共查询到19条相似文献，搜索用时 187 毫秒
1.
农作物长势综合监测——以印度为例 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
提出农作物长势综合监测方法,利用卫星遥感得到的NDVI时间序列数据,综合采用实时监测、过程监测和时间序列聚类监测方法,明确不同方法适用的监测尺度及监测目的,对不同范围农作物长势进行监测。改进了Crop Watch全球农情遥感速报系统运行化作物长势监测方法,克服了原有作物长势监测中实时监测方法无法反映相同区域苗情在整个生长过程中的连续变化情况的缺点。实现对相同区域作物长势连续变化的定量描述,可对作物长势进行更准确的判断。利用官方发布的作物单产变幅数据,对单产变幅较大的12个作物主产省区作物长势监测结果的准确性进行判断,结果表明:6个邦的实时监测和聚类监测方法所得结果一致,都符合作物单产变化的实际状况;4个邦的聚类监测方法所得结果对作物长势监测更为准确,更符合该区域作物单产的实际变化;1个邦实时监测结果对作物长势监测比聚类监测方法更为准确;只有1个邦采用两种方法对作物长势的监测存在误差,聚类监测方法在对农作物生长过程的连续监测及空间分布的定量化表述方面,比实时监测更为准确。3种方法可以综合使用,实现业务化运行的农作物长势监测。 相似文献
2.
统计数据总量约束下全局优化阈值的冬小麦分布制图 总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6
大范围、长时间和高精度农作物空间分布基础农业科学数据的准确获取对资源、环境、生态、气候变化和国家粮食安全等问题研究具有重要现实意义和科学意义。本文针对传统阈值法农作物识别过程中阈值设置存在灵巧性差和自动化程度低等弱点,以中国粮食主产区黄淮海平原内河北省衡水市景县为典型实验区,首次将全局优化算法应用于阈值模型中阈值优化选取,开展了利用全局优化算法改进基于阈值检测的农作物分布制图方法创新研究。以冬小麦为研究对象,国产高分一号(GF-1)为主要遥感数据源,在作物面积统计数据为总量控制参考标准和全局参数优化的复合型混合演化算法SCE-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution-University of Arizona)支持下,提出利用时序NDVI数据开展阈值模型阈值参数自动优化的冬小麦空间分布制图方法。最终,获得实验区冬小麦阈值模型最优参数,并利用优化后的阈值参数对冬小麦空间分布进行提取。通过地面验证表明,利用本研究所提方法获取的冬小麦识别结果分类精度均达到较高水平。其中冬小麦识别结果总量精度达到了99.99%,证明本研究所提阈值模型参数优化方法冬小麦提取分类结果总量控制效果良好;同时,与传统的阈值法、最大似然和支持向量机等分类方法相比,本研究所提阈值模型参数优化法区域冬小麦作物分类总体精度和Kappa系数分别都有所提高,其中,总体精度分别提高4.55%、2.43%和0.15%,Kappa系数分别提高0.12、0.06和0.01,这体现出SCE-UA全局优化算法对提高阈值模型冬小麦空间分布识别精度具有一定优势。以上研究结果证明了利用本研究所提基于作物面积统计数据总量控制以及SCE-UA全局优化算法支持下阈值模型参数优化作物分布制图方法的有效性和可行性,可获得高精度冬小麦作物空间分布制图结果,这对提高中国冬小麦空间分布制图精度和自动化水平具有一定意义,也可为农作物面积农业统计数据降尺度恢复重建和大范围区域作物空间分布制图研究提供一定技术参考。 相似文献
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美国冬小麦产量遥感预测方法 总被引：7，自引：0，他引：7
介绍了依据时序遥感植被指数数据进行产量预测的方法。通过美国冬小麦产量的历史趋势分析去除趋势产量 ,得到气象产量。利用区域作物生长过程线 ,提取曲线的各个特征参数 ,并将各参数与气象产量的值进行相关分析 ,得到美国冬小麦产量遥感敏感因子 ,采用一次线性拟合的方法建立回归方程 ,估算当年的冬小麦产量。依据此方法对美国 2 0 0 3年各州的冬小麦单产进行了预测 ,并将最终的预测结果与美国农业统计局的数据进行了对比 ,两者间的误差在 - 11 4 2 %至 11 10 %之间 ,相关系数为 0 89。 相似文献
4.
基于地统计学空间插值法的作物单产估算 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
针对第三次全国农业普查农产量抽样调查的样本调查方法改革后,现行的传统农作物单产抽样调查估算方法无法有效利用调查样本所包含的空间差异性来估算抽样设计中子总体的作物单产等问题,提出了一种基于地统计学的空间插值估算方法,对调查队取得的样本数据进行深度挖掘。以河南省辉县为研究区,以冬小麦单产为研究对象,进行实验和结果分析。结果表明,利用地统计学克里格插值法取得的村级冬小麦平均单产估算精度在90%以上的村达到研究区村总量的91%,且其中83%的村估算精度优于95%;估算精度在90%以下的所有村的冬小麦种植总面积仅占全县的2.26%,对全县产量的影响微乎其微。基于地统计学的空间插值法很好地分析和利用了样本属性中的冬小麦单产信息表现出的空间相关性和异质性,不仅能较高精度地估算出现行的传统农作物单产推算方法无法给出的抽样设计中子总体(全县各村)的单产信息,而且能较好地给出总体(全县)的单产信息。利用该方法得到的全县冬小麦平均单产估算精度达到97.75%,高于现行的传统农作物单产抽样调查估算精度,估算效果良好,方法可行性高,相对传统方法还可起到费省效宏的作用。 相似文献
5.
作物种植成数的遥感监测精度评价 总被引：9，自引：1，他引：9
以河南开封和山西太谷地区作为研究区域 ,选用LandsatTM作为农作物种植面积遥感监测的数据源。利用LandsatTM提取河南开封实验区 2 0 0 1年的夏季作物和山西太谷地区 2 0 0 3年秋季作物的作物种植成数。同时 ,利用IKONOS ,QuickBird高分辨率遥感影像 ,通过地面调查进行了地面作物填图和分类 ,同样得到实验区的农作物种植成数。最后通过两种结果对比 ,表明开封实验区夏季作物的监测精度达到 99%以上 ,太谷实验区秋季作物的监测精度达到 97%以上 ,由此推断 ,表明利用LandsatTM监测农作物种植成数的精度能够满足中国农情遥感监测的运行化要求 相似文献
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针对中国开展的国外农作物产量遥感估测大多依靠中低分辨率耕地信息、省级(州级)或国家级作物产量统计数据的现状,本文以美国玉米为例,探讨利用多年中高分辨率作物分布信息、时序遥感植被指数和县级作物产量统计数据开展国外重点地区作物单产遥感估测技术研究,以期进一步提高中国对国外农作物产量监测精度和精细化水平。首先,利用美国农业部国家农业统计局(NASS/USDA)生产的作物分布数据(CDL)获得多个年份玉米空间分布图,并对相应年份250 m分辨率16天合成的MODIS-NDVI时序数据进行掩膜处理,统计获得每年各县域内玉米主要生育期NDVI均值;其次,以各州为估产区,以多年县级玉米统计单产和县域内玉米主要生育期NDVI均值为基础,建立各州玉米主要生育期NDVI与玉米单产间关系模型;然后,通过主要生育期玉米单产和玉米植被指数间拟合程度,筛选确定各州玉米最佳估产期和最佳估产模型。最终,利用最佳估产模型实现美国各州玉米单产估测和全国玉米单产推算。其中,建模数据覆盖时间为2007年—2010年,验证数据为2011年。结果表明,应用最佳估产模型的2011年美国各州玉米单产估测相对误差在-4.16%—4.92%,均方根误差在148.75—820.93 kg/ha,各州估测结果计算获得全国玉米单产的相对误差仅为2.12%,均方根误差为285.57 kg/ha。可见,本研究的作物单产遥感估测技术方法具有一定可行性,可准确估测全球重点地区作物单产信息。 相似文献
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尺度变化对冬小麦种植面积遥感测量区域精度影响的研究 总被引：6，自引：1，他引：5
不同尺度遥感数据源的选取将直接影响到作物种植面积测量的精度,研究尺度因子在农作物面积遥感测量中的作用,尺度与面积测量精度的定性和定量关系是非常必要的.为此,本文利用SPOT5卫星数据,以尺度变化对农作物种植面积遥感测量精度影响的分析为主线,运用空间统计分析方法和多种精度评价指标,从不同空间分辨率、不同空间范围、不同农作物百分比等角度系统分析了农作物种植面积遥感测量中的尺度效应问题.为基于多尺度遥感数据复合的农作物种植面积测量业务化运行中的数据选择和精度保证问题提供理论与实验基础. 相似文献
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高分二号遥感影像提取冬小麦空间分布 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
精细的农作物空间分布数据对于资源、环境、生态、气候变化和粮食安全问题均具有重要的意义,卷积神经网络已经成为从遥感影像中提取农作物空间分布数据的主要方法,但提取结果中的种植区域边缘往往比较粗糙。本文以高分二号遥感影像为数据源,选择冬小麦为提取目标,利用RefineNet模型和最大后验概率模型构建冬小麦遥感提取模型WWRSE(Winter Wheat Remote Sensing Extraction),获取精细的冬小麦空间分布数据。WWRSE模型利用RefineNet网络提取像素的语义特征,使用改进的SoftMax模型生成像素的类别概率向量;以类别概率向量的最大分量与次大分量的差值作为置信度,根据置信度将类别概率向量分为可信和不可信两组,可信组直接使用最大分量对应的类别标签作为相应像素的分类结果;结合最大后验概率模型确定不可信组像素的分类结果。利用随机梯度法对WWRSE模型进行训练。选择SegNet、DeepLab、RefineNet作为对比模型进行实验,WWRSE提取结果的精度为92.9%,比SegNet提高了13.8%,比DeepLab提高了10.9%,比RefineNet提高了8.6%。实验结果表明WWRSE模型在提取冬小麦空间分布数据方面具有一定的优势。WWRSE模型提取的结果能够为大范围冬小麦种植面积统计提供依据。 相似文献
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关键时相长势—环境和景观特征对河北省县级尺度冬小麦单产估算精度影响分析 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
区域尺度上精准、快速的作物单产估算可以有效地为国家粮食安全相关政策的制定提供数据支撑。本文针对县级估产时相和特征类型选择问题,基于遥感、气象和统计等多源数据,通过不同时相和特征要素之间的组合分析来探索其对于县级尺度冬小麦单产估算的影响。特征要素主要考虑作物长势、环境（水分和光温条件）和农田景观3个类型;时相主要考虑由冬小麦生长过程NDVI（Normalized Difference Vegetation Index）曲线特征提取的5个关键时段（P1—P5）。利用不同时相与类型特征的组合与统计单产构建随机森林回归模型,根据精度评价结果分析各组合的优劣。2014年—2017年的数据用来建模,2018年数据用来验证。对于单时相,P2、P3、P4的表现明显好于P1和P5;多时相的准确度明显优于单时相,其中P2、P4的组合效果最佳。对于不同类型的特征要素,作物长势特征参量对估产精度的影响最大,而水分影响和光温条件等环境因子的加入对估产准确性并没有明显提升,农田景观参数的加入能够有效提升估产的准确性。在最优组合的基础上,剔除冗余变量优选出5个重要的指标因子（PROP、NDVI_P2、B2_P2、ED、B1_P4）,并建立单产估算模型获取2018年河北省冬小麦县级尺度单产。结果表明,平均相对误差（MRE）仅为2.85%,决定系数（R 2）为0.83,均方根误差（RMSE）为253.25 kg/ha,归一化均方根误差（NRMSE）为4.09%。研究结果为全国县级冬小麦单产估算提供了新的思路和方法参考。 相似文献
10.
MODIS与TM冬小麦种植面积遥感测量一致性研究——小区域实验研究 总被引：5，自引：1，他引：5
针对大范围冬小麦种植面积遥感测量业务化运行中所存在的不同空间分辨率遥感影像的获取能力、空间分辨率与测量精度之间相互制约的现实问题,选择典型实验区,采取全覆盖的多时相低分辨率MODIS数据与中高分辨率TM样区数据相结合的方法,以支持向量机（SVM）为主要技术手段,通过选取不同比例的TM样本量,对MODIS进行混合像元分解,并对MODIS冬小麦测量结果与TM测量结果进行一致性分析,进而提出了一套可用于大范围冬小麦种植面积遥感测量业务化推广的识别和精度检验方法。研究结果表明：当TM样本量大于5%时,相对于TM识别结果而言,MODIS像元精度可以稳定在82%以上;当TM样本量大于40%时,区域精度可以稳定在97%。因此,从理论上讲,在实际业务化运行中,只要能够获得监测区40%的中高分辨率的影像,采用本研究提出的多尺度冬小麦种植面积测量方法,基本上可以满足业务化运行的精度要求。 相似文献
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基于两个独立抽样框架的农作物种植面积遥感估算方法 总被引：34，自引：15，他引：34
通过分析遥感技术在中国农作物种植面积估算中所遇到的难点 ,针对运行化的农作物遥感估产系统对主要农作物种植面积估算的需求 ,提出在农作物种植结构区划的基础上 ,采用整群抽样和样条采样技术相结合的方法 ,进行农作物种植面积估算。整群抽样技术利用遥感影像估算农作物总种植成数 ,样条采样是一种适合中国农作物种植结构特征的采样技术 ,用于调查不同农作物类别在所有播种作物中的分类成数。在中国现有的耕地数据库基础上 ,根据两次抽样获得的成数 ,计算得到具体某一种农作物类别的种植面积。最后给出了 2 0 0 3年早稻种植面积估算的实例。 相似文献
12.
Jianqiang Ren Zhongxin Chen Qingbo Zhou Huajun Tang 《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2008,10(4):403
The significance of crop yield estimation is well known in agricultural management and policy development at regional and national levels. The primary objective of this study was to test the suitability of the method, depending on predicted crop production, to estimate crop yield with a MODIS-NDVI-based model on a regional scale. In this paper, MODIS-NDVI data, with a 250 m resolution, was used to estimate the winter wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) yield in one of the main winter-wheat-growing regions. Our study region is located in Jining, Shandong Province. In order to improve the quality of remote sensing data and the accuracy of yield prediction, especially to eliminate the cloud-contaminated data and abnormal data in the MODIS-NDVI series, the Savitzky–Golay filter was applied to smooth the 10-day NDVI data. The spatial accumulation of NDVI at the county level was used to test its relationship with winter wheat production in the study area. A linear regressive relationship between the spatial accumulation of NDVI and the production of winter wheat was established using a stepwise regression method. The average yield was derived from predicted production divided by the growing acreage of winter wheat on a county level. Finally, the results were validated by the ground survey data, and the errors were compared with the errors of agro-climate models. The results showed that the relative errors of the predicted yield using MODIS-NDVI are between −4.62% and 5.40% and that whole RMSE was 214.16 kg ha−1 lower than the RMSE (233.35 kg ha−1) of agro-climate models in this study region. A good predicted yield data of winter wheat could be got about 40 days ahead of harvest time, i.e. at the booting-heading stage of winter wheat. The method suggested in this paper was good for predicting regional winter wheat production and yield estimation. 相似文献
13.
本文以北京顺义县为例,以气象因子与垂直植被指数(PVI)作为参数,用灰色模型G(0,2)和逐段订正模型即阶乘模型,建立冬小表遥感信息-气象因子综合模型。计算结果表明,改进后的综合模型其平均精度比单纯的遥感信息模型提高近7％,个别年份达到10％以上。 相似文献
14.
Sujay Dutta N K Patel S K. Srivastava 《Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing》2001,29(3):175-182
Pre-harvest crop production forecast has been successfully provided by remote sensing technique. However, the probability to get cloud-free optical remote sensing data during kharif season is poor. Microwave data having the capability to penetrate cloud is used in the absence of cloud free optical remote sensing data. Yield models in broad band frequency range are in development stage. Meteorological yield models are developed and predicted yield is combined with area estimated by remote sensing data to provide rice production forecast. This paper describes the methodology adopted for improving the predictability of rice yield before harvest of the crop in Bihar province by taking into consideration meteorological parameters during its growth cycle upto October. Models developed using fortnightly meteorological data have been found to give reasonably fair indications of expected yield of rice in advance of harvest. The yield predictions have been made based on meteorological data and effective rainfall based on water requirement calculations representing a group of districts under similar agro-climatic zones, which could be further improved by incorporating meteorological data of individual districts within each group. 相似文献
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Ukraine is one of the most developed agriculture countries and one of the biggest crop producers in the world. Timely and accurate crop yield forecasts for Ukraine at regional level become a key element in providing support to policy makers in food security. In this paper, feasibility and relative efficiency of using moderate resolution satellite data to winter wheat forecasting in Ukraine at oblast level is assessed. Oblast is a sub-national administrative unit that corresponds to the NUTS2 level of the Nomenclature of Territorial Units for Statistics (NUTS) of the European Union. NDVI values were derived from the MODIS sensor at the 250 m spatial resolution. For each oblast NDVI values were averaged for a cropland map (Rainfed croplands class) derived from the ESA GlobCover map, and were used as predictors in the regression models. Using a leave-one-out cross-validation procedure, the best time for making reliable yield forecasts in terms of root mean square error was identified. For most oblasts, NDVI values taken in April–May provided the minimum RMSE value when comparing to the official statistics, thus enabling forecasts 2–3 months prior to harvest. The NDVI-based approach was compared to the following approaches: empirical model based on meteorological observations (with forecasts in April–May that provide minimum RMSE value) and WOFOST crop growth simulation model implemented in the CGMS system (with forecasts in June that provide minimum RMSE value). All three approaches were run to produce winter wheat yield forecasts for independent datasets for 2010 and 2011, i.e. on data that were not used within model calibration process. The most accurate predictions for 2010 were achieved using the CGMS system with the RMSE value of 0.3 t ha−1 in June and 0.4 t ha−1 in April, while performance of three approaches for 2011 was almost the same (0.5–0.6 t ha−1 in April). Both NDVI-based approach and CGMS system overestimated winter wheat yield comparing to official statistics in 2010, and underestimated it in 2011. Therefore, we can conclude that performance of empirical NDVI-based regression model was similar to meteorological and CGMS models when producing winter wheat yield forecasts at oblast level in Ukraine 2–3 months prior to harvest, while providing minimum requirements to input datasets. 相似文献
17.
M. B. Potdar K. R. Manjunath N. L. Purohit 《Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing》1999,27(4):205-215
Attempt has been made to develop spectro meteorological yield models using normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) derived from NOAA AVHRR data over the crop growth period and monthly rainfall data for predicting yield of mustard crop. The AVHRR data spanning seven crop growing seasons, the rain gauze station-level rainfall data and crop yield data determined from crop cutting experiments (CCE) conducted by state Directorate of Economics and Statistics (DES) are the basic input data. A methodology has been developed to normalize the multi-temporal NDVIs for the minimisation of atmospheric effects, which is found to reduce the noise in NDVI due to varying atmospheric conditions from season to season and improve the predictability of statistical multiple linear regression yield models developed for nine geographically large districts of Rajasthan state. The spectro meteorological yield models had been validated by comparing the predicted district level yields with those estimated from the crop cutting experiments. 相似文献
18.
综合利用灾前IRS P6 Liss-4高分辨率数据与灾后的航空影像, 估算粮食受损面积, 并利用同期农业气象数据估算了不同受灾区域粮食作物单产水平, 最终估算得出震区粮食作物受损产量。监测结果表明: 地震造成的12个重灾县市冬小麦直接损失247.1hm2, 产量约为1013778kg, 直接影响不大。但受灾地区冬小麦总产量超过22万t, 而且对秋粮作物的种植和生产造成影响, 对中国粮食生产的间接影响不容忽视。 相似文献
19.
N. K. Patel M. Chakraborty S. Dutta C. Patnaik J. S. Parihar S. C. Moharana A. Das B. K. Sarangi G. Behera 《Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing》2004,32(2):125-143
Considering the requirement of multiple pre-harvest crop forecasts, the concept of Forecasting Agricultural output using Space,
Agrometeorology and Land based observations (FASAL) has been formulated. Development of procedure and demonstration of this
technique for four in-season forecasts for kharif rice has been carried out as a pilot study in Orissa State since 1998. As
the availability of cloud-free optical remote sensing data during kharif season is very poor for Orissa state, multi-date
RADARSAT SCANSAR data were used for acreage estimation of kharif rice. Meteorological models have been developed for early
assessment of acreage and prediction of yield at mid and late crop growth season. Four in-season forecasts were made during
four kharif seasons (1998-2001); the first forecast of zone level rice acreage at the beginning of kharif crop season using
meteorological models, second forecast of district level acreage at mid growth season using two-date RADARSAT SCANSAR data
and yield using meteorological models, third forecast at late growth season of district level acreage using three-date RADARSAT
SCANSAR data and yield using meteorological models and revised forecast incorporating field observations at maturity. The
results of multiple forecasts have shown rice acreage estimation and yield prediction with deviation up to 14 and 11 per cent
respectively. This study has demonstrated the potential of FASAL concept to provide inseason multiple forecasts using data
of remote sensing, meteorology and land based observations. 相似文献