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1.
Directivity effects are a characteristic of seismic source finiteness and are a consequence of the rupture spread in preferential directions. These effects are manifested through seismic spectral deviations as a function of the observation location. The directivity by Doppler effect method permits estimation of the directions and rupture velocities, beginning from the duration of common pulses, which are identified in waveforms or relative source time functions. The general model of directivity that supports the method presented here is a Doppler analysis based on a kinematic source model of rupture (Haskell, Bull Seismol Soc Am 54:1811–1841, 1964) and a structural medium with spherical symmetry. To evaluate its performance, we subjected the method to a series of tests with synthetic data obtained from ten typical seismic ruptures. The experimental conditions studied correspond with scenarios of simple and complex, unilaterally and bilaterally extended ruptures with different mechanisms and datasets with different levels of azimuthal coverage. The obtained results generally agree with the expected values. We also present four real case studies, applying the method to the following earthquakes: Arequipa, Peru (M w = 8.4, June 23, 2001); Denali, AK, USA (M w = 7.8; November 3, 2002); Zemmouri–Boumerdes, Algeria (M w = 6.8, May 21, 2003); and Sumatra, Indonesia (M w = 9.3, December 26, 2004). The results obtained from the dataset of the four earthquakes agreed, in general, with the values presented by other authors using different methods and data.  相似文献   

2.
Large data sets covering large areas and time spans and composed of many different independent sources raise the question of the obtained degree of harmonization. The present study is an analysis of the harmonization with respect to the moment magnitude M w within the earthquake catalogue for central, northern, and northwestern Europe (CENEC). The CENEC earthquake catalogue (Grünthal et al., J Seismol, 2009) contains parameters for over 8,000 events in the time period 1000–2004 with magnitude M w ≥ 3.5. Only about 2% of the data used for CENEC have original M w magnitudes derived directly from digital data. Some of the local catalogues and data files providing data give M w, but calculated by the respective agency from other magnitude measures or intensity. About 60% of the local data give strength measures other than M w, and these have to be transformed by us using available formulae or new regressions based on original M w data. Although all events are thus unified to M w magnitude, inhomogeneity in the M w obtained from over 40 local catalogues and data files and 50 special studies is inevitable. Two different approaches have been followed to investigate the compatibility of the different M w sets throughout CENEC. The first harmonization check is performed using M w from moment tensor solutions from SMTS and Pondrelli et al. (Phys Earth Planet Inter 130:71–101, 2002; Phys Earth Planet Inter 164:90–112, 2007). The method to derive the SMTS is described, e.g., by Braunmiller et al. (Tectonophysics 356:5–22, 2002) and Bernardi et al. (Geophys J Int 157:703–716, 2004), and the data are available in greater extent since 1997. One check is made against the M w given in national catalogues and another against the M w derived by applying different empirical relations developed for CENEC. The second harmonization check concerns the vast majority of data in CENEC related to earthquakes prior to 1997 or where no moment tensor based M w exists. In this case, an empirical relation for the M w dependence on epicentral intensity (I 0) and focal depth (h) was derived for 41 master events, i.e., earthquakes, located all over central Europe, with high-quality data. To include also the data lacking h, the corresponding depth-independent relation for these 41 events was also derived. These equations are compared with the different sets of data from which CENEC has been composed, and the goodness of fit is demonstrated for each set. The vast majority of the events are very well or reasonably consistent with the respective relation so that the data can be said to be harmonized with respect to M w, but there are exceptions, which are discussed in detail.  相似文献   

3.
本文根据Aki等人提出的尾波理论,导出了地方震尾波水平分量与垂直分量的持续时间比的具体表达式: τ_H/τ_V=I_H/I_V(Q_H/Q_V)~(1/4)·B_H/B_V。该式表明,τ_H/τ_V的变化主要反映了震源体一定范围内,由于介质的各向异性而引起的尾波在不同方向上的激发及衰减能力的差异。本文还讨论了地震前τ_H/τ_V短临异常的物理机制,认为异常的产生与孕震期间介质内裂隙的出现和闭合有关。1986年门源6.4级地震和1975年海城7.3级地震前,τ_H/τ_V都有不同程度的短期低值异常及临震高值突跳。门源地震前后门源台记录的直达S波的最大振幅比A_(mH)/A_(mv)也有与尾波持续时间比类似的异常。最后通过对一些震例的分析,初步得到震级与异常时间的关系为M=0.657lnT+3.44。  相似文献   

4.
Searching for strange attractor in wastewater flow   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  
 Chaos is a complex and irregular world in contrast with simple and regular natures of linear systems. Scientists and engineers have invoked low-dimensional chaos for understanding the nature of real systems. In this study, the complex behavior of a daily wastewater flow and evidence of deterministic nonlinear dynamics are investigated. The analysis involves both a metric approach of the correlation dimension and a topological technique called the close returns plot. The estimation procedure of delay time and delay time window is reviewed using a new technique called the C–C method for the state space reconstruction. And both parameters are used for estimating the correlation dimension. As a result, the daily wastewater flow shows no evidence of chaotic dynamics, which implies that stochastic models rather than deterministic chaos may be more appropriate for representing an investigated series.  相似文献   

5.
The earthquakes in Uttarkashi (October 20, 1991, M w 6.8) and Chamoli (March 8, 1999, M w 6.4) are among the recent well-documented earthquakes that occurred in the Garhwal region of India and that caused extensive damage as well as loss of life. Using strong-motion data of these two earthquakes, we estimate their source, path, and site parameters. The quality factor (Q β ) as a function of frequency is derived as Q β (f) = 140f 1.018. The site amplification functions are evaluated using the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio technique. The ground motions of the Uttarkashi and Chamoli earthquakes are simulated using the stochastic method of Boore (Bull Seismol Soc Am 73:1865–1894, 1983). The estimated source, path, and site parameters are used as input for the simulation. The simulated time histories are generated for a few stations and compared with the observed data. The simulated response spectra at 5% damping are in fair agreement with the observed response spectra for most of the stations over a wide range of frequencies. Residual trends closely match the observed and simulated response spectra. The synthetic data are in rough agreement with the ground-motion attenuation equation available for the Himalayas (Sharma, Bull Seismol Soc Am 98:1063–1069, 1998).  相似文献   

6.
As part I of a sequence of two papers, previously developed L-moments by Hosking (J R Stat Soc Ser B Methodol 52(2):105–124, 1990), and the LH-moments by Wang (Water Resour Res 33(12):2841–2848, 1997) are re-visited. New relationships are developed for regional homogeneity analysis by the LH-moments, and further establishment of regional homogeneity is investigated. Previous works of Hosking (J R Stat Soc Ser B Methodol 52(2):105–124, 1990) and Wang (Water Resour Res 33(12):2841–2848, 1997) on L-moments and LH-moments for the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution are extended to the generalized Pareto (GPA) and the generalized logistic (GLO) distributions. The Karkhe watershed, located in western Iran is used as a case study area. Regional homogeneity was investigated by first assuming the entire study area as one regional cluster. Then the entire study area was designated “homogeneous” by the L-moments (L); and was designated “heterogeneous” by all four levels of the LH-moments (L1 to L4). The k-means method was used to investigate the case of two regional clusters. All levels of the L- and LH-moments designated the upper watershed (region A), “homogeneous”, and the lower watershed (region B) “possibly-homogeneous”. The L3 level of the GPA and the L4 level of the GLO were selected for regions A and B, respectively. Wang (Water Resour Res 33(12):2841–2848, 1997) identified a reversing trend in improved performance of the GEV distribution at the LH-moments level of L3 (during the goodness-of-fit test). Similar results were also obtained in this research for the GEV distribution. However, for the case of the GPA distribution the reversing trend started at L4 for region A; and at L2 for region B. As for the case of the GLO, an improved performance was observed for all levels (moving from L to L4); for both regions.  相似文献   

7.
Summary Following Molodensky's suggestions anomalies of the vertical gradient of gravity were used to achieve a greater accuracy in the determination of the figure of the Earth by gravimetrical methods. The existing methods of computing this quantity do not take into account inclinations of the physical surface of the Earth. Using the Laplace equation, the second derivative ∂2 T/∂v 2 (1) of the disturbing potentialT is expressed by the second derivatives ofT along the tangentsτ 1 andτ 2 to the physical surface of the Earth in mutually perpendicular planes and by the derivatives of gravity anomalies (2). The derivatives ∂2 T/∂τ 1 2 and ∂2 T/∂τ 2 2 have been determined using the Molodensky method [4] of solving his integral equation for the single layer density. In the zero approximation, the Noumerov formula [2] was obtained; however, the results obtained using this formula should be referred to the physical surface of the Earth, not to the Listing geoid. The correction of the first approximation is given by formula (16). The second vertical derivative of gravity anomalies can be determined using the expression (20).   相似文献   

8.
According to the fracture mechanics rupture model of earthquakes put forward by us, several equations to compute tectonic ambient shear stress value τ0 have been derived [equations (1), (2), (3), (5)]. τ0 values for intermediate and small earthquakes occurred in Chinese mainland and Southern California have been calculated by use of these equations. The results demonstrate that the level and distribution of τ0 are closely related to the location where large earthquakes will occur, i.e. the region with higher level of τ0 will be prone to occur large earthquakes and the region with lower level will usually occur small earthquakes. According to the spatial distribution of τ0, the seismic hazard regions or the potential earthquake source regions can in some degree be determined. According to the variation of τ0 with time, the large earthquake occurrence time can be roughly estimated. According to the distribution of τ0 in Southern California and variation with time, three high stress level regions are determined, one (Goldfield area) of them is the present seismic hazard region. Contribution No. 98A02023, Institute of Geophysics, State Seismological Bureau, China  相似文献   

9.
Follow Chen and Duda's model of spectral fall-off of (3, the dependence of peak parameters of ground motion, peak displacement dm, peak velocity vm and peak acceleration am, upon the environment stress (0-values are studied using near source seismic digital recordings for the sequence of the Wuding, Yunnan, M = 6.5 earthquake, in which, as a new thought, the peak parameters are assumed to be related to the medium Q-value. Three formulae for estimating the environment stress (0-values by the peak parameters of three types of ground motions are derived. Using these formulae, the environment stress (0-values are calculated for the sequence of the Wuding earthquake. The result show that (0-values calculated by the three formulae are constant largely, the averages of (0 are in the range of 5.0～35 MPa for most earthquakes. It belongs to the high-stress earthquakes sequence: the high-stress values are restricted to the relatively small area closely near to the epicenter of the main shock. The fine distribution structure for the contours of the environment stress (0-values is related closely to the strong aftershocks. The analysis of spatial and temporal feature of (0-values suggests that the earthquakes sequence in a rupture process generated at the specific intersection zone of seismo-tectonics under high-stress background.  相似文献   

10.
This study aims to model the joint probability distribution of periodic hydrologic data using meta-elliptical copulas. Monthly precipitation data from a gauging station (410120) in Texas, US, was used to illustrate parameter estimation and goodness-of-fit for univariate drought distributions using chi-square test, Kolmogorov–Smirnov test, Cramer-von Mises statistic, Anderson-Darling statistic, modified weighted Watson statistic, and Liao and Shimokawa statistic. Pearson’s classical correlation coefficient r n , Spearman’s ρ n, Kendall’s τ, Chi-Plots, and K-Plots were employed to assess the dependence of drought variables. Several meta-elliptical copulas and Gumbel-Hougaard, Ali-Mikhail-Haq, Frank and Clayton copulas were tested to determine the best-fit copula. Based on the root mean square error and the Akaike information criterion, meta-Gaussian and t copulas gave a better fit. A bootstrap version based on Rosenblatt’s transformation was employed to test the goodness-of-fit for meta-Gaussian and t copulas. It was found that none of meta-Gaussian and t copulas considered could be rejected at the given significance level. The meta-Gaussian copula was employed to model the dependence, and these results were found satisfactory.  相似文献   

11.
Let {Y, Y i , −∞ < i < ∞} be a doubly infinite sequence of identically distributed and asymptotically linear negative quadrant dependence random variables, {a i , −∞ < i < ∞} an absolutely summable sequence of real numbers. We are inspired by Wang et al. (Econometric Theory 18:119–139, 2002) and Salvadori (Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 17:116–140, 2003). And Salvadori (Stoch Environ Res Risk Assess 17:116–140, 2003) have obtained Linear combinations of order statistics to estimate the quantiles of generalized pareto and extreme values distributions. In this paper, we prove the complete convergence of under some suitable conditions. The results obtained improve and generalize the results of Li et al. (1992) and Zhang (1996). The results obtained extend those for negative associated sequences and ρ*-mixing sequences. CIC Number O211, AMS (2000) Subject Classification 60F15, 60G50 Research supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China  相似文献   

12.
By processing the data of vertical ionospheric sounding in Almaty for 2000–2009, we obtained the distributions of the heights of the maximum (h m F) and bottom (h bot F) of the F2-layer, incremental changes in its semi-thickness (δh), the characteristic time of losses (τ), and the vertical displacement velocity of the node of the thermospheric wind (V) during the transitional time of the day during nighttime increases in the electron concentration at the layer maximum. The comparison of the measured V and modeled V m velocities showed a certain discrepancy. The influence of the altitude gradient of the meridional thermospheric wind velocity on the behaviors of h m F, h bot F, δh, and τ during nighttime increases in the electron concentration is studied.  相似文献   

13.
Extreme hydrologic responses following wildfires can lead to floods and debris flows with costly economic and societal impacts. Process-based hydrologic and geomorphic models used to predict the downstream impacts of wildfire must account for temporal changes in hydrologic parameters related to the generation and subsequent routing of infiltration-excess overland flow across the landscape. However, we lack quantitative relationships showing how parameters change with time-since-burning, particularly at the watershed scale. To assess variations in best-fit hydrologic parameters with time, we used the KINEROS2 hydrological model to explore temporal changes in hillslope saturated hydraulic conductivity (Ksh) and channel hydraulic roughness (nc) following a wildfire in the upper Arroyo Seco watershed (41.5 km2), which burned during the 2009 Station fire in the San Gabriel Mountains, California, USA. This study explored runoff-producing storms between 2008 and 2014 to infer watershed hydraulic properties by calibrating the model to observations at the watershed outlet. Modelling indicates Ksh is lowest in the first year following the fire and then increases at an average rate of approximately 4.2 mm/h/year during the first 5 years of recovery. The estimated values for Ksh in the first year following the fire are similar to those obtained in previous studies on smaller watersheds (<1.5 km2) following the Station fire, suggesting hydrologic changes detected here can be applied to lower-order watersheds. Hydraulic roughness, nc, was lowest in the first year following the fire, but increased by a factor of 2 after 1 year of recovery. Post-fire observations suggest changes in nc are due to changes in grain roughness and vegetation in channels. These results provide quantitative constraints on the magnitude of fire-induced hydrologic changes following severe wildfires in chaparral-dominated ecosystems as well as the timing of hydrologic recovery.  相似文献   

14.
 The vesiculation of a peralkaline rhyolite melt (initially containing ∼0.14 wt.% H2O) has been investigated at temperatures above the rheological glass transition (T g≈530  °C) by (a) in situ optical observation of individual bubble growth or dissolution and (b) dilatometric measurements of the volume expansion due to vesiculation. The activation energy of the timescale for bubble growth equals the activation energy of viscous flow at relatively low temperatures (650–790  °C), but decreases and tends towards the value for water diffusion at high temperatures (790–925  °C). The time dependence of volume expansion follows the Avrami equation ΔV (t)∼{1–exp [–(t/τav) n ]} with the exponent n=2–2.5. The induction time of nucleation and the characteristic timescale (τav) in the Avrami equation have the same activation energy, again equal to the activation energy of viscous flow, which means that in viscous melts (Peclet number <1) the vesiculation (volume expansion), the bubble growth process, and, possibly, the nucleation of vesicles, are controlled by the relaxation of viscous stresses. One of the potential volcanological consequences of such behavior is the existence of a significant time lag between the attainment of a super-saturated state in volatile-bearing rhyolitic magmas and the onset of their expansion. Received: March 20, 1995 / Accepted: October 24, 1995  相似文献   

15.
In terms of the chaos theory, the phase-space-reconstruction method has been employed to describe the multi-dimensional phase space for the time series of air pollution index (API) during the past 10 years in Lanzhou, northwest China. The mutual information and Cao method were used to determine the reconstruction parameters, and the characteristic quantities including the Lyapunov exponent and the correlation dimension were calculated respectively. As a result, the correlation dimensions were fractioned, and the maximum Lyapunov exponent (λ 1) > 0. It shows that these presented the obvious chaotic characteristics that resulted from the evolution of non-linear chaotic dynamic system in the time series of air pollution index over the past 10 years. In the meanwhile, three or even four main dynamic variables were discussed here that could effectively interpret the changes of air pollution index time series and their causes. Some reasonable preventive countermeasures were thus put forward. These findings might provide a scientific basis for probing further into the regional complexity and evolution of the time series of air pollution index.  相似文献   

16.
There is growing interest in rates of nitrate uptake and denitrification in restored streams to better understand the effects of restoration on nitrogen processing. This study quantified nitrate uptake in two restored and two unrestored streams in Baltimore, Maryland, USA using nitrate additions, denitrification enzyme assays, and a 15N isotope tracer addition in one of the urban restored streams, Minebank Run. Restoration included either incorporation of stormwater ponds below a storm drain and catch basins to attenuate flow or hydrologic “reconnection” of a stream channel to its floodplain. Stream restoration was conducted for restoring aging sanitary and bridge infrastructure and introducing some stormwater management in watersheds developed prior to current regulations. Denitrification potential in sediments was variable across streams, whereas nitrate uptake length appeared to be significantly correlated to surface water velocity, which was low in the restored streams during summer baseflow conditions. Uptake length of NO3 −–N in Minebank Run estimated by 15N tracer addition was 556 m. Whole stream denitrification rates in Minebank Run were 153 mg NO3 −–N m−2 day−1, and approximately 40% of the daily load of nitrate was estimated to be removed via denitrification over a distance of 220.5 m in a stream reach designed to be hydrologically “connected” to its floodplain. Increased hydrologic residence time in Minebank Run during baseflow likely influenced rates of whole stream denitrification, suggesting that hydrologic residence time may be a key factor influencing N uptake and denitrification. Restoration approaches that increase hydrologic “connectivity” with hyporheic sediments and increase hydrologic residence time may be useful for stimulating denitrification. More work is necessary, however, to examine changes in denitrification rates in restored streams across different seasons, variable N loads, and in response to the “flashy” hydrologic flow conditions during storms common in urban streams.  相似文献   

17.
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18.
The relation between the local mean lunar time τ of earthquake occurrence and their fault trends is studied in this paper. The local mean lunar times τ of 53 earthquakes in 24 groups are calculated. Because the tidal generation force arisen by the moon is a cyclic function of about 12 hours 25 minutes in the main, the two tidal generation forces anywhere in the earth arising by the moon are equal in general when the moon lies to the two sites of 180° interval of local mean lunar time. Based on this phenomenon the values Δτ of τ1–τ2 or τ1–τ2 ± 180° of two earthquakes occurring repetitiously in the same place are also calculated. The calculated results show that if the fault trends of the two earthquakes in the same place is near, the Δτ is usually smaller and if the fault trends of the two ones is not near, the Δτ is usually larger and the distribution of the local mean lunar time τ of earthquakes in different places is dispersive even if fault trends of these earthquakes are near, and the τ does not concentrate on the lower and upper transit of the moon. The above phenomena clear up that the triggering earthquake of earth solid tide arisen by the moon is relative with the fault trends of earthquakes and we ought to think over the difference of environmental conditions of earthquake preparation of each seismogenic zone and can not make statistics to earthquakes in different places when we study the relation between the solid earth tide arisen by the moon and earthquakes.  相似文献   

19.
For short-period near-earthquake records in eastern China, from the empirical attenuation formula of coda ground motion amplitudeA with timeτ: lgA=G−2. 235 lgτ, using the single scattering theory modified with epicentral distance, we obtain the curve family of corrected coda amplitudeA c(r,t), andω/2Q c values for each time interval of coda. From this,Q c(f,h) values, which correspond to each observational average frequency and sampling depth, are calculated. The results substantially agree with those observationalQ c values in Yunnan, Beijing and central Asia.  相似文献   

20.
After site clean-up teams have removed all of what they believe to be UXO within a specific impact area, statistical compliance sampling is a possible method for verifying with a specified probability that this area has been cleaned to specifications. Schilling [J Qual Technol 10(2):47–51, 1978, Acceptance sampling in quality control. Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York, 1982] developed a compliance sampling methodology based on the hypergeometric distribution. Bowen and Bennett (1987) also use compliance sampling where they provide an approximation for estimating the number of samples (n) required to state with desired probability that the entire population of sample units (N, where n < N) are in compliance with cleanup goals. This article describes two methods (anomaly and transect) for applying the Schilling [J Qual Technol 10(2):47–51, 1978, Acceptance sampling in quality control. Marcel Dekker, Inc., New York, 1982] compliance sampling method to military training sites. After describing these methods, a simulation study is presented which demonstrates the performance of transect compliance sampling calculations based on varied degrees of clustered UXO within a specific impact area and different types of sampling routines.  相似文献   

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