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1.
According to the requirement of the project “Establishment of the Physical Model of Earthquake Precursor Fields”, this paper elucidates the train of thinking for research on the project and some scientific problems which must be studied; the elucidation emphasizes that the core of this project is to study the conditions and processes of the generation of strong earthquakes. The paper first outlines the origin and development of the “strong-body earthquake-generating model” proposed by the author in the 1980’s; and then proves the reasonableness of the model from three aspects, namely: deep structures, mechanical analysis and rock fracture experiments. By studying the tomographic image for the northern part of North China, it can be seen that the sources of strong earthquakes are all distributed in high-velocity bodies, or in the contact zone between high-velocity and low-velocity bodies but nearer to the high-velocity body. It has been affirmed through studies of the mechanical models of hard and soft inclusions that the existence of a hard inclusion is an important condition for the high concentration of large amounts of strain energy. A lot of theoretical and experimental studies have been made to investigate the conditions for rock instability; the results have consistently indicated that rock instability, sudden fracture and stress drop would be possible only if the stiffness of the source body is greater than the environmental stiffness.  相似文献   

2.
Onthephysicalmodelofearthquakeprecursorfieldsandthemechanismofprecursors'timespacedistribution──originandevidencesof thestron...  相似文献   

3.
In this paper, based on the results of tomographic image of Tangshan and Xingtai areas, the relations between the characteristics of the two strong earthquake sequences and their three-dimensional velocity structures are studied. The research results indicate that:① Mosaic distribution of low-velocity bodies and high-velocity bodies, especially the existence of high-velocity bodies with large size in crust are the common basis of development of the two earthquake sequences. ②Scale, depth, and heterogeneity of high-velocity and low-velocity bodies are the important factors to effect the characteristic of earthquake sequences.③ The depth of the high-velocity body in Tangshan area is less than that in Xingtai area, which is the principal reason why the dominant focal depth and the biggest focal depth of Tangshan earthquake sequence are less than Xingtai's.④The depth of the high-velocity bodies in Ninghe area is more than that in Tangshan-Luanxian area, which lead to the biggest magnitude and epicentral intensity are lower. These results could be helpful for predicting the main shock of strong swarm-type earthquakes and later strong aftershocks.  相似文献   

4.
IntroductionEarthquakeisanoutcomeoftectonicactivity.Itisoneofthemainstudytargetsofseismologiststounderstandthedeepgeologicse...  相似文献   

5.
ThepatterncharacteristicsofthetendencyvariationsofearthresistivityanditsrelationtoearthquakesHe-YunZHAO(赵和云)(EarthquakeResear...  相似文献   

6.
Studyonthepatternandmodeofverticalcrustaldeformationduringtheseismogenicprocessofintraplatestrongearthquakes杨国华,桂昆长,巩曰沐,杨春花,韩...  相似文献   

7.
The properties of rock resitivity were studied under pressure, particularly with “stress reversal”, a procedure in which the pressure applied was increased and decreased. It was observed that, 1) With pressure increasing, the main feature of resistivity change was increase-steady-decrease for high-saturation rock samples (saturation 70–100%). But the main feature for low-saturation samples was different. 2) In 10 out of 11 cases of “stress reversal” for high-saturation samples the resistivity droped (about 2%). Such drop could explain the anomalies in geoelectricity terms, which are commonly observed before earthquakes in China. 3) It was also observed shortly before rock failure that, a) the resistivity drops more dramatically (about 20%) during “stress reversal” period, which is much more than ordinary drops. b) these drops occurred not only during stress decrease but also during stress increase. c) Resistivity exhibits anisotropy: the resistivity along different directions may differ by 10%. These three features may indicate that the rock is nearing failure, while ordinary resistivity drops are only connected with “stress reversal” and may not mean the imminence of rock failure. 4) Resistivity increase was observed during the “stress reversal” period for low-saturation rock samples. The results mentioned above were explained with the effect of water flowing in and out of the cracks of rock. The temporary factors which yield a reduction of the maximum main stress, may enhence the possibility of earthquake occurrence.  相似文献   

8.
Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program maps are erroneous   总被引:6,自引:0,他引:6  
The March 11, 2011 megathrust on the Pacific coast of the Tohoku Region, Japan, and its consequences once again confirmed the presence of evident problems in the conventional methodology of risk and earthquake loss evaluation. A systematic analysis shows that the results of the Global Seismic Hazard Assessment Program (GSHAP, 1992–1999) contradict the actual occurrence of strong earthquakes. In particular, since the publication of the GSHAP final results in 1999, all 60 earthquakes with magnitudes of 7.5 or higher were “surprises” for the GSHAP maps. Moreover, in half of the cases they were “big surprises,” when instead of the expected “light” or “moderate,” “significant” or even “total” destruction took place. All twelve of the deadliest earthquakes happened in 2000–2011 (total number of deaths exceeded 700000 people) prove that the GSHAP results, as well as underlying methodologies, are deeply flawed and, evidently, unacceptable for any critical risk assessments entitled to prevent disasters caused by earthquakes.  相似文献   

9.
A lot of slow fluctuations of water level have been observed in the original recording maps of subsurface fluid in Well Shuozhou, Shanxi Province. Some typical recording maps of the “precursors” are introduced in the paper and the features of the “precursors” recorded by the well are analyzed. The results show that 38% strong earthquakes possess this kind of record, which has a fluctuation period arranging from several to tens of minutes and appear mostly two days before the earthquakes. Moreover, the mechanism, transmission and responding conditions of well water level are discussed, as well as the scientific meaning and practical value of the “precursor” of the well water level in earthquake predictions. Foundation item: State Natural Science Foundation of China (19973011).  相似文献   

10.
In this paper, one of the distribution-free tests — randomization test, is briefly described. It doesn’t need any distribution assumption and its related parameter estimation and is applicable to random and nonrandom sample. Then it is used to the test of migration of strong earthquakes on the Xianshuihe Fault Belt and “immunity” of large earthquakes in the large northern reigon of China. The test results show that there is 98.7% confidence degree for the migration of strong earthqueks on the Xianshuihe Fault Belt and “immunity” of earthqueks withM S⩾8 toM S⩾7 is significant in the large northern region of China. The obtained test results and the test method itself have certain application in the practice. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 484–489, 1993.  相似文献   

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