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1.
这次在香山召开的地震预报发展战略研讨会可以说是一次地震预报攻关的战略研讨会。香山会议应该是一个科学会堂,将对今后产生重大作用,可以载入史册。这一次地震预报战略攻关研讨,从会议的论文集可以看出,大家准备得很认真。今天下午听了院士、专家的发言,也是高水平的。地震预报是一个尚未攻克的世界性科学难题,同时也是政府、社会的迫切需要。地震预报这个问题有人说不好搞,有人说好搞;有人说是不成功,有人说是成功。我想我们还是要用事实说话。 相似文献
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《Astronomy& Geophysics》2008,49(2):2.39-2.39
Now that the Society has returned to Burlington House, normal life can resume, and that includes Saturday opening of the Library. 相似文献
3.
D. G. Sibeck 《Surveys in Geophysics》1995,16(3):267-298
This review covers several aspects of magnetopause research during the two-year period from mid-1991 to mid-1993. It focusses upon three topics which received renewed attention: the structure of the steady-state magnetopause, the origin of the transient events which are superimposed upon it, and the cause of transient signatures observed by high-latitude dayside ground magnetometers. Case and statistical studies defined the relatively unknown characteristics of the magnetosheath plasma layers lying outside the magnetopause, while theoretical studies provided alternative explanations for the presence of magnetosheath plasma within the LLBL. Evidence was presented for a steady transition from magnetosheath to magnetospheric plasma parameters. Detailed studies described the plasma, energetic particle, and magnetic field characteristics of transient events in the outer dayside magnetosphere, and multipoint studies provided important new information concerning the ionospheric response to sudden changes in solar wind parameters. This review emphasizes the competing explanations which have been advanced to explain these phenomena. 相似文献
4.
B. M. Shen’kman 《Water Resources》2017,44(3):485-496
The article presents the results of a hydrogeological survey aimed to substantiate the engineering recultivation of accumulation ponds of lignin mud by inwashing it with coal ash. The ash bed causes compression consolidation of lignin bed, leading to an increase in the pond seal margin. The mass exchange between the ash and the lignin mud is accompanied by changes in the hydrogeochemical conditions: the mineralization of the liquid phase of technogenic soils increases by a factor of up to 8, and the concentration of microcomplex increases to very high values. The analysis of the qualitative state of groundwater showed it to be tolerant to the effect of accumulation ponds. The moderate deviation from the local natural background is due to other pollution sources. The applied recultivation technology is effective and environmentally safe, though it needs modernization. The alternative technology, proposed by OOO VEB-Inzhiniiring, i.e., grouting the pond content, is extremely hazardous, and the implementation of the project involves considerable environmental risk because of the possible loss of pond containment. 相似文献
5.
《Journal of Atmospheric and Solar》2002,64(12-14):1525-1529
Almost no new theoretical work has been conducted in the area of mid-latitude F-region plasma instabilities since Perkin's (J. Geophys. Res. 78 (1973) 218) linear theory. New experimental data now suggest that the nonlinear development of mid-latitude F-region structures includes large polarization electric fields which dominate the final state. Airglow and radar data show that ΣP is greatly depleted in some regions, which is in agreement with a polarization hypothesis. We hope these new results will inspire new simulations with some anticipation of solving this perplexing but fascinating problem. 相似文献
6.
Dr. J. Egedal 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1948,11(1):1-7
Summary from earth-current observations made at Mogadiscio the lunar-diurnal variation has been derived for the northward component, and by means of a special method lunar variations during daylight hours and night hours have been determined separately. The results have been compared with corresponding results from other observatories.
Zusammenfassung Für die Nordkomponente des Erdstromes in Mogadiscio ist die mondentägige Variation abgeleitet worden, und ferner sind die lunaren Variationen dieser Komponente, für die Stunden des Tages und des Nachts getrennt, durch eine spezielle Methode hergeleitet worden. Die Resultate sind mit entsprechenden Resultaten anderer Observatorien verglichen worden.相似文献
7.
Peter Bond 《Astronomy& Geophysics》2000,41(6):6.30-6.30
The development and utilization of telescopes for educational purposes were discussed on 18 August at a special session of the IAU in Manchester. The session, which was organized by Barrie Jones and Alan Pickwick of the RAS Education Committee, was entitled "Astronomy Research Projects for School and University Students". Peter Bond summarizes. 相似文献
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The magnetopause separates the geomagnetic field from the interplanetary plasma and performs finite motions under the action
of the solar wind pressure variable in time. Accelerations originating in this case result in that the necessary condition
for the development of the Rayleigh-Taylor instability is formed at quite a definite motion phase. We can anticipate that
the instability will develop during compression of the magnetosphere. It should be taken into account that the magnetopause
is a potential tangential discontinuity. On the one hand, a plasma flow along the magnetopause results in a decrease in the
Rayleigh-Taylor instability threshold. On the other hand, the Kelvin-Helmholtz instability threshold, typical of the tangential
discontinuity, also decreases during the magnetosphere compression phase. Thus, if we speak about the magnetopause, it is
natural and necessary to jointly consider both types of instability. Main information on the combined Rayleigh-Taylor-Kelvin-Helmholtz
instability is presented, the dispersion equation determining the evolution of small perturbations is considered, and the
possible geophysical applications to the theory (e.g., penetration of the solar plasma into the magnetosphere, excitation
of global Pc5 oscillations) are indicated. 相似文献
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Cesare Emiliani Eric B. Kraus Eugene M. Shoemaker 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1981,55(3):317-334
A paleoecological analysis of the fossil record before and after the Cretaceous/Tertiary boundary indicates that the widespread extinctions and biological stresses around the boundary are best explained in terms of a sudden, significant, but short temperature rise. L. Alvarez and co-authors, having found an enrichment in iridium at the same boundary, postulated that it was associated with the impact of an extraterrestrial body. If this body struck the ocean, the water injected into the atmosphere may have led to a transient increase in the global surface temperature. This temperature pulse may have been primarily responsible for the effects observed in the biosphere. The pattern of extinction of higher plant species suggests that splash down occurred in the northern Pacific-Bering Sea area. 相似文献
14.
化向地磁极(化极)是最基本的磁测资料处理方法之一,化极能消除或减少斜磁化影响,提高对磁测资料的认识程度和解释水平,对研究地壳产生的磁异常具有重要意义.但低纬度地区特别是磁赤道处,化极处理很不稳定甚至奇异,一直是位场研究的难点.针对地磁纬度较低特别是磁赤道地区磁异常化极的困难,利用从磁北极处垂直磁化向低纬度地区水平磁化方向转换稳定的特点,提出"狭义化赤"概念,并将其与低纬度磁异常"倒相"解释方法结合,提出专门用于磁赤道处化极的方法.该方法扩展了现有的化极理论,实现了磁赤道处的稳定化极.区别于目前任何方法,专门用于(近)水平磁化条件下的化极计算,具有原理简单,实现方便,收敛速度快等特点.对理论模型和实际资料计算表明这种针对磁赤道地区磁异常的化极处理方法是稳定、可靠的. 相似文献
15.
The mean tangential stresses at a corrugated interface between a solid, electrically insulating mantle and a liquid core of magnetic diffusivity λ are calculated for uniform rotation of both mantle and core at an angular velocity Ω in the presence of a corotating magnetic field B. The core and mantle are assumed to extend indefinitely in the horizontal plane. The interface has the form z = η(x, y), where z is the upward vertical distance and x, y are the zonal and latitudinal distances respectively. The function η(x, y) has a planetary horizontal length scale (i.e. of the order of the radius of the Earth) and small amplitude and vertical gradient. The liquid core flows with uniform mean zonal velocity U0 relative to the mantle. Ω and B possess vertical and horizontal components.The vertical (poloidal) component Bp is uniform and has a value of 5 G while the horizontal (toroidal) field BT = Bpαz, where α is a constant. When |α| ? 1, the mean horizontal stresses are found to have the same order of magnitude (10?2 N m?2) as those inferred from variations in the decade fluctuations in the length of the day, although the exact numerical values depend on the orientation of Ω as well as on the wavenumbers in the zonal and latitudinal directions.The influence of the steepness (as measured by α) of the toroidal field on the stresses is investigated to examine whether the constraint that the mean horizontal stresses at the core-mantle interface be of the order of 10?2 N m?2 might provide a selection mechanism for the behaviour of the toroidal field in the upper reaches of the outer core of the Earth. The results indicate that the restriction imposed on α is related to the value assigned to the toroidal field deep into the core. For example, if |α| ? 1 then the tangential stresses are of the right order of magnitude only if the toroidal field is comparable with the poloidal field deep in the core. 相似文献
16.
Prediction of the arrival of peak nitrate concentrations at the water table at the regional scale in Great Britain 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
L. Wang M. E. Stuart J. P. Bloomfield A. S. Butcher D. C. Gooddy A. A. McKenzie M. A. Lewis A. T. Williams 《水文研究》2012,26(2):226-239
A simple process‐based approach to predict regional‐scale loading of nitrate at the water table was implemented in a GIS for Great Britain. This links a nitrate input function, unsaturated zone thickness, and lithologically dependent rate of nitrate unsaturated zone travel to estimate arrival time of nitrate at the water table. The nitrate input function is the loading at the base of the soil and has been validated using unsaturated zone porewater profiles. The unsaturated zone thickness uses groundwater levels based on regional‐scale observations infilled by interpolated river base levels. Estimates of the rate of unsaturated zone travel are attributed from regional‐scale hydrogeological mapping. The results indicate that peak nitrate loading may have already arrived at the water table for many aquifers, but that it has not where the unsaturated zone is relatively thick There are contrasting outcomes for the two main aquifers which have similar unsaturated zone velocities, the predominantly low relief Permo‐Triassic sandstones, and the Chalk, which forms significant topographic features. For about 60% of the Chalk, the peak input has not yet reached the water table and will continue to arrive over the next 60 years. The methodology is readily transferable and provides a robust method for estimating peak arrival time for any diffuse conservative pollutant where an input function can be defined at a regional scale and requires only depth to groundwater and a hydrogeological classification. The methodology is extendable in that if additional information is available this can easily be incorporated into the model scheme. British Geology Survey © NERC 2011. Hydrological Process © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd 相似文献
17.
Seismic Hazard Estimate at the Iberian Peninsula 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
—?Seismic hazard at the Iberian Peninsula has been evaluated by using a methodology which combines both zonified and non-zonified probabilistic methods. Seismic sources are used when considering zones where certain calculation parameters may be considered homogeneous, as in zonified methods, while, on the other hand, earthquakes are considered wherever it has taken place, as in non-zonified methods. The methodology which is applied in this paper has been originally used to calculate the seismic hazard maps in the United States. In our case, it has been necessary to adapt the method to the specific features of the seismicity in the Iberian Peninsula and its geographical surroundings, not only with respect to its distribution and characteristics, but also with respect to the properties of the seismic catalog used.¶Geographically, the main feature of the result is the fact that it reflects both historical seismicity and current seismic clusters of the region. Despite the smoothing, maps show marked differences between several seismic zones; these differences becoming more noticeable as exposure time increases. Maximum seismic hazard is found to be in the southwestern region of the Peninsula, especially in the area of the Cape St. Vicent, and around Lisbon. The uncertainty of the results, without considering that due to the attenuation laws, as deduced from the other evaluation parameters, is quite stable, being more sensitive to the parameters b and m max of the Gutenberg-Richter relation. 相似文献
18.
The launch of ESA's Rosetta mission, to orbit and land on a comet, has been postponed and the target of the mission may have to change. Uncertainty over the mission provoked extra interest at the RAS discussion meeting in December 2002, as Geraint Jones and Simeon Barber report. 相似文献
19.
In the face of increasing urbanization, there is growing interest in application of microscale hydrologic solutions to minimize storm runoff and conserve water at the source. In this study, a physically based numerical model was developed to understand hydrologic processes better at the urban residential scale and the interaction of these processes among different best management practices (BMPs). This model simulates hydrologic processes using an hourly interval for over a full year or for specific storm events. The model was applied to treatment and control single‐family residential parcels in Los Angeles, California. Data collected from the control and treatment sites over 2 years were used to calibrate and validate the model. Annual storm runoff to the street was eliminated by 97% with installation of rain gutters, a driveway interceptor, and lawn retention basin. Evaluated individually, the driveway interceptor was the most effective BMP for storm runoff reduction (65%), followed by the rain gutter installation (28%), and lawn converted to retention basin (12%). An 11 m3 cistern did not substantially reduce runoff, but provided 9% of annual landscape irrigation demand. Simulated landscape irrigation water use was reduced 53% by increasing irrigation system efficiency, and adjusting application rates monthly based on plant water demand. The model showed that infiltration and surface runoff processes were particularly sensitive to the soil's physical properties and its effective depth. Replacing the existing loam soil with clay soil increased annual runoff discharge to the street by 63% when climate and landscape features remained unchanged. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
20.
《Continental Shelf Research》1998,18(10):1157-1177
The spatial and temporal variability of water entering and leaving the Chesapeake Bay estuary was determined with a spatial resolution of 75 m. The four cruises during which the observations were made took place under different conditions of freshwater discharge, tidal phase, and wind forcing. The tidal variability of the flows was dominated by the semidiurnal constituents that displayed greatest amplitudes and phase lags near the surface and in the channels that lie at the north and south sides of the entrance. The subtidal variability of the flows was classified into two general scenarios. The first scenario occurred during variable or persistently non-southwesterly winds. Under these conditions there was surface outflow and bottom inflow in the two channels, inflow over the shoal between the two channels, and possible anticyclonic gyre formation over the shoal. The flow pattern in the channels was produced by gravitational circulation and wind forcing. Over the shoal it was caused by tidal rectification and wind forcing. The second scenario occurred during persistently southwesterly winds. The anticyclonic gyre over the shoal vanished suggesting that wind forcing dominated the tidal rectification mechanism over the shoal, while gravitational circulation and wind forcing continued to cause the flows in the channels. In both scenarios, most of the volume exchange took place in the channels. 相似文献