共查询到19条相似文献，搜索用时 906 毫秒
1.
杨志根 《中国天文和天体物理学报》1991,(4)
本文计算了由太阳系大行星轨道运动引起的日心相对于太阳系质心的轨道运动角动量变化率j_⊙,在理论上对j_⊙作展开,表明它存在多项短周期变化,与太阳黑子资料的分析结果相比较,两者结果是符合的,它们具有一致的谱结构。因此,行星的轨道运动对太阳黑子活动存在动力作用的可能性又进一步得到了验证。 相似文献
2.
地球自转日长变化中某些短周期项的可能成因 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
杨志根 《中国科学院上海天文台年刊》1992,(13):33-39
本根据1974.0-1980.0年的日长（LOD）资料，太阳黑子相对数（SP),以及计算得到的日心相对于太阳系质心相同时期的轨道角动量变化率序列·/J⊙，对它们作了比较分析。结果表明，在LOD的短周期变化中，近95天和120天项可能来自太阳的周期性活动，而大行星的轨道运行引起日心的周期性轨道角动量变化率或许是太阳活动的一种外部力学因素。 相似文献
3.
太阳活动周期的小波分析 总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5
运用小波技术对太阳射电流量2800 MHz,太阳黑子数和太阳黑子面积数周期进行分析．其结果表明: (1)这3个系列的数据显示最显著的周期是10．69年,其他周期并不明显．(2)小波功率谱给出了全部时间-周期范围的功率谱变化,它显示了在某个周期处于某个时段的局部功率的变化,小波功率谱分析表明,小于1年的周期仅仅在太阳活动最大期附近比较明显．(3)太阳射电2800 MHz,太阳黑子数和太阳黑子面积数的几个周期(10．69年,5．11年, 155．5天)的小波功率谱比较相似,出现峰值的时间相同;曲线的起伏相似,周期越小,曲线起伏的频率越大． 相似文献
4.
太阳和地磁活动中的1.3–1.7 yr周期研究对于理解日地空间耦合系统中可能发生的物理过程十分重要.黑子是太阳光球层上最突出的磁场结构, Ap指数则是表征全球地磁活动水平的重要指标.使用同步压缩小波变换得到太阳黑子数和地磁Ap指数的1.3–1.7yr周期,并用互相关方法分析研究它们之间的相位关系.结果如下:(1)太阳黑子数和地磁Ap指数的1.3–1.7 yr周期呈现间歇性的演化特征,且随着时间的变化而不断变化;(2)地磁Ap指数在奇数活动周比相邻的偶数活动周的周期分量更高,表现出上下波动的变化特性;(3)地磁Ap指数和太阳黑子数的相位关系不是一成不变的,在大多数情况下地磁Ap指数滞后太阳黑子数,仅在第18和第22活动周黑子数在相位上滞后. 相似文献
5.
本文讨论了子波变换用于信号突变检测的原理，用它分析了１７００－１９９３年间的太阳黑子数的年均值．精确地检测到了太阳活动的突变点，用相邻两个突变点的时间长度求得了不同尺度下太阳黑子变化的周期．结果表明：利用子波变换检测太阳黑子周期与传统方法相比具有独到之处． 相似文献
6.
我们对第12周至第22周的太阳黑子月平均面积数进行统计分析,并与相应的太阳黑子月平均数相比较,结果表明太阳黑子月平均面积数活动周与太阳黑子月平均数活动周有一定的关系。在多数情况下,太阳黑子出现最大值的时间与太阳黑子面积数出现最大值的时间上不一致;太阳黑子平滑月平均数活动周上升期与太阳黑子平滑月平均面积数上升期在大多数情况下不相同;太阳黑子平滑月平均数活动周平均效果的瓦德迈尔效应(Waldmeiereffect)一般要比太阳黑子平滑平均面积数的活动周明显;文中还对太阳黑子平滑月平均面积数活动周的特征进行了分析。 相似文献
7.
我们对第12周至第22周的太阳黑子月平均面积数进行统计分析，并与相应的太阳黑子月平均数相比较，结果表明太阳黑子月平均面积数活动周与太阳黑子月平均数活动周有一定的关系。在多数情况下，太阳黑子出现最大值的时间与太阳黑子面积数出现最大值的时间上不一致；太阳黑子平滑月平均数活动周上升期与太阳黑子平滑月平均面积数上升期在大多数情况下不相同；太阳黑子平滑月平均数活动周平均效果的瓦德迈尔效应(Waldmeier effect)一般要比太阳黑子平滑平均面积数的活动周明显；文中还对太阳黑子平滑月平均面积数活动周的特征进行了分析． 相似文献
8.
9.
本文用后－后牛顿近似讨论Ｋｅｒｒ场中缓慢粒子的运动，我们用Ｂｏｙｅｒ－Ｌｉｎｄｑｕｉｓｔ坐标，导出试验粒子的运动方程，把它与有心力场中粒子作二体运动之球坐标形式下的运动方程对比，得出由于Ｋｅｒｒ场的作用而引起的试验粒子的等效摄动加速度，利用球面三角公式把它换算到行星运动摄动方程的形状，对摄动方程进行积分，我们得出了试验粒子绕中心天体运动一周后粒子轨道根数的变化以及单位时间中轨道根数的平均变化，运用 相似文献
10.
为了适应星际探测的需求,本文建立了在新的精度要求下土星卫星运动对应的力学模型,具体讨论了土卫八的运动,并针对主要摄动源土卫六的引力作用,建立了轨道变化的分析解,以此表明建立了土卫运动理论该采取的途径和精密定轨宜采用以轨道根数作为状态量的数值定轨方法。 相似文献
11.
Li Kejun Gu Xiaoma Xiang Fuyuan Liu Xiaohua Chen Xuekun 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2000,317(4):897-901
Data of sunspot groups at high latitude (35°), from the year 1874 to the present (2000 January), are collected to show their evolutional behaviour and to investigate features of the yearly number of sunspot groups at high latitude. Subsequently, an evolutional pattern of sunspot group number at high latitude is given in this paper. Results obtained show that the number of sunspot groups of a solar cycle at high latitude rises to a maximum value about 1 yr earlier than the time of the maximum of sunspot relative numbers of the solar cycle, and then falls to zero more rapidly. The results also show that, at the moment, solar activity described by the sunspot relative numbers has not yet reached its minimum. In general, sunspot groups at high latitude have not appeared on the solar disc during the last 3 yr of a Wolf solar cycle. The asymmetry of the high latitude sunspot group number of a Wolf solar cycle can reflect the asymmetry of solar activity in the Wolf solar cycle, and it is suggested that one could further use the high latitude sunspot group number during the rising time of a Wolf solar cycle, maximum year included, to judge the asymmetry of solar activity over the whole solar cycle. 相似文献
12.
Following the progression of nonlinear dynamical system theory, many authors have used varied methods to calculate the fractal dimension and the largest Lyapunov exponent 1 of the sunspot numbers and to evaluate the character of the chaotic attractor governing solar activity. These include the Grassberger–Procaccia algorithm, the technique provided by Wolf et al., and the nonlinear forecasting approach based on the method of distinguishing between chaos and measurement errors in time series described by Sugihara and May. In this paper, we use the Grassberger–Procaccia algorithm to estimate the other character of the chaotic attractor. This character is time scale of a transition from high-dimensional or stochastic at shorter times to a low-dimensional chaotic behavior at longer times. We find that the transitional time scale in the monthly mean sunspot numbers is about 8 yr; the low-dimensional chaotic behavior operates at time scales longer than about 8 yr and a high-dimensional or stochastic process operates at time scales shorter than about 8 yr. 相似文献
13.
We revised relative sunspot numbers in the time interval 1700–1748 for which Wolf derived their annual means. The frequency of daily observations, counting simultaneously the number of sunspots and the number of sunspot groups necessary for determinating Wolf's relative sunspot numbers, is in this time interval very low and covers, on average, 4.8% of the number of all days only. There also exist incomplete observations not convenient to determine relative sunspot numbers. To enlarge the number of daily relative sunspot numbers we used the nonlinear, two-step interpolation method derived earlier by Letfus (1996, 1999). After interpolation, the mean value increased to 13.8%. Waldmeier (1968) found that the scaling factor k can be derived directly from the observed number of spots f and from the number of sunspot groups g. From the observations made at Zürich (Wolf and his assistants, Wolfer), at Peckeloh, and at Moncalieri during the years 1861–1928, we derived a new, more correct empirical relation. The resulting annual relative sunspot numbers are given in Table II. However, only for 26 years (53.0%) from the total number of 49 years was it possible to derive annual relative sunspot numbers. The observations were missing for the other years. This corresponds with results of Wolf, which gives the annual relative sunspot numbers for all 49 years. For the years when the data were missing, he marked these values as interpolated or very uncertain ones. Most of the observations originate from two data series (Kirch, Plantade), for which Wolf derived a higher scaling factor (k=2.0) than followed from the newly derived relation (k=1.40). The investigated time interval covers four solar cycles. After our results, the height of the first cycle (No. –4), given by Wolf, should be lowered by about two-thirds, the following two cycles (Nos. –3 and –2) lowered by one-third, as given by Wolf, and only the height of the fourth one (No. –1) should be unchanged. The activity levels of the cycles, as represented by group sunspot numbers, are lower by about one-fourth and, in the case of the first one (No. –4) even by two-thirds of the levels derived by us. The group sunspot numbers, derived from a much greater number of observations, have also greater credibility than other estimates. The shapes of the cycles, as given by Wolf, can be considered only as their more or less idealized form. 相似文献
14.
A possible relationship between spectral bands in sunspot number and the space-time organization of our planetary system 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
For the particular purpose of this paper, Zürich relative sunspot numbers of the time spans 1749–1982, 1749–1865, and 1866–1982, have been analysed anew by two different methos. It is shown that the spectral bands in the power spectra of sunspot numbers between 1 and 234 years obtained from these analyses can be clearly related to the modified configuration frequencies of the giant planets and their harmonics. In particular, the clearly dominant spectral band in sunspot number, the solar cycle of 10.8 years, is given by the configuration period of Jupiter and Saturn (19.859 yr) times the ratio of their distances from the Sun (0.545). 相似文献
15.
New Evidence for Long-Term Persistence in the Sun's Activity 总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2
M.G. Ogurtsov 《Solar physics》2004,220(1):93-105
Possible persistence of sunspot activity was studied using rescaled range and detrended fluctuation analyses. In addition to actual Wolf numbers (1700–2000 A.D.), two solar proxies were used in this research, viz., an annual sunspot proxy obtained for 1090–1700 A.D. and sunspot numbers reconstructed from the decadal radiocarbon series (8005 B.C. – 1895 A.D). The reconstruction was made using a five-box carbon exchange model. Analyses showed that in all cases the scaling exponent is significantly higher than 0.5 in the range of scales from 25 yr up to 3000 yr. This indicates the existence of a long-term memory in solar activity, in agreement with results obtained for other solar indices. 相似文献
16.
Robert M. Wilson 《Solar physics》1988,117(2):269-278
Because of the bimodal distribution of sunspot cycle periods, the Hale cycle (or double sunspot cycle) should show evidence of modulation between 20 and 24 yr, with the Hale cycle having an average length of about 22 yr. Indeed, such a modulation is observed. Comparison of consecutive pairs of cycles strongly suggests that even-numbered cycles are preferentially paired with odd-numbered following cycles. Systematic variations are hinted in both the Hale cycle period and R
sum (the sum of monthly mean sunspot numbers over consecutively paired sunspot cycles). The preferred even-odd cycle pairing suggests that cycles 22 and 23 form a new Hale cycle pair (Hale cycle 12), that cycle 23 will be larger than cycle 22 (in terms of R
M, the maximum smoothed sunspot number, and of the individual cycle value of R
sum), and that the length of Hale cycle 12 will be longer than 22 yr. Because of the strong correlation (r = 0.95) between individual sunspot cycle values of R
sum and R
M, having a good estimate of R
Mfor the present sunspot cycle (22) allows one to predict its R
sum, which further allows an estimation of both R
Mand R
sum for cycle 23 and an estimation of R
sum for Hale cycle 12. Based on Wilson's bivariate fit (r = 0.98), sunspot cycle 22 should have an R
Mequal to 144.4 ± 27.3 (at the 3- level), implying that its R
sum should be about 8600 ± 2200; such values imply that sunspot cycle 23 should have an R
sum of about 10500 ± 2000 and an R
Mof about 175 ± 40, and that Hale cycle 12 should have an R
sum of about 19100 ± 3000. 相似文献
17.
Samuel Heinrich Schwabe, the discoverer of the sunspot cycle, observed the Sun routinely from Dessau, Germany during the interval
of 1826–1868, averaging about 290 observing days per year. His yearly counts of ‘clusters of spots’ (or, more correctly, the
yearly number of newly appearing sunspot groups) provided a simple means for describing the overt features of the sunspot
cycle (i.e., the timing and relative strengths of cycle minimum and maximum). In 1848, Rudolf Wolf, a Swiss astronomer, having
become aware of Schwabe's discovery, introduced his now familiar ‘relative sunspot number’ and established an international
cadre of observers for monitoring the future behavior of the sunspot cycle and for reconstructing its past behavior (backwards
in time to 1818, based on daily sunspot number estimates). While Wolf's reconstruction is complete (without gaps) only from
1849 (hence, the beginning of the modern era), the immediately preceding interval of 1818–1848 is incomplete, being based
on an average of 260 observing days per year. In this investigation, Wolf's reconstructed record of annual sunspot number
is compared against Schwabe's actual observing record of yearly counts of clusters of spots. The comparison suggests that
Wolf may have misplaced (by about 1–2 yr) and underestimated (by about 16 units of sunspot number) the maximum amplitude for
cycle 7. If true, then, cycle 7's ascent and descent durations should measure about 5 years each instead of 7 and 3 years,
respectively, the extremes of the distributions, and its maximum amplitude should measure about 86 instead of 70. This study
also indicates that cycle 9's maximum amplitude is more reliably determined than cycle 8's and that both appear to be of comparable
size (about 130 units of sunspot number) rather than being significantly different. Therefore, caution is urged against the
indiscriminate use of the pre-modern era sunspot numbers in long-term studies of the sunspot cycle, since such use may lead
to specious results. 相似文献
18.
We have defined the duration of polar magnetic activity as the time interval between two successive polar reversals. The epochs of the polarity reversals of the magnetic field at the poles of the Sun have been determined (1) by the time of the final disappearance of the polar crown filaments and (2) by the time between the two neighbouring reversals of the magnetic dipole configuration (l=1) from the H synoptic charts covering the period 1870–2001. It is shown that the reversals for the magnetic dipole configuration (l=1) occur on an average 3.3±0.5 years after the sunspot minimum according to the H synoptic charts (Table I) and the Stanford magnetograms (Table III). If we set the time of the final disappearance of the polar crown filaments (determined from the latitude migration of filaments) as the criterion for deciding the epoch of the polarity reversal of the polar fields, then the reversal occurs on an average 5.8±0.6 years from sunspot minimum (last column of Table I). We consider this as the most reliable diagnostic for fixing the epoch of reversals, as the final disappearance of the polar crown filaments can be observed without ambiguity. We show that shorter the duration of the polar activity cycle (i.e., the shorter the duration between two neighbouring reversals), the more intense is the next sunspot cycle. We also notice that the duration of polar activity is always more in even solar cycles than in odd cycles whereas the maximum Wolf numbers W
\max is always higher for odd solar cycles than for even cycles. Furthermore, we assume there is a secular change in the duration of the polar cycle. It has decreased by 1.2 times during the last 120 years. 相似文献
19.
In the present investigation, we have carried out power spectrum analysis of sunspot number and great hard x-ray (GHXR) burst (equal to or greater than 10,000 counts per second) for a period of about 6 years. The GHXR bursts show a periodicity of about 155 days. On the other hand, sunspot numbers do not show any periodicity. The GHXR burst periodicity confirms the existence of a 152–158 days periodicity in the occurrence of solar energetic events. Further, the GHXR bursts are showing periodicity independently indicating that the GHXR bursts are a separate class of X-ray flares. 相似文献