共查询到20条相似文献，搜索用时 437 毫秒
1.
While there is a large literature on the form of epidemic waves in the time domain, models of their structure and shape in the spatial domain remain poorly developed. This paper concentrates on the changing spatial distribution of an epidemic wave over time and presents a simple method for identifying the leading and trailing edges of the spatial advance and retreat of such waves. Analysis of edge characteristics is used to (a) disaggregate waves into ‘swash’ and ‘backwash’ stages, (b) measure the phase transitions of areas from susceptible, S, through infective, I, to recovered, R, status (S → I → R) as dimensionless integrals and (c) estimate a spatial version of the basic reproduction number, R
0. The methods used are illustrated by application to measles waves in Iceland over a 60-year period from 1915 to 1974. Extensions of the methods for use with more complex waves are possible through modifying the threshold values used to define the start and end points of an event.
相似文献
| Peter HaggettEmail: |
2.
This paper presents a continuous version of the model of distribution dynamics to analyse the transition dynamics and implied
long-run behaviour of the EU-27 NUTS-2 regions over the period 1995–2003. It departs from previous research in two respects:
first, by introducing kernel estimation and three-dimensional stacked conditional density plots as well as highest density regions
plots for the visualisation of the transition function, based on Hyndman et al. (J Comput Graph Stat 5(4):315–336, 1996), and second, by combining Getis’ spatial filtering view with kernel estimation to explicitly account for the spatial dimension of the
growth process. The results of the analysis indicate a very slow catching-up of the poorest regions with the richer ones,
a process of shifting away of a small group of very rich regions, and highlight the importance of geography in understanding
regional income distribution dynamics.
相似文献
| Manfred M. FischerEmail: |
3.
Gianfranco Piras Kieran P. Donaghy Giuseppe Arbia 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2007,9(4):311-344
This paper presents an innovative approach to the study of regional economic dynamics within a nonlinear continuous-time econometric
framework—a generalized specification of the Lotka–Volterra system of equations. This specification, which accounts for interdependent
behavior of three industrial sectors and spillover effects of activities in neighboring regions, is employed in an analysis
of five Italian regions between 1980 and 2003. For these regions, we report estimation results, characterize the varying systems
dynamics, analyze the models’ local and global stability properties, and determine via sensitivity analyses which structural
features appear to exert the greatest influence on these properties.
相似文献
| Kieran P. DonaghyEmail: |
4.
L. E. Sjöberg 《Journal of Geodesy》1999,73(3):118-124
With access to dual-frequency pseudorange and phase Global Positioning System (GPS) data, the wide-lane ambiguity can easily
be fixed. Advantage is taken of this information in the linear combination of the above four observables for base ambiguity
estimation (i.e. of N
1 and N
2). Starting points for our analysis are the Best Linear Unbiased Estimators BLUE1 and BLUE2. BLUE1 is the best one (with minimum mean square error, MSE) if the ionosphere effect is negligible. If this is not the case, BLUE2 has the smallest variance, but not necessarily the least mean square error. Hence, both estimators may suffer from a non-optimal
treatment of the ionosphere bias. BLUE1 ignores possible ionosphere bias, while BLUE2 compensates for this bias in a less favourable way by eliminating it at the price of increased noise. As an alternative,
linear estimators are derived, which make a compromise between the ionosphere bias and the random observation errors. This
leads to the derivation of the Best Linear Estimator (BLE) and the Restricted Best Linear Estimator (RBLE) with minimum MSE.
The former is generally not very useful, while the RBLE is recommended for practical use. It is shown that the MSE of the
RBLE is limited by the variances of BLUE1 and BLUE2, i.e.
However, as is always the case with a BLE, it cannot be used strictly: some parameter (in this case the ionosphere bias) must
be approximately known.
Received: 25 June 1997 / Accepted: 16 November 1998 相似文献
5.
Alan T. Murray Timothy C. Matisziw Tony H. Grubesic 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2007,9(2):103-117
Effective management of critical network infrastructure requires the assessment of potential interdiction scenarios. Optimization
approaches have been essential for identifying and evaluating such scenarios in networked systems. Although a primary function
of any network is the distribution of flow between origins and destinations, the complexity and difficulty of mathematically
abstracting interdiction impacts on connectivity or flow has been a challenge for researchers. This paper presents an optimization
approach for identifying interdiction bounds with respect to connectivity and/or flow associated with a system of origins
and destinations. Application results for telecommunications flow are presented, illustrating the capabilities of this approach.
相似文献
| Alan T. Murray (Corresponding author)Email: |
| Timothy C. MatisziwEmail: |
| Tony H. GrubesicEmail: |
6.
The solution of mixed boundary value problems with the reference ellipsoid as boundary 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
In this paper we study the following mixed boundary value problem
where is the reference ellipsoid, and T the disturbing potential. With the help of the variational principles of partial differential equations and the expression
of ellipsoidal harmonic series, we give a linear system related to the coefficients of the ellipsoidal harmonic series. Hence
the solution of the problem can be obtained in the form of ellipsoidal harmonic series, which supplies us an important theoretical
basis for making use of data given by satellite altimetry measurements more efficiently.
Received: 16 January 1996; Accepted: 22 January 1997 相似文献
7.
Lars Sjöberg 《Journal of Geodesy》1979,53(3):227-230
The method of Bjerhammar is studied in the continuous case for a sphere. By varying the kernel function, different types of
unknowns (u*) are obtained at the internal sphere (the Bjerhammar sphere). It is shown that a necessary condition for the existence of
u* is that the degree variances (σ
n
2
) of the observations are of an order less than n−2. According to Kaula’s rule this condition is not satisfied for the earth’s gravity anomaly field (σ
n
2
=n−1) but well for the geopotential (σ
n
2
=n−3). 相似文献
8.
Engineering projects that require deformation monitoring frequently utilize geodetic sensors to measure displacements of target
points located in the deformation zone. In situations where control stations and targets are separated by a kilometer or more,
GPS can offer higher precision position updates at more frequent intervals than can normally be achieved using total station
technology. For large-scale deformation projects requiring the highest precision, it is therefore advisable to use a combination
of the two sensors. In response to the need for high precision, continuous GPS position updates in harsh deformation monitoring
environments, a software has been developed that employs triple-differenced carrier-phase measurements in a delayed-state
Kalman filter. Two data sets were analyzed to test the capabilities of the software. In the first test, a GPS antenna was
displaced using a translation stage to mimic slow deformation. In the second test, data collected at a large open pit mine
were processed. It was shown that the delayed-state Kalman filter developed could detect millimeter-level displacements of
a GPS antenna. The actual precision attained depends upon the amount of process noise infused at each epoch to accommodate
the antenna displacements. Higher process noise values result in quicker detection times, but at the same time increase the
noise in the solutions. A slow, 25 mm displacement was detected within 30 min of the full displacement with sigma values in
E, N and U of ±10 mm or better. The same displacement could also be detected in less than 5 h with sigma values in E, N and U of ±5 mm or better. The software works best for detecting long period deformations (e.g., 20 mm per day or less) for which
sigma values of 1–2 mm are attained in all three solution components. It was also shown that the triple-differenced carrier-phase
observation can be used to significantly reduce the effects of residual tropospheric delay that would normally plague double-differenced
observations in harsh GPS environments.
相似文献
| Don KimEmail: |
9.
Incorporating spatial variation in housing attribute prices: a comparison of geographically weighted regression and the spatial expansion method 总被引：10，自引：3，他引：7
Christopher Bitter Gordon F. Mulligan Sandy Dall’erba 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2007,9(1):7-27
Hedonic house price models typically impose a constant price structure on housing characteristics throughout an entire market
area. However, there is increasing evidence that the marginal prices of many important attributes vary over space, especially
within large markets. In this paper, we compare two approaches to examine spatial heterogeneity in housing attribute prices
within the Tucson, Arizona housing market: the spatial expansion method and geographically weighted regression (GWR). Our
results provide strong evidence that the marginal price of key housing characteristics varies over space. GWR outperforms
the spatial expansion method in terms of explanatory power and predictive accuracy.
相似文献
| Christopher BitterEmail: |
10.
Computer algebra solution of the GPS N-points problem 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
A computer algebra solution is applied here to develop and evaluate algorithms for solving the basic GPS navigation problem: finding a point position using four or more pseudoranges at one
epoch (the GPS N-points problem). Using Mathematica 5.2 software, the GPS N-points problem is solved numerically, symbolically, semi-symbolically, and with Gauss–Jacobi, on a work station. For the case of N > 4, two minimization approaches based on residuals and distance norms are evaluated for the direct numerical solution and their computational duration is compared. For N = 4, it is demonstrated that the symbolic computation is twice as fast as the iterative direct numerical method. For N = 6, the direct numerical solution is twice as fast as the semi-symbolic, with the residual minimization requiring less computation
time compared to the minimization of the distance norm. Gauss–Jacobi requires eight times more computation time than the direct
numerical solution. It does, however, have the advantage of diagnosing poor satellite geometry and outliers. Besides offering
a complete evaluation of these algorithms, we have developed Mathematica 5.2 code (a notebook file) for these algorithms (i.e., Sturmfel’s resultant, Dixon’s resultants, Groebner basis, reduced
Groebner basis and Gauss–Jacobi). These are accessible to any geodesist, geophysicist, or geoinformation scientist via the
GPS Toolbox () website or the Wolfram Information Center ().
相似文献
| Erik W. GrafarendEmail: |
11.
The accuracy of standalone GPS positioning improved significantly when Selective Availability was turned off in May 2000. With the availability of various public GPS related products including precise satellite orbits and clocks, and ionosphere maps, a single-frequency standalone user can experience even a further improvement of the position accuracy. Next, using carrier phase measurements becomes crucial to smoothen the pseudorange noise. In this contribution, the most critical sources of error in single-frequency standalone positioning will be reviewed and different approaches to mitigate the errors will be considered. An optimal filter (using also carrier phase measurements) will be deployed. The final approach will then be evaluated in a decently long static test with receivers located in different regions of the world. Kinematic experiments have also been performed in various scenarios including a highly dynamic flight trial. The accuracy, in general, can be confirmed at 0.5 m horizontal and 1 m vertical, with static tests. Ultimate results demonstrate an accuracy close to 2 dm (95%) for the horizontal position components and 5 dm (95%) for the vertical in the flight experiment.
相似文献
| Anh Quan LeEmail: |
12.
Oliver Montenbruck Yago Andres Heike Bock Tom van Helleputte Jose van den Ijssel Marc Loiselet Christian Marquardt Pierluigi Silvestrin Pieter Visser Yoke Yoon 《GPS Solutions》2008,12(4):289-299
The global navigation satellite system receiver for atmospheric sounding (GRAS) on MetOp-A is the first European GPS receiver
providing dual-frequency navigation and occultation measurements from a spaceborne platform on a routine basis. The receiver
is based on ESA’s AGGA-2 correlator chip, which implements a high-quality tracking scheme for semi-codeless P(Y) code tracking
on the L1 and L2 frequency. Data collected with the zenith antenna on MetOp-A have been used to perform an in-flight characterization
of the GRAS instrument with focus on the tracking and navigation performance. Besides an assessment of the receiver noise
and systematic measurement errors, the study addresses the precise orbit determination accuracy achievable with the GRAS receiver.
A consistency on the 5 cm level is demonstrated for reduced dynamics orbit solutions computed independently by four different
agencies and software packages. With purely kinematic solutions, 10 cm accuracy is obtained. As a part of the analysis, an
empirical antenna offset correction and preliminary phase center correction map are derived, which notably reduce the carrier
phase residuals and improve the consistency of kinematic orbit determination results.
相似文献
| Oliver MontenbruckEmail: |
13.
Forecasting the impact of transport improvements on commuting and residential choice 总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0
This paper develops a probabilistic, competing-destinations, assignment model that predicts changes in the spatial pattern
of the working population as a result of transport improvements. The choice of residence is explained by a new non-parametric
model, which represents an alternative to the popular multinominal logit model. Travel times between zones are approximated
by a normal distribution function with different mean and variance for each pair of zones, whereas previous models only use
average travel times. The model’s forecast error of the spatial distribution of the Dutch working population is 7% when tested
on 1998 base-year data. To incorporate endogenous changes in its causal variables, an almost ideal demand system is estimated
to explain the choice of transport mode, and a new economic geography inter-industry model (RAEM) is estimated to explain
the spatial distribution of employment. In the application, the model is used to forecast the impact of six mutually exclusive
Dutch core-periphery railway proposals in the projection year 2020.
相似文献
| Jan OosterhavenEmail: |
14.
Hidden negative spatial autocorrelation 总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0
Daniel A. Griffith 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2006,8(4):335-355
Mostly lip service treatments of negative spatial autocorrelation (NSA) appear in the literature, although spatial scientists confront it in practice. NSA was detected serendipitously in recalcitrant empirical analyses containing a sizeable amount of global positive spatial autocorrelation (PSA) unaccounted for by standard spatial statistical models, and labeled hidden because conventional spatial statistical tools detected only PSA while giving absolutely not hint of NSA existing. The meaning of this phenomenon is explored empirically, with findings including: a better understanding of NSA, spatial filter model construction guidelines, effective illustrations of NSA, and how hidden NSA furnishes a diagnostic for model misspecification.
相似文献
| Daniel A. GriffithEmail: Phone: +1-972-8834950Fax: +1-972-8836297 |
15.
Hierarchical spatial interaction among the Italian regions: a nonlinear relative dynamics approach 总被引：2，自引：2，他引：0
Regional interactions and spillover effects should be considered as important factors in growth analysis of regional economies.
Using modified versions of the Dendrinos–Sonis model, this paper analyses the spatial hierarchical system of Italy. The interaction
among Italian regions is considered at three different levels of spatial aggregation, the NUTS-1, NUTS-2 and NUTS-3 levels.
Compared to more popular spatial econometric approaches, the Dendrinos–Sonis model and its extensions provide greater flexibility
in the way interaction between regions is handled but the results strongly depend on the choice of a reference region.
相似文献
| Geoffrey J. D. HewingsEmail: |
16.
The resolution of a nonlinear parametric adjustment model is addressed through an isomorphic geometrical setup with tensor
structure and notation, represented by a u-dimensional “model surface” embedded in a flat n-dimensional “observational space”.
Then observations correspond to the observational-space coordinates of the pointQ, theu initial parameters correspond to the model-surface coordinates of the “initial” pointP, and theu adjusted parameters correspond to the model-surface coordinates of the “least-squares” point
. The least-squares criterion results in a minimum-distance property implying that the vector
Q must be orthogonal to the model surface. The geometrical setup leads to the solution of modified normal equations, characterized
by a positive-definite matrix. The latter contains second-order and, optionally, thirdorder partial derivatives of the observables
with respect to the parameters. This approach significantly shortens the convergence process as compared to the standard (linearized)
method. 相似文献
17.
The ecological fallacy (EF) is a common problem regional scientists have to deal with when using aggregated data in their analyses. Although there is a wide number of studies considering different aspects of this problem, little attention has been paid to the potential negative effects of the EF in a time series context. Using Spanish regional unemployment data, this paper shows that EF effects are not only observed at the cross-section level, but also in a time series framework. The empirical evidence obtained shows that analytical regional configurations are the least susceptible to time effects relative to both normative and random regional configurations, while normative configurations are an improvement over random ones.
相似文献
| Raúl RamosEmail: |
18.
Modeling the geologic architecture of an aquifer and visualizing its three-dimensional structure require lithologic data recorded
during well drilling. Uncertainties in layer boundaries arise due to questionable quality of drilling records, mixing during
the drilling process, which results in blurred contacts, and natural heterogeneity of the geologic materials. An approach
for modeling and visualizing the spatial distribution of aquifer units three-dimensionally based on fuzzy set theory is developed.
An indicator is defined for evaluating the possibility of aquifer existence based on fuzzy set theory and probability principles.
A specific interpolation method for aquifer 3D spatial distribution requiring only very basic borehole log data is proposed.
A 3D modeling and visualization system for aquifers is also developed, which can implement basic GIS functions, like borehole
identification and cross-section creation. The methodology developed is tested using real borehole lithology data available
for an aquifer in British Columbia, Canada.
相似文献
| D. M. AllenEmail: |
19.
The EUREF permanent network (EPN) is a network of continuously operating global navigation satellite system (GNSS) stations, primarily installed for reference frame maintenance. In order to ensure the long term reliability of the EPN products, a thorough station performance monitoring has been initiated and carried out in addition to the routine GNSS data management, processing and analysis. This paper addresses the main factors influencing the quality of the coordinate time series in a permanent GNSS network. Relevant examples, based on the EPN experience are given, the analysis strategy is introduced, the estimated coordinate offsets are published and the importance of this analysis for site velocity estimation is demonstrated. The results are derived from the analysis of the EPN weekly combined solutions covering the period from 1996 to 2003. Our target is the identification, interpretation and elimination of offsets and outliers present in the EPN coordinate time series in order to estimate reliable coordinates and velocities and consequently maintain a high quality kinematic reference network.
相似文献
| A. KenyeresEmail: Fax: +36-1-27374982 |
20.
Reliability analysis is inseparably connected with the formulation of failure scenarios, and common test statistics are based on specific assumptions. This is easily overlooked when processing observation differences. Poor failure identification performance and misleading pre-analysis results, mainly meaningless minimum detectable biases and external reliability measures, are the consequence. A reasonable failure scenario for use with differenced GNSS observations is formulated which takes into account that individual outliers in the original data affect more than one processed observation. The proper test statistics and reliability indicators are given for use with correlated observations and both batch processing and Kalman filtering. It is also shown that standardized residuals and redundancy numbers fail completely when used with double differenced observations.
相似文献
| Andreas WieserEmail: Phone: +43-316-8736323Fax: +43-316-8736820 |