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1.
A new stability index based on atmospheric refractivity at ~500 hPa level and surface measurements of temperature, pressure and humidity is formulated. The new index named here as refractivity based lifted index (RLI) is designed to give similar results as traditionally used lifted index derived from radiosonde profiles of temperature, pressure and humidity. The formulation of the stability index and its comparison with the traditional temperature profile based lifted index (LI) is discussed. The index is tested on COSMIC radio occultation derived refractivity profiles over Indian region. The forecast potential of the new index for rainfall on 2°×2° latitude–longitude spatial scale with lead time of 3–24 hours indicate that the refractivity based lifted index works better than the traditional temperature based lifted index for the Indian monsoon region. Decreasing values of RLI tend to give increasing rainfall probabilities.  相似文献   

2.
Ozone trends in the Upper Troposphere and Lower Stratosphere over the Indian region are investigated using three satellite data sets namely Halogen Occultation Experiment (1993–2005), Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (1993–2005) II, and Aura Microwave Limb Sounder (MLS, 2005–2011). Estimated ozone trends using multi-variate regression analysis are compared with trends at two Indian ozonesonde stations (Delhi, 28°N, 77°E and Pune, 18°N, 73°E), and a 3-D Chemical Transport Model (CTM, SLIMCAT) for the 1993–2005 time period. Overall, all the observational data sets and model simulations indicate significant increasing trend in the upper troposphere (0–2.5 %/year). In the lower stratosphere, estimated trends are slightly positive up to 30 mb and are negative between 30 and 10 mb. Increasing trends in the upper troposphere is probably due to increasing trends in the tropospheric ozone precursor gases (e.g. CO, NO x , NMHCs). Here, we argue that these contrasting ozone-trend profiles might be partially responsible for insignificant long-term trends in the tropical total column ozone. On seasonal scale, positive trends are observed during all the seasons in the upper troposphere while structure of trend profile varies in lower stratosphere. Seasonal variations of ozone trends and its linkages with stratospheric intrusions and increasing trends in lightning flashes in the troposphere are also discussed.  相似文献   

3.
上对流层/下平流层大气垂直结构研究进展   总被引:7,自引:1,他引:6  
大气上对流层与下平流层区域是对流层与平流层之间的过渡区域,热带对流层顸确定了全球整个平流层的化学边界条件,该区域大气的垂直结构及变化对于平流层一对流层交换和上对流层/下平流层大气成分收支有重要影响;该区域也是大气动力、热力和大气成分结构发生巨大转换的区域,辐射过程、多尺度动力学过程、化学过程和微物理学过程等都起着同样重要的作用,对流层顶变化也是人类活动引起气候变化的一个敏感指示因子,因此关于对流层顶的研究(尤其是其精细结构和过程)重新唤起了人们的关注.针对对流层顶的各种定义(包括热力学、动力学和化学成分)以及它们相互之间的关系、对流层顶是一个面还是层以及对流层与平流层之间的转换特征、对流层顶强逆温层的特征及形成原因等基本科学问题,回顾了近年来的一些重要研究进展.  相似文献   

4.
The equatorial wave campaign-II which formed a part of the Indian Middle Atmosphere Programme (IMAP), was conducted from SHAR (13.7°N, 80.2°E) from 15 January to 28 February 1986. Winds were measured from ground to 60 km by means of high altitude balloon and a meteorological rocket (RH-200), once everyday, for 45 days. The frequencies of the oscillations in the deviations of the east-west component of the winds from its mean at each height with one kilometer interval were obtained by the maximum entropy (ME) method and phases/amplitudes of these frequencies were determined by the least squares technique on the wind variation time series. The ME method has the inherent advantage of providing periodicities up to 1.5 times the data length. The height structure of the long period waves of > 23 day periodicities that have larger amplitudes nearly by a factor of 2 as compared to the medium (9 to 22 day) or shorter period (4 to 8 day) ones, reveal two height regions of enhanced amplitudes, one in the troposphere and another in the upper stratosphere/lower mesosphere, that too, mostly in the regions of positive (westerly increasing or easterly decreasing with height) wind shears. The waves are seen to be inhibited in the negative wind shear regions. From the abrupt changes in the altitude variation of phase, the possible source region has been identified. The vertical wavelengths have been estimated to be 34 km and 19 km in the troposphere and lower stratosphere respectively and 8 km in the upper stratosphere and lower mesosphere. Around 56 km the wave amplitude is reduced to 1/4 of its value below, while the vertical shear strength in the mean wind doubled up. The tropospheric waves are suggested to be Rossby waves of extratropical origin penetrating to tropical latitudes. The stratospheric/mesospheric waves however appear to emanate from a source around the stratopause.  相似文献   

5.
We present interesting application of artificial intelligence for investigating effect of the COVID-19 lockdown on 3-dimensional temperature variation across Nigeria (2°–15° E, 4°–14° N), in equatorial Africa. Artificial neural networks were trained to learn time-series temperature variation patterns using radio occultation measurements of atmospheric temperature from the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere, and Climate (COSMIC). Data used for training, validation and testing of the neural networks covered period prior to the lockdown. There was also an investigation into the viability of solar activity indicator (represented by the sunspot number) as an input for the process. The results indicated that including the sunspot number as an input for the training did not improve the network prediction accuracy. The trained network was then used to predict values for the lockdown period. Since the network was trained using pre-lockdown dataset, predictions from the network are regarded as expected temperatures, should there have been no lockdown. By comparing with the actual COSMIC measurements during the lockdown period, effects of the lockdown on atmospheric temperatures were deduced. In overall, the mean altitudinal temperatures rose by about 1.1 °C above expected values during the lockdown. An altitudinal breakdown, at 1 km resolution, reveals that the values were typically below 0.5 °C at most of the altitudes, but exceeded 1 °C at 28 and 29 km altitudes. The temperatures were also observed to drop below expected values at altitudes of 0–2 km, and 17–20 km.  相似文献   

6.
平流层-对流层交换研究进展   总被引:19,自引:0,他引:19  
平流层与对流层之间的物质输送和混合(STE)是控制自然和人为排放的化学痕量物质对大气成分影响的一个重要过程。STE可以影响温室气体在上对流层和下平流层中的垂直分布,进而影响气候。要预报全球气候变化就必须了解平流层与对流层之间动力、化学及辐射的耦合。从 STE研究的尺度问题,热带和中纬度地区STE研究以及我国STE研究现状进行了评述。STE具有多种尺度和形式,热带外平流层由波强迫驱动的全球尺度环流,可以诊断长时间尺度的STE,它不能充分描述短时间尺度过程。热带外低平流层环流不能简单地描述为纬向平均,要正确描述痕量气体的分布必须包含纬向非对称的天气尺度过程。热带地区的滴漏管理论提供了一个新的诊断 STE框架。目前对中纬度地区对流层顶折叠和切断低压的研究是比较充分的。  相似文献   

7.
The study shows that in the scenario of global warming temperature gradient (TG) between Indian landmass and Arabian Sea/Bay of Bengal is significantly decreasing in the lower troposphere with maxima around 850 hPa. TG during pre-monsoon (March to May) is reducing at a significant rate of 0.036°/year (Arabian Sea) and 0.030°/year (Bay of Bengal). The above alarming results are based on sixty years (1948–2007) of daily temperature and wind data extracted from CDAS-NCEP/NCAR reanalysis datasets. TG based on ERA-40 data also indicates a decreasing trend of 0.0229°/year and 0.0397°/year for Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal respectively. As TG is not governed by any type of significant oscillation, there is a possibility of TG tending to zero. It is further observed that the rate of warming over the oceans is more than that over the land which has resulted into the weakening of TG. Pre-monsoon TG has significant correlations with
•  All India Seasonal Monsoon Rainfall (AISMR)
•  kinetic energy of waves 1 and 2 at 850 hPa
•  kinetic energy, and
•  stream function at 850 hPa over Indian landmass during monsoon season.
Except AISMR, the decreasing trends observed in all the above parameters are significant. All India rainfall for July and August together shows a significant decreasing trend of 0.995mm/year. Reducing number of depressions and cyclonic storms and increasing number of break days during monsoon over India are the reflections of the weakening of TG.  相似文献   

8.
Down-looking (DL) Global Positioning System (GPS) radio occultation can produce an estimate of the atmospheric refractivity profile. The main observations are the bending angle as a function of the impact parameter. DL provides both negative as well as positive elevation angle measurements. Abel inversion can be operated on a profile of partial bending angle found by subtracting the positive elevation measurement from the negative one with the same impact parameter. Abel inversion requires the spherical symmetrical assumption. Basically, partial bending calculation removes the ionospheric bending and hence it is possible to use a single frequency GPS receiver. The current paper introduces a simulation data for the case of a receiver on mountain top. The simulation uses model refractivity from MSISE-90 model as well as radiosonde data. Random noises are added to the bending angle profile before inversion. The result shows that it is possible to produce accurate vertical refractivity profile below the receiver altitude. The calculation of the water vapor profile is also made using temperature profile information from the MSISE-90 model as well as radiosonde. The errors in the retrieved vapor profile are always less than 0.1?mbar.  相似文献   

9.
火山活动对南半球平流层气候异常变化的影响   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
曲维政  赵进平  赵雪  黄菲  陈璐 《地学前缘》2004,11(2):579-587
文中利用逐次滤波法分析结果表明 ,火山活动能引起平流层较大幅度增温 ,对于南半球 70hPa高空气候异常变化的影响超过了总方差的 1 6 % ;火山活动影响最显著的高度是平流层 70hPa约1 5~ 2 2km高空 ,由此高度向上或向下 ,火山活动的影响都逐渐减小 ;火山活动引起平流层大气升温的同时还将引起对流层大气降温 ,其分界线大致位于对流层顶 30 0hPa附近。平流层高空气候异常变化还具有显著的 2 2a变化周期和 1 1a变化周期 ,分析认为是大气温度场对太阳磁场磁性 2 2a周期和太阳黑子 1 1a周期变化的响应 ,其方差贡献率超过 8%。  相似文献   

10.
空间GPS无线电掩星反演大气参数方法及其应用   总被引:8,自引:1,他引:7  
给出了空间无线电掩星反演大气参数的原理及其误差估计方法,介绍了国内外在该领域的研究进展。并针对该技术的一些特点,指出了若干尚需解决的问题。  相似文献   

11.
Analysis of aerological radiosonde data in the period of 2000–2009 shows that, in the warm period of the year, the air temperature over Moscow region is higher in the first half of the week than in the second half. The statistically significant (at the α = 0.05 significance level) air temperature differences between Tuesday and Friday, as well as between Wednesday and Friday, reach 0.8°C and are manifested in the atmospheric boundary layer (according to nighttime observations) and in the middle troposphere (according to daytime observations). In the upper troposphere, the weekly temperature cycle positively correlates with the weekly cycle of air pressure, while in the lower troposphere, it positively correlates with the weekly cycle of water vapor content. In the upper troposphere, the southerly wind is strengthened in the middle of the week, and northerly wind is strengthened on the weekend. In the boundary layer, the temperature changes induce the weekly cycle of the static stability of the atmosphere.  相似文献   

12.
焦洋  游庆龙  林厚博  闵锦忠 《冰川冻土》2014,36(6):1385-1393
基于青藏高原地区1960-2010年高分辨率(0.5°×0.5°)的逐日地面气温格点资料以及 1960-2010年NCEP/NCAR全球月平均海平面气压场、高度场、风场的再分析格点资料(2.5°×2.5°), 通过计算青藏高原(74.75°~104.25° E, 26.75°~40.25° N)冬季地面温度平均值经标准化处理后得到的区域冬季气温强度指数, 分析了冬季北极涛动(AO)、西伯利亚高压与同期青藏高原地面气温的特征和关系. 结果表明: AO为负(正)相位时, 中高纬西风气流偏弱(强), 有(不)利于极地冷空气向南输送, 西伯利亚地区源地冬季风偏强(弱), 青藏高原冬季气温指数减小(增大), 地面气温偏低(高). 对AO作M-K突变分析, 发现其突变年份为1975年, 通过对突变年份前后高度场和风场作差值场分析, 结果显示: 冬季AO处于高指数时期, 500 hPa上, 欧洲东部槽变浅, 青藏高原北部的高压脊减弱, 环流呈纬向发展, 青藏高原上盛行偏南风, 气温偏高, 青藏高原地区为暖冬期; 200 hPa 上, 青藏高原东部的槽明显加深, 使得青藏高原地区对流层顶至平流层底的环流趋势以经向发展为主, 该区域主要受到偏北的急流控制, 易导致降温.  相似文献   

13.
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析资料通过合成分析的方法研究了热带平流层准两年振荡(QBO)影响热带对流层顶及深对流活动的基本特征及可能的物理机制。研究发现,QBO对对流层顶和大气射出长波辐射(OLR)的影响存在明显的季节和空间上的差异。QBO对对流层顶和OLR的影响在冬、秋季最大,春、夏季相对较弱。与QBO造成的对流层顶高度和温度异常所不同是,QBO造成的OLR异常并没有呈现出一样的沿热带的带状分布特征,OLR异常沿赤道区域有正有负。另外,QBO对OLR的影响主要在热带对流活跃区域,尤其是在印度尼西亚和西太平洋区域,QBO东风位相下的对流活动要强于QBO西风位相下的对流活动。QBO造成的OLR异常和对流层顶异常在水平分布上有显著的差异,表明QBO对对流层顶的影响主要是与QBO风切变的异常有关,QBO影响热带深对流活动进而影响对流层顶温度的作用是次要的。进一步研究QBO影响对流活动可能的机制发现,QBO造成的浮力频率异常和对流层有效位能(CAPE)异常与OLR异常在水平分布上有较一致的变化,说明QBO不仅通过调节对流层顶高度和温度影响热带的深对流活动,还可以通过调节对流层的静力稳定度、CAPE来影响热带地区深对流活动。  相似文献   

14.
As part of the Pathfinder program developed jointly by National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) a large database ofin situ sea surface temperature (SST) measurements coincident with satellite data is now available to the user community. The Pathfinder Matchup Database (PMDB) is a multi-year, multi-satellite collection of coincident measurements from the Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) and broadly distributed buoy data (matchups). This database allows the user community to test and validate new SST algorithms to improve the present accuracy of surface temperature measurements from satellites. In this paper we investigate the performance of a global Pathfinder algorithm to specific regional conditions. It is shown that for zenith angles less than 45°, the best-expected statistical discrepancy between satellite and buoy data is about ∼ 0.5 K. In general, the bias of the residuals (satellite — buoy) is negative in most regions, except in the North Atlantic and adjacent seas, where the residuals are always positive. A seasonal signal in SST residuals is observed in all regions and is strongest in the Indian Ocean. The channel-difference term used as a proxy for atmospheric water vapor correction is observed to be unresponsive for columnar water vapor values greater than 45 mm and high zenith angles. This unresponsiveness of the channels leads to underestimation of sea surface temperature from satellites in these conditions.  相似文献   

15.
Large-scale interannual variability of the northern summer southwest monsoon over India is studied by examining its variation in the dry area during the period 1871–1984. On the mean summer monsoon rainfall (June to September total) chart the 800 mm isohyet divides the country into two nearly equal halves, named as dry area (monsoon rainfall less than 800 mm) and wet area (monsoon rainfall greater than 800 mm). The dry area/wet area shows large variations from one year to another, and is considered as an index for assessing the large-scale performance of the Indian summer monsoon. Statistical and fluctuation characteristics of the summer monsoon dry area (SMDA) are reported. To identify possible causes of variation in the Indian summer monsoon, the correlation between the summer monsoon dry area and eleven regional/global circulation parameters is examined. The northern hemisphere surface air temperature, zonal/hemispheric/global surface air and upper air temperatures, Southern Oscillation, Quasi-biennial oscillation of the equatorial lower stratosphere, April 500-mb ridge along 75°E over India, the Indian surface air temperature and the Bombay sea level pressure showed significant correlation. A new predictor parameter that is preceding year mean monsoon rainfall of a few selected stations over India has been suggested in the present study. The stations have been selected by applying the objective technique ‘selecting a subset of few gauges whose mean monsoon rainfall of the preceding year has shown the highest correlation coefficient (CC) with the SMDA’. Bankura (Gangetic West Bengal), Cuddalore (Tamil Nadu) and Anupgarh (West Rajasthan) entered the selection showing a CC of 0.724. Using a dependent sample of 1951–1980 a predictive model (multiple CC = 0.745) has also been developed for the SMDA with preceding year mean monsoon rainfall of the three selected stations and the sea level pressure tendency at Darwin from Jan–Feb to Mar–May as independent parameters.  相似文献   

16.
This paper describes the variability in the diurnal range of SST in the north Indian Ocean using in situ measurements and tests the suitability of simple regression models in estimating the diurnal range. SST measurements obtained from 1556 drifting and 25 moored buoys were used to determine the diurnal range of SSTs. The magnitude of diurnal range of SST was highest in spring and lowest in summer monsoon. Except in spring, nearly 75–80% of the observations reported diurnal range below 0.5°C. The distributions of the magnitudes of diurnal warming across the three basins of north Indian Ocean (Arabian Sea, Bay of Bengal and Equatorial Indian Ocean) were similar except for the differences between the Arabian Sea and the other two basins during November–February (winter monsoon) and May. The magnitude of diurnal warming that depended on the location of temperature sensor below the water level varied with seasons. In spring, the magnitude of diurnal warming diminished drastically with the increase in the depth of temperature sensor. The diurnal range estimated using the drifting buoy data was higher than the diurnal range estimated using moored buoys fitted with temperature sensors at greater depths. A simple regression model based on the peak solar radiation and average wind speed was good enough to estimate the diurnal range of SST at ∼1.0 m in the north Indian Ocean during most of the seasons except under low wind-high solar radiation conditions that occur mostly during spring. The additional information on the rate of precipitation is found to be redundant for the estimation of the magnitude of diurnal warming at those depths.  相似文献   

17.
Results of a study of the variability of radio sources on timescales of 3–30 days based on six sets of daily observations on the RATAN-600 radio telescope with durations from 53 to 103 days at six frequencies from 0.97 to 21.7 GHz are reported. The variability timescales and spectra determined from the analysis of light curves, structure functions, and autocorrelation functions for 11 radio sources from a complete sample in the declination range 4°–6° (B1950) are presented.  相似文献   

18.
Metasediments in the Tso Morari area (Ladakh, Himalaya) provide new insights into the Higher Himalayan metamorphism in the northwestern part of the Himalayan belt. Whole-rock analyses and petrologic observations show that the metasediments correspond to Fe-rich metapelites, Mg-rich metapelites, intermediate metapelites and metagreywackes of the Indian continental margin. Jadeite + chloritoid + paragonite + garnet in the Fe-rich metapelites indicate pressures of 20 ±2 kbar at temperatures of 550 ±50 °C according to major element partitioning thermobarometry, stability fields of minerals and Thermocalc P-T estimates. These results are consistent with P-T estimates on other metasediments and with the occurrence of eclogites. Subsequent retrogression at the eclogite-blueschist facies transition (from 18 to 13 kbar and 540 ±50 °C) was followed by an increase in temperature to 630 ±30 °C at amphibolite facies conditions. The metamorphic evolution is related to subduction of the Indian continental margin beneath the southern Asian margin at the onset of the Indian-Eurasian collision. Received: 17 April 1996 / Accepted: 19 February 1997  相似文献   

19.
The single-crystal acoustic velocities of α- and β-quartz were measured by Brillouin spectroscopy to a maximum temperature >1,500°C at room pressure. From these velocities, the single-crystal elastic moduli were calculated up to 1,050°C, exceeding the temperature range of previous measurements by 350°C for the elastic moduli and by 710°C for acoustic velocities. The ordinary refractive index (n o) of α- and β-quartz was measured from room temperature to 800°C. In the temperature interval from ∼950 to 1,000°C a subtle change in the temperature derivative of the longitudinal acoustic velocity was observed in platelet geometry for all measured directions. The high-temperature acoustic velocity data may indicate the presence of a second phase, presumably β-cristobalite, that nucleates below 1,000°C.
Dmitry L. LakshtanovEmail:
  相似文献   

20.
In situ strength measurements on natural upper-mantle minerals   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Using in situ strength measurements at pressures up to 10 GPa and at room temperature, 400, 600, and 700°C, we examined rheological properties of olivine, orthopyroxene, and chromian-spinel contained in a mantle-derived xenolith. Mineral strengths were estimated using widths of X-ray diffraction peaks as a function of pressure, temperature, and time. Differential stresses of all minerals increase with increasing pressure, but they decrease with increasing temperature because of elastic strain on compression and stress relaxation during heating. During compression at room temperature, all minerals deform plastically at differential stress of 4–6 GPa. During subsequent heating, thermally induced yielding is observed in olivine at 600°C. Neither orthopyroxene nor spinel shows complete stress relaxation, but both retain some stress even at 700°C. The strength of the minerals decreases in the order of chromian-spinel ≈ orthopyroxene > olivine for these conditions. This order of strength is consistent with the residual pressure of fluid inclusions in mantle xenoliths.  相似文献   

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