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1.
《Applied Geochemistry》1999,14(1):133-145
Three univariate geostatistical methods of estimation are applied to a geochemical data set. The studied methods are: ordinary kriging (cross-validation), factorial kriging, and indicator kriging. These techniques use the probabilistic and spatial behaviour of geochemical variables, giving a tool for identifying potential anomalous areas to locate mineralization. Ordinary kriging is easy to apply and to interpret the results. It has the advantage of using the same experimental grid points for its estimates, and no additional grid points are needed. Factorial kriging decomposes the raw variable into as many components as there are identified structures in the variogram. This, however, is a complex method and its application is more difficult than that of ordinary or indicator kriging. The main advantages of indicator kriging are that data are used by their rank order, being more robust about outlier values, and that the presentation of results is simple. Nevertheless, indicator kriging is incapable of separating anomalous values and the high values from the background, which have a behaviour different to the anomaly. In this work, the results of the application of these 3 kriging methods to a set of mineral exploration data obtained from a geochemical survey carried out in NW Spain are presented. This area is characterised by the presence of Au mineral occurrences. The kriging methods were applied to As, considered as a pathfinder of Au in this area. Numerical treatment of Au is not applicable, because it presents most values equal to the detection limit, and a series of extreme values. The results of the application of ordinary kriging, factorial kriging and indicator kriging to As make possible the location of a series of rich values, sited along a N–S shear zone, considered a structure related to the presence of Au.  相似文献   

2.
Most significant iron ore deposits in Iran are located in Central Iran Zone. These deposits belong to the Bafq mining district. The Bafq mining district is located in the Early Cambrian Kashmar-Kerman volcanic arc of Central Iran. Linear estimation of regionalized variables (for example by inverse distance weighting or ordinary Kriging) results in relatively high estimation variances, i.e. the estimates have very low precision. Assessment of project economics (or other critical decision making) based on linear estimation is therefore risky. Non-linear estimation methods like disjunctive kriging perform better and the lower estimation variance allows less risky economic decision-making. Another advantage of disjunctive kriging is that it allows estimation of functions of the primary variable, which here is the grade (Fe %) of the ore. In particular it permits estimation of indicator functions defined using thresholds on the primary variable. This paper is devoted to application of disjunctive kriging method in Choghart North Anomaly iron ore deposit in Central Iran, Yazd province, Iran. In this study, the Fe concentration of Choghart North Anomaly iron ore deposit was modelled and estimated. The exploration data consists of borehole samples measuring the Fe concentration. A Gaussian isofactorial model is fitted to these data and disjunctive kriging was used to estimate the regionalized variable (Fe %) at unsampled locations and to assess the probabilities that the actual concentrations exceed a threshold value at a given location. Consequently a three dimensional model of probability of exceeding a threshold value and the estimated value are provided by disjunctive kriging to divide the ore into an economic and uneconomic part on the basis of estimation of indicator functions using thresholds grades defined on point support. The tools and concepts are complemented by a set of computer programs that are applied to the case study. The study showed that disjunctive kriging can be applied successfully for modeling the grade of an ore deposit. Results showed that the correlation between the estimated value and real value at locations close to each other is 81.9%.  相似文献   

3.
辛存林 《地质与勘探》2014,50(2):382-390
以多重分形理论为基础,对中天山乌拉斯台地区铜多金属元素的岩屑测量数据,采用C-A法获得铜多金属的异常下限值,将其作为阈值进行指示克里格插值,绘制研究区的铜多金属地球化学异常图。研究显示,基于该方法获得的Cu矿化异常高值区主要集中在华力西早期第三侵入次的石英闪长岩和花岗闪长岩岩体中,受北西向和次级北东向断裂构造控制明显,该异常区可以作为寻找热液型铜多金属矿产的重要远景区。该方法对于地球化学数据空间变异性强烈的地区,较之普通克里格插值法具有更好的地球化学异常识别能力和高值信息重建能力,所得结果的最高累计频率值范围与已知矿化点的空间位置吻合度更高,在地球化学异常信息提取工作中具有推广意义。  相似文献   

4.
An Alternative Measure of the Reliability of Ordinary Kriging Estimates   总被引:4,自引:0,他引:4  
This paper presents an interpolation variance as an alternative to the measure of the reliability of ordinary kriging estimates. Contrary to the traditional kriging variance, the interpolation variance is data-values dependent, variogram dependent, and a measure of local accuracy. Natural phenomena are not homogeneous; therefore, local variability as expressed through data values must be recognized for a correct assessment of uncertainty. The interpolation variance is simply the weighted average of the squared differences between data values and the retained estimate. Ordinary kriging or simple kriging variances are the expected values of interpolation variances; therefore, these traditional homoscedastic estimation variances cannot properly measure local data dispersion. More precisely, the interpolation variance is an estimate of the local conditional variance, when the ordinary kriging weights are interpreted as conditional probabilities associated to the n neighboring data. This interpretation is valid if, and only if, all ordinary kriging weights are positive or constrained to be such. Extensive tests illustrate that the interpolation variance is a useful alternative to the traditional kriging variance.  相似文献   

5.
Marine research survey data on fish stocks often show a small proportion of very high-density values, as for many environmental data. This makes the estimation of second-order statistics, such as the variance and the variogram, non-robust. The high fish density values are generated by fish aggregative behaviour, which may vary greatly at small scale in time and space. The high values are thus imprecisely known, both in their spatial occurrence and order of magnitude. To map such data, three indicator-based geostatistical methods were considered, the top-cut model, min–max autocorrelation factors (MAF) of indicators, and multiple indicator kriging. In the top-cut and MAF approaches, the variable is decomposed into components and the most continuous ones (those corresponding to the low and medium values) are used to guide the mapping. The methods are proposed as alternatives to ordinary kriging when the variogram is difficult to estimate. The methods are detailed and applied on a spatial data set of anchovy densities derived from a typical fish stock acoustic survey performed in the Bay of Biscay, which show a few high-density values distributed in small spatial patches and also as solitary events. The model performances are analyzed by cross-validating the data and comparing the kriged maps. Results are compared to ordinary kriging as a base case. The top-cut model had the best cross-validation performance. The indicator-based models allowed mapping high-value areas with small spatial extent, in contrast to ordinary kriging. Practical guidelines for implementing the indicator-based methods are provided.  相似文献   

6.
基于不同地质统计方法的渗透系数场对污染物运移的影响   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
渗透系数场的空间变异性是影响污染物运移结果的决定因素,而地质统计方法是解决渗透系数空间变异性的主要技术手段。本文利用野外场地实测数据,采用普通克里格法和指示克里格法、顺序高斯模拟法和顺序指示模拟法四种地质统计方法,插值估测和模拟再现随机渗透系数场,进而对比研究四种渗透系数场对大尺度污染物运移的影响。研究结果表明,污染羽的质心位置(一阶矩)主要由渗透系数的平均值来决定;污染羽在空间上的展布范围(二阶矩)主要受渗透系数空间变异方差的影响;条件模拟克服了估计法的平滑效果,较好地再现真实曲线的波动性,渗透系数( lnK)估计方差与污染羽空间二阶矩随着条件模拟次数的增加而减小,并且顺序指示模拟程度更加明显。  相似文献   

7.
黄竞生  侯景儒 《地球科学》1994,19(3):321-328
泛克立格法是一种非平稳随机函数的最佳线性无偏估计方法,作者将之用于处理区域地球化学探矿数据,给出被测元素的估计值,漂移植和涨落值,后者为评估元素区域北景和异常特性提供了有用信息,作者用非参数地质统计学的指示克立格法对化探元素含量进行异值的分析及大于各级下限值的概率估计。  相似文献   

8.
Reducing the Impact of Outliers in Ore Reserves Estimation   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Mining applications commonly faces surprising high values designated as outliers. These values impact dramatically statistical analysis and interpretation. A comprehensive analysis on the causes for the presence of unexpected high values was recommended. However, if an erroneous value was accepted as a part of the solution, some form of correction is recommended. A methodology based on the robust kriging (RoK) algorithm is proposed to be used in exploratory data analysis and also to deal with problems associated with the presence of outliers in the sample data set. The efficiency of RoK method as an interpolator is tested in different types of mineralizations. Importantly, the parent population from which the data was sampled is available, thus allowing direct quantitative assessment of the effectiveness of the estimation technique. The performance of the method is tested in the context of ore reserves estimation. RoK model is compared to models generated by ordinary kriging, median indicator kriging, and lognormal kriging. RoK proved to be more accurate and more precise than those methods reducing substantially the number of misclassified blocks.  相似文献   

9.
The ordinary kriging interpolation algorithm is extended by the inclusion of explicit lower and upper bounds on the estimate. The associated estimation variance is written as the ordinary kriging variance plus a non-negative correction term.  相似文献   

10.
The ordinary kriging interpolation algorithm is extended by the inclusion of explicit lower and upper bounds on the estimate. The associated estimation variance is written as the ordinary kriging variance plus a non-negative correction term.  相似文献   

11.
Consideration of order relations is key to indicator kriging, indicator cokriging, and probability kriging, especially for the latter two methods wherein the additional modeling of cross-covariance contributes to an increased chance of violating order relations. Herein, Gaussian-type curves are fit to estimates of the cumulative distribution function (cdf) at data quantiles to: (1) yield smoothed estimates of the cdf; and (2) to correct for violations of order relations (i.e., to correct for situations wherein the estimate of the cdf for a larger quantile is less than that for a smaller quantile). Smoothed estimates of the cdf are sought as a means to improve the approximation to the integral equation for the expected value of the regionalized variable in probability kriging. Experiments show that this smoothing yields slightly improved estimation of the expected value (in probability kriging). Another experiment, one that uses the same variogram for all indicator functions, does not yield improved estimates.Presented at the 25th Anniversary Meeting of the IAMG, Prague, Czech Republic, October 10–15, 1993.  相似文献   

12.
Direct Sequential Simulation and Cosimulation   总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7  
Sequential simulation of a continuous variable usually requires its transformation into a binary or a Gaussian variable, giving rise to the classical algorithms of sequential indicator simulation or sequential Gaussian simulation. Journel (1994) showed that the sequential simulation of a continuous variable, without any prior transformation, succeeded in reproducing the covariance model, provided that the simulated values are drawn from local distributions centered at the simple kriging estimates with a variance corresponding to the simple kriging estimation variance. Unfortunately, it does not reproduce the histogram of the original variable, which is one of the basic requirements of any simulation method. This has been the most serious limitation to the practical application of the direct simulation approach. In this paper, a new approach for the direct sequential simulation is proposed. The idea is to use the local sk estimates of the mean and variance, not to define the local cdf but to sample from the global cdf. Simulated values of original variable are drawn from intervals of the global cdf, which are calculated with the local estimates of the mean and variance. One of the main advantages of the direct sequential simulation method is that it allows joint simulation of N v variables without any transformation. A set of examples of direct simulation and cosimulation are presented.  相似文献   

13.
 A thorough understanding of the characteristics of transmissivity makes groundwater deterministic models more accurate. These transmissivity data characteristics occasionally possess a complicated spatial variation over an investigated site. This study presents both geostatistical estimation and conditional simulation methods to generate spatial transmissivity maps. The measured transmissivity data from the Dulliu area in Yun-Lin county, Taiwan, is used as the case study. The spatial transmissivity maps are simulated by using sequential Gaussian simulation (SGS), and estimated by using natural log ordinary kriging and ordinary kriging. Estimation and simulation results indicate that SGS can reproduce the spatial structure of the investigated data. Furthermore, displaying a low spatial variability does not allow the ordinary kriging and natural log kriging estimates to fit the spatial structure and small-scale variation for the investigated data. The maps of kriging estimates are smoother than those of other simulations. A SGS with multiple realizations has significant advantages over ordinary kriging and even natural log kriging techniques at a site with a high variation in investigated data. These results are displayed in geographic information systems (GIS) as basic information for further groundwater study. Received: 27 August 1999 · Accepted: 22 February 2000  相似文献   

14.
侯景儒 《第四纪研究》1993,13(3):203-213
地质统计学是数学地质领域最为活跃而实用的分支,它是以区域化变量理论为基础,以变异函数为基本工具,研究那些在空间分布上既具有随机性又具有结构性的自然现象的科学。在第四纪研究中的很多特征(变量)均可看成区域化变量进行地质统计学分析。作者在讨论了经典概率论及数理统计方法简单地应用于第四纪研究可能出现的问题后,着重介绍了用于第四纪研究中的若干地质统计学方法及基本理论,同时,对地质统计学方法应用于第四纪研究中的前景进行了分析。  相似文献   

15.
A multivariate probability transformation between random variables, known as the Nataf transformation, is shown to be the appropriate transformation for multi-Gaussian kriging. It assumes a diagonal Jacobian matrix for the transformation of the random variables between the original space and the Gaussian space. This allows writing the probability transformation between the local conditional probability density function in the original space and the local conditional Gaussian probability density function in the Gaussian space as a ratio equal to the ratio of their respective marginal distributions. Under stationarity, the marginal distribution in the original space is modeled from the data histogram. The stationary marginal standard Gaussian distribution is obtained from the normal scores of the data and the local conditional Gaussian distribution is modeled from the kriging mean and kriging variance of the normal scores of the data. The equality of ratios of distributions has the same form as the Bayes’ rule and the assumption of stationarity of the data histogram can be re-interpreted as the gathering of the prior distribution. Multi-Gaussian kriging can be re-interpreted as an updating of the data histogram by a Gaussian likelihood. The Bayes’ rule allows for an even more general interpretation of spatial estimation in terms of equality for the ratio of the conditional distribution over the marginal distribution in the original data uncertainty space with the same ratio for a model of uncertainty with a distribution that can be modeled using the mean and variance from direct kriging of the original data values. It is based on the principle of conservation of probability ratio and no transformation is required. The local conditional distribution has a variance that is data dependent. When used in sequential simulation mode, it reproduces histogram and variogram of the data, thus providing a new approach for direct simulation in the original value space.  相似文献   

16.
Hybrid Estimation of Semivariogram Parameters   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
Two widely used methods of semivariogram estimation are weighted least squares estimation and maximum likelihood estimation. The former have certain computational advantages, whereas the latter are more statistically efficient. We introduce and study a “hybrid” semivariogram estimation procedure that combines weighted least squares estimation of the range parameter with maximum likelihood estimation of the sill (and nugget) assuming known range, in such a way that the sill-to-range ratio in an exponential semivariogram is estimated consistently under an infill asymptotic regime. We show empirically that such a procedure is nearly as efficient computationally, and more efficient statistically for some parameters, than weighted least squares estimation of all of the semivariogram’s parameters. Furthermore, we demonstrate that standard plug-in (or empirical) spatial predictors and prediction error variances, obtained by replacing the unknown semivariogram parameters with estimates in expressions for the ordinary kriging predictor and kriging variance, respectively, perform better when hybrid estimates are plugged in than when weighted least squares estimates are plugged in. In view of these results and the simplicity of computing the hybrid estimates from weighted least squares estimates, we suggest that software that currently estimates the semivariogram by weighted least squares methods be amended to include hybrid estimation as an option.  相似文献   

17.
Approximate local confidence intervals are constructed from uncertainty models in the form of the conditional distribution of the random variable Z given values of variables [Zi, i=1,...,n]. When the support of the variable Z is any support other than that of the data, the conditional distributions require a change of support correction. This paper investigates the effect of change of support on the approximate local confidence intervals constructed by cumulative indicator kriging, class indicator kriging, and probability kriging under a variety of conditions. The conditions are generated by three simulated deposits with grade distributions of successively higher degree of skewness; a point support and two different block supports are considered. The paper also compares the confidence intervals obtained from these methods using the most used measures of confidence interval effectiveness.  相似文献   

18.
Multigaussian kriging is used in geostatistical applications to assess the recoverable reserves in ore deposits, or the probability for a contaminant to exceed a critical threshold. However, in general, the estimates have to be calculated by a numerical integration (Monte Carlo approach). In this paper, we propose analytical expressions to compute the multigaussian kriging estimator and its estimation variance, thanks to polynomial expansions. Three extensions are then considered, which are essential for mining and environmental applications: accounting for an unknown and locally varying mean (local stationarity), accounting for a block-support correction, and estimating spatial averages. All these extensions can be combined; they generalize several known techniques like ordinary lognormal kriging and uniform conditioning by a Gaussian value. An application of the concepts to a porphyry copper deposit shows that the proposed “ordinary multigaussian kriging” approach leads to more realistic estimates of the recoverable reserves than the conventional methods (disjunctive and simple multigaussian krigings), in particular in the nonmineralized undersampled areas.  相似文献   

19.
地质统计学方法在地下水水位估值中应用   总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7  
对于许多区域水资源或水环境问题,地下水水流模拟往往要采用数值方法,需给出每个节点上初始水位值,以反映流场的初始状态。另外,地下水水位动态长期监测分析,需由观测点水位估计任一点的水位。文中阐述了地下水水位估值的地质统计学方法-泛克立格法原理,以河南省焦作市修武段地下水数值模拟分析区为例,分析了用一次、二次漂移的泛克立格方法模拟地下水初始流场的估值情况和对真实流场特征的反映情况。指出在进行区域地下水位  相似文献   

20.
 The applicability and usefulness of Geostatistics (kriging) as a tool for optimum selection of sites for monitoring groundwater levels has been demonstrated through a case study. The criterion used is the estimation of error variance. Groundwater level data (pre-monsoon 1994) obtained from 32 observation wells of Upper Kongal basin, Nalgonda District, A.P. (India) has been stochastically analyzed. The spatial distribution of water levels and its associated error variance is computed and the locations having maximum error variance are selected as additional sites for augmenting the existing observational well network. Received: 15 june 1998 · Accepted: 14 December 1998  相似文献   

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