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1.
Kriging with imprecise (fuzzy) variograms. II: Application 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
The geostatistical analysis of soil liner permeability is based on 20 measurements and imprecise prior information on nugget effect, sill, and range of the unknown variogram. Using this information, membership functions for variogram parameters are assessed and the fuzzy variogram is constructed. Both kriging estimates and estimation variances are calculated as fuzzy numbers from the fuzzy variogram and data points. Contour maps are presented, indicating values of the kriged permeability and the estimation variance corresponding to selected membership values called levels. 相似文献
2.
Tingting Yao 《Mathematical Geology》2004,36(4):487-506
The application of spectral simulation is gaining acceptance because it honors the spatial distribution of petrophysical properties, such as reservoir porosity and shale volume. While it has been widely assumed that spectral simulation will reproduce the mean and variance of the important properties such as the observed net/gross ratio or global average of porosity, this paper shows the traditional way of implementing spectral simulation yields a mean and variance that deviates from the observed mean and variance. Some corrections (shift and rescale) could be applied to generate geologic models yielding the observed mean and variance; however, this correction implicitly rescales the input variogram model, so the variogram resulting from the generated cases has a higher sill than the input variogram model. Therefore, the spectral simulation algorithm cannot build geologic models honoring the desired mean, variance, and variogram model simultaneously, which is contrary to the widely accepted assumption that spectral simulation can reproduce all the target statistics. However, by using Fourier transform just once to generate values at all the cells instead of visiting each cell sequentially, spectral simulation does reproduce the observed variogram better than sequential Gaussian simulation. That is, the variograms calculated from the generated geologic models show smaller fluctuations around the target variogram. The larger the generated model size relative to the variogram range, the smaller the observed fluctuations. 相似文献
3.
Assessment of the sampling variance of the experimental variogram is an important topic in geostatistics as it gives the uncertainty of the variogram estimates. This assessment, however, is repeatedly overlooked in most applications mainly, perhaps, because a general approach has not been implemented in the most commonly used software packages for variogram analysis. In this paper the authors propose a solution that can be implemented easily in a computer program, and which, subject to certain assumptions, is exact. These assumptions are not very restrictive: second-order stationarity (the process has a finite variance and the variogram has a sill) and, solely for the purpose of evaluating fourth-order moments, a Gaussian distribution for the random function. The approach described here gives the variance–covariance matrix of the experimental variogram, which takes into account not only the correlation among the experiemental values but also the multiple use of data in the variogram computation. Among other applications, standard errors may be attached to the variogram estimates and the variance–covariance matrix may be used for fitting a theoretical model by weighted, or by generalized, least squares. Confidence regions that hold a given confidence level for all the variogram lag estimates simultaneously have been calculated using the Bonferroni method for rectangular intervals, and using the multivariate Gaussian assumption for K-dimensional elliptical intervals (where K is the number of experimental variogram estimates). A general approach for incorporating the uncertainty of the experimental variogram into the uncertainty of the variogram model parameters is also shown. A case study with rainfall data is used to illustrate the proposed approach. 相似文献
4.
Comparing the robustness of ordinary kriging and lognormal kriging: Outlier resistance 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
Ordinary kriging is well-known to be optimal when the data have a multivariate normal distribution (and if the variogram is known), whereas lognormal kriging presupposes the multivariate lognormality of the data. But in practice, real data never entirely satisfy these assumptions. In this article, the sensitivity of these two kriging estimators to departures from these assumptions and in particular, their resistance to outliers is considered. An outlier effect index designed to assess the effect of a single outlier on both estimators is proposed, which can be extended to other types of estimators. Although lognormal kriging is sensitive to slight variations in the sill of the variogram of the logs (i.e., their variance), it is not influenced by the estimate of the mean of the logs.This paper was presented at MGUS 87 Conference, Redwood City, California, 14 April 1987. 相似文献
5.
In the linear model of coregionalization (LMC), when applicable to the experimental direct variograms and the experimental
cross variogram computed for two random functions, the variability of and relationships between the random functions are modeled
with the same basis functions. In particular, structural correlations can be defined from entries of sill matrices (coregionalization
matrices) under second-order stationarity. In this article, modified t-tests are proposed for assessing the statistical significance of estimated structural correlations. Their specific aspects
and fundamental differences, compared with an existing modified t-test for global correlation analysis with spatial data, are discussed via estimated effective sample sizes, in relation to
the superimposition of random structural components, the range of autocorrelation, the presence of correlation at another
structure, and the sampling scheme. Accordingly, simulation results are presented for one structure versus two structures
(one without and the other with autocorrelation). The performance of tests is shown to be related to the uncertainty associated
with the estimation of variogram model parameters (range, sill matrix entries), because these are involved in the test statistic
and the degrees of freedom of the associated t-distribution through the estimated effective sample size. Under the second-order stationarity and LMC assumptions, the proposed
tests are generally valid. 相似文献
6.
E. S. Zakirov I. M. Indrupskiy O. V. Liubimova I. M. Shiriaev D. P. Anikeev 《Doklady Earth Sciences》2017,476(2):1120-1124
An approach for geostatistically consistent matching of 3D flow simulation models and 3D geological models is proposed. This approach uses an optimization algorithm based on identification of the parameters of the geostatistical model (for example, the variogram parameters, such as range, sill, and nugget effect). Here, the inverse problem is considered in the greatest generality taking into account facies heterogeneity and the variogram anisotropy. The correlation dependence parameters (porosity-to-log permeability) are clarified for each single facies. 相似文献
7.
Sample schemes used in geostatistical surveys must be suitable for both variogram estimation and kriging. Previously schemes
have been optimized for one of these steps in isolation. Ordinary kriging generally requires the sampling locations to be
evenly dispersed over the region. Variogram estimation requires a more irregular pattern of sampling locations since comparisons
must be made between measurements separated by all lags up to and beyond the range of spatial correlation. Previous studies
have not considered how to combine these optimized schemes into a single survey and how to decide what proportion of sampling
effort should be devoted to variogram estimation and what proportion devoted to kriging
An expression for the total error in a geostatistical survey accounting for uncertainty due to both ordinary kriging and variogram
uncertainty is derived. In the same manner as the kriging variance, this expression is a function of the variogram but not
of the sampled response data. If a particular variogram is assumed the total error in a geostatistical survey may be estimated
prior to sampling. We can therefore design an optimal sample scheme for the combined processes of variogram estimation and
ordinary kriging by minimizing this expression. The minimization is achieved by spatial simulated annealing. The resulting
sample schemes ensure that the region is fairly evenly covered but include some close pairs to analyse the spatial correlation
over short distances. The form of these optimal sample schemes is sensitive to the assumed variogram. Therefore a Bayesian
approach is adopted where, rather than assuming a single variogram, we minimize the expected total error over a distribution
of plausible variograms. This is computationally expensive so a strategy is suggested to reduce the number of computations
required 相似文献
8.
Nonstationarity of the Mean and Unbiased Variogram Estimation: Extension of the Weighted Least-Squares Method 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
When concerned with spatial data, it is not unusual to observe a nonstationarity of the mean. This nonstationarity may be modeled through linear models and the fitting of variograms or covariance functions performed on residuals. Although it usually is accepted by authors that a bias is present if residuals are used, its importance is rarely assessed. In this paper, an expression of the variogram and the covariance function is developed to determine the expected bias. It is shown that the magnitude of the bias depends on the sampling configuration, the importance of the dependence between observations, the number of parameters used to model the mean, and the number of data. The applications of the expression are twofold. The first one is to evaluate a priori the importance of the bias which is expected when a residuals-based variogram model is used for a given configuration and a hypothetical data dependence. The second one is to extend the weighted least-squares method to fit the variogram and to obtain an unbiased estimate of the variogram. Two case studies show that the bias can be negligible or larger than 20%. The residual-based sample variogram underestimates the total variance of the process but the nugget variance may be overestimated. 相似文献
9.
This paper describes two new approaches that can be used to compute the two-dimensional experimental wavelet variogram. They
are based on an extension from earlier work in one dimension. The methods are powerful 2D generalizations of the 1D variogram
that use one- and two-dimensional filters to remove different types of trend present in the data and to provide information
on the underlying variation simultaneously. In particular, the two-dimensional filtering method is effective in removing polynomial
trend with filters having a simple structure. These methods are tested with simulated fields and microrelief data, and generate
results similar to those of the ordinary method of moments variogram. Furthermore, from a filtering point of view, the variogram
can be viewed in terms of a convolution of the data with a filter, which is computed fast in O(NLogN) number of operations
in the frequency domain. We can also generate images of the filtered data corresponding to the nugget effect, sill and range
of the variogram. This in turn provides additional tools to analyze the data further. 相似文献
10.
Guillaume Larocque Pierre Dutilleul Bernard Pelletier James W. Fyles 《Mathematical Geology》2007,39(3):263-288
Coregionalization analysis has been presented as a method of multi-scale analysis for multivariate spatial data. Despite an
increasing use of this method in environmental and earth sciences, the uncertainty associated with the estimation of parameters
in coregionalization analysis (e.g., sills and functions of sills) is potentially high and has not yet been characterized.
This article aims to discuss the theory underlying coregionalization analysis and assess the robustness and limits of the
method. A theoretical framework is developed to calculate the ergodic and fluctuation variance-covariance matrices of least-squares
estimators of sills in the linear model of coregionalization. To adjust for the positive semidefiniteness constraint on estimated
coregionalization matrices, a confidence interval estimation procedure for sills and functions of sills is presented. Thereafter,
the relative importance of uncertainty measures (bias and variance) for sills and structural coefficients of correlation and
determination is assessed under different scenarios to identify factors controlling their uncertainty. Our results show that
the sampling grid density, the choice of the least-squares estimator of sills, the positive semidefiniteness constraint, the
presence of scale dependence in the correlations, and the number and range of variogram models, all affect the level of uncertainty,
sometimes through multiple interactions. The asymptotic properties of variogram model parameter estimators in a bounded sampling
domain impose a theoretical limit to their accuracy and precision. Because of this limit, the uncertainty was found to be
high for several scenarios, especially with three variogram models, and was often more dependent on the ratio of variogram
range to domain extent than on the sampling grid density. In practice, in the coregionalization analysis of a real dataset,
the circular requirement for sill estimates in the calculation of uncertainty measures makes the quantification of uncertainty
very problematic, if not impossible. The use of coregionalization analysis must be made with due knowledge of the uncertainty
levels and limits of the method. 相似文献
11.
Understanding Anisotropy Computations 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
12.
用变差函数研究重磁场的区域变化特征.变差函数的变程反映重磁场的相干范围, 块金效应反映随机干扰, 基台值反映变异程度.重磁场的理论模拟说明: 重力场的相干范围大于磁场, 重磁场变程主要取决于场源深度, 浅源重磁场变差函数近似为球状模型或指数模型, 深源重磁场近似为连续性更好的高斯模型.磁场场源深度近似等于变程的一半, 重力场场源深度近似等于变程的四分之一.湖北大冶铁矿垂直分量磁异常具有几何各向异性, 北西-南东走向, 变差函数推测磁铁矿平均深度为250m.磁异常小波多尺度分解细节和逼近部分磁场具有协调几何各向异性, 变差函数的各阶场源深度估计结果与功率谱估计结果吻合. 相似文献
13.
When estimating the mean value of a variable, or the total amount of a resource, within a specified region it is desirable to report an estimated standard error for the resulting estimate. If the sample sites are selected according to a probability sampling design, it usually is possible to construct an appropriate design-based standard error estimate. One exception is systematic sampling for which no such standard error estimator exists. However, a slight modification of systematic sampling, termed 2-step tessellation stratified (2TS) sampling, does permit the estimation of design-based standard errors. This paper develops a design-based standard error estimator for 2TS sampling. It is shown that the Taylor series approximation to the variance of the sample mean under 2TS sampling may be expressed in terms of either a deterministic variogram or a deterministic covariance function. Variance estimation then can be approached through the estimation of a variogram or a covariance function. The resulting standard error estimators are compared to some more traditional variance estimators through a simulation study. The simulation results show that estimators based on the new approach may perform better than traditional variance estimators. 相似文献
14.
Guillaume Larocque Pierre Dutilleul Bernard Pelletier James W. Fyles 《Mathematical Geosciences》2007,39(3):263-288
Coregionalization analysis has been presented as a method of multi-scale analysis for multivariate spatial data. Despite an increasing use of this method in environmental and earth sciences, the uncertainty associated with the estimation of parameters in coregionalization analysis (e.g., sills and functions of sills) is potentially high and has not yet been characterized. This article aims to discuss the theory underlying coregionalization analysis and assess the robustness and limits of the method. A theoretical framework is developed to calculate the ergodic and fluctuation variance-covariance matrices of least-squares estimators of sills in the linear model of coregionalization. To adjust for the positive semidefiniteness constraint on estimated coregionalization matrices, a confidence interval estimation procedure for sills and functions of sills is presented. Thereafter, the relative importance of uncertainty measures (bias and variance) for sills and structural coefficients of correlation and determination is assessed under different scenarios to identify factors controlling their uncertainty. Our results show that the sampling grid density, the choice of the least-squares estimator of sills, the positive semidefiniteness constraint, the presence of scale dependence in the correlations, and the number and range of variogram models, all affect the level of uncertainty, sometimes through multiple interactions. The asymptotic properties of variogram model parameter estimators in a bounded sampling domain impose a theoretical limit to their accuracy and precision. Because of this limit, the uncertainty was found to be high for several scenarios, especially with three variogram models, and was often more dependent on the ratio of variogram range to domain extent than on the sampling grid density. In practice, in the coregionalization analysis of a real dataset, the circular requirement for sill estimates in the calculation of uncertainty measures makes the quantification of uncertainty very problematic, if not impossible. The use of coregionalization analysis must be made with due knowledge of the uncertainty levels and limits of the method. 相似文献
15.
16.
Gilles Bourgault 《Mathematical Geosciences》2012,44(8):1005-1037
The likelihood of Gaussian realizations, as generated by the Cholesky simulation method, is analyzed in terms of Mahalanobis distances and fluctuations in the variogram reproduction. For random sampling, the probability to observe a Gaussian realization vector can be expressed as a function of its Mahalanobis distance, and the maximum likelihood depends only on the vector size. The Mahalanobis distances are themselves distributed as a Chi-square distribution and they can be used to describe the likelihood of Gaussian realizations. Their expected value and variance are only determined by the size of the vector of independent random normal scores used to generate the realizations. When the vector size is small, the distribution of Mahalanobis distances is highly skewed and most realizations are close to the vector mean in agreement with the multi-Gaussian density model. As the vector size increases, the realizations sample a region increasingly far out on the tail of the multi-Gaussian distribution, due to the large increase in the size of the uncertainty space largely compensating for the low probability density. For a large vector size, realizations close to the vector mean are not observed anymore. Instead, Gaussian vectors with Mahalanobis distance in the neighborhood of the expected Mahalanobis distance have the maximum probability to be observed. The distribution of Mahalanobis distances becomes Gaussian shaped and the bulk of realizations appear more equiprobable. However, the ratio of their probabilities indicates that they still remain far from being equiprobable. On the other hand, it is observed that equiprobable realizations still display important fluctuations in their variogram reproduction. The variance level that is expected in the variogram reproduction, as well as the variance of the variogram fluctuations, is dependent on the Mahalanobis distance. Realizations with smaller Mahalanobis distances are, on average, smoother than realizations with larger Mahalanobis distances. Poor ergodic conditions tend to generate higher proportions of flatter variograms relative to the variogram model. Only equiprobable realizations with a Mahalanobis distance equal to the expected Mahalanobis distance have an expected variogram matching the variogram model. For large vector sizes, Cholesky simulated Gaussian vectors cannot be used to explore uncertainty in the neighborhood of the vector mean. Instead uncertainty is explored around the n-dimensional elliptical envelop corresponding to the expected Mahalanobis distance. 相似文献
17.
Geostatistical analysis of spatial random functions frequently uses sample variograms computed from increments of samples of a regionalized random variable. This paper addresses the theory of computing variograms not from increments but from spatial variances. The objective is to extract information about the point support space from the average or larger support data. The variance is understood as a parametric and second moment average feature of a population. However, it is well known that when the population is for a stationary random function, spatial variance within a region is a function of the size and geometry of the region and not a function of location. Spatial variance is conceptualized as an estimation variance between two physical regions or a region and itself. If such a spatial variance could be measured within several sizes of windows, such variances allow the computation of the sample variogram. The approach is extended to covariances between attributes that lead to the cross-variogram. The case of nonpoint sample support of the blocks or elements composing each window is also included. A numerical example illustrates the application of this conceptualization. 相似文献
18.
R. M. Lark 《Mathematical Geosciences》2008,40(7):729-751
The effect of outliers on estimates of the variogram depends on how they are distributed in space. The ‘spatial breakdown
point’ is the largest proportion of observations which can be drawn from some arbitrary contaminating process without destroying
a robust variogram estimator, when they are arranged in the most damaging spatial pattern. A numerical method is presented
to find the spatial breakdown point for any sample array in two dimensions or more. It is shown by means of some examples
that such a numerical approach is needed to determine the spatial breakdown point for two or more dimensions, even on a regular
square sample grid, since previous conjectures about the spatial breakdown point in two dimensions do not hold. The ‘average
spatial breakdown point’ has been used as a basis for practical guidelines on the intensity of contaminating processes that
can be tolerated by robust variogram estimators. It is the largest proportion of contaminating observations in a data set
such that the breakdown point of the variance estimator used to obtain point estimates of the variogram is not exceeded by
the expected proportion of contaminated pairs of observations over any lag. In this paper the behaviour of the average spatial
breakdown point is investigated for cases where the contaminating process is spatially dependent. It is shown that in two
dimensions the average spatial breakdown point is 0.25. Finally, the ‘empirical spatial breakdown point’, a tool for the exploratory
analysis of spatial data thought to contain outliers, is introduced and demonstrated using data on metal content in the soils
of Sheffield, England. The empirical spatial breakdown point of a particular data set can be used to indicate whether the
distribution of possible contaminants is likely to undermine a robust variogram estimator. 相似文献
19.
20.
There is a confusing situation in geostatistical literature: Some authors write variogram, and some authors write semivariogram.
Based on a formula for the empirical variance that relates to pairwise differences, it is shown that the values depicted in
a variogram are entire variances of observations at a given spatial separation (lag). Therefore, they should not be called
semivariances, and the term semivariogram should also be avoided. To name a variogram value, we suggest the use of the term
gammavariance instead of the misleading semivariance. 相似文献