首页 | 本学科首页   官方微博 | 高级检索  
相似文献
 共查询到20条相似文献,搜索用时 15 毫秒
1.
利用NCEP/NCAR再分析风场资料和NOAA海表温度(SST)资料,分析了冬、夏季Hadley环流的变化特征及其与热带海温在年际、年代际尺度上的关系. 结果表明,冬季北半球Hadley环流强度具有明显的年际和年代际变化,同时还呈现出明显的增强趋势. 伴随着Hadley环流的加强,环流中心位置南移,高度上升;夏季南半球Hadley环流变化主要表现为强、弱、强的年代际振动,没有明显的线性趋势. 研究还显示冬季Hadley环流与Nino3区SST正相关,这种相关性具有年代际变化特征. 年际尺度上,冬季北半球Hadley环流与Nino3区SST正相关;夏季南半球Hadley环流与Nino3区SST负相关,即当赤道中东太平洋SST异常偏暖(冷)时,冬、夏季Hadley环流变强(弱).  相似文献   

2.
Sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly events in the Brazil-Malvinas Confluence (BMC) were investigated through wavelet analysis and numerical modeling. Wavelet analysis was applied to recognize the main spectral signals of SST anomaly events in the BMC and in the Drake Passage as a first attempt to link middle and high latitudes. The numerical modeling approach was used to clarify the local oceanic dynamics that drive these anomalies. Wavelet analysis pointed to the 8–12-year band as the most energetic band representing remote forcing between high to middle latitudes. Other frequencies observed in the BMC wavelet analysis indicate that part of its variability could also be forced by low-latitude events, such as El Niño. Numerical experiments carried out for the years of 1964 and 1992 (cold and warm El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phases) revealed two distinct behaviors that produced negative and positive sea surface temperature anomalies on the BMC region. The first behavior is caused by northward cold flow, Río de la Plata runoff, and upwelling processes. The second behavior is driven by a southward excursion of the Brazil Current (BC) front, alterations in Río de la Plata discharge rates, and most likely by air-sea interactions. Both episodes are characterized by uncoupled behavior between the surface and deeper layers.  相似文献   

3.
Early in the thirties of the last century, the former Soviet scientists proposed characteristic waves (such as significant wave, and mean wave) to manifest the behavior of wind waves and began to study growth of wind waves. Later on Sverdrup and Munk[1] u…  相似文献   

4.
— The mean zonal velocity in the atmosphere is taken as being created continually by the global scale Hadley circulation produced by the differential solar heating through the balance between the Coriolis effect and vertical diffusion, and not by conservation of absolute momentum. Hence a proper determination of the diffusion coefficient becomes the key to the solution of the zonal flow problem. In this study we take the flow field as composed of a primary global scale Hadley circulation, and a secondary flow created by the convergences of the eddy transports of heat and momentum and surface friction, which give rise to the classical three cell structure of the meridional circulation but which only modifies the zonal velocity distribution slightly.¶Finally, we use the equilibrium solution of the perturbation potential vorticity equation to obtain the eddy transports of momentum and heat, with the zonal velocity given by the primary Hadley flow as the basic flow, and we found that they are close to the statistically observed values, demonstrating that the system can maintain itself.  相似文献   

5.
地磁场的漂移运动和强度变化   总被引:4,自引:6,他引:4  
在修正了Briggs提出的移动变形图案相关分析法基础上,对全球非偶极子磁场以及6个行星尺度磁异常区的漂移特性和强度变化进行了研究.结果表明,在1900-2000年期间,全球非偶极子磁场以0.15°/a的平均速度向西漂移,强度累计增长了29%;6个行星尺度异常区的西漂运动存在明显差异,其中漂移最快的是赤道附近的非洲异常,平均西漂速度为0.26°/a,其次是南半球的澳大利亚异常(0.23°/a),最慢的是欧亚异常(0.09°/a).除西漂外,大多数异常区还有较小的北向漂移.在1940-1955年期间北半球的欧亚、北美和北大西洋3个异常区以及赤道地区的非洲异常几乎同时由西漂或西南漂转为西北向漂移;紧接着,南半球的南大西洋和澳大利亚两个异常区的漂移特征也发生明显变化,主要是漂移明显减慢,而不是漂移方向的转折.在6个异常区中,澳大利亚、南大西洋、非洲和欧亚4个异常区的强度有明显增加,而北美和北大西洋两个异常区的强度则显示了减小的趋势.  相似文献   

6.
Hadley环流与北太平洋涛动的显著关系   总被引:4,自引:2,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
利用NCEP/NCAR月平均再分析资料,分析了冬季(11~4月)Hadley环流与北太平洋涛动(NPO)的变化特征以及它们之间的关系.本文选取0°~30°N区域里最大质量流函数来描述北半球Hadley环流强度随时间的演变,利用(20°N, 180°~160°W) 和 (60°N, 180°~160°W) 区域平均的标准化海平面气压差代表NPO强度.结果表明,冬季北半球Hadley环流与NPO的变化形势非常一致,两者都具有显著的年际和年代际变化(70年代前处于负位相,80年代之后处于正位相),同时还呈现出明显的增强趋势.Hadley环流变化与NPO异常的关系非常密切,在年际和年代际时间尺度上都具有显著的正相关.这种强相关性在大气环流场上可以得到很好的印证.研究还揭示,太平洋地区10°~30°N下沉支和40°~60°N上升支的异常运动可能是这种关系存在的主要内在原因.  相似文献   

7.
21世纪初, 在中国西南及周边地区(本文称为“泛西南”)开始出现大面积的加卸载响应比(以下简称LURR)异常, 根据LURR异常演化, 我们于2008年首次提出该地区正在孕育着“超大地震”。 追踪研究结果显示, 孕震积分It于2012年7月达到峰值。 根据LURR与量纲分析方法结合得到的预测地震时空强的新方法, 我们预测: 2015年7月前后(±25月), 在“泛西南”地区将发生8级左右“超大地震”。 我们在2014年参加的两次会议上交流了这一预测结果, 2015年4月25日尼泊尔MS8.1强震发生在预测范围内。 尼泊尔MS8.1地震后, “泛西南”地区的加卸载响应比大尺度异常不仅没有消退, 反而更加增强。 It于2015年7月达到新峰值, 超过了尼泊尔地震前的水平, 因此, “泛西南”地区可能仍面临非常严重的地震灾害。  相似文献   

8.

The adjustment of sea surface height (SSH) around the coasts of the Japan/East Sea (JES) and the South China Sea (SCS) basins subjected to extratropical Pacific Oceanic low frequency variability is studied using a Kelvin-planetary wave model and a high resolution numerical model. It is found that the modulation of SSH around the coast of Japan is mainly determined by slow adjustment of planetary waves, which radiate from the west coast of Honshu and Hokkaido due to the coastal Kelvin wave. In contrast, the SSH modulation around the cost of the South China Sea basin is mainly determined by the coastal Kelvin wave, which transfers the anomalous SSH into the SCS via the Luzon Strait and out via the Mindoro Strait. The planetary waves radiating from the west coast of Palawan establish a nearly uniform SSH anomaly in the southern part of the SCS, bounded by an eastward jet at the latitude of the Mindoro Strait. Along the western boundary, SSH anomaly decreases almost linearly toward the south, in accordance with the changing local deformation radius. In these two marginal seas, the mean subtropical Pacific gyre circulation enhances SSH modulation induced by extratropical Pacific low frequency variability. Overall, the SSH adjustment in the JES and the SCS predicted by the analytical model agrees well with the numerical model simulation. Application of this model to interaction between these marginal seas and the open ocean is discussed.  相似文献   

9.
A dynamic analysis of elastic–viscoplastic systems, incorporating the modal co-ordinate transformation technique, is presented. The formulation results in uncoupled incremental equations of motion with respect to the modal co-ordinates. The elastic–viscoplastic model adopted allows the analysis not to involve yielding regions and loading/unloading processes. An implicit Runge–Kutta scheme together with the Newton–Raphson method are used to solve the non-linear constitutive equations. Stability and accuracy of the numerical solution are improved by utilizing a local time step sub-incrementing procedure. Applications of the analyses to multi-storey shear buildings show that good results can be obtained for the maximum displacement response by including only a few lower modes in the computation, but the prediction of the ductility factor response tends to underestimate the peak values when too few modes are used. In addition, stable and valid results can be obtained even with a sizable time step increment.  相似文献   

10.
Summary Monsoon depression is one of the most important synoptic scale disturbances on the quasi-stationary planetary scale monsoon trough over the Indian region during the summer monsoon season (June to September). Salient features of the climatology of the depressions with regard to frequency of cyclogenesis, life expectancy, horizontal scale and tracks are discussed. Rainfall aspects of the depressions are discussed in some detail and the role of local, dynamical and sub-synoptic scale factors are brought out. Work done on the life history such as formation, intensification and maintenance of depressions has been reviewed based on synoptical and theoretical approaches. Structure of the depression based on composited, synoptical and dynamical studies is discussed. Wind circulation, thermal and moisture patterns, vertical motion field, vorticity budget etc., of a recent case study are brought out in some detail. The problem of movement of the depression against the low level basic westerly wind is briefly discussed and the results of several numerical and climatological prediction models are presented.  相似文献   

11.
The planetary boundary layer(PBL)scheme in the regional climate model(RCM)has a significant impact on the interactions and exchanges of moisture,momentum,and energy between land,ocean,and atmosphere;however,its uncertainty will cause large systematic biases of RCM.Based on the four different PBL schemes(YSU,ACM2,Boulac,and MYJ)in Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model,the impacts of these schemes on the simulation of circulation and precipitation during the East Asian summer monsoon(EASM)are investigated.The simulated results of the two local turbulent kinetic energy(TKE)schemes,Boulac and MYJ,are more consistent with the observations than those in the two nonlocal closure schemes,YSU and ACM2.The former simulate more reasonable low-level southwesterly flow over East China and west pacific subtropical high(WPSH)than the latter.As to the modeling of summer monsoon precipitation,both the spatial distributions and temporal evolutions from Boulac and MYJ are also better than those in YSU and ACM2 schemes.In addition,through the comparison between YSU and Boulac experiments,the differences from the results of EASM simulation are more obvious over the oceanic area.In the experiments with the nonlocal schemes YSU and ACM2,the boundary layer mixing processes are much stronger,which lead to produce more sea surface latent heat flux and enhanced convection,and finally induce the overestimated precipitation and corresponding deviation of monsoon circulation.With the further study,it is found that the absence of air-sea interaction in WRF may amplify the biases caused by PBL scheme over the ocean.Consequently,there is a reduced latent heat flux over the sea surface and even more reasonable EASM simulation,if an ocean model coupled into WRF.  相似文献   

12.
A variety of climate perturbations have the potential to alter the thermodynamic and dynamical characteristics of the middle atmosphere, which may then affect tropospheric climate. Increased thermal emission from rising stratospheric CO2 levels and scattering of solar radiation from stratospheric volcanic aerosols have a direct impact on surface temperatures, while variations in stratospheric water vapor and ozone can affect tropospheric temperatures. Observations and modeling experiments suggest that these perturbations, as well as solar irradiance variations operating through the stratosphere, may affect tropospheric dynamics, such as planetary wave amplitudes and Hadley cell intensity. In addition, climate changes will probably alter tropospheric/stratospheric exchange, with the potential for modifying trace gas distributions and climate forcing. These issues are reviewed in the light of the incorporation of middle atmosphere studies into IGBP.  相似文献   

13.
Global GPS-derived ionosphere maps (GIM) of total electron content (TEC) were transformed into magnetic latitude (MLAT) versus magnetic local time (MLT) frame. TEC enhancement or depletion marked by W index show dominant electron content depressions and the ionosphere–plasmasphere storms increasing by nighttime, at high magnetic latitudes and over the crests of equatorial anomaly. Based on W maps, the planetary Wp index was produced and used for derivation of a catalogue of more than 140 TEC storms during 1999–2009. In total 33 space weather intense storms and 35 moderate storms are revealed with four series of indices (AE, Ap, Dst and Wp) but more than half Wp storms were either partially overlapping in time with magnetic storm or observed autonomously under non-storm magnetosphere conditions. Relation between an annual number of intense Dst storms and Wp storms has been used for their prediction towards the peak of the forthcoming 24th solar cycle.  相似文献   

14.
The planetary wave impact on the polar vortex stability, polar stratosphere temperature, and content of ozone and other gases was simulated with the global chemical–climatic model of the lower and middle atmosphere. It was found that the planetary waves propagating from the troposphere into the stratosphere differently affect the gas content of the Arctic and Antarctic stratosphere. In the Arctic region, the degree of wave activity critically affects the polar vortex formation, the appearance of polar stratospheric clouds, the halogen activation on their surface, and ozone anomaly formation. Ozone anomalies in the Arctic region as a rule are not formed at high wave activity and can be registered at low activity. In the Antarctic Regions, wave activity affects the stability of polar vortex and the depth of ozone holes, which are formed at almost any wave activity, and the minimal ozone values depend on the strong or weak wave activity that is registered in specific years.  相似文献   

15.
李熠  杨修群  谢倩 《地球物理学报》2010,53(7):1543-1553
利用NCEP/NCAR大气再分析资料以及Hadley中心海表温度资料,针对北太平洋副热带高压(简称副高)的完整系统,通过分析超前于ENSO事件的海平面副高年际异常特征及其对ENSO事件的触发作用以及ENSO事件对500 hPa副高和海平面副高的滞后影响,结果表明了北太平洋副热带高压年际变异和ENSO循环之间存在选择性相互作用.即在大多数情况下,一方面,前期海平面副高减弱会导致热带西太平洋表面西风异常,通过海洋平流过程触发El Nino事件在夏季发生发展,在秋冬季成熟; 而另一方面,El Nino事件在秋冬季发展成熟后,增强了赤道中太平洋的对流性热源,通过对异常热源的动力响应,同期和次年夏季500 hPa副高增强,又通过增强的Hadley环流作用,副热带地区下沉运动增强,从而使得次年夏季海平面副高增强,增强的海平面副高又有利于触发下一个La Nina事件.副高年际变异和ENSO循环之间相互作用的选择性主要取决于副高异常是否接近于赤道以及ENSO事件本身的持续性.这种相互作用有利于在热带太平洋海气系统产生准两年振荡.  相似文献   

16.
本文根据实际地震预报中分析异常证据可信度的过程,提出了确定异常证据可信度的模型。指出异常证据的可信度可根据两类不同的影响因子(全局因子与局部因子)由证据可信度组合公式确定。据此在地震预报专家系统ESEP/PC中提出了“类框架”知识表示法。文中通过实例对应用中的有关问题进行了分析与讨论。  相似文献   

17.
Analyses of hourly values of zonal and meridional wind near 95 km observed by meteor radar at Yambol (42.5°N, 26.6°E) during January 1991–June 1992 indicate the presence of planetary waves with prevailing periods of 1.5–2.5, 4–6, 9–10 and 16–18 days. About 20% of the whole power of atmospheric motions is connected with these waves, so they play an important role in the dynamics of the mesosphere-lower thermosphere (MLT) region. By dynamic spectral analysis applied to the hourly neutral wind and to the calculated hourly values of tidal amplitudes it has been demonstrated that there is considerable modulation of tidal amplitudes by planetary waves in the neutral wind, as this process is better expressed in the semidiurnal tides. The nonlinear interaction between tides and planetary waves is studied by bispectral analysis. The results of these analyses indicate again that the nonlinear interactions between semidiurnal tides and planetary waves with periods 2–20 days are stronger than those of the diurnal tides and planetary waves. A peculiar feature of dynamics in the MLT region above Bulgaria is the presence of strong oscillations with periods of 20 and 30 h, which indicate significant nonlinear coupling between them.  相似文献   

18.
电离层赤道异常两日振荡的数值模拟   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
近20年来,国外学者对电离层赤道异常问题的数值模拟研究未考虑到大气行星波对潮汐发电机电场的调制效应,因而不能解释赤道异常峰值的逐日变化.本文结果表明二日波对F_2区电子浓度的输运有很大影响.这一方法可以推广到赤道异常各种长周期行星波振荡的数值研究. 本文从非定常等离子体连续方程出发,建立包含行星波振荡对E×B漂移的调制效应的方程,并给出数值模拟的方法以及可与实际观测进行比较的结果.文中取二日波漂移振幅为U_p=0 m/s、5m/s、10m/s,而初位相分别为φ=0°、90°共四种情形进行了模拟,结果表明,二日波的调制可使赤道异常的时空分布以及异常峰值产生明显的逐日变化.在所选取的模型中,取U_p=5m/s,φ=0°所得到的f_0F_2t的二日分布特征与观测较吻合.而u_p约5m/s的变化能引起异常峰值f_0F_2约1-2MHz的起伏,而二天之内f_0F_2的二个峰值表现出约2-4MHz的起伏.  相似文献   

19.
对甘,宁,青三省区70个台站,121个测项自正式观测以来的全部资料进行了整个时间域的处理分析,结果表明单测项短临异常对应地震的条件概率(信度)大多数是比较低的,只有采用适当的综合预报方法才能有效地提高预报水平,通过深入研究提出了三种综合分析预报方法,即“前兆信息量直接计算法”,“多因子综合相关分析法”,及“信息合成法”其中以“前兆信息量直接计算法”普适性,可操作性更好一些。  相似文献   

20.
提出了一种地震预报的新方法,并应用于地震的地点预测。震例的空间扫描异常区的对比表明,该方法比单项地震预报方法圈出的异常区不仅范围小,而且包围或接近震中。  相似文献   

设为首页 | 免责声明 | 关于勤云 | 加入收藏

Copyright©北京勤云科技发展有限公司  京ICP备09084417号