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1.
As a result of the analysis of both the monitoring data of the electric resistivity of the Earth’s crust at the Garm test site using a modified method of dipole sounding and the earthquake catalogue of this test site it is shown that annual periodicity exists not only in the variations of the electric resistivity of the Earth’s crust but also in seismicity. It is not clear yet whether the appearance of the annual periodicity in the variations of electric resistivity is related to the influence of the periodic processes of earthquake nucleation on this process or both processes are synchronized by a third, unknown process. The results of the investigation show that the annual component of time variations in the electric resistivity contains important information about the processes in the Earth’s crust and should not be filtered out but, in contrast, studied in detail. The joint analysis of periodic components in the compared time series of the electric resistivity of the Earth’s crust and earthquakes opens new possibilities for deeper understanding of the processes of seismicity genesis and for improving the methods of strong earthquakes prediction.  相似文献   

2.
The stress state of the Earth’s crust in the region of the Chuya earthquake of 2003 (Gorny Altay) is studied using the data of long-term epicentral observations by dense networks of temporary stations. These data comprise 545 seismic events, which widely vary in energies and whose parameters are determined highly accurately. Two hierarchical levels of the stress field are revealed and their spatial structure and temporal behavior are investigated. It is shown that the subregional stress field, which is determined from the data on strong earthquakes, is predominantly stable across the studied area, where the regime of horizontal shear with submeridional orientation of principal pressure axes is observed. The local stress field calculated from the weak seismic events experiences regular variations, which are consistent with the block structure of the crust; this field is heightand time-dependent.  相似文献   

3.
The gravitational potential energy of the Earth’s crust in southeastern Kazakhstan relative to the subcrustal level is assessed. Neotectonic geological-geophysical control of variations in the gravitational potential is demonstrated. The seismic parameters are shown to be correlated with the gravitational potential energy and boundaries separating the layers of the Earth’s crust.  相似文献   

4.
The blocked structure of geophysical medium and the values of limit magnitudes and deformations in the an earthquake source (Sadovskii, 1979; Sadovskii and Pisarenko, 1991), which depend on the block structure, have been the basis for the Earth’s crust model. The model includes 18 orders (1–18) of the structures whose dimensions are connected with one another in a nonrandom way and reflect the coefficient of similarity k = √10 characteristic of tectonic blocks, interblock boundaries, and earthquake sources (Sadovskii, 1979; Bugaev, 1999; Bugaev and Spivak, 2002). The relation of sizes of constituent structures of the model is described by a geometric progression: with a growth in the order of structure by 1, a ratio of sizes of the N i and N i + 1 structures increases by k times and vice versa. If length logarithms of structures are considered, their properties are described by an arithmetic progression with the difference d = 0.5. This made it possible to formalize the size assessment of n first constituent structures of the earth’s crust model (with due account of a size of the maximum structure of a region) and determination of their frequency with allowance for a period of long-term geodynamic and seismic stability of the territory under study. The model was used (i) for estimating possible limits of change in the observed earthquake recurrence curves taking into account the dependences, reflecting a relation of limit magnitudes and the size of earthquake source, and conditions of its preparation and manifestation, and also (ii) for forecasting the earthquake recurrence curves based on geodynamic data (extension of a zone, strain rate in a zone, frequency distribution of extents of active faults or zones). The comparison of forecasted and observed data for the site of placement of the Fukushima-1 nuclear power plant before and after the March 11, 2011 earthquake with M W = 8.9 allowed us to establish the regional and local features of the seismic process and to estimate the long-term and current seismic dangers according to geodynamic and seismological data.  相似文献   

5.
The paper is devoted to estimating the dynamical parameters of 14 earthquakes with intermediate magnitudes (energy class 11 to 14), which occurred in the Northern Tien Shan. For obtaining the estimates of these parameters, including the stress drop, which could be then applied in crustal stress reconstruction by the technique suggested by Yu.L. Rebetsky (Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences), we have improved the algorithms and programs for calculating the spectra of the seismograms. The updated products allow for the site responses and spectral transformations during the propagation of seismic waves through the medium (the effect of finite Q-factor). By applying the new approach to the analysis of seismograms recorded by the seismic KNET network, we calculated the radii of the sources (Brune radius), scalar seismic moment, and stress drop (release) for the studied 14 earthquakes. The analysis revealed a scatter in the source radii and stress drop even among the earthquakes that have almost identical energy classes. The stress drop by different earthquakes ranges from one to 75 bar. We have also determined the focal mechanisms and stress regime of the Earth’s crust. It is worth noting that during the considered period, strong seismic events with energy class above 14 were absent within the segment covered by the KNET stations.  相似文献   

6.
A global catalog of small- to large-sized earthquakes was systematically analyzed to identify causality and correlatives between human-made mass shifts in the upper Earth??s crust and the occurrence of earthquakes. The mass shifts, ranging between 1?kt and 1?Tt, result from large-scale geoengineering operations, including mining, water reservoirs, hydrocarbon production, fluid injection/extractions, deep geothermal energy production and coastal management. This article shows evidence that geomechanical relationships exist with statistical significance between (a) seismic moment magnitudes M of observed earthquakes, (b) lateral distances of the earthquake hypocenters to the geoengineering ??operation points?? and (c) mass removals or accumulations on the Earth??s crust. Statistical findings depend on uncertainties, in particular, of source parameter estimations of seismic events before instrumental recoding. Statistical observations, however, indicate that every second, seismic event tends to occur after a decade. The chance of an earthquake to nucleate after 2 or 20?years near an area with a significant mass shift is 25 or 75?%, respectively. Moreover, causative effects of seismic activities highly depend on the tectonic stress regime in which the operations take place (i.e., extensive, transverse or compressive). Results are summarized as follows: First, seismic moment magnitudes increase the more mass is locally shifted on the Earth??s crust. Second, seismic moment magnitudes increase the larger the area in the crust is geomechanically polluted. Third, reverse faults tend to be more trigger-sensitive than normal faults due to a stronger alteration of the minimum vertical principal stress component. Pure strike-slip faults seem to rupture randomly and independently from the magnitude of the mass changes. Finally, mainly due to high estimation uncertainties of source parameters and, in particular, of shallow seismic events (<10?km), it remains still very difficult to discriminate between induced and triggered earthquakes with respect to the data catalog of this study. However, first analyses indicate that small- to medium-sized earthquakes (<M6) seem to be induced and large-sized events (>M6) seem to be triggered. The rupture propagation of triggered events might be dominated by pre-existing tectonic stress conditions.  相似文献   

7.
For evaluating the parameters of the vibrations of the Earth’s surface in the case of strong earthquakes, which are possible in the future, the regular patterns of the emission and propagation of seismic waves in the North Caucasus regions are investigated. The regional parameters of emission and propagation of seismic waves are evaluated by solution of the inverse problems of stochastic modeling of the accelerograms of the earthquakes, recorded by the seismic station in Sochi. The horizontal components of the strongest earthquakes (M w ~ 3.9?5.6), that occurred in 2002–2006 within a radius of ~300 km from the seismic station, with source depths up to 60 km are modeled. For calculations of accelerograms, estimates of the quality are used, obtained earlier for this region in the form: Q(f) ~ 80 ~ f 0.9. The parameter settings are carried out, which determine the shapes of the source spectra, the amplification of the seismic waves in the Earth’s crust, the weakening of the waves at high frequencies (κ), the parameters that determine the shape and duration of accelerograms, etc. Sufficiently good agreement of the calculated and recorded accelerograms is obtained, the regional characteristics of emission and propagation of seismic waves, which can be used for prediction of the parameters of strong motions in the North Caucasus, are evaluated; however, in the future these characteristics should be studied in more detail.  相似文献   

8.
山西带形变监测场地情况调查   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
对山西带跨断层短水准流动测量场地、定点台站跨断层水准场地和区域流动GPS场地及分布情况进行了调查、汇总和分析。调查了10个流动水准测量场地和4个定点台站水准测量场地,所跨断层绝大多数走向为北北东至北东向,多具有右旋正走滑活动性质,反映了山西带总体构造特征。同时发现,偶有近东西向断裂或北西向断裂与其互相切割,应该是容易造成应力集中的地方。整个山西带布有区域GPS观测点40个,每年正常观测1次的有39个,点距多为几公里到几十公里不等,在整个断层带上的分布比较均匀,并已积累了十几年的流动观测资料。结合地质资料和历史地震的活动特点,认为山西带再次孕育强震的可能性较大,这些多手段形变测量场地的布设情况、时间和空间上的相互联系及多年复测资料的积累对强震预测研究有重要价值。  相似文献   

9.
A three-dimensional geomechanical model of Southern California, which includes the mountain topography, fault tectonics, and main structural boundaries (the top of the lower crust and the Moho), is developed. The main stress state of the model is determined by the own weight of the rocks and by the horizontal tectonic motions identified from the GPS observations. The model enables tracking the changes which occur in the stress-strain state of the crust due to the evolution of the seismic process. As the input data, the model uses the current seismicity and treats each earthquake as a new defect in the Earth’s crust which brings about the redistribution of strains, elastic energy density, and yield stress of the crust. Monitoring the variations in the stress state of the crust and lithosphere arising in response to the seismic process shows that the model is suitable for forecasting the enhancement in seismic activity of the region and delineating the earthquake-prone areas with a reasonable probability on a given time interval.  相似文献   

10.
We consider the results of reconstructing the stress-strain state of the Earth’s crust in South Baikal from the focal mechanism data for the Kultuk earthquake of August 27, 2008 (M w = 6.3) and its aftershocks. The source parameters of the main shock were determined by calculating the seismic moment tensor. The focal mechanism solutions of 32 aftershocks (M w ≥ 2.3) were obtained through the deployment of a local seismic network at South Baikal. It is found that the main shock and first aftershocks (August–September) gave rise to the activation of latitudinal fragments of the segmented near-edge fault, and the sources of the consequent aftershocks were dominated by the NW-striking planes related to the small intrabasin structures. The calculations of seismotectonic deformations based on the data on the focal mechanisms of the earthquakes show that the area of activation is dominated by the transtension regime (with deformation in the form of extension with shear). The epicentral and hypocentral fields of the aftershocks and the mechanisms of their sources reflect the complex tectonic structure of the source zone of the Kultuk earthquake, which exhibits a clear subvertical zonality of the local seismically active volume and a wedge-shaped area of crustal destruction.  相似文献   

11.
Based on the time series of observational variations of the length of day (LOD) and seismic data in the world, the relations of the decadal fluctuation and seasonal variation in the Earth’s rotation with global seismic activity are studied in this paper. The results suggest that there are overall correlations on temporal scale and regional discrepancy on spatial scale between global seismic activity and the Earth’s variable rotation, especially the seismic activity in the Eurasian seismic zone (not including southeast Asia) and the Lower California-Eastern Alaska seismic zone correlating well with the Earth’s variable rotation. According to the relations mentioned above, the observational data of the Earth’s rotation might provide a referential basis for monitoring global seismic activity.  相似文献   

12.
Recent geophysical studies have revealed zones with anomalously low seismic velocities and increased electric conductivity in the middle part of the Earth’s crust. It is suggested that these zones can probably be related with the variations in the porosity and permeability of the rocks and the presence of fluids, and that they can explain the existence of crustal waveguides. In order to verify this model, we carried out an experimental study. Among the studied metamorphic processes, the acid metasomatose most completely explains the silicification of rocks. The present work considers the physico-chemical causes of the redeposition of quartz from the solutions, the influence of the pH of the solutions on the mass transfer and deposition of quartz during silicification, and alteration of the physical properties of the rocks. Silicification leads to the increase in density, change in microtexture, and cementation of rocks. It also causes the change in seismic velocities in the Earth’s crust.  相似文献   

13.
The paper considers some original strainmeters and gravitoinertial instruments designed at the Schmidt Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences. The instruments are successfully used for measuring the Earth’s gravitational field, tilts, and deformations of the Earth’s crust in solving a number of applied and fundamental problems in geophysics and geodynamics, in particular, evaluating and monitoring the stability of environmentally hazardous engineering and construction objects (dams, hydroelectric dams, nuclear power plants, oil and gas pipelines, etc.), searching for the zones of weakness in the Earth’s crust, identifying precursors of natural and technological disasters, studying the Earth’s global characteristics (lunar–solar tides, irregularity of the Earth’s rotation, translational oscillations of the Earth’s core, and azimuthal shifts of lithosphere blocks).  相似文献   

14.
This part of the paper addresses the geotectonic interpretation of the velocity model obtained from the results of seismic studies under the DOBRE-4 project in Ukraine. The velocity field does not show distinct lateral changes from the Precambrian platform towards the younger tectonic structures in the southwest. Hence, based on the seismic data alone, it is not possible to recognize the tectonic units that are known on the surface. The Moho has an undulating pattern over an interval with a length of ~150 km. The amplitude of the undulations reaches 8 to 17 km. The similar wavelike behavior, although on a shorter spatial scale and lower amplitude, is also typical of the upper crust and upper mantle. The presence of several separate horizons in the folded crust revealed by the velocity model is consistent with the presence of the folded systems which have different extensions on the different depth levels in the Earth’s crust. This situation is believed to be typical of folding on the lithospheric scale and to reflect the rheological stratification of the crust. The DOBRE-4 velocity section of the crust and adjacent part of the mantle promotes a clearer view of the geodynamical model describing the formation of the southwestern part of East European Platform in the Early Precambrian from the plate’s tectonic standpoint.  相似文献   

15.
Large volumes of rock mass, mined-out and moved within these deposits, resulted in irreversible changes in the geodynamic regime in the upper earth's crust of the adjacent territory. These changes manifest themselves in a more frequent occurrence of such intensive dynamic phenomena as tectonic rock bursts due to fault movement adjacent to the area which is mined-out and man-made earthquakes which sharply decrease mining safety and result in great material losses.To develop the prediction techniques of such phenomena, a monitoring system is created, based on the program of the Kola Complex of geodynamic measuring stations. Most of this system is realized in the region of the Khibiny apatite mines. The system provides regional seismological monitoring, local prediction of seismicity in separate areas of a rock mass and, determination of stress and strain in rock masses, local geophysical monitoring over the state of rocks in a rock mass as well as physical and mathematical modelling of geodynamic processes in the upper earth's crust.The investigations have resulted in the distinguishing of some regularities in manifestations of induced seismicity and tectonic rock bursts and in the determination of strain precursors of intensive seismic events in the Khibiny mines.The mechanism is provided by the induced seismicity which resulted from the anthropogenic impact on the geological medium. A geodynamic monitoring complex is described, which is used to reveal the precursors of powerful seismic eventsin situ, and monitoring results are shown, obtained in the Kola Complex of geodynamic stations. Methods of preventing tectonic rock bursts and induced earthquakes are presented.  相似文献   

16.
The laboratory experiments with rock samples show that creep under small strains is transient and can be described by the linear hereditary rheological Andrade model. The flows that recover isostasy (including the postglacial rebound flows) cause the strains in the crust and mantle, which are as low as at most 10–3 and, hence, demonstrate transient creep. The effective viscosity characterizing the transient creep is lower than that at the steady creep and depends on the characteristic time of the considered process. The characteristic time of restoration of isostatic equilibrium (isostatic rebound) after the initial perturbation of the Earth’s surface topography is at most 10 kyr and, therefore, the distribution of the rheological properties along the depth of the mantle and the crust differs from the distribution that corresponds to the slow geological processes. When considering the process of isostatic rebound, the upper crust can be modeled by a thin elastic plate, whereas the underlying crust and the mantle can be modeled by the halfspace with transient creep in which the rheological parameter is inhomogeneous with depth. For this system, the continuum mechanics equations are solved by means of the Fourier and Laplace transforms. The vertical displacements that violate the isostasy propagate from the area of the initial perturbation along the Earth’s surface and can be considered as the mechanism of the present-day vertical movements of the crust. Comparing the obtained results with the observation data allows estimating the Andrade parameter. The use of the Andrade rheological model makes it possible to quantify the relationship between the effective viscosity of the asthenosphere corresponding to the postglacial flows and the seismic Q-factor of this layer.  相似文献   

17.
The gravitational interaction in the Earth–Moon–Sun system is considered from the standpoint of influencing the formation of time variations in the geophysical fields and some natural processes. The analysis of the results of instrumental observations revealed the main periodicities and cycles in the time variations of subsoil radon volumetric activity with the same periods as the vertical component of the variations of the tidal force. The amplitude modulation of seismic noise by the lunar-solar tide is demonstrated. It is shown that the intensity of relaxation processes in the Earth’s crust has a near-diurnal periodicity, whereas the spectrum of groundwater level fluctuations includes clearly expressed tidal waves. Based on the data on the tilts of the Earth’s surface, the role of tidal deformation in the formation of the block motions in the Earth’s crust is analyzed. A new approach is suggested for identifying tidal waves in the atmosphere by analyzing micropulsations of the atmospheric pressure with the use of adaptive rejection filters.  相似文献   

18.
Fractures are pervasive features within the Earth’s crust and have a significant influence on the multi-physical response of the subsurface. The presence of coherent fracture sets often leads to observable seismic scattering enabling seismic techniques to remotely locate and characterise fracture systems. In this study, we confirm the general scale-dependence of seismic scattering and provide new results specific to shear-wave propagation. We do this by generating full waveform synthetics using finite-difference wave simulation within an isotropic background model containing explicit fractures. By considering a suite of fracture models having variable fracture density and fracture size, we examine the widening effect of wavelets due to scattering within a fractured medium by using several different approaches, such as root-mean-square envelope analysis, shear-wave polarisation distortion, differential attenuation analysis and peak frequency shifting. The analysis allows us to assess the scattering behavior of parametrised models in which the propagation direction is either normal or parallel to the fracture surfaces. The quantitative measures show strong observable deviations for fractures size on the order of or greater than the dominant seismic wavelength within the Mie and geometric scattering regime for both propagation normal and parallel to fracture strike. The results suggest that strong scattering is symptomatic of fractures having size on the same order of the probing seismic wave.  相似文献   

19.
The estimation of uncertainty for any geophysical model is important for determining how reliable the model is. It is especially important for subjective trial and error modelling techniques like forward ray-tracing modelling of wide-angle seismic data when the final result is very dependent on the interpreter’s knowledge of the area and experience. In this kind of modelling, it is common to encounter over interpretation of the seismic data without checking the uncertainty of the result, especially in the deep parts that are not constrained with other a priori knowledge. In this paper, we propose a method of estimating the uncertainty of the final models based on a one dimensional method of small error propagation generalized for 2D profiles. With a simple approximation, we estimate the uncertainty for published interpretative models of selected profiles from seismic experiments in the Central Europe. We conclude that for typical wide angle seismic profiles we can reliably interpret four layered models of the Earth’s crust based on traveltimes fitting. We also show how the number of layers influence obtained uncertainties. Estimated uncertainties for both the velocity fields and the boundaries between layers are important for future tectonic and geodynamic interpretation of those profiles.  相似文献   

20.
We show that telluric currents have no effect on the formation of macrofaults in the Earth’s crust or on implementation of the intensification regime. This is mainly associated with the weakness of telluric currents and induction of the geomagnetic field.  相似文献   

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