin and within Galileo Regio, indicate that these crater populations reached a considerably high degree of maturity. The degradation of kilometer-scale craters on Callisto proceeds by the narrowing of their rims and their disintegration into chains of knobs, probably due to the sublimation of ice that composes the rim material. Comparing the density of craters of different classes in the regions inside and outside Asgard shows that class A craters on the territories examined were formed after the event that formed this impact basin. Kilometer-scale craters on Ganymede degrade through the expansion and smoothing of their rims and the dissection of them by radial furrows. This implies the involvement in the crater destruction of a downslope movement triggered by the seismic activity that accompanied the formation of tectonic grooves. It is possible that ice sublimation also took part in the destruction of craters on Ganymede, but its effect was less prominent than the effect of downslope movements.  相似文献   

10.
The statistical correlation between earthquakes and the characteristics of solid Earth tide was investigated. Worldwide data on earthquakes (4018?M?≥?6.0) from January 1, 1973 to December 31, 2003 were analyzed. The distributions (D) of three relationships among earthquakes and solid tidal forces derived by composite force FIi [D (FIi)], azimuth Ai [D (Ai)], and elevation Ei [D (Ei)] from 1,200 waves were examined. These relationships indicate the probability of earthquakes. Twelve large-amplitude waves were investigated in detail to determine if earthquakes can be predicted. A test model P(t, λ, φ, d) consisting of three different wave groups was designed using these distributions. The values of tidal force, including the size and direction of tidal waves at any given time and place, were converted to test the probability of an earthquake. The converted values were then applied to trace and ascertain the great M?=?9.0 Northern Sumatra earthquake on December 26, 2004. Although the results selected from both the 12 maximum-amplitude waves or the 50 best correlation waves did not match well, the model can be significantly improved to produce only a day’s difference when all the 1,200 waves are employed. Therefore, further studies should be conducted to test if this method can be adopted in accurately predicting the occurrence of earthquakes, including time, relevant size, and location.  相似文献   

11.
The Jameson Land basin in East Greenland comprises a well exposed succession of Upper Paleozoic–Mesozoic sediments. During Middle Devonian–Early Permian rifting, 13 km of continental clastics were deposited. In latest Paleozoic to Mesozoic times, 4 km of sediments accumulated during regional subsidence. In the Early Paleocene, during North Atlantic break-up, the basin was covered by a thick volcanic pile. Subsequently, uplift and erosion took place over the whole region. The volcanic cover was completely removed from Jameson Land and erosion cut deeply into the underlying sediments. To assess the exploration potential of Jameson Land, a basin modelling study with 21 1D pseudo-wells was carried out based on all seismic and surface data available. In addition to the calculation of hydrocarbon generation in space and time, the basin modelling provided an opportunity to study the magnitude and timing of uplift and erosion. Basin modelling constrained by apatite fission track data has made it possible to determine a consistent uplift and erosion history of the area. Tectonic backstripping based on a simple Airy type isostatic model has been used to separate the tectonic uplift from the actual uplift. The combined basin modelling and backstripping study has led to the following conclusions: (1) the thickness of the Cretaceous succession varied from 1.3 km in the south to 0.3 km in the north; (2) the volcanic rocks formed a wedge with a thickness of >2 km in the south thinning to <0.1 km in the north; (3) the subsequent erosion of 2–3 km is in response to tectonic uplift with a magnitude of 1 km, and the calculated tectonic uplift shows increasing values to the north. The erosion rate generally accelerated from Late Paleocene up to the present time.  相似文献   

12.
We present a novel numerical approach to construct quantitative tectonic models from crustal velocity distributions derived from local earthquake tomography. Independent constraints on the location and orientation of structures are obtained from earthquake hypocenters and seismic reflection profiles. An application of this method is given for the southern end of the Upper Rhine Graben (northwestern Europe). Kinematic boundary conditions are imposed on the structural model to investigate the large scale intraplate deformation in the region. A 3-D finite element code is used to calculate the displacements, the distribution of stresses, and the potential for brittle failure in the Graben. The modeling takes into account the intersection and curvature of crustal faults. The results demonstrate the dependence of fault interaction in the system on kinematic conditions, as well as the influence of minor faults on the kinematics of major basin bounding master faults. We show that although most of the deformation in the region is taken up by the eastern boundary faults of the Rhine Graben, all faults in the system have the potential to be (re)activated. In particular, a fault system underlying the front of the Jura fold and thrust belt appears to accommodate a large part of the intraplate deformation.  相似文献   

13.
The effect of mass balance variations on changes in surface elevation of the Greenland ice sheet is examined in connection with the rise in sea level that will be caused by increased melting. Changes in surface elevation of several metres (of either sign) can occur in the ablation area of the ice sheet over a period of a few years as a result of random ablation forcing without being evidence of change in mean climate. Similar, but smaller, changes can occur in the accumulation area due to accumulation forcing. The ablation area of the ice sheet probably thickened from the mid-1970s to the mid-1980s as a result of lower ablation in that period but thinned again in the late 1980s as a result of higher ablation then. There is no evidence of any present trend of increased melting. Future climate warming will involve an accelerated thinning of the ablation area that could be detected in 1–2 decades against the background of natural fluctuations in surface elevation.  相似文献   

14.
The possible effects of trace-gas induced climatic changes on Pyramid and Yellowstone Lakes are assessed using a model of lake temperature. The model is driven by years of hourly meteorological data obtained directly from the output of double-CO2 experiments (2 × CO2) conducted with a regional climate model nested in a general circulation model. The regional atmospheric model is the climate version of the National Center for Atmospheric Research/Pennsylvania State University mesoscale model, MM4.Average annual surface temperature of Pyramid Lake for the 2 × CO2 climate is 15.5 ± 5.4°C (±1 σ), 2.8°C higher than the control. Annual overturn of the lake ceases as a result of these higher temperatures for the 2 × CO2 climate. Evaporation increases from 1400 mm yr−1 in the control to 1595 mm yr−1 in the 2 × CO2 simulation, but net water supplied to the Pyramid Lake basin increases from −6 mm yr−1 in the control to +27 mm yr−1 in the 2 × CO2 simulation due to increased precipitation.For the open water periods, the average annual surface temperature of Yellowstone Lake is 13.2 ± 5.1°C for the 2 × CO2 climate, a temperature 1.6°C higher than the control. The annual duration of ice cover on the lake is 152 days in the 2 × CO2 simulation, a reduction of 44 days relative to the control. Warming of the lake for the 2 × CO2 climate is mostly confined to the near-surface. Simulated spring overturn for the 2 × CO2 climate occurs earlier in the year and fall overturn later than in the control. Evaporation increases from 544 mm yr−1 to 600 mm yr−1 in the 2 × CO2 simulation, but net water supplied to the Yellowstone Lake basin increases from +373 mm yr−1 in the control to +619 mm yr−1 due to increased precipitation. The effects of these climatic changes suggest possible deterioration of water quality and productivity in Pyramid Lake and possible enhancement of productivity in Yellowstone Lake.  相似文献   

15.
Climate changes and recent glacier behaviour in the Chilean Lake District   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  
Atmospheric temperatures measured at the Chilean Lake District (38°–42°S) showed contrasting trends during the second half of the 20th century. The surface cooling detected at several meteorological stations ranged from − 0.014 to − 0.021 °C a− 1, whilst upper troposphere (850–300 gpm) records at radiosonde of Puerto Montt (41°26′S/73°07′W) revealed warming between 0.019 and 0.031 °C a− 1. Regional rainfall data collected from 1961 to 2000 showed the overall decrease with a maximum rate of − 15 mm a− 2 at Valdivia st. (39°38′S/73°05′W). These ongoing climatic changes, especially the precipitation reduction, seem to be related to El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomena which has been more frequent after 1976. Glaciers within the Chilean Lake District have significantly retreated during recent decades, in an apparent out-of-phase response to the regional surface cooling. Moreover, very little is known about upper troposphere changes and how they can enhance the glacier responses. In order to analyse their behaviour in the context of the observed climate changes, Casa Pangue glacier (41°08′S/71°52′W) has been selected and studied by comparing Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) computed at three different dates throughout the last four decades. This approach allowed the determination of ice elevation changes between 1961 and 1998, yielding a mean thinning rate of − 2.3 ± 0.6 m a− 1. Strikingly, when ice thinning is computed for the period between 1981 and 1998, the resulting rate is 50% higher (− 3.6 ± 0.6 m a− 1). This enhanced trend and the related area loss and frontal retreat suggests that Casa Pangue might currently be suffering negative mass balances in response to the upper troposphere warming and decreased precipitation of the last 25–30 yr, as well as debris cover would not prevent the glacier from a fast reaction to climate forcing. Most of recent glaciological studies regarding Andean glaciers have concentrated on low altitude changes, namely frontal variations, however, in order to better understand the regional glacier changes, new data are necessary, especially from the accumulation areas.  相似文献   

16.
The climatological signal of δ18O variations preserved in ice cores recovered from Puruogangri ice field in the central Tibetan Plateau (TP) was calibrated with regional meteorological data for the past 50 years. For the period AD 1860–2000, 5-yearly averaged ice core δ18O and a summer temperature reconstruction derived from pollen data from the same ice core were compared. The statistical results provide compelling evidence that Puruogangri ice core δ18O variations represent summer temperature changes for the central TP, and hence regional temperature history during the past 600 years was revealed. A comparison of Puruogangri ice core δ18О with several other temperature reconstructions shows that broad-scale climate anomalies since the Little Ice Age occurred synchronously across the eastern and southern TP, and the Himalayas. Common cold periods were identified in the 15th century, 1625–1645 AD, 1660–1700 AD, 1725–1775 AD, 1795–1830 AD, 1850–1870 AD, 1890–1920 AD, 1940–1950 AD, and 1975–1985 AD. The period 1725–1775 AD was one of the most prolonged cool periods during the past 400 years and corresponded to maximum Little Ice Age glacier advance of monsoonal temperate glaciers of the TP.  相似文献   

17.
Climatic changes of the 20th century have altered the water cycle in the Andean basins of central Argentina. The most visible change is seen in the mountain glaciers, with loss of part of their mass due to decreasing thickness and a substantial recession in the last 100 years. This paper briefly describes the results of glacier mass balance research since 1979 in the Piloto Glacier at the Cajón del Rubio, in the headwaters of Las Cuevas River, presenting new results for the period 1997–2003. Very large interannual variability of net annual specific balance is evident, due largely to variations in winter snow accumulation, with a maximum net annual value of + 151 cm w.e. and a minimum value of - 230 cm w.e. Wet El Niño years are normally associated with positive net annual balances, while dry La Niña years generally result in negative balances. Within the 24-year period, 67% of the years show negative net annual specific balances, with a cumulative mass balance loss of - 10.50 m water equivalent (w.e.). Except for exceptions normally related to El Niño events, a general decreasing trend of winter snow accumulation is evident in the record, particularly after 1992, which has a strong effect in the overall negative mass balance values. The glacier contribution to Las Cuevas River runoff is analysed based on the Punta de Vacas River gauge station for a hypothetical year without snow precipitation (YWSP), when the snowmelt component is zero. Extremely dry years similar to a YWSP have occurred in 1968–1969, 1969–1970 and 1996–1997. The Punta de Vacas gauge station is located 62 km downstream from Piloto Glacier, and the basin contains 3.0% of uncovered glacier ice and 3.7% of debris-covered ice. The total glacier contribution to Las Cuevas River discharge is calculated as 82 ± 8% during extremely dry years. If glacier wastage continues at the present trend as observed during the last 2 decades, it will severely affect the water resources in the arid central Andes of Argentina.  相似文献   

18.
The mechanism and the rate of formation of H2 molecules from adsorbed H atoms on interstellar ice grains (or on ice coated non-icy grains) are investigated assuming that the ice is not crystalline but amorphous. Using the available theory and experimental data it is concluded that, in contrast to crystalline grains, the mobility of the adsorbed atoms on amorphous grains at temperatures of 10–20 K is exceedingly low so that the controlling factor is the probability that two H atoms are accidentally adsorbed within a site or two of each other. The rate of H2 formation on ice grains per unit volume is much lower than previously estimated and is very sensitive to temperature. This conclusion applies not only to pure amorphous ice investigated here, but also to impure ice and to other grains (carbon or silicates) which would not be crystalline, such as graphite, but may be highly imperfect or actually amorphous aggregates of atoms or molecules.It is further shown that the presence of amorphous ice and clathrate grains in the early solar system would play a significant role in our understanding of the compositional anomalies in the Earth's atmosphere. The lifetime of these grains would be strongly affected by the absence of crystallinity.Invited contribution to the Proceedings of a Workshop onThermodynamics and Kinetics of Dust Formation in the Space Medium held at the Lunar and Planetary Institute, Houston, 6–8 September, 1978.  相似文献   

19.
Increased melting on glaciers and ice sheets and rising sea level are often mentioned as important aspects of the anticipated greenhouse warming of the earth's atmosphere. This paper deals with the sensitivity of Greenland's ice mass budget and presents a tentative projection of the Greenland component of future sea level rise for the next few hundred years. To do this, the ‘Villach II temperature scenario’ is prescribed,output from a comprehensive mass balance model is used to drive a high-resolution 3-D thermomechanic model of the ice sheet.The mass balance model consists of two parts: the accumulation part is based on presently observed values and is forced by changes in mean anr tempeerature. The ablation model is based on the degree-day method and accounts for daily and annual temperature cycle, a different degree-day factor for ice and snow melting and superimposed ice formation. Under present-day climatic conditions, the following total mass balance results (in ice equivalent per years): 599.3 × 109 m3 of accumulation, 281.7 × 109m3 of runoff assuming a balanced budget, 317.6 × 109m3 of iceberg calving. A 1K uniform warming is then calculated to increase the runoff by 119.5 × 109 m3. Since accumulation also increases by 32 × 109 m3, this leads to reduction of the total mass balance by 887.5 × 109 m3 of ice, corresponding to a sea level rise of 0.22 mm/yr. For temperature increase larger than 2.7 K, runoff, exceeds accumulation, and if ice sheet dynamics were to remain unchanged, this would add an extra amount of 0.8 mmyr to the worl's oceans.Imposing the Villach II scenario (warming up to 4.23 K) and accumulating mass balance changes forward in time (static response) would then result in a global sea level rise of 7.1 cm by 2100 AD, but this figure may go up to as much as 40 cm per century in case the warming is doubled. In a subsequent dynamic model involving the ice flow, the ice sheet is found to produce a counteracting effect by dynamically producing steeper slopes at the margin, thereby reducing the area over which runoff can take place. This effect is particularly apparent in the northeastern part of the ice sheet, and is also more pronounced for the smaller temperature perturbations. Nevertheless, all these experiments certainly highlight the vulnerability of the Greenland ice sheet with respect to a climatic warming.  相似文献   

20.
The role of water ice clouds in the martian water cycle and climate depends on cloud properties such as particle size and number distribution. These properties, in turn, depend on heterogeneous nucleation parameters which are poorly understood. Here we report laboratory experiments performed under martian temperature and water partial pressure conditions (158–185 K, 9 × 10−7–1 × 10−4 Torr H2O) to determine the critical saturation ratio for ice onset, Scrit, as a function of temperature and dust composition. Using infrared spectroscopy to monitor ice nucleation and growth, we find a significant barrier to ice formation, with a pronounced temperature dependence. Even on clay minerals which show uptake of non-crystalline water before ice nucleation, we find a saturation ratio of 2.5 or more (RHice > 250%) is needed to begin ice growth at temperatures near 160 K. These results could lead to changes of four orders of magnitude in the nucleation rate relative to the presumptions used currently in Mars microphysical models, which commonly set the contact parameter, m, to a single value of 0.95. Our results range from m = 0.84 to m = 0.98. For ice nucleation on Arizona Test Dust, the temperature dependence is described by m = 0.0046 * Tnucl + 0.1085, while m = 0.0055 * Tnucl + 0.0003 on a smectite-rich clay sample. Our findings suggest that cloud formation will be more difficult than previously thought, potentially leading to areas of increased near-surface humidity but generally drier conditions in the atmosphere of Mars, overall.  相似文献   

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