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1.
Since 1979 the repeated observations and experiments of geomagnetic total intensity and vertical component have been carried
out for ten years in the geomagetic network which is located in Jiangsu Province, China. Three earthquakes aboveM
s 5.0 occurred during the decade, and some seismomagnetic effects were observed. The observation results show that the anomalies
of the vertical geomagnetic component can’t be observed untill some months before the earthquake (M
s>5.0) in this area.
In this paper it is suggested that a densely distributed network for continuous observation of geomagnetic vertical component
may catch seismomagnetic anomalies and thus improve earthquake prediction in the light of the geomagnetic measurements of
the mid — or — low latitude locations.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 80–87, 1991.
This study is sponsored by the Chinese Joint Seismological Science Foundation. 相似文献
2.
In this paper, the methods of pattern recognition and fuzzy cluster are applied to estimate comprehensive whether there would
be an earthquake which magnitude is commensurate with (N=M
0±0.3) or greatM>M
0) thanM
0 within 3 months using sequential data in 3 days immediately after a moderate or strong earthquake (M
0≥4.7) occurred, The result of retrospective test indicates that the comprehensive judgment effects by using these applied
mathematics methods are better than that of using every individual method obviously. TheV mark value of algorithm CORA-3 in pattern recognition is the highest among them. There are 44 known earthquake sequence data
(5 type- I and 39 type- II) used to learn and train, the results of internal coincidence test show that all 44 sequence samples
could be distinguished correctly. Extrapolation test by using other 4 known earthquake sequences (2 type- I and 2 type- II)
shows that all 4 extrapolation samples could be distinguished correctly also. In the process of study, these methods have
been applied to judge the post-earthquake tendency of 2 moderate earthquakes occurred recently, one is distinguished correctly
and the other wrong. The algorithm Hamming in pattern recognition and fuzzy cluster method have been applied to judge the
early post-earthquake tendency after a moderate or strong earthquake, too. TheV mark values of internal coincidence tests could get above 0.8 most cases of extrapolating are correct.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 15–21, 1993. 相似文献
3.
According to geological tectonics and seismic activites this paper devided North China (30°–45°N, 105°–130°E) into four areas.
We analyzed the North China earthquake catalogue from 1970 to 1986 (from 1965 to 1986 for Huabei, the North China, plain region)
and identified forty-two bursts of aftershock. Seven of them occurred in aftershock regions of strong earthquakes and seventeen
of them in the seismic swarm regions. The relation between strong earthquakes with the remaining eighteen bursts of aftershocks
has been studied and tested statistically in this paper. The result of statistical testing show that the random probabilityp of coincidence of bursts of aftershock with subsequent strong earthquakes is less than six percent. By Xu’sR scoring method the efficacy of predicting strong earthquake from bursts of aftershock is estimated greater than 39 percent.
Following the method proposed in the paper we analyzed the earthquake catalogue of China from 1987 to June, 1988. The results
show that there was only one burst of aftershock occurred on Jan. 6, 1988 withM=3.6 in Xiuyan of Northeast China. It implicates that a potential earthquake withM
S⩽5 might occur in one year afterwards in the region of Northeast China. Actually on Feb. 25, 1988 an earthquake withM
S=5.3 occurred in Zhangwu of Northeast China. Another example is Datong-Yanggao shock on October 18, 1989 which is a burst
of aftershock. Three hours after an expected shock withM =6.1 took place in the same area. Two examples above have been tested in practical prediction and this shows that bursts
of aftershocks are significant in predicting strong earthquakes.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 273–280, 1991.
Part of earthquake catalogue is from Jinbiao Chen, Peiyan Chen and Quanlin Li. 相似文献
4.
This paper has introduced the method of self-similarity analysis of time series into the analysis and study of earthquake
sequence, and then researched its application in earthquake prediction. As parameter of earthquake time series, we can take
the cumulated sum of the numbers of equivalent earthquakesQ=ΣN*, the numbers of equivalent earthquakeN*, maximum magnitudeM
max, average magnitudeQ=ΣN*, and the difference ΔN* between the numbersN* in two adjacent time intervals. The given method may be applied to analysis of long-period seismic sequences in different
regions as well as to anlysis of seismic sequence in the aftershock region of strong earthquake. For making quantitative analysis
the coefficient of self-similarity of earthquake sequence in order of timeμs was introduced. The results of self-similarity analysis were obtained for the earthquake sequences in North China, West South
China, the Capital region of China, and for the East Yamashi region of Japan. They show that in period or half year to several
years beforeM⩾7.0 andM⩾6.0 earthquakes occurred in these regions separately, the self-similarity coefficientμs calculated by using the above-mentioned parameters had remarkably anamalous decrease variations. The duration time ofμs anomaly depends on the earthquake magnitude and may be different from different regions. Therefore, the self-similarity coefficient
in order of timeμs can be considered as a long-medium term precursory index.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 455–462, 1993. 相似文献
5.
Based on Generalized Seismic Ray Theory (Helmberger, 1968), a new quickly linear inversion method from the data of seismic
waveform to seismic moment tensor and source mechanism for domestic earthquake is studied in this paper. Six moderately strong
earthquakes which occurred in Chinese mainland in the past few years are studied. The seismic source parameters of these earthquakes,
seismic moment tensors, scalar seismic moments, fault plane solutions and source time functionsetc, are obtained.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 261–268, 1993. 相似文献
6.
利用2019年度大华北秋季复测156个测点的流动地磁矢量资料,获得河北及周边地区岩石圈磁场半年变化图,分析归纳河北及周边地区岩石圈磁场的总体变化特征,并研究测区内2019年12月3日河北怀安MS3.4地震和2019年12月5日河北丰南MS4.5地震前岩石圈磁场局部变化和异常特征。结果表明：丰南MS4.5地震发生在H矢量的转向区,总强度F负异常的高值区,D要素负异常的高梯度带和Z值变化的高值区;怀安MS3.4地震则发生在H矢量幅值弱化且转向区,D要素零值线附近的正值区和Z值变化的低值区。 相似文献
7.
Conclusion Based on the analysis about the law of deformation rate, the concepts of the deformation rate of precursor, and its stress
drop, and the stress drop of instability are discussed. According to the obtained deformationu
0 corresponding to the maximum stress, the unstable pointu
1 and the stable pointu
2 of equilibrium, the complete process of rock failure can be divided into four stages quantitatively, corresponding to “the
steady stage I”, “the precursor stage II”, “the unstable stage III” and “the later stage IV” of rock failure respectively,
which can be used to simulate the complete course of earthquake. This kind of similarity between the complete process of rock
failure and the complete course of earthquake suggests clearly the direction to reveal the law being of universal significance
for the simulation of the earthquake in the laboratory experiments.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 517–521, 1991. 相似文献
8.
In this paper, the coefficients of Parkinson vectora, b and the in-phase partA
r, Br and quadrature-phase partA
i, Bi of transter functions are calculated by using two kinds of data processing methods, respectively. The results of both methods
are close to each other. All these six parameters above are low in value, showing that the electric structure in Heze area
is rather uniform. It seems that the anomalous changes appeared in both results, and the values of parameters decrease before
and after Heze earthquake.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 113–120, 1991. 相似文献
9.
Yuru Zhuo 《地震学报(英文版)》1992,5(1):33-43
Using the WKBJ approximation method we calculate the synthetic teleseismograms of P and PP waves to match the observed ones
of six large Chinese earthquakes with known focal mechanisms: Tibet earthquake of July 14, 1973; Haicheng earthquake of February
4, 1975; Songpan earthquakes of August 16, 1976, August 21, 1976 and August 23, 1976 and Nignhe earthquake of November 15,
1976. The focal mechanism of the Tibet earthquake is discussed to examine the technique used in the calculation.
We note that the amplitude ratios of PP and P waves (A
PP/A
P) have different characteristics for dip—slip events and strike—slip events within certain epicentral distances. We calculate
the synthetic teleseismograms of P and PP waves for the strike—slip and dip—slip events with fault angles of 330°, 240° and
0°, focal depths of 8 km, 17 km and 24 km, at the assumed station with an azimuth of 310° and epicentral distances from 40°;
to 80°. The diagrams of maximum amplitude ratios of PP and P waves (A
PP/A
P) versus distances are given. The possibility to use the (A
PP/A
P) values to give an approximate estimation for the focal mechanism type is discussed. This work may be useful for determining
the focal mechanism type for those earthquakes which have only few records such as the Chinese earthquakes from the 1930s
to 1960s.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 150–160, 1991. 相似文献
10.
The theoretical acceleration spectrum of observation site has been obtained from source acceleration spectrum derived from
scaling law, using attenuation modelQ=Q
ν
f
η
. A comparison of a set of theoretical acceleration spectra with observation spectra has been made, and we have obtained the
attenuation model for observation site and seismic moment magnitude. We obtain thatQ
o=300,η=0.25 for Wuqia area, Xinjing Zizhizhou, and seismic moment magnitudes of 18 greater aftershocks of Wuqia earthquake occurred
in 1985. In order to obtain seismic moment magnitued conveniently, three functional tables of acceleration spectra at 1Hz
as the distances for variousQ value have been made. The seismic moment magnitude can be quickly measured from acceleration spectrum at 1Hz according to
these tables (epicenter has to be known).
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 435–445, 1992. 相似文献
11.
以中国静止气象卫星亮温资料为数据基础,使用小波变换和功率谱估计法研究2022年1月8日门源M6.9地震前的热辐射异常,并对祁连带中东段以往震例的热辐射异常作回溯性研究。门源6.9级地震的热辐射异常发展过程可分为3个阶段：初始演化阶段、增强持续阶段、减弱消失阶段。面积最大时强辐射区的面积约为8万km~2,地震发生在其西北部。相对功率谱峰值为平均值的17倍,地震发生在峰值后82天。大面积、高强度的热辐射状态持续时间长是此次异常的显著特点。祁连带中东段的几次地震前均出现过热辐射异常,其特征可为该区震情判定不断积累经验,以期形成可作为判定指标的区域震例库。 相似文献
12.
By use of the specialized under ground electrodes as the sensor, the Experimental Multi-station Network observed Seismic Electromagnetic
radiationsprior to the moderately strong earthquake. From the great number of electromagnetic anomalies recorded by the network continuously
for about 10 years, it can be sure that the anomalies are related to earthquakes aboveM
s 5 within 300 km. The stronger the magnitude of the earthquake is, the better the relation is. The abnormal electromagnetic
radiation information appears in a short-time before the moderately strong earthquake. The continuous automatic pen recording
shows that the electromagnetic information is the waveform of the paroxysmal wave group, and has the features of undulating
enhancement, amplitude in inversely proportion to epicentral distance, frequency increase, regional similarity of wave froms
and directivity, etc.. It also contains some quantitative elements related to the parameters of the earthquake. The above
characteristics and correlative elements can provide important bases for predicting the three elements of the earthquake.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 83–90, 1993.
Associate Professor Da-Yuan CHANG and Teacher Feng CHEN have gave us a lot of help during the study. 相似文献
13.
The preliminary research results of vertical deformation dislocation model of GongheM
S
=6.9 earthquake show that, the causative structure is a hidden fault with strike N60°W, dipping S47°W, which lies near the
current subsidence center of Gonghe basin. The rupture length and width are 30km and 14km, the upper and lower bound depth
of the fault in width direction are 3km and 17km respectively. The maximum coseismic and preseismic vertical deformation of
GongheM
S
=6.9 earthquake are 247mm and about 100mm. The reasons why there existed rapid postseismic uplift are also given a tentative
discussion.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 289–295, 1993. 相似文献
14.
The source parameters of the Bohai Sea earthquake, July 18, 1969 and Yongshan, Yunnan earthquake, May 11, 1974 were determined
by full — wave theory synthetic seismograms of teleseismic P waves. P+pP+sP wereform were calculated with WKBJ approximation
and real integral paths. One — dimensional unilateral, finite propagation source was also considered. By trail — and — error
in comparing the theoretical seismograms with the observational ones of WWSSN stations, the source parameters were obtained
as follow: for Bohai earthquake, φ=195°, δ=85°, λ=65°,M
o=0.9×1019Nm,L=59.9km.V
R=3.5km/s, ∧
R
=160°; for Yongshan earthquake, φ=240°, δ=80°, ∧=150°,M
o=1.3×1018Nm,L=48.8km,V
R=3km/s, ∧
R
=−10°, where φ is strike, δ dip angle, λ slip angle,M
o seismic moment,L rupture length,V
R rupture propagation speed. As III type fractures the faulting propagated along the fault planes, and ∧
R
is the angle from the strike to the propagation direction. Yongshan earthquake showed complexity in its focal process, having
four sub—ruptures during the first 60 seconds.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 1–8, 1991. 相似文献
15.
This paper aims to analyse the geoelectrical resistivityρ
s
data on the dipole electrode sounding, which were firstly accumulated from the earthquake prone region in China. The analyses
on the one order difference value of the geoelectrical resistivity indicated that, firstly, more than 4 percent of theρ
s
data reveals the precursors by 3 to 76 days ahead the earthquakes occurring, with the magnitude range of 4 ≤M ≤ 6. 4, in a region of 100 km around the station, and secondly, the results revealed that the seasonal variation ofρ
s
data were slight.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 211–219, 1992. 相似文献
16.
Jia-Yu Zhou Yun-Tai Chen Jiang-Chuan Ni Ming Wang Pei-De Wang Zi-Chang Sun Francis T. Wu 《地震学报(英文版)》1993,6(2):353-363
The regularization method was used to invert the source-time function of four larger aftershocks of the Luquan, Yun-nan,M
s = 6.1 earthquake of April 18, 1984. Near-field digital accelerograms were used in the inversion. Instead of calculating synthetic
seismograms theoretically, an accelerogram of smaller earthquake was used as an empirical Green’s function. The results obtained
showed that the source-time function of smaller aftershock was usually a simple pulse, while that of larger events was more
or less complicated. The rupture velocities and the average particle velocities of the aftershocks were determined. All the
results were in good agreement with the result estimated from the present seismic source theory.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 22–31, 1993.
This study is supported by the Western Yunnan Experimental Site for Earthquake Prediction and the Chinese Joint Seismological
Science Foundation. 相似文献
17.
This paper systematically summarized the relation of the abnormal change of He and H2 dissolved gasses in deep hot-water well at Beijing No. 2 Cotton Mill and their relation with seismicity of the region. An
empirical formula for the relation of the precursory anomaly of He and H2 gasses with the magnitude and occurrence time of earthquake has been derived. Two events of magnitude greater than 5 in North
China had been successfully predicted by using this formula.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 490–497, 1993. 相似文献
18.
The characteristics of spatio-temporal seismicity evolution before the Wenchuan earthquake are studied. The results mainly involve in the trend abnormal features and its relation to the Wenchuan earthquake. The western Chinese mainland and its adjacent area has been in the seismically active period since 2001, while the seismic activity shows the obvious quiescence of M≥?7.0, M≥?6.0 and M?≥5.0 earthquakes in Chinese mainland. A quiescence area with M?≥7.0 has been formed in the middle of the North-South seismic zone since 1988, and the Wenchuan earthquake occurred just within this area. There are a background seismicity gap of M?≥5.0 earthquakes and a seismogenic gap of ML?≥4.0 earthquakes in the area of Longmenshan fault zone and its vicinity prior to the Wenchuan earthquake. The seismic activity obviously strengthened and a doughnut-shape pattern of M?≥4.6 earthquakes is formed in the middle and southern part of the North-South seismic zone after the 2003 Dayao, Yunnan, earthquake. Sichuan and its vicinity in the middle of the doughnut-shape pattern show abnormal quiescence. At the same time, the seismicity of earthquake swarms is significant and shows heterogeneity in the temporal and spatial process. A swarm gap appears in the M4.6 seismically quiet area, and the Wenchuan earthquake occurred just on the margin of the gap. In addition, in the short term before the Wenchuan earthquake, the quiescence of earthquake with ML≥?4.0 appears in Qinghai-Tibet block and a seismic belt of ML?≥3.0 earthquakes, with NW striking and oblique with Longmenshan fault zone, is formed. 相似文献
19.
Introduction The characteristics of generalized foreshock and direct foreshock and their identification,as well as their application to medium and short-term prediction of strong earthquake is a major study objective in seismometry both in China and abroad.China has made many short-term and imminent earthquake predictions.Among the ones with clear hazard-mitigating effect and social manifestation,direct foreshock has made an obvious contribution,for example,the MS=7.2Menglian earthquake occu… 相似文献
20.
Mingzhi Yang 《地震学报(英文版)》1992,5(4):719-728
In this paper, considering the influences of source spectrum, the scattering property of medium and instrument response on
the dominant frequency of coda, a method of using the coda of local earthquake to determine the correlation length of medium
andQ-value is given. We find the following formula as: {fx719-1} wheret* =t/Q, f is the dominant frequency of coda,u
1 andu
2 are the parameters depend on the correlation length and the corner frequency of the source spectrum respectively,I(f) is a function of instrument response. If the source parameter is given, we can obtain the correlation length andQ-value by means of the inversion of observed curves off-t of coda. We processed the data of coda wave of more than 40 earthquakes from 1982 to 1989 in Lingwu region, China, determined
the correlation length andQ-value, and preliminarily studied the temporal change of correlation length before and after moderately strong earthquakes.
The result suggests that there are indications that the correlation length of medium decreases before the moderate earthquake.
The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,14, 62–70, 1992. 相似文献