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1.
利用安宁河-则木河断裂带上的跨断层流动形变资料,计算了断层活动累积量,定量研究了断层在不同时间段内的活动特征,然后采用断层活动总体状态参量R(t)值对断层总体活动特征进行了综合分析,探讨了其与地震活动的关系。结果表明:安宁河-则木河断裂带在观测期内以左旋走滑活动为主,兼具逆冲活动;断层总体活动状态参量R(t)显示,断层整体活动的不稳定性与强震有关,断层活动不稳定时,地震活动也较强烈。  相似文献   

2.
川西地区地壳形变和断层位移活动   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
大地测量资料的分析表明,川西地区的地壳形变和断层位移活动沿着已发展成为块体边界线的鲜水河断裂带—安宁河断裂带—则木河断裂带表现为最强,两侧块体内的断裂活动相对次之。区内的现今形变活动趋势仍继承着晚第四纪以来新构造活动的格局,地震形变是现今形变的最佳表现,断层位移活动具有显著的不均匀性。  相似文献   

3.
4·20芦山7.0级地震预测思路及过程回顾   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:1  
2013年"4.20"芦山7.0级地震前,四川跨断层形变资料在紧邻发震断裂的鲜水河、安宁河、则木河断裂带上出现了偏离正常背景的长、中、短期异常,长期异常以断层张性活动为主,中短期以趋势转折为主,短期则以鲜水河中北段压性活动为主,且据此做出了较准确的短期预测。文中将对该次地震的预测思路及过程进行回顾,展示长、中、短期预测依据及过程,为未来强震的短期预测总结经验。分析结果认为:1)跨断层短水准、短基线的突变加速异常对强震发生的时间有着较好的短期预测意义;2)综合利用跨断层前兆异常出现的时序特征、流动重力高梯度带及差异性变化进行分析,提取其异常交会部位,对强震的发生地点有着较好的预测效果;3)跨断层形变异常持续时间的统计对于强震发生的震级有一定的指示意义;从断层活动特性来看,"4.20"芦山地震前,巴颜喀拉块体向SE的运动速率可能大于川滇块体东边界,导致龙门山北段、鲜水河中北段、则木河断裂带断层挤压推拉活动加剧,龙门山南段、安宁河北段"闭锁",各个断层活动方式产生明显差异,但又相互牵制、相互调整,并在运动形式上相互转换,从而使高原与盆地过渡地带的脆性岩层产生破裂,发生强震。  相似文献   

4.
芦山MS7.0级地震前的形变空区特征研究   总被引:3,自引:2,他引:1  
上世纪70年代以来,国内外基本形成了以监测震中附近断层预滑动进行地震预测的研究思路,但近些年来,一些大地震前近震源区域的形变变化却引起了巨大的争议.本文应用芦山地震震中附近跨断层及连续形变观测资料,分析了震前不同阶段地形变变化的特点,讨论了震中附近区域异常时空演化过程.分析结果表明,沿鲜水河断裂带一些跨断层基线、安宁河及则木河断裂带个别场地的跨断层水准基线出现的显著异常变化,这些异常出现在远离芦山地震震中的区域上;在近震源区域,在龙门山断裂带南段的一些断层水准变化量极小,在鲜水河、龙门山和安宁河3条主要断裂围成的三叉口地区,倾斜、应变、重力及断层水准和蠕变观测临震前未有显著的异常变化,该区是形变变化或形变异常分布的“空区”.本文也与汶川地震前形变异常分布进行了对比,认为震前形变“空区”现象可能是强震前的一种共性特征.  相似文献   

5.
川西则木河断裂带强震复发周期的初步研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
任金卫 《内陆地震》1990,4(2):107-115
本文从地震活动性和断层活动性两方面初步研究了川西则木河断裂带上地震的复发周期。通过古地震地貌现象的研究,发现则木河断裂北段西昌一带自晚更新世以来多次发生强震,其中全新世时期至少有4次。并得出晚更新世时期,强震在原地重复的周期为2000年,全新世时期为1800年,则木河断裂带滑动速率的研究表明,晚更新世时期断层滑动速率为4.5mm/a,全新世时期为4.9mm/a,以此估计则木河断裂带上晚更新世时期,强震重复的平均周期为965—1380年,全新世时期为885—1275年。  相似文献   

6.
研究了安宁河——则木河一小江断裂带的强震构造环境和展源力学机制;据该带历史强震计算分析了地震短张量年速率;据该带跨断层形变观测资料分析了断裂带水平和垂直形变年速率;并就潜在地展危险性进行了讨论.  相似文献   

7.
<正>1997年至今围绕巴颜喀拉块体发生了一系列强震,为块体边界跨断层形变过程与强震活动研究提供了一个前所未有的范例。鲜水河、龙门山断裂带分别属于巴颜喀拉块体的西南边界和东边界,跨断层形变观测有几十年的记录。本文基于这些数据,结合GPS观测、震源机制解、地震活动性资料,着重关注这2条断裂带跨断层形变的时空演化过程和巴颜喀拉块体的强震活动,以及它们共同反映的巴颜喀拉块体的运动。跨断层形变随时间的演变和在空间上的差异,是断层活动在时、空两个维度中的表现,  相似文献   

8.
吕弋培  廖华 《中国地震》1999,15(2):190-198
跨断层形变测量是在现今构造活动强烈的活断层主断面上进行的动态测量。鲜水河断裂、安宁河—则木河断裂及龙门山断裂是川西现今构造活动较强的断层。近20多年来,四川省地震局地震测量队在上述断裂上陆续布设了短水准、短基线、蠕变仪等测量手段,并取得了大量测量资料...  相似文献   

9.
陈兵  赵振才 《内陆地震》1998,12(3):222-227
分析了祁连山--海原断裂带跨断层形变近期异常变化特点,给出了该断层形变区域特征异常量,认为断层形变不但能够显著部构造活动,而且可以反映大范围地壳形变波的空间传播2与演化从而为利用跨断层观测资料进行地震跟踪预报提供了一定的物理背景。  相似文献   

10.
2013年4月20日四川芦山M7.0级地震前2-3年,川西地区的跨断层位移出现群体性、准同步的异常趋势转折,但有些场地的辅助气温观测也呈现相似变化.为探寻这些趋势转折是否为热形变,本文基于鲜水河、安宁河-则木河、龙门山断裂带上的短基线、短水准及辅助气温观测数据,使用频谱分析及统计分析方法,研究跨断层位移与气温之间的关系,并利用主模式分析方法研究芦山地震前各断裂带的运动特征.结果显示:(1) 在大于2.63 a的周期上,短基线、短水准与气温的频率成分较为相似,它们之间为弱-中等强度的相关.(2) 气温变化不是芦山地震前跨断层位移发生趋势转折的主要影响因素.除个别场地外,长周期热形变在总的跨断层位移中所占比重较小,对其趋势变化的影响有限.(3) 主模式分析表明,2010年前后,鲜水河断裂带的左行走滑和张性运动有所减弱,安宁河-则木河、龙门山断裂带的张性运动也开始减弱(或者说压性增强).这些变化特征可能反映了在这一时期巴颜喀拉块体SE-SEE向运动的加剧.  相似文献   

11.
在近些年的野外调查中,我们在安宁河、则木河2断裂带的过渡段(礼州至西昌之间)及其附近的3个场地发现了未知年代的地表破裂。通过分析这些地表破裂的特征以及在本区历史地震重破坏区中的位置,我们认为位于杨福山村以北与大坪子村以西2个场地的破裂应是1536年大地震地表破裂带的遗迹。这不仅反映了1536年大地震破裂带的南段沿安宁河与则木河断裂带的过渡段产生,而且反映了该破裂带的南端很可能到达了或者很接近于西昌。位于西昌略北李金堡村以东的破裂应属于1850年大地震地表破裂带的遗迹,它进一步证明了1850年大地震地表破裂带的西北端可能到达西昌以北至少数千米处。因而,由文中的证据可推断西昌附近的主干活动断裂在1536年和1850年大地震时均发生了破裂  相似文献   

12.
川滇地区是我国地震灾害最为严重的地区之一,地震灾害评估对该地区的防震减灾具有重要意义,概率地震危险性分析是量化地震危险性的有效手段.这一方法要求使用可获得的最佳资料来计算地震的长期发生率.通过对比美国加州地区与我国川滇地区积累的资料发现,目前川滇地区的资料积累水平与加州地区正在使用的第三版加州地震破裂预测模型(UCERF3)的要求还有差距,但已可进行多学科综合地震概率计算.通过收集川滇地区地震地质、大地测量和测震学等资料,计算了川滇菱形块体及周边地区不同震级地震的长期发生率,在此基础上给出了未来30年泊松与非泊松分布下峰值地表加速度超越概率的分布.结果显示,在目标峰值加速度较低时,鲜水河断裂带、安宁河断裂带、则木河断裂带、小江断裂带、红河断裂带和小金河断裂带等川滇菱形块体主要边界带均具有较高的超越概率;在目标峰值加速度较高时,川滇菱形块体东边界的鲜水河断裂带、小江断裂带北段和南段以及莲峰—昭通断裂带仍具有较高的超越概率,但其中安宁河断裂带、则木河断裂带和小江断裂带中段概率相对较低.最后通过将本研究的结果与前人结果对比,讨论了结果异同的原因.  相似文献   

13.
震源机制解分类与川滇及邻近地区最新变形特征   总被引:5,自引:1,他引:4  
以位错理论为依据探讨了地震分类的理论基础,利用美国哈佛大学1977—2008年的震源机制解资料,采用地震三角形分类法,研究了中国川滇及邻近地区震源机制解124例,从地壳脆性变形的角度分析了川滇次级块体的变形形式。结果表明:整体上川滇及邻区的走滑断层、逆冲断层和正断层具有明显的分区性特征,受青藏高原SE方向的挤压,沿着鲜水河断裂带、安宁河断裂带、则木河断裂带和小江断裂带产生了大的剪切位移和变形带;同时,受缅甸弧挤压和四川盆地的阻挡,在缅甸弧前端和龙门山断裂带等地形成了强烈的挤压区,在云南大部分区域形成了扇形剪切应力变形区;而沿鲜水河断裂带、安宁河断裂带、则木河断裂带和小江断裂带所产生的大的剪切位移和变形直接作用在红河断裂带上,造成红河断裂带呈右旋向SE方向错动,引起其后延金沙江断裂至丽江-小金河断裂之间形成大的应力拉张区,构成了现今川滇及邻区地壳变形的最新格局  相似文献   

14.
This paper reports the internal structures of the Beichuan fault zone of Longmenshan fault system that caused the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake, at an outcrop in Hongkou, Sichuan province, China. Present work is a part of comprehensive project of Institute of Geology, China Earthquake Administration, trying to understand deformation processes in Longmenshan fault zones and eventually to reproduce Wenchuan earthquake by modeling based on measured mechanical and transport properties. Outcrop studies could be integrated with those performed on samples recovered from fault zone drilling, during the Wenchuan Earthquake Fault Scientific Drilling (WFSD) Project, to understand along-fault and depth variation of fault zone properties. The hanging wall side of the fault zone consists of weakly-foliated, clayey fault gouge of about 1 m in width and of several fault breccia zones of 30–40 m in total width. We could not find any pseudotachylite at this outcrop. Displacement during the Wenchuan earthquake is highly localized within the fault gouge layer along narrower slipping-zones of about 10 to 20 mm in width. This is an important constraint for analyzing thermal pressurization, an important dynamic weakening mechanism of faults. Overlapping patterns of striations on slickenside surface suggest that seismic slip at a given time occurred in even narrower zone of a few to several millimeters, so that localization of deformation must have occurred within a slipping zone during coseismic fault motion. Fault breccia zones are bounded by thin black gouge layers containing amorphous carbon. Fault gouge contains illite and chlorite minerals, but not smectite. Clayey fault gouge next to coseismic slipping zone also contains amorphous carbon and small amounts of graphite. The structural observations and mineralogical data obtained from outcrop exposures of the fault zone of the Wenchuan earthquake can be compared with those obtained from the WFSD-1 and WFSD-2 boreholes, which have been drilled very close to the Hongkou outcrop. The presence of carbon and graphite, observed next to the slipping-zone, may affect the mechanical properties of the fault and also provide useful information about coseismic chemical changes.  相似文献   

15.
文中以东昆仑断裂带周围分布的27个GPS站点的地壳运动速率矢量为约束,利用半无限弹性空间三维断裂位错模型,反演了东昆仑断裂、柴达木盆地北缘断裂、玛尼-玉树断裂和玛尔盖茶卡断裂带在2001年昆仑山口西MS8.1地震之前的运动速率,并认为这些断裂带以反演出的运动速率错动所形成的形变场可以作为震前的背景地壳形变场。基于这一具有构造意义的背景速度场资料,计算了区域地壳应变率场和地震矩累积率场。结果表明,昆仑山口西地震前,东昆仑断裂的东西大滩段和玛尼-玉树断裂西段为该区域2个最显著的地震矩累积率高值区,其中东昆仑断裂的东西大滩段高值区为后来的昆仑山口西MS8.1地震的发震段  相似文献   

16.
2001年3月7日在四川省凉山州布拖县境内发生Ms4.6级强有感地震,震中位于北北西走向的凉山断裂南段,邻近则木河断裂,分析认为,这是一次主震-余震型地震序列;进一步用西昌满腔遥测地震台网各子台的P波初动求得主震和最大余震的震源机制解,认为它们可能是北北西走向的凉山断裂活动的结果。  相似文献   

17.
On Aug. 3rd, 2014, a MS6.5 earthquake struck Ludian County, Yunnan Province. It is a typical left-lateral strike-slip event. With the purpose of understanding the influence of the Ludian earthquake, this paper firstly calculates the co-seismic Coulomb failure stress changes of the mainshock with the employment of the finite dislocation source model inversed by other researchers and studies the triggering effect to the aftershocks within a month. We find that 82.43% of the aftershocks are located in the Coulomb stress increasing area(ΔCFS>0.01MPa), therefore, most of the aftershocks are triggered by the mainshock. Then, regarding the surrounding active faults as the receive faults, the Coulomb stress changes of the mainshock are calculated to investigate the impact on the faults nearby. The result shows that only the northeast end of the west branch and northeast part of the east branch of Zhaotong-Ludian faults have been brought to failure. However, the other faults such as Daliangshan Fault, Lianfeng Fault, Zemuhe Fault, Xiaojiang Fault and Mabian-Yanjin Fault are unloaded after the Luidian event, so the possibility of future earthquake is decreased around these faults. Besides, when the optimal failure plane is chosen as the receive fault of the Coulomb stress changes, the Ludian earthquake always has good triggering effect to the aftershocks no matter which source models and effective friction coefficients are chosen.  相似文献   

18.
本文基于1970年以来的地震目录及四川地区4.0级以上地震的震源机制解资料,分析鲜水河断裂带分段(炉霍段、道符段、康定段、石棉段)的地震活动特征及研究区现代构造应力场,结合深部速度结构,探讨鲜水河断裂带上地震活动频度与龙门山断裂带地震活动的关系及康定地段6.3级地震的孕震环境。结果发现:(1)鲜水河断裂带北段和南段地震活动性存在差异,炉霍段和道孚段的地震活动频度1981年前要高于2000年后,康定段和石棉段的地震活动频度2000年以后高于1981年前;(2)分析地壳P波速度结构发现康定震区西侧川滇块体表现出低速异常,东侧表现出高速异常;(3)对构造应力场的分析结果表明龙门山断裂带主要以NW-SE向挤压为主,鲜水河断裂带构造应力场以NWW-SEE向为主。综合鲜水河断裂带应力场特征、深部速度结构、断层间的相互作用等信息推断,康定M6.3地震的发生与该地区应力积累及深部孕震环境相关,同时由于龙门山断裂带地震活动性影响,导致鲜水河断裂带康定段的能量释放。  相似文献   

19.
变形局部化问题和地震成核问题,是构造变形机制与大地震研究中极其重要的问题.对走滑断裂的运动和走滑型地震而言,断裂枢纽运动是断裂带上变形局部化和地震成核孕育的条件,认识这一运动过程和机制是了解走滑断裂上地震孕育、发生机制的关键之一.本文在前人工作的基础上,以则木河左旋走滑断裂大箐断层为例,测量了大箐断层大箐梁子断头沟台地-五道箐盆地之间的构造和地貌变形,揭示了大箐走滑断层枢纽运动构造和地貌四象限分布的特点,并且在定量分析其枢纽运动的基础上,利用数值模拟方法,模拟了断裂的枢纽运动,结果表明,走滑断裂的枢纽运动表现出典型的掀斜特征,随着断层面倾角的减小,枢纽运动程度加深;随着断层面闭锁区面积的增大,枢纽运动明显受阻;发现在闭锁区及其附近存在一个应力集中区使得应力由外向内一直处于积累状态,反映了地震的成核过程.  相似文献   

20.
The current and conventional fault-crossing short baseline measurement has a relatively high precision, but its measurement arrays usually fail to or cannot completely span major active fault zones due to the short length of the baselines, which are only tens to 100 meters. GNSS measurement has relatively low resolution on near-fault deformation and hence is not suitable for monitoring those faults with low motion and deformation rates, due to sparse stations and relatively low accuracy of the GNSS observation. We recently built up two experimental sites on the eastern boundary of the active Sichuan-Yunnan block, one crossing the Daqing section of the Zemuhe Fault and the other crossing the Longshu section of the Zhaotong Fault, aiming to test the measurement of near-fault motion and deformation by using fault-crossing arrays of one-kilometer-long baselines. In this paper, from a three-year-long data set we firstly introduce the selection of the sites and the methods of the measurement. We then calculate and analyze the near-field displacement and strain of the two sites by using three hypothetical models, the rigid body, elastic and composed models, proposed by previous researchers. In the rigid body model, we assume that an observed fault is located between two rigid blocks and the observed variances in baseline lengths result from the relative motion of the blocks. In the elastic model, we assume that a fault deforms uniformly within the fault zone over which a baseline array spans, and in the array baselines in different directions may play roles as strainmeters whose observations allow us to calculate three components of near-fault horizontal strain. In the composed model, we assume that both displacement and strain are accumulated within the fault zone that a baseline array spans, and both contribute to the observed variances in baseline lengths. Our results show that, from the rigid body model, variations in horizontal fault-parallel displacement component of the Zemuhe Fault at the Daqing site fluctuate within 3mm without obvious tendencies. The displacement variation in the fault-normal component keeps dropping in 2015 and 2016 with a cumulative decrease of 6mm, reflecting transverse horizontal compression, and it turns to rise slightly(suggesting extension)in 2017. From the elastic model, the variation in horizontal fault-normal strain component of the fault at Daqing shows mainly compression, with an annual variation close to 10-5, and variations in the other two strain components are at the order of 10-6. For the Longshu Fault, the rigid-body displacement of the fault varies totally within a few millimeters, but shows a dextral strike-slip tendency that is consistent with the fault motion known from geological investigation, and the observed dextral-slip rate is about 0.7mm/a on average. The fault-parallel strain component of the Longshu Fault is compressional within 2×10-6, and the fault-normal strain component is mainly extensional. Restricted by the assumption of rigid-body model, we have to ignore homolateral deformation on either side of an observed fault and attribute such deformation to the fault displacement, resulting in an upper limit estimate of the fault displacement. The elastic model emphasizes more the deformation on an observed fault zone and may give us information about localizations of near-fault strain. The results of the two sites from the composed model suggest that it needs caution when using this model due to that big uncertainty would be introduced in solving relevant equations. Level surveying has also been carried out at the meantime at the two sites. The leveling series of the Daqing site fluctuates within 4mm and shows no tendency, meaning little vertical component of fault motion has been observed at this site; while, from the rigid-body model, the fault-normal motion shows transverse-horizontal compression of up to 6mm, indicating that the motion of the Zemuhe Fault at Daqing is dominantly horizontal. The leveling series of the Longshu site shows a variation with amplitude comparable with that observed from the baseline series here, suggesting a minor component of thrust faulting; while the baseline series of the same site do not present tendencies of fault-normal displacement. Since the steep-dip faults at the two sites are dominantly strike-slip in geological time scale, we ignore probable vertical movement temporarily. In addition, lengths of homolateral baselines on either side of the faults change somewhat over time, and this makes us consider the existence of minor faults on either side of the main faults. These probable minor faults may not reach to the surface and have not been identified through geological mapping; they might result in the observed variances in lengths of homolateral baselines, fortunately such variations are small relative to those in fault-crossing baselines. In summary, the fault-crossing measurement using arrays with one-kilometer-long baselines provides us information about near-fault movement and strain, and has a slightly higher resolution relative to current GNSS observation at similar time and space scales, and therefore this geodetic technology will be used until GNSS networks with dense near-fault stations are available in the future.  相似文献   

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