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1.
新沂-泗县地震危险区地震活动和地震构造   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
运用深浅部构造对比研究、构造解析技术,结合历史地震资料、中强震观测资料分析、地震活动性分析结果,探讨中强震过渡区地震构造环境和地震韵律的研究途径,圈定出新沂—泗县地震危险区。对该危险区进行立体综合剖析,推演出未来中强震发生的空间部位,并预测了该区未来可能发生地震的震源深度、震级、地震长轴衰减方向、地震复发间隔等参数。  相似文献   

2.
杜方 《四川地震》2002,(1):9-15
介绍了2001年10月27日永胜6.0级地震前中国大陆西部地震活动背景;分析了西南地区即四川西部至川滇交界地区中强震呈现频发的现象和6级以上强震呈现南迁趋势对永胜的影响,探讨永胜区域地地震时,空活动特征,震区小震月频次增加,间隙脉冲型应变释放的前兆震群的发生,A(b)值的空间扫描反映出的永胜6.0级地震震中及邻区地震活动的增强图像。  相似文献   

3.
地震活动信息熵在地震危险区判定中的研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
周仕勇  朱令人 《中国地震》1995,11(3):283-292
震例和实验指出,大震的孕育准备过程中,总是要出现小震活动时空分布随机性减少及有序性增大的过程。本文从现代统计物理学熵的概念出发,系统定义了反映地震活动分析有序性大小的信息熵,并通过分析新疆乌恰、西克尔、乌什及北天山玛纳斯地区的地震资料,探讨信息熵的动态变化与强震发生时间的关系及信息熵值的空间分布与强震发生地点的关系。  相似文献   

4.
李莹甄  沈军 《内陆地震》2001,15(2):141-147
通过对哈密地区几大活动断裂带、历史地震以及近30年中、小地震活动性的分析,认为哈密地区同时受到南部印度-欧亚板块的碰撞作用与北部西伯利亚-蒙古地区地壳运动的影响,其构造运动兼具西部天山地区和北部蒙古-阿尔泰地区的构造运动的特点,即块体比较完整,只发育大断裂,大断裂之间的中、小断裂不很发育。这种特殊的地震地质和地球动力学环境,决定了哈密地区历史和现今地震活动的特点为:大震复发周期长,低b值,中、小地震活动水平较低等。  相似文献   

5.
应泰国气象厅的邀请,固定地震局派遣了由郑斯华、叶洪组成的中国国家地震局专家组,于1994年8月17日至9月4日访问考察了泰国。访问期间,泰国地震专家们向专家组介绍了泰国的地震活动性和地震工作现状;专家组访问了泰国Chulalongkorn大学的土木工程系,了解了泰国地震工程研究的情况。本文介绍了泰国的地震构造和地震活动性以及泰国的地震工作现状等。  相似文献   

6.
1997年9月26日 ̄10月16日在意大利中部地区连续发生6次中强地震,共12人死亡,100多人受伤,文章介绍了这一地震序列和破坏情况,同时简要介绍了意大利的地震管理机构,地震监测和研究工作。  相似文献   

7.
地震活动时序谱的涨落统计特征与地震活跃期   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
为寻求地震活动演化的统计判据,本文采用多项式拟合法展示地震时序谱之涨落谱,以分维函数法判断最小邻间距(NNS)分布的Poisson性,然后采用MKS无参量法判别涨落谱之统计稳定性,确定NNS分布的转变区,具体研讨了四川、云南若干震区地震活动时序谱的涨落统计分布,发现地震活跃期到来时NNS分布表现出非Poisson化的特征。进一步通过改变和调节时序数据样本集之震级下限,并逐段前推进行统计计算的方式进一步验证结果的可靠性,客观地确定了这些震区地震活动时序涨落谱统计特征的转变期,使根据该统计法判断地震活跃期的方法论渐趋完善。  相似文献   

8.
姑咱地震窗异常与地震的关系   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
通过对四川姑咱地震台微震观测记录的普查与系统研究,表明在大约90km范围内,小震活动频率变化与附近5.5级以上地震具有较好的对应关系,它能较灵敏地反映区域应力场的变化。文中分析了姑咱地震窗即前兆敏感点小震月频度的异常特性,预报判据指标及其预报效能。  相似文献   

9.
广西北流地区的地震构造与地震活动   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
根据地质调查资料,研究了广西北流地区的地震构造及其中与中小地震的关系,结果表明,北流地区的构造格架属于右行右阶拉分区型,在容县-玉林-带形成拉分区,区内及附的 在多组断裂,构造复杂,易于积聚应变能,是中小地震的多发区。  相似文献   

10.
阴山地震带中强地震的活动特征   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2  
阴山地震带是中国内蒙古自治区的一条主要地震带,根据多年从事地震预报的工作经验,对阴山地震带与鄂尔多斯其他3个边缘的地震活动特征进行了对比分析,研究了阴山地震带自身地震活动演化、周期性、月分布地震及包头西震情窗口等方面的特征,并对阴山地震带的地震危险性作了预测。  相似文献   

11.
“已知地点信息”指根据华南地区历史地震活动分布特征,将华南地震活动区划分为老震区、水库区和小震活动区。本文分析了华南地区以上3种区域1980年以来22次已知地点信息的ML≥5.0地震事件前的地震活动现象,总结探讨了各区中强地震前的异常特征:水库区表现为震中的地震平静—增强,老震区和小震活动区则为区域的地震增强—活跃—平静。综合以上分析研究,提出了华南已知地点信息的地震预测对策。  相似文献   

12.
本文对川滇地区中、强震震源机制解和中小地震平均节面解分析,指出川滇地区现今构造应力场在北西-北西西向压应力作用下,以水平剪切错动为主。同时,采用极值理论、最大信息熵、线性预测和灰色理论等方法综合分析,预测川滇地区未来强震的趋势。  相似文献   

13.
The 9 March 1957 Aleutian earthquake has been estimated as the third largest earthquake this century and has the longest aftershock zone of any earthquake ever recorded—1200 km. However, due to a lack of high-quality seismic data, the actual source parameters for this earthquake have been poorly determined. We have examined all the available waveform data to determine the seismic moment, rupture area, and slip distribution. These data include body, surface and tsunami waves. Using body waves, we have estimated the duration of significant moment release as 4 min. From surface wave analysis, we have determined that significant moment release occurred only in the western half of the aftershock zone and that the best estimate for the seismic moment is 50–100×1020 Nm. Using the tsunami waveforms, we estimated the source area of the 1957 tsunami by backward propagation. The tsunami source area is smaller than the aftershock zone and is about 850 km long. This does not include the Unalaska Island area in the eastern end of the aftershock zone, making this area a possible seismic gap and a possible site of a future large or great earthquake. We also inverted the tsunami waveforms for the slip distribution. Slip on the 1957 rupture zone was highest in the western half near the epicenter. Little slip occurred in the eastern half. The moment is estimated as 88×1020 Nm, orM w =8.6, making it the seventh largest earthquake during the period 1900 to 1993. We also compare the 1957 earthquake to the 1986 Andreanof Islands earthquake, which occurred within a segment of the 1957 rupture area. The 1986 earthquake represents a rerupturing of the major 1957 asperity.  相似文献   

14.
2016年6月23日河北尚义发生4.0级地震,是晋冀蒙地震危险区的1次显著地震活动,在地震序列、震源机制及区域地质构造基础上,从应力状态和速度结构深入分析此次发震背景。分析认为,此次尚义4.0级地震发生在晋冀蒙交界地区低活动背景下,震前该区存在地壳应力张量方差较低,视应力偏高的现象,地下介质中存在速度变化较大的高低速过渡带,这表明该区应力水平较高,应变能易于积累,存在发生中强震的可能。此次地震的震中位置与震前出现的应力张量方差低值区、视应力高值区、交叉空区及地下介质中的高低速过渡带有较好对应,对晋冀蒙交界地区未来中强震发震背景具有一定指示意义。  相似文献   

15.
本文在处理1967年以的多期长水准及1977年以来多个跨断层短水准,短基线场地数据的基础上分析了三叉口地区的地壳垂直形变,在整个南北构造带上为一上升区,形变速率不高,该地区垂直活动表现为山区相对上升,平原或分别地相对下沉,跨断层的短水准短基线变化,表明该区处在张性应力场中,本文还特别分析了1989年石棉5.3级地震的震前,震时又震后的地壳形变特征,并发现类似石棉地震前的及在泸定一石棉间的德妥一带有  相似文献   

16.
广东地区现代构造应力场的模拟计算   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
运用已知的断裂边界条件、区内震源机制解、小震应力降和环境应力场等资料作为基本数据,建立地质模型和计算模型,用有限元方法模拟计算了华南地区的现代地壳构造应力场.初步得到了本区的外力作用方式、断裂活动情况、应力集中状况、区应力场分布状况,为划分地震危险区段提供了依据.  相似文献   

17.
青新交界8.1级地震与远场地电阻率前兆异常的分析   总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5  
2001年11月14日在青新交界发生8.1级地震的空间分布及地震序列进行了简述,利用远场地电阻率前兆异常信息的映震能力,对8.1级地震前后地电阻率变化特征作了初步探讨与研究,利用远场地电阻率前兆异常观测结果,为地震的前期预测预报提供了一定时的可靠判据。  相似文献   

18.
Rigorous predictability experimentation requires a statistical characterization of the performance metric used to evaluate the participating models. We explore the properties of the area skill score measure and consider issues related to experimental discretization. For the case of continuous alarm functions and continuous observations, we present exact analytical solutions that describe the distribution of the area skill score for unskilled predictors, and we also describe how a Gaussian distribution with known mean and variance can be used to approximate the area skill score distribution. We quantify the deviation of the exact distribution from the Gaussian approximation by specifying the kurtosis excess as a function of the number of observed target earthquakes. For numerical earthquake predictability experiments that involve discretization of the study region and observations, we explore simulation procedures for estimating the area skill score distribution, and we present efficient algorithms for various experimental scenarios. When more than one target earthquake occurs within a given space/time/magnitude bin, the probabilities of predicting individual events are not independent, and this requires special consideration. Having presented the statistical properties of the area skill score, we describe and illustrate a preliminary procedure for comparing earthquake prediction strategies based on alarm functions.  相似文献   

19.
利用P波初动资料,计算2009年11月5日陕西省高陵县ML 4.8地震震源机制解,并从地震现场考察结果分析烈度分布特征.根据地质构造、历史地震活动背景、震源机制、余震分布、极震区长轴方向,分析本次地震的发震构造,研究认为,该地震发生在泾阳—渭南断裂上.  相似文献   

20.
On July 31th, 2016, a moderately strong earthquake of MS5.4 hit the Cangwu County in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region. The focal depth of this earthquake is about 10 kilometers. This earthquake occurred in the junction area of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, Hunan Province and Guangdong Province. Nanning, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and other cities felt this earthquake. The Cangwu County disaster area is unique in terms of geographical position, tectonic geology, landform, economic development situation, population distribution and climate condition, etc. Based on the investigation to the earthquake hit area, and the analysis of its special natural environment, social economical conditions and humanities, seven general disaster characteristics of the Cangwu MS5.4 earthquake are summarized from the point of view of earthquake disaster emergency rescue and reconstruction. namely, the low population density in the disaster area, the single building structure type and the low-level economic development, the short duration of ground motion, the small number and low magnitude of aftershocks, no large landslide, debris flow and other secondary geological disasters caused by this earthquake, the area is prone to typhoon and other climate disasters which are likely to aggravate earthquake disaster, and the earthquake occurred in an area of weak seismicity in South China. This paper introduces the basic situation of the MS5.4 Cangwu earthquake and analyzes the seven disaster characteristics of this earthquake. In order to better respond to moderate-strong earthquake in weak seismicity regions of South China, this paper summarizes some experience and revelations about the earthquake in the MS5.4 Cangwu earthquake emergency response process, and puts forward some corresponding countermeasures of earthquake disaster reduction in weak seismicity regions in southern China. In the future work, we should pay more attention to pre-disaster prevention, and strengthen earthquake-monitoring capability. In order to reduce the casualties caused by collapse of houses, we should improve the seismic fortification standards of houses, carry out relevant researches on earthquake damage prevention measures of karst areas. And in order to carry out comprehensive disaster reduction, we should strengthen cooperation with the meteorological department, and carry out more comprehensive earthquake emergency drills.  相似文献   

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