共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 15 毫秒
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2.
By using IAP 9L AGCM, two sets of long-term climatological integration have been per-formed with the two different interpolation procedures for generating the daily surface boundary conditions. One interpolation procedure is the so-called “traditional” scheme, for which the daily surface boundary conditions are obtained by linearly interpolating between the observed monthly mean values, however the observed monthly means cannot be preserved after interpolation. The other one is the “new” scheme, for which the daily surface boundary conditions are obtained by linearly interpolating between the "artificial" monthly mean values which are based on, but are dif-ferent from the observed ones, after interpolating with this new scheme, not only the observed monthly mean values are preserved, the time series of the new generated daily values is also more consistent with the observation. Comparison of the model results shows that the differences of the globally or zonally averaged fields between these two integrations are quite small, and this is due to the compensating effect between the different regions. However, the differences of the two patterns (the global or regional geographical distributions), are quite significant, for example, the magni-tude of the difference in the JJA mean rainfall between these two integrations can exceed 2 mm/day over Asian monsoon regions, and the difference in DJF mean surface air temperature can also exceed 2oC over this region. The fact that the model climatology depends quite strongly on the method of prescribing the daily surface boundary conditions suggests that in order to validate the climate model or to predict the short-term climate anomalies, either the " new* interpolation scheme or the high frequency surface boundary conditions (e.g., daily or weekly data instead of the monthly data) should be introduced. Meanwhile, as for the coupled model, the daily coupling scheme between the different component cli?mate models (e.g., atmospheric and oceanic general circulation models) is preferred in order to partly eliminate the “climate drift” problem which may appear during the course of direct coupling. 相似文献
3.
A moving-grid finite-element model has been developed to model numerically the vertically integrated properties of the atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) in one dimension. The model equations for mean wind velocity and potential temperature are combined with a surface energy budget and predictive equations for boundary-layer height to simulate both stable and unstable ABLs. The nodal position defining the top of the boundary layer is one of the model unknowns and is determined by boundary-layer dynamics. The finite-element method, being an integral method, has advantages of accurate representation of both bulk values and their vertical derivatives, the latter being essential properties of the nocturnal boundary layer. Compared with observations and results of other models, the present model predicts bulk properties very well while retaining a simple and economical form.Journal Paper No. J-12996 of the Iowa Agriculture and Home Economics Experiment Station, Ames, Iowa, Project No. 2779. 相似文献
4.
将时间滑动相关方法 STC(sliding temporal correlation)用于研究混沌系统和海洋环流模式的可信计算时间RCT(reliable computation time),Lorenz混沌系统的数值试验表明用STC求得的可预报时间和可信计算时间,与使用传统误差限方法所得结果一致,证明了其有效性。对海洋环流模式LICOM和NEMO的研究发现:1.当海洋模式以非耦合的方式运行时,试验的结果表明其海表温度SST的可信计算时间较长,平均达到6个月以上,这主要是由于海洋模式的运行过程中,采用恢复性边界条件使模拟结果不会太过偏离观测值。对于强迫场从1月开始的试验,LICOM模式的SST可信计算时间在赤道东太平洋和西北太平洋地区存在RCT低值区,其数值不超过2个月。而NEMO模式在赤道太平洋地区全是RCT高值区,NEMO模式的RCT低值区域出现在赤道外的太平洋和大西洋中纬度地区,强迫场从7月开始的试验,RCT纬向平均分布与1月有相反的形式。2.海洋模式以耦合方式运行时,由于去掉了恢复边界条件作用,海洋模式预报的SST可信计算时间明显减小,年平均RCT为1个月左右。按季节平均得到的RCT变化不大,在30~40天之间,RCT的大值区春季位于南半球,而秋季位于北半球,可达2个月以上。耦合模式中所模拟的500 h Pa高度场的RCT与单独运行的大气模式所得结果相差不大,仍在2周以内。3.无论是按季节平均还是按海区平均所得到的RCT分布,都在30~60天左右,只有极少数区域在特定季节可以达到80天以上,这说明在海气耦合模式中,由于计算不确定造成的可预报上限一般不超过2~3个月,这比使用资料分析得到可预报期限短很多,因此根据木桶原理,RCT可能是制约海气耦合模式SST预报能力的一个重要因素。 相似文献
5.
R. Glowienka-Hense 《Climate Dynamics》1999,15(4):269-275
The semi-annual oscillation (SAO) of the southern hemispheric sea-level pressure (SLP) in the global atmospheric GCM ECHAM
is examined. Five model runs initiated from different atmospheric states were conducted. Monthly values of sea surface temperature
(SST) and sea-ice distribution for the period 1950–1994 are specified boundary conditions for each run. The interdecadal change
of the SAO as forced by the changing boundary conditions is compared to the internal model variability, represented by the
five runs. The performance of the SAO in the ECHAM model is much improved compared to that of its precursor the T21 Hamburg
version of the ECMWF model in 1990. Analysis of observed SLP shows that between 1973–1979 the SAO had high amplitude whereas
from 1980–89 its amplitude was low. These changes go along with significant changes in SLP, i.e. the subpolar trough does
not expand as far equatorward from September to December as in the years before. The model does not show this reduction of
SAO strength in recent years. Multivariate Hotelling-T2 statistic and analysis of variance techniques (ANOVA) are used to determine the boundary forced part of variance of SLP and
SAO in the ECHAM simulations. The result is that only a small part of the SAO seems to be externally forced mainly from the
tropics.
Received: 24 July 1998 / Accepted: 10 November 1998 相似文献
6.
The turning of wind with height and the related cross-isobaric (ageostrophic) flow in the thermally stable stratified boundary
layer is analysed from a variety of model results acquired in the first Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment (GEWEX) Atmospheric
Boundary Layer Study (GABLS1). From the governing equations in this particular simple case it becomes clear that the cross-isobaric
flow is solely determined by the surface turbulent stress in the direction of the geostrophic wind for the quasi-steady state
conditions under consideration. Most models indeed seem to approach this relationship but for very different absolute values.
Because turbulence closures used in operational models typically tend to give too deep a boundary layer, the integrated total
cross-isobaric mass flux is up to three times that given by research numerical models and large-eddy simulation. In addition,
the angle between the surface and the geostrophic wind is typically too low, which has important implications for the representation
of the larger-scale flow. It appears that some models provide inconsistent results for the surface angle and the momentum
flux profile, and when the results from these models are removed from the analysis, the remaining ten models do show a unique
relationship between the boundary-layer depth and the surface angle, consistent with the theory given. The present results
also imply that it is beneficial to locate the first model level rather close to the surface for a proper representation of
the turning of wind with height in the stable boundary layer. 相似文献
7.
We present 1-D eddy diffusion model calculations of the distributions of propane and acetone in the atmosphere for continental conditions. The magnitude of the surface seasonal variation in propane mixing ratios that we obtain is in general agreement with measurements at the surface and in the free troposphere. A comparison of the absolute values of the model with propane measurements suggests that a larger surface flux than we have used may be more appropriate for continental conditions. The acetone model results for summer conditions that we obtain are also in reasonable accord with measurements. However, we find serious disagreement between the model winter profiles of acetone and the measurements at the tropopause and in the lower stratosphere. The measured values are lower than the model values at 45° N by a factor of 7–30. In addition, it is also surprising that, given the relatively long lifetime of acetone, free tropospheric values of acetone more representative of surface values have not been measured. The results simulating the decay of elevated levels of propane in the upper troposphere caused by rapid convective transport of boundary layer air indicate that propane will be primarily dispersed by transport rather than destroyed photochemically. Thus, the impact on acetone and PAN is minimal. 相似文献
8.
Two surface layer parameterization schemes along with five planetary boundary layer (PBL) schemes in the Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) are analyzed in order to evaluate the performance of the WRF model in simulating the surface variables and turbulent fluxes over an Indian sub-continent region. These surface layer schemes are based on the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University—National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (MM5) parameterization; (a) Old MM5 scheme having Businger-Dyer similarity functions and (b) revised MM5 scheme utilizing the functions that are valid for full ranges of atmospheric stabilities. The study suggests that each PBL scheme can reproduce the diurnal variation of 2 m temperature, momentum flux and sensible heat flux irrespective of the surface layer scheme used for the simulations. However, a comparison of model-simulated values of surface variables and turbulent fluxes with observed values suggests that each PBL scheme is found to systematically over-estimate the nocturnal 2 m temperature and 10 m wind speed with both the revised and old schemes during stable conditions. 相似文献
9.
R. V. Francisco J. Argete F. Giorgi J. Pal X. Bi W. J. Gutowski 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2006,86(1-4):215-227
Summary The latest version of the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics (ICTP) regional model RegCM is used to
investigate summer monsoon precipitation over the Philippine archipelago and surrounding ocean waters, a region where regional
climate models have not been applied before. The sensitivity of simulated precipitation to driving lateral boundary conditions
(NCEP and ERA40 reanalyses) and ocean surface flux scheme (BATS and Zeng) is assessed for 5 monsoon seasons. The ability of
the RegCM to simulate the spatial patterns and magnitude of monsoon precipitation is demonstrated, both in response to the
prominent large scale circulations over the region and to the local forcing by the physiographical features of the Philippine
islands. This provides encouraging indications concerning the development of a regional climate modeling system for the Philippine
region. On the other hand, the model shows a substantial sensitivity to the analysis fields used for lateral boundary conditions
as well as the ocean surface flux schemes. The use of ERA40 lateral boundary fields consistently yields greater precipitation
amounts compared to the use of NCEP fields. Similarly, the BATS scheme consistently produces more precipitation compared to
the Zeng scheme. As a result, different combinations of lateral boundary fields and surface ocean flux schemes provide a good
simulation of precipitation amounts and spatial structure over the region. The response of simulated precipitation to using
different forcing analysis fields is of the same order of magnitude as the response to using different surface flux parameterizations
in the model. As a result it is difficult to unambiguously establish which of the model configurations is best performing. 相似文献
10.
Jeffrey C. Weil Peter P. Sullivan Edward G. Patton Chin-Hoh Moeng 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2012,145(1):185-210
A Lagrangian particle dispersion model (LPDM) driven by velocity fields from large-eddy simulations (LESs) is used to determine the mean and variability of plume dispersion in a highly convective planetary boundary layer (PBL). The total velocity of a “particle” is divided into resolved and unresolved or random (subfilter scale, SFS) velocities with the resolved component obtained from the LES and the SFS velocity from a Lagrangian stochastic model. This LPDM-LES model is used to obtain an ensemble of dispersion realizations for calculating the mean, root-mean-square (r.m.s.) deviation, and fluctuating fields of dispersion quantities. An ensemble of 30 realizations is generated for each of three source heights: surface, near-surface, and elevated. We compare the LPDM calculations with convection tank experiments and field observations to assess the realism of the results. The overall conclusion is that the LPDM-LES model produces a realistic range of dispersion realizations and statistical variability (i.e., r.m.s. deviations) that match observations in this highly convective PBL, while also matching the ensemble-mean properties. This is true for the plume height or trajectory, vertical dispersion, and the surface values of the crosswind-integrated concentration (CWIC), and their dependence on downstream distance. One exception is the crosswind dispersion for an elevated source, which is underestimated by the model. Other analyses that highlight important LPDM results include: (1) the plume meander and CWIC fluctuation intensity at the surface, (2) the applicability of a similarity theory for plume height from a surface source to only the very strong updraft plumes—not the mean height, and (3) the appropriate variation with distance of the mean surface CWIC and the lower bound of the CWIC realizations for a surface source. 相似文献
11.
Pietro Salizzoni Raphaël Van Liefferinge Patrick Mejean Lionel Soulhac Richard J. Perkins 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2010,135(3):455-467
The influence of surface roughness on the dispersion of a passive scalar in a rough wall turbulent boundary layer has been
studied using wind-tunnel experiments. The surface roughness was varied using different sizes of roughness elements, and different
spacings between the elements. Vertical profiles of average concentration were measured at different distances downwind of
the source, and the vertical spread of the plume was computed by fitting a double Gaussian profile to the data. An estimate
of the integral length scale is derived from the turbulence characteristics of the boundary layer and is then used to scale
the measured values of plume spread. This scaling reduces the variability in the data, confirming the validity of the model
for the Lagrangian integral time scale, but does not remove it entirely. The scaled plume spreading shows significant differences
from predictions of theoretical models both in the near and in the far field. In the region immediately downwind of the source
this is due to the influence of the wake of the injector for which we have developed a simple model. In the far field we explain
that the differences are mainly due to the absence of large-scale motions. Finally, further downwind of the source the scaled
values of plume spread fall into two distinct groups. It is suggested that the difference between the two groups may be related
to the lack of dynamical similarity between the boundary-layer flows for varying surface roughness or to biased estimates
of the plume spread. 相似文献
12.
We show that a forward Lagrangian stochastic (LS) model simulates well the ensemble-averaged concentration transient due to
a short time (5 min) point source in the uniform atmospheric surface layer. In LS models, computational particles, which may
not descend below ground level, are necessarily reflected at an imposed (artificial) boundary above ground. Model results
were rather insensitive to the placing of the lower reflection boundary, and no definite benefit stemmed from including a
parametrization for unresolved delays/displacements beneath the lower boundary. 相似文献
13.
A model of the evolution of the nocturnal stable boundary layer height, based on the heat conservation equation for a turbulent flow, is presented. This model is valid for nights with weak winds and little cloudiness in rural areas. The model includes an expression of vertical profile of potential temperature within the boundary layer, which is obtained using micrometeorological information from Prairie Grass, Wangara and O'Neill Projects. The expression turned out to be a second-grade polynomial of the dimensionless height of the nocturnal stable boundary layer. The resulting model is a function of the Monin–Obukhov length, the surface potential temperature of air and the roughness length. This model was satisfactorily compared with micrometeorological data. It was applied at three stations of Argentina, using surface hourly meteorological information. From the results that were obtained, the monthly average values of the stable boundary layer thickness were analysed. The maximum monthly average values occur during the cold season and the minimum ones take place during the hot season. It was observed that the monthly average thickness increases with latitude. 相似文献
14.
A simple algorithm is proposed in order to transform routine surface wind speed observations near the coast to a wind at the height of the equilibrium planetary boundary layer as well as to any other height over a relatively flat coastal region. The model is based on the well known internal boundary layer (IBL) concept, Monin-Obukhov similarity theory and the resistance law, and describes the effects of the roughness transition from sea to land as well as the effect of stability on the shape of the profiles and the IBL growth. The required input weather data are no more than surface wind speed, air temperature and total cloud cover. Satisfactory agreement was found between measurements at Hellinikon airport and estimations made with the scheme. The introduction of a transition layer above the IBL did not improve the agreement to any significant extent. Mean values of the estimated wind differed by less than 1 m s -1 from the observed ones, a difference within the accuracy of the reported rawinsonde values. The rms error varied in the range of 17–22% of the observed average value, giving the best agreement under unstable conditions. The correlation coefficient between the observed and the estimated values of the wind, at the height of the equilibrium planetary boundary layer, ranged between 0.74 and 0.90. 相似文献
15.
By use of the small parameter expansion method, the nonlinear planetary boundary layer (PBL) is studied in this paper. The PBL is divided into the surface layer and the Ekman layer, which is divided into several sublayers. In the surface-layer, the eddy coefficient K is taken as a linear function of height; in the Ekman layer, different constant K values are taken within different sublayers: these values are determined from O'Brien's formula (O'Brien, 1970) approximately. Under the upper and lower boundary conditions and the continuity conditions of the wind velocities and turbulent stresses at each boundary between sublayers, analytical expressions for wind velocity in all sublayers and the vertical velocity at the top of the PBL are obtained. A specific example of steady axisymmetrical circular high and low pressure areas is analysed, and some new conclusions are obtained. The results are in better agreement with reality than previous results. This example also shows that the vertical velocity at the top of the PBL caused by friction approaches zero near the center of a high or low pressure system for this model, but attains its maximum absolute values near the center of the high or low pressure area for Wu's (1984) model. This is due to the fact that in our model, the geostrophic wind speed near the center of this specific vortex approaches zero, which causes the wind shear and the friction effect to be very weak. Therefore the wind distribution in the PBL is very sensitive to the type of eddy coefficient. 相似文献
16.
S.D. Wright 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》1998,89(2):175-195
The adaptation of the atmospheric boundary layer to a change in the underlying surface roughness is an interesting problem and hence much research, theoretical, experimental, and numerical, has been undertaken. Within the atmospheric boundary layer an accurate numerical model for the turbulent properties of the atmospheric boundary layer needs to be implemented if physically realistic results are to be obtained. Here, the adaptation of the atmospheric boundary layer to a change in surface roughness is investigated using a first-order turbulence closure model, a one-and-a-half-order turbulence closure model and a second-order turbulence closure model. Perturbations to the geostrophic wind and the pressure gradients are included and it is shown that the second-order turbulence closure model, namely the standard k - model, is inferior to a lower-order closure model if a modification to limit the turbulent eddy size within the atmospheric boundary layer is not included within the model. 相似文献
17.
以地表能量收支平衡方程为基础，将地表通量同近地层内的常规气象资料联系起来，模式要求输入地面风速、温度和总云量等常规气象观测资料，输出近地层的湍流特征参数U* 、θ* 、L和参数化的地表通量（净辐射、感热通量、潜热通量和土壤热通量），澳大利亚Wangara试验资料被用来检验了该模式。计算结果和实际资料吻合较好。 相似文献
18.
边界层过程对"98·7"长江流域暴雨预报影响的数值试验研究 总被引：12，自引：2，他引：10
通过ETA模式对"98@7"长江流域暴雨过程的数值试验研究,讨论了行星边界层过程对暴雨数值预报的影响,结果表明边界层过程在这次暴雨预报中有重要作用.具体结论为:(1)降水大范围落区是受大尺度流场所决定的,但边界层过程对暴雨预报具有重要的作用;(2)不考虑边界层过程会影响对天气系统的正确预报,包括影响大气低层的运动场、水汽及大气不稳定度,从而影响暴雨的预报;(3)从时间层次上看,由于地表通量有着显著的日变化,边界层过程的作用不仅与暴雨本身发生发展及消亡的阶段有关,也与各阶段的时间(白天或夜间)有联系;(4)在空间范围内,边界层过程对大气的影响是通过大气流场重新分布来影响降水的环境条件,故地表通量分布和低层流场的相互配置作用十分重要.长江南北的情况有所不同,长江流域南侧区是地表通量的大值区,也是长江流域雨区水汽和不稳定能量的源区,它对长江流域的暴雨可能有着更为重要的作用. 相似文献
19.
The inter-annual variability in monthly mean summer temperatures derived from nine different regional climate model (RCM) integrations is investigated for both the control climate (1961–1990) and a future climate (2071–2100) based on A2 emissions. All regional model integrations, carried out in the PRUDENCE project, use the same boundaries of the HadAM3H global atmospheric model. Compared to the CRU TS 2.0 observational data set most RCMs (but not all) overpredict the temperature variability significantly in their control simulation. The behaviour of the different regional climate models is analysed in terms of the surface energy budget, and the contributions of the different terms in the surface energy budget to the temperature variability are estimated. This analysis shows a clear relation in the model ensemble between temperature variability and the combined effects of downward long wave, net short wave radiation and evaporation (defined as F). However, it appears that the overestimation of the temperature variability has no unique cause. The effect of short-wave radiation dominates in some RCMs, whereas in others the effect of evaporation dominates. In all models the temperature variability and F increase when imposing future climate boundary conditions, with particularly high values in central Europe. 相似文献
20.
An evaluation of Arctic cloud and radiation processes during the SHEBA year: simulation results from eight Arctic regional climate models 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
K. Wyser C. G. Jones P. Du E. Girard U. Willén J. Cassano J. H. Christensen J. A. Curry K. Dethloff J.-E. Haugen D. Jacob M. Køltzow R. Laprise A. Lynch S. Pfeifer A. Rinke M. Serreze M. J. Shaw M. Tjernström M. Zagar 《Climate Dynamics》2008,30(2-3):203-223
Eight atmospheric regional climate models (RCMs) were run for the period September 1997 to October 1998 over the western Arctic
Ocean. This period was coincident with the observational campaign of the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) project.
The RCMs shared common domains, centred on the SHEBA observation camp, along with a common model horizontal resolution, but
differed in their vertical structure and physical parameterizations. All RCMs used the same lateral and surface boundary conditions.
Surface downwelling solar and terrestrial radiation, surface albedo, vertically integrated water vapour, liquid water path
and cloud cover from each model are evaluated against the SHEBA observation data. Downwelling surface radiation, vertically
integrated water vapour and liquid water path are reasonably well simulated at monthly and daily timescales in the model ensemble
mean, but with considerable differences among individual models. Simulated surface albedos are relatively accurate in the
winter season, but become increasingly inaccurate and variable in the melt season, thereby compromising the net surface radiation
budget. Simulated cloud cover is more or less uncorrelated with observed values at the daily timescale. Even for monthly averages,
many models do not reproduce the annual cycle correctly. The inter-model spread of simulated cloud-cover is very large, with
no model appearing systematically superior. Analysis of the co-variability of terms controlling the surface radiation budget
reveal some of the key processes requiring improved treatment in Arctic RCMs. Improvements in the parameterization of cloud
amounts and surface albedo are most urgently needed to improve the overall performance of RCMs in the Arctic. 相似文献