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1.
地球自转变化与中国大陆地震活动关系的初步分析   总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10  
本文利用天文观测的日长变化时间序列和我国地震资料,统计分析了地球自转十年尺度变化、年限变化和季节性变化与中国大陆地震活动间的相关性。结果表明,中国大陆地震活动与地球自转变化在时间尺度上存在着一定的全局性联系,地球自转变化引起的附加应力可能对中国大陆地震活动起一定的触发作用,中国大陆地震活动与地球自转变化在空间尺度上存在着一定的地区性联系,以东西向的天山地震带与日长变化的相关性最为显著,南北向的中轴地震带和东西向的燕山地震带次之,而北北东向的山西地震带跟日长变化则没有确定的对应关系。分析结果表明,天文观测的地球自转资料可以为我国大陆地震预测提供一种参考依据。  相似文献   

2.
分析了台湾花莲地区本世纪以来 7级以上地震的可公度性 ,并指出1 999年 9月 2 1日地震发生的必然性 ,同时也分析了这次地震时的天体位置及引潮力特征。  相似文献   

3.
本文在潮汐应力、构造应力、地震断层和岩石破裂滑动理论的基础上 ,建立了潮汐应力对地震断层作用的力学模式 ,该模式将潮汐应力与地震应力作用相结合 ,描述了沿地震主压应力和地震主张应力方向的附加潮汐应力对发震断层的力学作用方式 ,从而切入潮汐应力触发地震的物理机制 ,认为潮汐对地震的触发作用在实质上归结为潮汐应力对地震断层的促滑作用 ,这种促滑作用分增压型和减压型。在此模式基础上 ,对中国大陆及邻区的不同类型地震的潮汐触发性进行了研究 ,内容包括 :计算了中国及邻区一千多个地震震源处沿主压应力P轴和主张应力T轴方向的附加潮汐应力分量 ,分析了这些量对发震断层的作用方式 ,按纬度区域统计了受到潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层类型以及它们与潮汐应力作用方式的关系 ,得到了如下结论 :受到潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层的比例随区域纬度增加有减小趋势 ,其中 ,走滑型断层的比例在低纬区较大 ,而倾滑斜型断层的比例在中高纬度区较大 ;对整个统计区域而言 ,受增压型潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层数比例大于受减压型潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层 ;对不同的纬度区域 ,不同的潮汐应力作用方式与之促滑的发震断层类型也有不同的分布特征。最后 ,本文将中国及邻区受到潮汐触发作用的地震按构造应力  相似文献   

4.
中国近期强震与天体的特殊位置关系分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
通过统计分析1990~1998年中国Ms≥6级地震与太阳系主要天体的特殊位置的关系,说明两者具有较好的相关性。我们可以在此基础上,结合其它预报手段,对中国地震进行预测。  相似文献   

5.
在太阳活动与地震活动相关研究的基础上指出:在周期性太阳活动的调控下,地震活动也显示出与太阳活动相关的周期性变化。云南22年的地震周期在20世纪形成了4个大震活跃期和4个相对平静期。根据地震活动和太阳活动的若干相关规律,对云南地区在本世纪第1次大震活跃期的到来作了趋势性预测:云南在本世纪第1次大震活跃期的第1个大震(M=7.0左右)将于2012年到来,那时正是太阳活动第24周下降段的开始,离上次大震活跃期的最后一个大震(丽江,M=7.0,1996年)恰好是16年。在该大震活跃期里,还将发生若干个M=7.0左右的大震和一些较小的地震,其大震爆发的时间将遵循Tx=(Tn-Tn-1)1/2(a年)的非线性经验规律发生。  相似文献   

6.
中国大陆8级巨震群体动态与地球运动及太阳活动的联系   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
本文通过数百年天文地球动力学资料的分析,得到了太阳活动减弱—地球纬向大气环流盛行—固体地球自转加快—南北向压应力场增强—中国大陆地震活动加剧的基本认识,从而证明中国地震系统是个开放系统,一直在不断地从外界汲取负熵,进行自组织活动。  相似文献   

7.
本文通过对 1 90 0~ 1 996年全球的M≥ 7.0的全部地震发生在日、月引潮力极值与非极值附近的轮次检验 ,从而揭示出地震的发生与日月引潮力有着密切的关系。并根据日、月引潮力的计算结果 ,从现代构造应力场特征与强震的震源机制 ,讨论了在地震的触发中起重要作用的可能是引潮力的水平分力。  相似文献   

8.
地磁二倍法[1]预报地震是我国地震预报研究工作中取得初步成效的一种方法。它是我国地震战线上贯彻群测群防科研路线的一个硕果,最早是大港油田工人工程师张铁铮同志应用磁暴二倍法[2]预报华北地区的地震时间要素取得较好效果,后来上海天文台地震室应用磁偏角二倍法[3]预报太平洋地区M≥7的地震时间要素也获得较好效果。  相似文献   

9.
根据太阳活动与月亮运动周期预测1988年开始的中国大地震活跃期已经基本结束,从现在起到2000年中国大陆发生Ms≥70地震的可能性很小。  相似文献   

10.
本文在潮汐应力、构造应力、地震断层和岩石破裂滑动理论的基础上,建立了潮汐应力对地震断层作用的力学模式,该模式将潮汐应力与地震应力作用相结合,描述了沿地震主压应力和地震主张应务方向的附加潮汐应力对发震断层的力学作用方式,从而切入潮汐应力触发地震的物理机制,认为潮汐对地震的触发作用在实质上归结为潮汐应力对地震断层的促滑作用,这种促滑作用分增压型和减压型。在此模式基础上,对中国大陆及邻区的不同类型地震的潮汐触发性进行了研究,内容包括:计算了中国及邻区一千多个地震震源处沿主压应力P轴和主张应力T轴方向的附加潮汐应力分量,分析了这些量对发震断层的作用方式,按纬度区域统计了受到潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层类型以及它们与潮汐应力作用方式的关系,得到了如下结论:受到潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层的比例随区域纬度增加有减小趋势,其中,走滑型断层的比例在低纬区较大,而倾滑斜型断层的比例在中高纬度区较大;对整个统计区域而言,受增压型潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层数比例大于受减压型潮汐应力促滑作用的发震断层;对不同的纬度区域,不同的潮汐应力作用方式与之促滑的发震断层类型也有不同的分布特征。最后,本文将中国及邻区受到潮汐触发作用的地震按构造应力区域划分,计算了这些地震发震时刻的日月位置参数,得到了各构造区域上具有潮汐触发物理机制的地震发震时的日、月位置参数分布图象。  相似文献   

11.
Range of values of the Sun's mass quadrupole moment of coefficient J2 arising both from experimental and theoretical determinations enlarge across literature on two orders of magnitude, from around 10-7 until to 10-5. The accurate knowledge of the Moon's physical librations, for which the Lunar Laser Ranging data reach an outstanding precision level, prove to be appropriate to reduce the interval of J2 values by giving an upper bound of J2. A solar quadrupole moment as high as 1.1 10-5 given either from the upper bounds of the error bars of the observations, or from the Roche's theory, is not compatible with the knowledge of the lunar librations accurately modeled and observed with the LLR experiment. The suitable values of J2 have to be smaller than 3.0 10-6. As a consequence, this upper bound of 3.0 10-6 is accepted to study the impact of the Sun's quadrupole moment of mass on the dynamics of the Earth-Moon system. Such as effect (with J2 = 5.5±1.3 × 10-6) has been already tested in 1983 by Campbell & Moffat using analytical approximate equations, and thus for the orbits of Mercury, Venus, the Earth and Icarus. The approximate equations are no longer sufficient compared with present observational data and exact equations are required. As if to compute the effect on the lunar librations, we have used our BJV relativistic model of solar system integration including the spin-orbit coupled motion of the Moon. The model is solved by numerical integration. The BJV model stems from general relativity by using the DSX formalism for purposes of celestial mechanics when it is about to deal with a system of n extended, weakly self-gravitating, rotating and deformable bodies in mutual interactions. The resulting effects on the orbital elements of the Earth have been computed and plotted over 160 and 1600 years. The impact of the quadrupole moment of the Sun on the Earth's orbital motion is mainly characterized by variations of , , and . As a consequence, the Sun's quadrupole moment of mass could play a sensible role over long time periods of integration of solar system models. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献   

12.
By means of a simple relation between the velocity v of the fluid particle and the velocity vf of the photospheric footpoint of the magnetic field line vz and Bz being respectively the components of v and the magnetic field B normal to the photospheric surface, it is shown formally that through the phtospheric surface the transport of all the quantities attributed to the magnetic field, such as the magnetic flux, the magnetic energy and the helicity, is independent of vz, and vf is the only kinematical quantity on which the transport depends. In addition, in the neighborhood of the neutral line the velocity vl of the moving curve of constant Bz is found to be equal approximately to the component of v or vf in the direction of vl. Since vl can be measured or extimated, so can the components of v and vf near the neutral line.  相似文献   

13.
介绍和论述了在后牛顿引力理论(PPN形式)中在优越参考系和非优越参考系中经过参数化后引力常数变化对地球自转产生的效应,其中特别重点介绍了年周期变化的效应。此外也将理论结果同观测结果相对比。  相似文献   

14.
Rozelot  J.P.  Godier  S.  Lefebvre  S. 《Solar physics》2001,198(2):223-240
In this paper we first emphasize why it is important to know the successive zonal harmonics of the Sun's figure with high accuracy: mainly fundamental astrometry, helioseismology, planetary motions and relativistic effects. Then we briefly comment why the Sun appears oblate, going back to primitive definitions in order to underline some discrepancies in theories and to emphasize again the relevant hypotheses. We propose a new theoretical approach entirely based on an expansion in terms of Legendre's functions, including the differential rotation of the Sun at the surface. This permits linking the two first spherical harmonic coefficients (J 2 and J 4) with the geometric parameters that can be measured on the Sun (equatorial and polar radii). We emphasize the difficulties in inferring gravitational oblateness from visual measurements of the geometric oblateness, and more generally a dynamical flattening. Results are given for different observed rotational laws. It is shown that the surface oblateness is surely upper bounded by 11 milliarcsecond. As a consequence of the observed surface and sub-surface differential rotation laws, we deduce a measure of the two first gravitational harmonics, the quadrupole and the octopole moment of the Sun: J 2=−(6.13±2.52)×10−7 if all observed data are taken into account, and respectively, J 2=−(6.84±3.75)×10−7 if only sunspot data are considered, and J 2=−(3.49±1.86)×10−7 in the case of helioseismic data alone. The value deduced from all available data for the octopole is: J 4=(2.8±2.1)×10−12. These values are compared to some others found in the literature. Supplementary material to this paper is available in electronic form at http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/A:1005238718479  相似文献   

15.
Observational data on the dynamics of stars in the neighborhood of the sun indicate the existence of a third integral besides the integrals of the angular momentum and energy. The Poincaré integral is proposed as a third integral. The consequences of this assumption are derived and compared with available astrophysical data.  相似文献   

16.
灵敏度是射电望远镜的一个重要性能指标,它反映了望远镜监测弱信号的能力。基于明安图射电频谱日像仪(Mingantu Ultrawide Spectral Radioheliograph,MUSER)的调试观测,给出了日像仪灵敏度的测量方法,对天线系统以及整个阵列的灵敏度进行测量分析,得到了日像仪系统整体的灵敏度性能参数。测量同时给出了天线系统的效率以及接收机系统的增益,这将为下一步日像仪展开常规的科学观测提供参考。  相似文献   

17.
A two-component theoretical model of the physical libration of the Moon in longitude is constructed with account taken of the viscosity of the core. In the new version, a hydrodynamic problem of motion of a fluid filling a solid rotating shell is solved. It is found that surfaces of equal angular velocity are spherical, and a velocity field of the fluid core of the Moon is described by elementary functions. A distribution of the internal pressure in the core is found. An angular momentum exchange between the fluid core and solid mantle is described by a third-order differential equation with a right-hand side. The roots of a characteristic equation are studied and the stability of rotation is proved. A libration angle as a function of time is found using the derived solution of the differential equation. Limiting cases of infinitely large and infinitely small viscosity are considered and an effect of lag of a libration phase from a phase of action of an external moment of forces is ascertained. This makes it possible to estimate the viscosity and sizes of the lunar fluid core from data of observations.  相似文献   

18.
19.
Using the well-known equation for the normal component of the current which exist near the tangential discontinuity in the plasma in the case of the frozen-in magnetic field, and supposing that the current closes in the ionosphere in the auroral oval in the region 1, one calculates and compares with the data of observations the dependence of the density of the field-aligned current at the level of the ionosphere on the local time.  相似文献   

20.
We calculate the so-called convective term, which shows up in the expression for the angular velocity of the elastic Earth, within the Andoyer formalism. The term emerges due to the fact that the elasticity-caused perturbation depends not only on the instantaneous orientation of the Earth but also on its instantaneous angular velocity. We demonstrate that this term makes a considerable contribution into the overall angular velocity. At the same time the convective term turns out to be automatically included into the correction to the nutation series due to the elasticity, if the series is defined by the perturbation of the figure axis (and not of the rotational axis) in accordance with the current IAU resolution. Hence it is not necessary to take the effect of the convective term into consideration in the perturbation of the elastic Earth as far as the nutation is related to the motion of the figure axis.  相似文献   

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